Originally posted by ericfree2010
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206 works
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Chicago/ Philly
NO PLAY
2nd HalfComment -
Charlotte/ Milw
2 Unit
Under 92Comment -
Indiana/ Houston
Under 103
1.5 UnitComment -
anything on Dallas?Comment -
Miami/ Dallas
2.5 Unit
Under 92Comment -
tough break in the knicks gameComment -
Tough loss guys...I personally had $500 on the game
Date placed:
Feb 20, 2010 8:46pSingle #169180411 (Placed by Web)Basketball - NBA Halftimes (2H) Total
(503) Oklahoma City Thunder vs. (504) New York Knicks Under 101 Sat@8:35p
Risk US$ 500.00 to win US$ 454.55Comment -
Tough isn't the word for it. 2nd half actually is a push on 101. Loss for the betting, yes. Small consolation. Why did he hit that 3 pointer with :06? WHY?Comment -
I got 91.5 on the Dallas game and lost by half a point. Sickening!!!!!!Comment -
Current Up to date RESULTS FOR ALL GAMES today
-.5 Units or -4 due to overtime..
*As said previously in posts, overtime counts towards financial positive or negative but for my theory and handicapping it is not considered a Loss. Now if i win a game in OT financially and it stayed Under for the game up to the end of the 4th quarter then it will be considered a loss on my end and will post as a negative unit(s).The best way to look at it. Ask yourself this , would the game have stayed under or over if the game diddnt go to overtime. Financially we would benefit of be throwing the remote control through the T.V. but when i figure out the statistics and determine my picks i consider what happens up to end of the 4th quarter because a fluke OT wont hinder how i choose what side to play
Record 1-2
Overall Record 16-8-3 +17 Units -Stats for system
Overall Record 16-9-2 +13.5 Units- Financial
Oklahoma City/New York – Under 101 (FINAL 101(not including OT,130 with OT)- Push (3.5 Unit played)
Miami/Dallas - Under 92 (FINAL 92)- Push
Indiana/Houston -Under 103 (FINAL 121)- Loss 1.5 Unit
Charlotte/ Milwaukee - Under 92 (FINAL 88)- Win 2 Unit
Comment -
PROFIT..Sorry about that...For now on what im going to do is once i see the play for me will be over or under i will post immediately for you...Email me if you are in need of quicker response..I like to post on here when the line comes up, but in this situation if you knew ahead of time what the play was then u can play it immediately when the line comes out
what i will do is post on here my under or over play and then come back and list the total....
Again sorry for any late posts, but i refresh repeatedly my account so when that line does come up i post it on here within a few seconds after i get the line
What is sick is that they scored 13 points in 26 seconds on a 7 point lead....Comment -
One game left on the night, I will post as soon as i know which way im going to play the game and i will post the final line after i get it..Sometimes Bodog is slow to put up a line , this way everyone has a chance to know what side i am going to bet
Also due to being down for the night, I will not be posting the play as a 3.5 unit if its not warranted. There may be a No Play on the game but sometimes you have to lose the min instead of chasing to risk losing the maximumComment -
I did a well. They changed it as I putting it through.Originally posted by ProfitComment -
This game was just as bad as the time i had Utah/Houston earlier this year and they scored 16 points in 15 secondsComment -
I feel everyone's pain, especially when Durant hit a 3 pointer and cost me a $950 Swing....Brutal games tonightComment -
Sacramento / La Clippers
1 Unit
Under ..Will post line as soon as it come availableComment -
98.5 on bookmakerComment -
Sacramento / La Clippers
1 Unit
Under 98.5.Comment -
yeah
I also the like the under.Comment -
Looking great so far. good job..Sent you an e-mail.
AndersComment -
FINAL RESULTS FOR ALL GAMES today
+1.5 Units or -2.5 due to overtime..
