Betting NBA 2nd half Totals

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  • tlafer
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-20-09
    • 142

    #176
    Hey jqenterprises, any reason why you're not including juice in your unit record?
    Comment
    • ericfree2010
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-17-10
      • 196

      #177
      i think he mentioned that 1 unit is $50
      Comment
      • jqenterprises
        Restricted User
        • 02-14-10
        • 142

        #178
        You would have to figure out what you bet on and do your math

        I dont think i have seen a handicapper put out what the juice is, they are assuming you know what your total is combined
        Comment
        • tlafer
          SBR High Roller
          • 06-20-09
          • 142

          #179
          What? Everybody knows the normal juice is 110 to win 100. So if you win a 2 unit bet you win 2 units, if you lose a 2 unit bet you lose 2.2 units. Most posters include the juice in their unit record, so that it will reflect reality. By ignoring juice, you're inflating your unit record.
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #180
            Originally posted by jqenterprises
            You would have to figure out what you bet on and do your math

            I dont think i have seen a handicapper put out what the juice is, they are assuming you know what your total is combined
            The juice isn't always listed in other players threads, but it should ALWAYS be accounted for in the record. When I don't see it listed I assume it's -110. I always list mine because I play at Pinny with reduced juice.

            Nice results so far. I saw the debate over OT above, and I'd suggest dropping the "system" one that records what would have been without OT. What might have been is totally irrelevant to handicapping
            Comment
            • jqenterprises
              Restricted User
              • 02-14-10
              • 142

              #181
              Also a good way to figure it out is since u are paying -110 or -115 at times. Just take off that percentage off the units...So if u are up 15.5 units take that times 10-15% and subtract that off the units..It gives a good estimate of what u are up
              Comment
              • jqenterprises
                Restricted User
                • 02-14-10
                • 142

                #182
                What i do is list the overall record and the units ahead....So if you go off of that then you will have an idea..
                Comment
                • tlafer
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 06-20-09
                  • 142

                  #183
                  Also a good way to figure it out is since u are paying -110 or -115 at times. Just take off that percentage off the units...So if u are up 15.5 units take that times 10-15% and subtract that off the units..It gives a good estimate of what u are up.

                  A good way to figure it out? Why should people have to adjust your record for juice, why don't you include it? That's the normal way posters do it.
                  Comment
                  • jqenterprises
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-14-10
                    • 142

                    #184
                    Ive Never seen a handicapper post juice..

                    They post a record and unit positive or negative...

                    Some online sites charge -110 , -104,-103 like pinnacle does..

                    Im not posting juice, its something a sports bettor has to figure out in their own records...

                    I will be posting record, and whatever units im ahead for the week and day
                    Comment
                    • jqenterprises
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-14-10
                      • 142

                      #185
                      Previous poster says they bet w/ pinnacle

                      Pinnacle has reduced juice... Vegas and most online books charge -110
                      Comment
                      • suicidekings
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-23-09
                        • 9962

                        #186
                        Originally posted by jqenterprises
                        Previous poster says they bet w/ pinnacle

                        Pinnacle has reduced juice... Vegas and most online books charge -110
                        As long as it's accounted for in the record, that's what matters. No worries.
                        Comment
                        • tlafer
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 06-20-09
                          • 142

                          #187
                          I don't mean post juice when you post the plays, I mean adjust for it in your unit record. Most handicappers do that.
                          Comment
                          • jqenterprises
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-14-10
                            • 142

                            #188
                            Exactly

                            If record is 17-9 and u are flat betting then take your losses x 10 Percent

                            If u are unit betting then you would have to figure it out that way..

                            No handicapper includes juice, no one, they probably assume you know how to include it
                            Comment
                            • tlafer
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 06-20-09
                              • 142

                              #189
                              As long as it's accounted for in the record, that's what matters.

                              That's the point, it's not.
                              Comment
                              • jqenterprises
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-14-10
                                • 142

                                #190
                                Cleveland/Orlando

                                Over 97 WIN 1.5 Units
                                Comment
                                • jqenterprises
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-14-10
                                  • 142

                                  #191
                                  Current Record after 1st game

                                  18-9-2

                                  +17 Units (1-3 Unit System Used)

                                  Example $100 unit better

                                  18 Wins x $100 = $1800
                                  9 Loses x $110 = $990

                                  Profit in 4 days $810
                                  Comment
                                  • jqenterprises
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-14-10
                                    • 142

                                    #192
                                    bettor , excuse the typo
                                    Comment
                                    • jqenterprises
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-14-10
                                      • 142

                                      #193
                                      Also im here to post plays and give picks on the stats that i have compiled..Im giving the following

                                      1. Posted Play
                                      2. Results
                                      3. + or - Unit
                                      4. Record

                                      One will have to figure out on their own what they are up according to my units..If you go into your sports account they should give you a list of all your plays that you have made, then you will have to sit down and figure out what you are ahead

                                      If there is a handicapper out that is charging for their services that post the juice in their record please send me the link, until then you will have to figure on your own what you are ahead on my picks
                                      Comment
                                      • jqenterprises
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 02-14-10
                                        • 142

