Bobcats line has moved to -3 (is it still good?)

Wilforth · 03-01-10, 12:25 PM

I won't take Char at -3 against Dallas. That's not to say it can't happen.

ZBOIZ · 03-01-10, 12:26 PM

Charlotte ML might be the safest

Types · 03-01-10, 01:53 PM

I was thinking the same about -3 being good also. Now wondering if Dallas +3 is better bet? Opinions please

tcarn01 · 03-01-10, 01:59 PM

dallas went on cruise control last night in the 3rd qtr. They wanted to rest Dirk for tonight but had to put him back in to save the game for them.. I think they will be a very tired team. This is a close one. looking at game maybe going down to the wire and maybe OT. Might want to look at the over in this one..

maseda17 · 03-01-10, 02:01 PM

This is one of the more bizarre lines of the night. Dallas being given 3 points seems like a lot. If Dallas was home, it would be an 8 point line. I will avoid the game, if I felt so confident Charlotte would win, I'd take the -150 but I don't.

Leonitas · 03-01-10, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

I won't take Char at -3 against Dallas. That's not to say it can't happen.

agreed. bottom line they play 10 times and cover 5 of them so flip your coins

Le_Donk · 03-01-10, 02:33 PM

i dont understand how a cleary better team who is 7-1 since all star break is getting 3 points against a team who is 2-4 in that time span.
if dallas can win on the road against orlando and atalanta without butler, they should be able to win in charlotte even though its b2b.
if the game would be played in dallas , i think the spread would be about ~ -6 dallas . there is no way that the bobcats homecourt advantage is worth 9 points.
im just not sure if i should take the points or play the moneyline

Wilforth · 03-01-10, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by Le_Donk

i dont understand how a cleary better team who is 7-1 since all star break is getting 3 points against a team who is 2-4 in that time span.
if dallas can win on the road against orlando and atalanta without butler, they should be able to win in charlotte even though its b2b.
if the game would be played in dallas , i think the spread would be about ~ -6 dallas . there is no way that the bobcats homecourt advantage is worth 9 points.
im just not sure if i should take the points or play the moneyline

Besides, Dallas will not lose on purpose.

landers781 · 03-01-10, 02:36 PM

I stated in another thread I had already took Char -2...but now even though consensus is showing everyone on Dal this board is in fact in favor of Charlotte. I think I am just going to buy back my bet and lose the juice and stay away from this fishy ass game and maybe hope for some sort of middle in the process. Dont really feel like sweating this game.

THEGREAT30 · 03-01-10, 02:47 PM

Go with your initial read, this foolishness is going on to mess with your mind, good day

og4667 · 03-01-10, 02:52 PM

seems like the -3 line is inflated based on the Bobcats last home win over the Cavs? Mavs on a b2b and playing great ball right now. Can you really count out the Mavs right now? I guess the sharps have pushed this line up to -3. The play is either on the Bobcats -3 or nothing.

bluefish · 03-01-10, 02:53 PM

nope

n1co35 · 03-01-10, 02:54 PM

is this RLM?

SOUP · 03-01-10, 03:05 PM

Bobcats are coming off a weekend rest, they will be fresh against a Mavericks team that just played a game last night and then has to travel all the way to Charlotte. The Mavericks winning streak means nothing other than they won't be hurt to give one up like they will tonight.

lakerboy · 03-01-10, 03:11 PM

if the books feel safe with -3 you should as well

bygspenda · 03-01-10, 03:15 PM

My 2 cents... Dallas +3 is good value and may or may not cash, Charlotte -3 is poor value and may or may not cash. A team running as hot as the Mavs should not be playing as underdogs to the Bobcats right now. My advice would be to take Dallas +3 and regardless of the result, know you made the better play.

dodger33 · 03-01-10, 03:18 PM

yes this is rlm and lakerboy could not have put it better! books are not in the business of giving away free money!

gshock1 · 03-01-10, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

if the books feel safe with -3 you should as well

What do you mean by the books 'feeling safe'?

SOUP · 03-01-10, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by bygspenda

My 2 cents... Dallas +3 is good value and may or may not cash, Charlotte -3 is poor value and may or may not cash. A team running as hot as the Mavs should not be playing as underdogs to the Bobcats right now. My advice would be to take Dallas +3 and regardless of the result, know you made the better play.

Mavs lose by 5, you think the obvious with Vegas you go home empty.

jgiun1 · 03-01-10, 03:30 PM

I would still take it at -3

lakerboy · 03-01-10, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by gshock1

What do you mean by the books 'feeling safe'?

the books are laying 3 with cats and know most will take dallas. who do you think they are cheering for?

SOUP · 03-01-10, 03:35 PM

They are just baiting people into placing huge bets on the Mavs +3.

bygspenda · 03-01-10, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by SOUP

They are just baiting people into placing huge bets on the Mavs +3.

Books need more $ on the Mavs to balance the $ on the Cats. That's why the line moved up to +3. Too much money was on Charlotte so they had to make the Mavericks look more attractive. The books don't know who will win this game, they just want equal $ on both sides of the spread.

Pensinger1 · 03-01-10, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by Leonitas

agreed. bottom line they play 10 times and cover 5 of them so flip your coins

Comments like these are pointless and needless to say, wrong. This game is not a a flip ATS. Do some homework.

What are you doing sports-betting with a mentality like this?

Power Play · 03-01-10, 03:57 PM

i thinks this game has blowout potential for the cats. They should be extra motivated with two days rest coming off of a road trip with their playoff hopes on the line. Dallas played on espn yesterday so fatigue factor and motivational factor works against them. Plus with the public pounding Dallas and a strong RLM, no way you should take dallas. Should have jumped the cats yesterday with the gift -1 line but even currently it's a strong play in my opinion.

traxmub · 03-01-10, 03:58 PM

I hope dallas will win.

t-wizzle · 03-01-10, 04:06 PM

I would hope the bobcats coaches analyzed the tapes from the second half of last nights game. Dallas was exposed.

Z_Wipf · 03-01-10, 04:11 PM

I hate reading others thoughts on my picks because I always get swayed.

Apexas · 03-01-10, 04:14 PM

Bobcats are, in general, very good at home. Dallas is just the popular team right now with the trades and All-Star break hype. I'm gonna stay away but if your intuition says Bobcats then go with it.

maseda17 · 03-01-10, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by bygspenda

Books need more $ on the Mavs to balance the $ on the Cats. That's why the line moved up to +3. Too much money was on Charlotte so they had to make the Mavericks look more attractive. The books don't know who will win this game, they just want equal $ on both sides of the spread.

Well this isn't completely accurate. If the books feel they have a good read on a game, they will encourage placement on the opposite side. There are plenty of other games where it will be a clean split on both sides where they can make money conservatively. There are all kinds of weird theories about why some lines don't move etc. Some people think the books want people winning on a Monday and will bet heavy in a loss later in the week etc.

Vreston · 03-01-10, 05:52 PM

A lot of people are taking Charlotte tonight. I see posts at Charlotte -1. You had to to have booked this line really early if you wanted it.
At 2:00 pm (my time) which is 6:00 am Central time in the US the line was at -2 at my book and others I checked. Soon it went to -3 and that's where it's sitting now. I don't know if it's still a good bet at -3 (-110). Buying points to get it at -2 or even -1 is taking away any value. You might as well take the moneyline at -150 or just stay away.
The Bobcats may still cover but I can't even remember how many times a hook has made or ruined one of my plays. This is a whole two points off the original line that I liked.
Whatever you guys take BOL!