Sj55 nba playoff picks

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by palmer

SJ,

Which of these two plays so far do you like more or would you be playing these the same

Orl 1Q -1.5 -120

Utah 1Q -1 -115

Thanks and GL with your plays tonight.

-Palmer

Utah 1Q. I am taking them heavy now. I had a dream with Kobe Bryant last night and it was about him being a bad teammate and throwing that OKC game on the road. I am not lieng either, I have been all day trying to figure out if that might be a sign to fade the Lakers.

**ANGRYBLACK** · 05-10-10, 04:44 PM

GO JAZZ 1st Quarter!!!

**palmer** · 05-10-10, 04:52 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Utah 1Q. I am taking them heavy now. I had a dream with Kobe Bryant last night and it was about him being a bad teammate and throwing that OKC game on the road. I am not lieng either, I have been all day trying to figure out if that might be a sign to fade the Lakers.

Thanks bud...and if this means anything a lot of what I play is due to line movement, mainly differences in lines between a few books that I have. For ex, when one "sharp" book I have has a line that does not favors a side(compared to the other books) I usually jump on it and it's pretty consistent. This is what is occurring with that 1Q line. Jumping on Utah 1Q....thanks for the play.

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 04:57 PM

To all you guys that posted up the pics, I will have your points by tomorrow. I have given out like 700 points in the last week doing these things and need to reload a bit.

**fixedgames** · 05-10-10, 05:06 PM

sweet would you take utah -2 for the 1st quarter?

**dynamitappletini** · 05-10-10, 05:10 PM

GO JAZZ 1st Quarter

**h3da** · 05-10-10, 05:10 PM

Thanks sweetjones55 for all your picks! Been following most of your picks especially the heavy one! Awesome job! Keep it up

**dynamitappletini** · 05-10-10, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

To all you guys that posted up the pics, I will have your points by tomorrow. I have given out like 700 points in the last week doing these things and need to reload a bit.

sure thing man! Let's just hope for those two picks!

**Premierr23** · 05-10-10, 05:39 PM

Lets get em tonight SJ!

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by fixedgames

sweet would you take utah -2 for the 1st quarter?

Yes at -1 which I ahve I still need them to win by 2. So even if they win by 2, you would still push and not lose. I think the Jazz will win the 1Q by 5 personally.

**bfour** · 05-10-10, 06:31 PM

You just rolling with the 2 1Qs homie?

**trojanman** · 05-10-10, 06:37 PM

Hey Sweet....

question.....Artest and Fisher were on fire as was Korver - i doubt they shoot like that again - total is 207 - i'm liking the low - what do you think?

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by trojanman

Hey Sweet....

question.....Artest and Fisher were on fire as was Korver - i doubt they shoot like that again - total is 207 - i'm liking the low - what do you think?

Yes those three guys played well offensively but at the same time Lamar Odom and Bynum combined for like 8 points. LA's bench also shot 33% which is below average for them. Close out games tend to usually be OVER, a lot of fouls and FT's at the end if the team that is down 3-0 is about to lose. It's the highest opening total yet so that kinda makes me believe it should be an OVER also. Utah tends to go OVER a lot at home. Refs do favor the UNDER though. Not really sure on this one, GL with whatever you decide to do.

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by bfour

You just rolling with the 2 1Qs homie?

Yes

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 07:00 PM

Final Card for Today

Magic -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
Jazz -1 HEAVY 1st Quarter LOCKED

**colout** · 05-10-10, 07:02 PM

Good luck tonight dude!

- GO MAGIC!!!!!!

**trojanman** · 05-10-10, 07:02 PM

thanks Sweet - good luck to all.....let's get it!

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 07:04 PM

Good luck to everyone tonight on their plays.

**krazey47409** · 05-10-10, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Jazz -1 -115 1st Quarter HEAVY LOCKED

So I am looking at this Lakers/Jazz game and see a -3 spread. I then go and check to see the 1st quarter since LAL is so dominant in the 1st quarter and notice that the spread is only half of -3??? Now a 1st quarter line is usually about 1/4 obviously of the full game spread. This line maximum should be -1 Utah, I personally thought Utah would be -0.5.

