Wizards -1.5 tonight

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  • infamousbacardi
    SBR MVP
    • 03-16-08
    • 4556

    #1
    Wizards -1.5 tonight
    We got our win behind us, time to start a streak here I suppose. At any rate, we are going out East for tonight's tip...all the way to the nation's capital. If we can't be happy with the politics going on there, perhaps the people of D.C. need a different reason to cheer...maybe the Wizards are starting to give them just that. The Wizards, much like their opponent tonight, are coming off of whole-sale changes to their roster. Just as the Knicks have done, the Wizards are revamped and playing some new-look ball. However, there is a key difference between what these teams are doing. The Wizards made deals and got younger...while they are clearly "building" for the future, they are going about it a completely different way than the Knicks. The Knicks acquired nothing but expiring contracts to try and shore up their chances at making a run toward either LBJ or D-Wade...however, in doing so, they've ruined their chances at fielding a competitive team now. Fortunately for them, they didn't have much of a chance to do so anyway. So, a couple of the worst teams in the NBA face off tonight, and while most of the sports nation could care less, I see a golden opportunity to jump aboard the Wizards train.


    Off to the Sagarin rankings quick to see what's going on with these two cellar dwellers. The Wizards rank 23rd, while the Knicks occupy the 27th spot in the overall rankings here. The Wizards actually have a better record against the top 10 teams in the NBA than even a team ranked as high as the #6 ranked Boston Celtics. While it isn't much to write home about, they are 5-12 vs those opponents. The Knicks, well, they aren't. That's about all for the Sagarin rankings in this one, not much to say, everyone knows these teams are bad. Oh well, moving on.


    Injuries and recent performances is next. The Wizards lost Josh Howard recently for the rest of the season with a torn ACL. That's a tough injury to watch, but it happens in professional sports. That being said, he was only recently acquired anyway, so the Wizards haven't gotten too use to him being there, so their dependence on him won't be too difficult to overcome. When you are talking recent performances, it is essential to notice the key difference here between these teams. The Wizards are trending up, having won 3 of 4 at home, and the Knicks are trending down, having lost 8 straight games overall. This is a sad team right now, and I'd attribute the Knicks decision to acquire T-Mac similar to the situation the Philly 76ers were in when they acquired A.I. Clearly, these moves are all about tickets, and less about functionality of their teams. All things considered, the Wizards are playing some decent ball here, with recent wins over the Bulls and Nuggets, while the Knicks....well, they look like they'd lose to the NY Liberty if they had to play them right now. I'm impressed with the way Blatche has played lately, and I think the big difference here is where they are playing. These teams just played 2 games in 5 days at the beginning of the month, and each team took the home game. That trend is surely to continue tonight, and I'm on the Wizards train at -1.5, all the way to the bank. GL tonight guys!


    My Pick: Wizards -1.5 tonight vs. Knicks. GL all.
  • Powderguy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-09
    • 6939

    #2
    Got Wizards @ -2, LETS GET IT
    Comment
    • Gopi-1
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-27-10
      • 952

      #3
      I already got them but at -2, I guess I wagered a wee bit early...

      GL on our play/plays today!
      Comment
      • delldog
        SBR Hustler
        • 02-10-10
        • 71

        #4
        The new look wizard is actually ok.
        Comment
        • QUEST001
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-01-09
          • 779

          #5
          I'm with you on washington like atl bulls as well...
          Comment
          • infamousbacardi
            SBR MVP
            • 03-16-08
            • 4556

            #6
            good luck guys
            Comment
            • infamousbacardi
              SBR MVP
              • 03-16-08
              • 4556

              #7
              Line is steady for now...we'll see what happens
              Comment
              • vitalogist
                SBR MVP
                • 11-11-08
                • 2820

                #8
                Two in a row, bro! It happens tonight
                Comment
                • TenBagger
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-23-10
                  • 34

                  #9
                  infamousbacardi, thanks for your write ups. I also use sagarin ratings as my initial screen and I guess that's why we've had the same picks lately. I'm also betting on the wiz tonight but I just wanted to add a counterpoint.

                  I've actually been betting on the wiz a lot lately and watching most of their games. I've noticed that Javale Mcgee has been absolutely horrible at defending the pick and roll. His decision making is downright awful and there have been numerous times where flip will run over at the timeout and scold him for missing his defensive assignments. Flip has probably been working with McGee a lot during the off day to try and plug this leak, but if McGee's recent performance is any indication, David Lee should have a monster game tonight.

                  I'm betting the Wiz AND the over tonight.
                  Comment
                  • stealthyburrito
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-12-09
                    • 21563

                    #10
                    great write-up, on the wiz as well tonite
                    Comment
                    • cala56
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-25-10
                      • 4231

                      #11
                      Yes wizards tonight is a really good pick.
                      Comment
                      • infamousbacardi
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 4556

                        #12
                        Good stuff ten bagger. Thanks guys, 2 in a row, it happens tonight!
                        Comment
                        • TenBagger
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 02-23-10
                          • 34

                          #13
                          In all my years of watching basketball, I have never seen anyone have such a negative impact on his team in just 2 minutes of play as Shaun Livingston did tonight.

                          Also, regarding my earlier point about Mcgee, it looks like Flip agreed with me since he yanked Mcgee from the starting lineup and inserted Singleton. Mcgee made some ridiculous blocks down the stretch but I still stand by my assertion that he is a poor defensive matchup against a player like David Lee.

                          In fact, I believe the Wiz would have won this game had Singleton not suffered an injury earlier in the game. Singleton has been a solid role player lately and if nothing else, his availability would have probably meant that livingston doesn't see any playing time. Also, with miller and thornton fouling out, the Wiz starters played heavy minutes and they were obviously extremely fatigued in OT. Even with the benefit of hindsight I like this bet and I think it had a positive expectation.
                          Comment
                          • jureslo
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-12-10
                            • 467

                            #14
                            what a bad OT by wizards

                            couldn't believe it
                            Comment
                            • infamousbacardi
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-16-08
                              • 4556

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jureslo
                              what a bad OT by wizards couldn't believe it
                              It was beyond bad....how do two teams play 4:00 of basketball and have the score be 2-0. Neither team deserved to win this game. Oh well...OT was ours for the taking...good defense, couldn't get a few buckets early. On to the next one I guess. Eventually, when you go on a run, you win these kind of games.
                              Comment
                              • Pavv4
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-16-09
                                • 464

                                #16
                                Wizzard took my money yesterday!
                                Comment
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