                                        #194
                                        Previous Unit Results

                                        2/16/10 - +12.5 Units
                                        2/17/10 - + 4 Units
                                        2/18/10 - - 1 Unit
                                        2/19/10- +2 Units
                                        2/20/10- -2.5 Units
                                        2/21/10 - +1.5 Unit after Game 1

                                        + 16.5 Units ahead
                                        Comment
                                        • ericfree2010
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-17-10
                                          • 196

                                          #195
                                          Dam, where was i on the 16th n_n
                                          Comment
                                          • jqenterprises
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-14-10
                                            • 142

                                            #196
                                            boston / Denver

                                            2nd Half

                                            Under 2.5 Units...WIll post total shortly
                                            Comment
                                            • ericfree2010
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-17-10
                                              • 196

                                              #197
                                              wait John, you posted under before you know the total ?
                                              Comment
                                              • balls2wall
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-20-09
                                                • 2642

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by jqenterprises
                                                No handicapper includes juice, no one, they probably assume you know how to include it



                                                I am not trying to argue, nor do I care whether you include juice in your records or not. It is your thread so I am cool with however you want to do it. I just stumbled across it today.


                                                However, i think most cappers do include the juice in their records. Even if it is not most then it is definitely not no one.


                                                keep up the good work
                                                Comment
                                                • jqenterprises
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 02-14-10
                                                  • 142

                                                  #199
                                                  Boston / Denver

                                                  Under 98 2nd half

                                                  2.5 Units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jqenterprises
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-14-10
                                                    • 142

                                                    #200
                                                    I post the total if i know what way im going to go...The total on this game was going to be between 97-99...ALSO as previously mentioned i go off of statistics not off of what my opinion is of the game..Being 97 or 98 or 99 will make no difference in my decision
                                                    Comment
                                                    • freeVICK
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-21-08
                                                      • 7114

                                                      #201
                                                      when betting on 2h totals like this, it is essential that you always get a good #. not much leeway so 1,2, even .5 can make a huge difference at the end of the day.

                                                      what your doing here is great. i would suggest to everyone following to open multiple accounts to ensure getting a good line
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jqenterprises
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-14-10
                                                        • 142

                                                        #202
                                                        I decided to post the way im going to go ahead of the total because there are alot of people that missed on a game last night because if they knew which way i was betting then they could have been prepared and avoided the sudden line movement..but sometimes the line movement is instantaneous
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jqenterprises
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 02-14-10
                                                          • 142

                                                          #203
                                                          Hey Vick long time...Shoot me an email sometime

                                                          Also i have an idea ahead of time of what the line is going to be for the 2nd half , based off the season and how it has gone so far..I know this line would be similar to the 1st game of the day , Orlando was 97 and the totals are very similar so i had a clue on what it would be... I got Under 98 at -115 so i know that if im not quick that line would possibly move to 97.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • suicidekings
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 9962

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by jqenterprises
                                                            Exactly

                                                            If record is 17-9 and u are flat betting then take your losses x 10 Percent

                                                            If u are unit betting then you would have to figure it out that way..

                                                            No handicapper includes juice, no one, they probably assume you know how to include it
                                                            The first point is very lazy, and the second point is just wrong. Do whatever you want, but if you want to be respected as a good capper, stop leaving doubt as to exactly what your record is. The additional effort required on your part is minimal. I have a hard time believing anyone that's supposedly wagering large sums of money and yet unwilling / too lazy to do the record keeping aspect of it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Profit
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-14-09
                                                              • 93

                                                              #205
                                                              you are gonna kill em today jq! dolla dolla bills y'all!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jqenterprises
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-14-10
                                                                • 142

                                                                #206
                                                                Suicide

                                                                Everyone is entitled to their opinion. There is no doubt on my record , I am going to post the record including overtimes (wins or losses) and i have been Very detailed in regards to it

                                                                As far as being lazy on your assumption..Im on the computer from the time i wake up till 2, sometimes 4 in the morning analyzing all the stats and previous days. Every day from the start of the 1st slate of games till the end of the night I am on here posting picks and responding to emails . So I really wouldnt call that being lazy. I post the records, the units and all the results on the post here, so people can see what was wagered on. The results speak for themselves and any real bettor that is making plays based off my picks would know exactly how the juice is determined and the unit juice as well
                                                                Comment
                                                                • xxdjstriderxx
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-25-08
                                                                  • 4740

                                                                  #207
                                                                  i really think this one goes over here jq
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jqenterprises
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-14-10
                                                                    • 142

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Thanks Profit.

                                                                    Keep posting the positives and as you being the real bettor that you are , know what you are ahead for each day. Please tell me what you understand how the juice works, I would think a man of your mass amounts that you bet would know
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • irishfan201
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-21-10
                                                                      • 186

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Hey,
                                                                      Jq your my freaking hero I love the work you've done and your really helping those (like me)get my bankroll back to where it should be thanks bro.Keep posting!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jqenterprises
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 02-14-10
                                                                        • 142

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Boston/Denver

                                                                        2nd half LOSS -2.5 Units

                                                                        Current Record after 2nd game

                                                                        18-10-2

                                                                        +14.5 Units (1-3 Unit System Used)
                                                                        Comment
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