Should Orlando be favored in Dallas?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Should Orlando be favored in Dallas?
    They have pretty much the same records and both teams have been playing pretty well over the past month or so. It's going to be a good game, but I'm a little surprised that Dallas is a slight dog here. I was expecting them to be a 1 point fave, but instead Orlando opened as the favorite and so far, money is coming in on them. I guess I'm more surprised that the majority of the money is on Orlando because I figured the public would see Dallas as the dog at home and jump all over it.
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
    And also, who does everyone like???
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #3
      i had my projected line (before i knew of OT) at dal -2.5. obviously the money is moving quick cause of the OT game for dal.
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        regardless of the ot outcome orlando shouldnt be favored in dallas. if lakers and cavs were in the same position as dallas the magic wouldnt be favored in those buildings.
        Comment
        • juuso
          SBR MVP
          • 10-04-05
          • 2896

          #5
          Dallas should be slight fave at home. My personal line is -1
          Comment
          • ojs69
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-31-10
            • 197

            #6
            Number never seems to matter as Dallas just can't get it done at home ATS
            Comment
            • mdk02
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-26-10
              • 358

              #7
              pretty sure vince isnt playing either
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                regardless of the ot outcome orlando shouldnt be favored in dallas. if lakers and cavs were in the same position as dallas the magic wouldnt be favored in those buildings.
                So is this a mistake by the books or just a sign that orlando is the play?
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mdk02
                  pretty sure vince isnt playing either
                  VC is probable.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • Dexter
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 25829

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    regardless of the ot outcome orlando shouldnt be favored in dallas. if lakers and cavs were in the same position as dallas the magic wouldnt be favored in those buildings.
                    wouldnt you agree that the cavs and lakers are much better then dallas?
                    Comment
                    • Bones402
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-02-10
                      • 697

                      #11
                      Dallas beat the Magic back in mid Feb when these two played in Orlando, I know Dallas played OT last night but I still think that the money should be coming in on Dallas as the dog. Im going to wait to see how high this line gets if it levels off at Dallas +2.5 then Ill probably take Dallas if it goes higher than that Ill probably stay away just cuz it makes me think something is up in this game.
                      Comment
                      • og4667
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-17-09
                        • 2438

                        #12
                        tough call. hard to back the Mavs after an OT win last night and hard to back the Magic at this #. Gun to head I say take the Mavs.
                        Comment
                        • BillyCostigan
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-18-09
                          • 712

                          #13
                          Didn't the Magic have an off day yesterday? If so that is why, NBA back-to-back vs off-days plays a huge role. If not, then yeah tough ot back Orlando.
                          Comment
                          • dknight734
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-10-10
                            • 2268

                            #14
                            might just take the over
                            Comment
                            • gn2xturbo
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 03-29-10
                              • 24

                              #15
                              if mavs were the favs at home, I would jump all over the magic. Mavs ATS at home is horrendous.
                              Comment
                              • BigPapa62
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 03-11-10
                                • 48

                                #16
                                Anyone know for sure one way or the other on the status of Carter and Pietrus for the Magic in this game?
                                Comment
                                • dknight734
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-10-10
                                  • 2268

                                  #17
                                  on covers it says that carter is expected to play tonight
                                  Comment
                                  • tealish
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-02-10
                                    • 3386

                                    #18
                                    I'm surprised they are. It's at -2.5 now too
                                    Comment
                                    • mv09
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-20-07
                                      • 800

                                      #19
                                      I capped it at Orlando -3

                                      At a neutral site
                                      Orlando Predictor Rating- 96.51
                                      Magic Predictor Rating -92.10

                                      Mavs are 26-11 at home..Orlando 22-15 on the road
                                      Mavs defeated Magic @ Orlando by 10

                                      Closer look at that statsheet shows that Orlando shot 4-25 (16%) from the 3 point line - their bread and butter, and 41% from the field overall- lower than the norm. Mavs are a good team, but not a elite defensive team. Things will LIKELY return to norm, Orlando will, likely, hit a larger percentage of 3 pointers - which should provide enough cushion to allow them to win.

                                      It was just a terrible shooting day for Orlando (especially their bench). The +/- for the 4 worst individual players were
                                      Jason Williams - 0/1 FG - 0/1 3's .. -11
                                      J.J. Reddick - 0/5 FG - 0/1 3's .. -10
                                      Mikeal Pietres - 1/6 FG - 0/5 3's .. -13
                                      Ryan Anderson - 0/5 FG - 0/3 3's.. -16

                                      So the Magic bench went 1 for 17 and 0 for 10 from the 3 point line AND They were winning by 4 going into the 4th quarter.