*As said previously in posts, overtime counts towards financial positive or negative but for my theory and handicapping it is not considered a Loss. Now if i win a game in OT financially and it stayed Under for the game up to the end of the 4th quarter then it will be considered a loss on my end and will post as a negative unit(s).The best way to look at it. Ask yourself this , would the game have stayed under or over if the game diddnt go to overtime. Financially we would benefit of be throwing the remote control through the T.V. but when i figure out the statistics and determine my picks i consider what happens up to end of the 4th quarter because a fluke OT wont hinder how i choose what side to play
Record 2-2-2
Overall Record 17-8-3 +19 Units -Stats for system
Overall Record 17-9-2 +15.5 Units- Financial
Oklahoma City/New York – Under 101 (FINAL 101(not including OT,130 with OT)- Push (3.5 Unit played)
Miami/Dallas - Under 92 (FINAL 92)- Push
Indiana/Houston -Under 103 (FINAL 121)- Loss 1.5 Unit
Charlotte/ Milwaukee - Under 92 (FINAL 88)- Win 2 Unit
Los Angeles/Sacramento - Under 98.5 (FINAL 83) - Win 1 Unit
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played the under on clips/sac as well.. loved the play...Comment -
Good job...I wasnt going to put out as 3 Unit play if it diddnt warrant it...Under my theory and how i calculate , I only showed it to be a 65% winner and to me that is a 1 unit play..
65% is still very good and if you can win 65% of the time then you will be very happy over the course of the yearComment -
Good job John, i placed a lil more on SAC / LAC, so i made a lil profitsComment -
Im very happy to hear that.Comment -
On the face of it I think what you're doing has some merit. Because of that I'm going to continue to follow your progress.Originally posted by jqenterprises
However, what I'm about to say is just my opinion. I think you need to stop with the semantical word games regarding overtime. Not only do I think it should be part of your statistical database, but it should be the only way to keep tally of your overall win loss record.
If it counts when you bet actual money, then it should count in every other instance.
Your explanation of why it doesn't makes absolutely no sense to me.Comment -
in your wallet overtimes will count for certain, ask the bookmaker. that being said you cannot handicap or assume overtime just like you don't know when a running back is going to fumble on the goal line and ram a stick up your ass cause that was the easiest cover of your life that just slipped away.Comment -
interesting comments regarding the post regarding OT and this system.....also it seems as if there is some bitterness regarding an old football wager...hum?
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Hi all. I am new to this forum. I don't have a ton of money to play with but I would appreciate help with these picks. Is it possible to email the picks once they are available since I have a blackberry? Thanks for your help!Comment -
I understand everybody's opinion and with every sport that it happens , overtime is a great or horrible part of the wagering gameComment -
As long as everyone understands that if you have the under say in the Miami game 2 nights ago and the game goes to double overtime that it is has nothing to do w/ the system. Also in my mind when I put out the same scenario pick I will pick the over and under again and I dont count it towards my percentages, its because the game was under before OT...Comment -
Also, just a reminder, When i post a pick to play on, its not my opinion of the game. Its all based on stats compiled over the season and if a certain 3 Unit play falls into a category then i play it..If i see a game that falls into a 50/50 percentage, then i dont post the play...
I work a little different than most service providers in that i dont post a play based on my opinion of the game..Some of the games I look at I ask myself. How is this game going to go Under but I have to put it as an Under based off my stats and then it comes in..Some days there will be 6 out of 8 games that work, but on some days there maybe only 3 out of 8.Comment -
TGoat,Originally posted by TGoat
I don't know that the OT explanation "makes no sense". Doesn't it? Lets say I told you I can predict college football over/unders. I tell I've reviewed my system and trends, and it all points to taking the UNDER 46 between Alabama vs Georgia. Alabama kicks a FG with no time left in the 4th qtr, sending the game to OT, all tied 10-10. First OT ends 17-17, then 2OT 24-24, finally game ends 27-24. Hmmm, that's Over the 46 points. But was my system really wrong? It was 10-10 after 4 quarters.
In this case, the system had it right, just dumb luck that it would go to 3 OTs. (system right, lost financially though, what can you do)
By the same token, if my system said "take the Over 46", and it was 10-10 after regulation, and then 27-24 after 3OT, then the system was wrong (system wrong, lucked out with OT and still won the bet).Comment -
2nd half
cleveland
Over 97
1.5 unitsComment
