time for discussion - atl/ind

**lakerboy** · 03-28-10, 01:36 AM

pacers +8.5

**lyon804** · 03-28-10, 01:40 AM

Looks like the Pacers have won 6 of 8 and covered all ATS and now the line is eight?

**shoebox** · 03-28-10, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by lyon804

Looks like the Pacers have won 6 of 8 and covered all ATS and now the line is eight?

I smell blowout, let down time after the Jazz victory

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 01:41 AM

i'm finding myself thinking the play just can't be the pacers because it just looks easy to me, which is why i am 'kinda leaning hawks" off the rough loss. i take it you're saying the play is pacers at 8.5, lb? not sure what your remark means.

**paco** · 03-28-10, 01:41 AM

Granger and the 8 IMO

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

I smell blowout, let down time after the Jazz victory

i lean this way myself, and here from the number one pacers wagering enthusiast, for or against, this opinion shouldn't be taken lightly. i think the number looks too high for a reason.

hmmmm.....this could be 9 in a row though...hmmm......

**lyon804** · 03-28-10, 01:46 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

I smell blowout, let down time after the Jazz victory

Exactly.. it is wriiten in the line.. I have always believed there is information in the line.. this don't pass the test here.. As much as I hate to say it but Hawks prob need to be the play.

**kobefanatic** · 03-28-10, 01:47 AM

the 2 games IND vs ATL have been decided by atl winning by more 11 or more points so maybe it will be another blowout

**lakerboy** · 03-28-10, 01:48 AM

Hawks havent blown out anyone in ages. Maybe today is the day. Sure pacers could have let down after beating jazz so that means we have to take blazers as well right?

**shoebox** · 03-28-10, 01:50 AM

Originally posted by kobefanatic

the 2 games IND vs ATL have been decided by atl winning by more 11 or more points so maybe it will be another blowout

Best thing is pacers got their SU victory on Friday playing out of their means. You got a team trying to make a strong finish and one looking to pad stats.

**shoebox** · 03-28-10, 01:54 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Hawks havent blown out anyone in ages. Maybe today is the day. Sure pacers could have let down after beating jazz so that means we have to take blazers as well right?

Nope blazers are a much different caliber of team, playing for something down the stretch. Pacers fall into the shit catgory, and shit teams can ride a victory and then fall back to where they belong. Perfect set up for a hawks blowout..

**lakerboy** · 03-28-10, 01:55 AM

But shoe indy has won 8 ats games in a row and you could have said the same thing when they beat OKC last week easily. I know its hawks or no play but lets be serious here- pacers are on fire

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 01:59 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Hawks havent blown out anyone in ages. Maybe today is the day. Sure pacers could have let down after beating jazz so that means we have to take blazers as well right?

the hawks have blown out shitty teams recently, and indy still is shitty despite their hotness.

while this line does intrigue me, and while i do have an ever so slight lean to the hawks, i might just wait for indy to not cover. they will be a prime fade at that point.

kobe also brings up a good point...they can't make the line too low because of the hawks recent performance against the pacers. it could be technically inflated, though, considering the current play of the pacers.

apparently i'm not prepared to lock anything down depsite all this wonderful input.

**shoebox** · 03-28-10, 02:01 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

But shoe indy has won 8 ats games in a row and you could have said the same thing when they beat OKC last week easily. I know its hawks or no play but lets be serious here- pacers are on fire

Look at the low spreads they covered when the 9 was offered they got blown out by Boston and SU on the buckaroos which was insulting. You can find the 9 as equivalent to Boston, and the Hawks are better IMO.

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 02:01 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

But shoe indy has won 8 ats games in a row and you could have said the same thing when they beat OKC last week easily. I know its hawks or no play but lets be serious here- pacers are on fire

lb, i have a confession to make. here is why i started this thread...and this sounds gay, but you said at one point "don't look to continue streaks, look to break them". which is why i thought this play was so intriguing...this really could be the break in the streak...but is it worth the chance? that's why i like this discussion.

**lakerboy** · 03-28-10, 02:05 AM

Originally posted by shoebox

Look at the low spreads they covered when the 9 was offered they got blown out by Boston and SU on the buckaroos which was insulting. You can find the 9 as equivalent to Boston, and the Hawks are better IMO.

Fair enough. Boston-9 was the only team that covered over them in the last 12 games/ I guess i am hard headed i dont like laying 9 points.

**kobefanatic** · 03-28-10, 02:05 AM

guys do you think -9.5 home team is a magic number? the hoe team seems to cover when it is a -9.5
as far as i remember
ind @ bos -9.5 bos covered
was @ cha -9.5 cha covered
njn @ chi -9.5 chi covered
i forgot the other teams but i just found out these few games about it

**lakerboy** · 03-28-10, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

lb, i have a confession to make. here is why i started this thread...and this sounds gay, but you said at one point "don't look to continue streaks, look to break them". which is why i thought this play was so intriguing...this really could be the break in the streak...but is it worth the chance? that's why i like this discussion.

100% agree- and also can we work on the big over streak that the raps/mia and mem/mil have

**shoebox** · 03-28-10, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Fair enough. Boston-9 was the only team that covered over them in the last 12 games/ I guess i am hard headed i dont like laying 9 points.

Look like a set up by the books too, covering machines and SU victories and now your gonna give me +8.5. Sounds to good to be true and you know how that ends up.

On a side note if duke loses tomorrow Dick Vitale is gonna have to learn other teams exist cause the ACC will be done. That guy is like nails to a challkboard with his love for acc hoops.

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

100% agree- and also can we work on the big over streak that the raps/mia and mem/mil have

yes, you are beating me to the lines on those. i was already thinking about that, plus i think memphis will cover on mil, and i can only assume the line will be -3.5 in favor of milwaukee. but can't talk much about those.

**texhooper** · 03-28-10, 02:15 AM

kobe i don't know long term that a home fave of 9.5 is profitable, but if you could pull some numbers that would be awesome just to see.

**kobefanatic** · 03-28-10, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by texhooper

kobe i don't know long term that a home fave of 9.5 is profitable, but if you could pull some numbers that would be awesome just to see.

yeah i'll try to find some but i'm really not sure about it

**art_pogi** · 03-28-10, 02:23 AM

Atlanta