21-17 ATS
------------------------
Phoenix @ San Antonio
Pick: Phoenix Moneyline
The Moneyline isn't out yet, but I think its going to be released at the +130 mark. Look at this game, are you freaking kidding me? the better team with the better ATS record against a bunch of old guys... Listen yeah yeah San Antonio is alright, I mean they aren't as old as the freaking Celtics, but God damn, they're old, and not only are they old, they are inconsistent. There was a trend earlier on in the year that stated that the Spurs had problems covering against teams that were over .500 and have didn't have problems against the sub .500 teams. If you're looking to invest in this game the edge is definitely on Phoenix to win outright, I've had to hedge plenty of Spurs games thinking they were the better team, don't let that record fool you. Ask yourself do you see them as a playoff contender? A serious one that can handle all the shenanigans of the west? I don't think so. San Antonio is a mirage, they are unable to compete against mediocre run and gun teams.. i.e. Indiana. You think the Lakers would have a problem shutting down Indiana... with or without Kobe, and No I'm not a Lakers fan... I'm a Nuggets fan... (that's the next game, lets not get ahead of ourselves). I really think Phoenix will step up and take care of San Antonio. Here is the DATA that supports it
Phoenix ATS 33-26
Phoenix as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points 6-1
Phoenix versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season 9-2
Phoenix when playing against a team with a winning record 17-13
San Antonio ATS 26-29
San Antonio versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game 13-17
San Antonio when playing against a team with a winning record 11-13
SAN ANTONIO:
LAST 5 GAMES RESULTS
DATE ATS RESULT TOTAL
February 26 - Lost 109-104 at Houston L (-3½) O (198)
February 24 - Won 95-87 vs Oklahoma City W (-4½) U (194)
February 21 - Lost 109-101 at Detroit L (-5)O (186½
February 19 - Lost 106-94 at Philadelphia L (-3½)O (191½)
February 17 - Won 90-87 at Indiana L (-5) U (204)
February 11 - Won 111-92 at Denver W (+6)U (206)
February 08 - Lost 89-101 at LA L (+2)U (192)
So based on this chart it would imply that they are 2-5 since 2/08/2010... awful
PHOENIX:
RESULT ATS RESULT TOTAL
February 26 - Won 125-112 vs LA Clippers W (-9) O (209)
February 24 - Won 106-95 vs Philadelphia W (-7½) U (210)
February 23 - Won 104-102 at Oklahoma City W (6) O (204½)
February 21 - Won 104-88 vs Sacramento W (-9½) U (216)
February 19 - Won 88-80 vs Atlanta W (-4) U (216)
February 17 - Lost 97-107 at Dallas L (+4) U (215.5)
February 16 - Won 109-95 at Memphis W (PK) U (219)
Phoenix is 6-1 against the spread since 02/16/2010....
I didn't make this pick... the data did... money in the bank..
Denver @ LA Lakers
The Pick: Denver Moneyline
I don't need to tell you what Denver has done, this analysis has nothing to do with me being a Denver fan because I'll say this; frankly I'm a bigger fan of money, and I'm a huge longhorns fan, but you don't see me laying down moneyline bets on the mirage of a team that we are. lol Denver shows up for big games, they took down Cleveland, the blew out the Celtics (which doesn't seem like an accomplishment now that the Nets blew them out) and beat the Lakers twice. I say they'll do it again, they have been on fire lately, and the line is still the same as it was last time Lakers -6.. I have news for you, the Lakers are a better team when Kobe is not playing it's not because Kobe is not good.. he's amazing, but the team works harder to win, thus playing to their prime, the Lakers are all finesse and with Kobe playing people have this "Kobe will fix it" attitude.. Let me remind you, he is NOT 100% and with Carmelo and Chauncy ready to take care of business Denver is complete. I see this as the team with the edge, definitely the better investment. The value and the data both support this pick. Just remember this, the Lakers don't hold on to leads well, so even if they are winning by a huge sum the chances of Denver's quick offense coming back and JR Smith coming off the bench are both there, in addition also be warned about this, Denver has problems when they go up against teams that are big, LA will try and exploit this. This is the only way Denver will have a tough time, but remember they have the three ball... and if Denver runs away they wont allow LA back in.