Now why is Vegas giving the LAL so many points in the 1st half. They are the best 1Q team around. My thinking is that it's a HUGE trap. TheGreek was recently juicing the Jazz 1Q -1 -125 and 5Dimes is giving Jazz -1.5 -115 1st quarter.

So I went around digging trying to figure out why the Lakers are catching so many points in their best quarter, the first, and why Vegas is juicing Utah and trying to get you off them. I went back and looked at the last four LAL @ UTAH 1st quarter playoff games and this is what I found

22-17 UTAH
25-20 UTAH
26-17 UTAH
31-21 UTAH

i like it lets cash

**Time is Money** · 05-10-10, 07:27 PM

Great call.

**bobbyhazell** · 05-10-10, 07:31 PM

Thanks Sj55

Impressive cappin'

**Flopa3** · 05-10-10, 07:31 PM

I just checked my SJ bank account and found another Deposit!!!!!

**jspectyper** · 05-10-10, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Utah 1Q. I am taking them heavy now. I had a dream with Kobe Bryant last night and it was about him being a bad teammate and throwing that OKC game on the road. I am not lieng either, I have been all day trying to figure out if that might be a sign to fade the Lakers.

Nice call sj, tailed you on the magic 1q play (I myself live in orlando) and figured it had a good chance because we've been owning the hawks and i'm glad I did. Gonna follow on the utah 1q as well. They are a strong home team and will want to make a statement early. I threw a couple of points your way as well.

**sweetjones55** · 05-10-10, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Magic -1.5 1st Quarter LOCKED Winner!!

Orlando has won 9 out of the last 10 1st quarters against Atlanta by at least two points. The average win margin for ORL is 7.66 points in the 1st quarter. The Hawks worst quarter statistically this year is the 1st quarter, they are 41-32 SU in the 1st quarter and only score 24.9 pp1Q and give up 24.5 pp1Q. The Magic on the other hand average 26.9 in the 1st quarter and allow 24.2 in the 1st quarter, there best point differential of any quarter. I think the Magic come out again and smack around the Hawks. You got Joe Johnson of all people getting emotional and saying things he doesn't mean. The fans are just dieng for the Hawks to start off bad so they can start booing them for making them buy these expensive playoff tickets. Atlanta is a huge bandwagon basketball city. Atlanta doesn't want anything to do with a game 5 because they know they will undoubteldy lose by 15+ @ ORL. They are just a pure jump shooting team against ORL since they can't go inside and their best jump shooter is shooting like 30% lately, Joe Johnson.

Bennett Salvator and Bill Spooner are reffing this game. They both slightly favor road teams this year with a combined 68-64 ATS for the road team.

Also TheGreek ,a very sharpbook, is juicing the Magic 1st Quarter -1.5 -115. A bunch of places are already up to -2 Magic 1st Quarter

Last 10 1st Quarters ORL vs ATL

28-18 ORL
32-27 ORL
25-23 ORL
22-16 ORL
21-18 ORL
29-21 ORL
25-23 ATL (No Jameer Nelson this game who has been killing ATL this series)
22-18 ORL
41-18 ORL
29-24 ORL

Another easyyyyy 11 point blowout.

**trojanman** · 05-10-10, 07:51 PM

nice call again sweet

**moodyt2** · 05-10-10, 08:12 PM

Go jazz!!

**tealish** · 05-10-10, 08:12 PM

good call on magic 1q

**fly fisher** · 05-10-10, 08:18 PM

thanks again SJ. So sweet.

**Texas** · 05-10-10, 08:40 PM

sj, do you have any stats on utah like you had on the magic first qtr? i love seeing those type of stats. geat job as always texas

**Texas** · 05-10-10, 08:42 PM

no need to post i just refreshed and saw those utah stats

**rtx1125** · 05-10-10, 09:08 PM

GOOOOO SJ!!!!

P.S.

**Flopa3** · 05-10-10, 09:36 PM

Gl SJ lets get this!

**masr** · 05-10-10, 09:40 PM

Im riding with your JAZZ 1st Q , LAKERS and the pts..
Good luck

**h3da** · 05-10-10, 10:10 PM

sigh jazz lost first quarter..

**fixedgames** · 05-10-10, 10:14 PM

crap gotta go 2nd quarter