I have used this system in the regular season the past two years and has gone 67.5%. The trick is picking and choosing which game to play and having a comfortable bankroll that you can take the hit with the loss and still live to see another day without chasing.
Some stats from the last four NBA playoffs:
2009: 57-29 (66.6%)
2008: 64-22 (74.4%) Very profitable playoff season
2007: 54-25 (68.3)
2006: 60-29 (67.4)
As you can see just like in the regular season, the past four NBA playoffs basically yielded the same results. 2 out of 3 times you will win.
In the first round I will play home favorites heavily. I still haven't decided which one's but the Nuggets look like a strong play for Saturday and the Mavericks a strong play for Sunday. The key here is to try not to pick high favs. Yes, Cleveland will likely win but risking a -1000 won't take you much (unless your bankroll is $800,000 then it's a different story). Generally I like to play the -185 to -300 range. Right now the Hawks are -440. I think it's a pretty good lock they win, but not sure I will play them.
Another trick is what to do in games 3-4 when the favorites go on the road. We don't bet home dogs on the ML in this system, but have played underdogs taking the points at home. Not often but a few times. The way it works is we play the ML to win max, and then we buy points from the spread down to -1 or 0.5 and risk the max there. To win, 3K on the spread (buying) and 2K on the ML.
NOTE: This is a very extreme system and not picking the right spot could cost you big.
See you over the weekend.
Some stats from the last four NBA playoffs:
2009: 57-29 (66.6%)
2008: 64-22 (74.4%) Very profitable playoff season
2007: 54-25 (68.3)
2006: 60-29 (67.4)
As you can see just like in the regular season, the past four NBA playoffs basically yielded the same results. 2 out of 3 times you will win.
In the first round I will play home favorites heavily. I still haven't decided which one's but the Nuggets look like a strong play for Saturday and the Mavericks a strong play for Sunday. The key here is to try not to pick high favs. Yes, Cleveland will likely win but risking a -1000 won't take you much (unless your bankroll is $800,000 then it's a different story). Generally I like to play the -185 to -300 range. Right now the Hawks are -440. I think it's a pretty good lock they win, but not sure I will play them.
Another trick is what to do in games 3-4 when the favorites go on the road. We don't bet home dogs on the ML in this system, but have played underdogs taking the points at home. Not often but a few times. The way it works is we play the ML to win max, and then we buy points from the spread down to -1 or 0.5 and risk the max there. To win, 3K on the spread (buying) and 2K on the ML.
NOTE: This is a very extreme system and not picking the right spot could cost you big.
See you over the weekend.
that guy is a sharp of his own. the probability of going 0-7 (just example, dont know what the guy streak is) is equally even with going 7-0, after all.