Other Games I Like just not as much
NBA
Milwaukee @ Atlanta - Milwaukee +7.5
New Orleans @ Dallas - Dallas -7.5
Miami @ Orlando = Miami +12
Washington Wizards @ New Jersey Nets - Washington -1
Toronto Raptors @ Oklahoma City Thunder - OKC -8
Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings - Sacramento -4
New Orleans @ Dallas - Dallas -8
NCAA
Marquette @ Seton Hall Marquette Moneyline
Northwestern @ Penn St. Northwestern Moneyline
Louisville @ UConn Louisville Moneyline
Clemson @ Florida St. Florida St -4
Niagara @ Fairfield Fairfield -4
Mich St. @ Purdue Purdue -4
Iona @ St. Peter - Iona +1.5
------------------------
Phoenix @ San Antonio
Pick: Phoenix Moneyline
The Moneyline isn't out yet, but I think its going to be released at the +130 mark. Look at this game, are you freaking kidding me? the better team with the better ATS record against a bunch of old guys... Listen yeah yeah San Antonio is alright, I mean they aren't as old as the freaking Celtics, but God damn, they're old, and not only are they old, they are inconsistent. There was a trend earlier on in the year that stated that the Spurs had problems covering against teams that were over .500 and have didn't have problems against the sub .500 teams. If you're looking to invest in this game the edge is definitely on Phoenix to win outright, I've had to hedge plenty of Spurs games thinking they were the better team, don't let that record fool you. Ask yourself do you see them as a playoff contender? A serious one that can handle all the shenanigans of the west? I don't think so. San Antonio is a mirage, they are unable to compete against mediocre run and gun teams.. i.e. Indiana. You think the Lakers would have a problem shutting down Indiana... with or without Kobe, and No I'm not a Lakers fan... I'm a Nuggets fan... (that's the next game, lets not get ahead of ourselves). I really think Phoenix will step up and take care of San Antonio. Here is the DATA that supports it
Phoenix ATS 33-26
Phoenix as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points 6-1
Phoenix versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season 9-2
Phoenix when playing against a team with a winning record 17-13
San Antonio ATS 26-29
San Antonio versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game 13-17
San Antonio when playing against a team with a winning record 11-13
SAN ANTONIO:
LAST 5 GAMES RESULTS
DATE ATS RESULT TOTAL
February 26 - Lost 109-104 at Houston L (-3½) O (198)
February 24 - Won 95-87 vs Oklahoma City W (-4½) U (194)
February 21 - Lost 109-101 at Detroit L (-5)O (186½
February 19 - Lost 106-94 at Philadelphia L (-3½)O (191½)
February 17 - Won 90-87 at Indiana L (-5) U (204)
February 11 - Won 111-92 at Denver W (+6)U (206)
February 08 - Lost 89-101 at LA L (+2)U (192)
So based on this chart it would imply that they are 2-5 since 2/08/2010... awful
PHOENIX:
RESULT ATS RESULT TOTAL
February 26 - Won 125-112 vs LA Clippers W (-9) O (209)
February 24 - Won 106-95 vs Philadelphia W (-7½) U (210)
February 23 - Won 104-102 at Oklahoma City W (6) O (204½)
February 21 - Won 104-88 vs Sacramento W (-9½) U (216)
February 19 - Won 88-80 vs Atlanta W (-4) U (216)
February 17 - Lost 97-107 at Dallas L (+4) U (215.5)
February 16 - Won 109-95 at Memphis W (PK) U (219)
Phoenix is 6-1 against the spread since 02/16/2010....
I didn't make this pick... the data did... money in the bank..
Denver @ LA Lakers
The Pick: Denver Moneyline
I don't need to tell you what Denver has done, this analysis has nothing to do with me being a Denver fan because I'll say this; frankly I'm a bigger fan of money, and I'm a huge longhorns fan, but you don't see me laying down moneyline bets on the mirage of a team that we are. lol Denver shows up for big games, they took down Cleveland, the blew out the Celtics (which doesn't seem like an accomplishment now that the Nets blew them out) and beat the Lakers twice. I say they'll do it again, they have been on fire lately, and the line is still the same as it was last time Lakers -6.. I have news for you, the Lakers are a better team when Kobe is not playing it's not because Kobe is not good.. he's amazing, but the team works harder to win, thus playing to their prime, the Lakers are all finesse and with Kobe playing people have this "Kobe will fix it" attitude.. Let me remind you, he is NOT 100% and with Carmelo and Chauncy ready to take care of business Denver is complete. I see this as the team with the edge, definitely the better investment. The value and the data both support this pick. Just remember this, the Lakers don't hold on to leads well, so even if they are winning by a huge sum the chances of Denver's quick offense coming back and JR Smith coming off the bench are both there, in addition also be warned about this, Denver has problems when they go up against teams that are big, LA will try and exploit this. This is the only way Denver will have a tough time, but remember they have the three ball... and if Denver runs away they wont allow LA back in.
Other Games I Like just not as much
NBA
Milwaukee @ Atlanta - Milwaukee +7.5
New Orleans @ Dallas - Dallas -7.5
Miami @ Orlando = Miami +12
Washington Wizards @ New Jersey Nets - Washington -1
Toronto Raptors @ Oklahoma City Thunder - OKC -8
Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings - Sacramento -4
New Orleans @ Dallas - Dallas -8
NCAA
Marquette @ Seton Hall Marquette Moneyline
Northwestern @ Penn St. Northwestern Moneyline
Louisville @ UConn Louisville Moneyline
Clemson @ Florida St. Florida St -4
Niagara @ Fairfield Fairfield -4
Mich St. @ Purdue Purdue -4
Iona @ St. Peter - Iona +1.5