                                      I think the Magic have been playing well and you won't see a 5.8% shooing from the Magic Bench.

                                      I'm taking Orlando here.
                                      Orlando 99 - Mavs 92
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        The line may be out of whack. But the books are only doing us a favor. They've already revealed the outcome of this game - Orlando wins by at least 3 points!
                                        Comment
                                        • luclongley
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-08-10
                                          • 221

                                          #21
                                          i personally like dallas, they seem to be a real bad matchup for the magic. haywood can D up howard 1 on 1, they have multiple wings to guard carter, and nelson isnt nearly as assertive as he was last year (prior to injury). oh, and they have dirk, lewis cant guard him, i.e. double teams and matchup issues
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by luclongley
                                            i personally like dallas, they seem to be a real bad matchup for the magic. haywood can D up howard 1 on 1, they have multiple wings to guard carter, and nelson isnt nearly as assertive as he was last year (prior to injury). oh, and they have dirk, lewis cant guard him, i.e. double teams and matchup issues
                                            So you think Dallas is better in every defensive position in this matchup? Please...
                                            Comment
                                            • capri5421
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 05-19-09
                                              • 1474

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BillyCostigan
                                              Didn't the Magic have an off day yesterday? If so that is why, NBA back-to-back vs off-days plays a huge role. If not, then yeah tough ot back Orlando.
                                              Shouldn't you know if Orlando played Wednesday nite, if your going to put your hard earned money on this contest. Not bashing just don't understand, it's all about prepareing. Let's go buddy, research.
                                              Comment
                                              • Diesel79
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-27-08
                                                • 1001

                                                #24
                                                2 very unpredictable games tonight.... I think it is better to stay away tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • BettingWizard
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-28-09
                                                  • 6522

                                                  #25
                                                  you cant tell me the magic would win more than half the time on the mavs home floor if they played 100 times. line is a joke.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bureK
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-21-10
                                                    • 1059

                                                    #26
                                                    If VC is out, thats better. Orlando imo is a better team without crazy snipers like Carter and all 3pt shooters. Magic for me.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mundane
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-25-08
                                                      • 3592

                                                      #27
                                                      who's got a better bench???
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        wouldnt you agree that the cavs and lakers are much better then dallas?

                                                        orlando wasnt favored in atlanta/boston/ or utah- dallas has better records than all of those teams. my opinion is that orlando shouldnt be favored here
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JDUB07
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-09-08
                                                          • 1721

                                                          #29
                                                          I like Orlando here. I clearly think they are the better team. Dallas is still too weak defensively to scare me. Should be a good game regardless though.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rvfrank
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 03-30-10
                                                            • 227

                                                            #30
                                                            here you guys go

                                                            Vince Carter (toe) will play against the Mavericks on Thursday night.
                                                            Carter surprisingly was able to practice on Wednesday and is good to go tonight. He's not known as the toughest guy in the world, so there's a chance his minutes will be limited. Still, we're comfortable using him.
                                                            Source: Orlando Sentinel
                                                            Comment
                                                            • playa420
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-09-08
                                                              • 881

                                                              #31
                                                              Its crazy as **** that orlandos the favorite here.Now that carters gonna play its even stranger. Orlando doesnt really halve a whole lot to play for at this point in the season, while Dallas is battling to hold on to the 2 seed.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vboyt
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-18-09
                                                                • 357

                                                                #32
                                                                shrug
                                                                Comment
                                                                • rvfrank
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 03-30-10
                                                                  • 227

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by playa420
                                                                  Its crazy as **** that orlandos the favorite here.Now that carters gonna play its even stranger. Orlando doesnt really halve a whole lot to play for at this point in the season, while Dallas is battling to hold on to the 2 seed.
                                                                  Nelson said they are going to play hard every game, this was an interview during the game given by espn I believe, they don't half ass or lolligag like the lakers do when they play.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MR PROFIT
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-16-10
                                                                    • 1514

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • yisman
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                                      • 75682

                                                                      #35
                                                                      this is pretty simple.

                                                                      Game should probably be Dallas favored by 1 or 1.5, but they haven't been playing particularly well and they just played an OT game in Memphis. So travel and a back to back. Also their third game is four days.

                                                                      Orlando on the other hand, has had three days off.

                                                                      That, to me, is what really swung the line from what a normal Orlando at Dallas game would be.

                                                                      All things considered, this looks like a no play to me. If one team was getting 3 or more, maybe, but this is really a toss up, and Orlando being favored by 2 isn't enough to sway me.
                                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                      [/quote]

                                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...