Stowaway: Don Logan Secretly Plots his Revenge in a Jazz Suitcase

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 03:29 PM

Im on this...think its a great call.

lakerboy · 02-10-10, 03:32 PM

100% agree with this Don even though i know you are really waiting to get Utah this line is totally obscene. The LAkers should be favored here . Even without Bynum and Kobe they are still better than Utah.

don logan · 02-10-10, 03:43 PM

GL, gents, I'm personally going for blood tonite with this & Caps/Habs UNDER 6 -120

Evil Bookieman's been renting my money last couple of days. Time to collect with interest.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

100% agree with this Don even though i know you are really waiting to get Utah this line is totally obscene. The LAkers should be favored here . Even without Bynum and Kobe they are still better than Utah.

I agree with you both and Don but I can see why the line is at -5.0. Utah is a strong team at home, in addition they have great depth on the bench (as proven from last night's game) and Lakers on Road w/out Bynum and Kobe is a bit of a difference.

In addition, UTAH is in current form, however when your giving Lakers any points you have to consider them in any spot. Anycase, im still on this but not heavy.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 03:50 PM

ugk, after crunching the numbers with all my variable factors, your going to laugh at me but I got UTAH beating lakers by 14 points. =((

williams22 · 02-10-10, 03:51 PM

Odom might be out tonight as well I believe.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 03:51 PM

Washington is hot of late, Ovie has field days with Montreal and I cant see Camillari slowing down either... but if your on it then ill have to take a good look at this game.

lakerboy · 02-10-10, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by williams22

Odom might be out tonight as well I believe.

Lamar Odom says he will play against the Jazz

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-lakers-fyi10-2010feb10,0,6963981.story

Lamar Odom says he will play against the Jazz

don logan · 02-10-10, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by AzNDooM

I agree with you both and Don but I can see why the line is at -5.0. Utah is a strong team at home, in addition they have great depth on the bench (as proven from last night's game) and Lakers on Road w/out Bynum and Kobe is a bit of a difference.

In addition, UTAH is in current form, however when your giving Lakers any points you have to consider them in any spot. Anycase, im still on this but not heavy.

This game reminds me of Jazz -10 vs Nuggets a few nites ago, when Denver was b2b without Billups/Carmelo. I loved that Denver bet, but now as a Lakers bettor you're basically conceding points with Utah on b2b plus the fact (imo) that oddsmakers have adjusted their numbers a bit after that Utah/Denver game. I think Clippers/Jazz point spread last nite was spot on, so there probably ain't a ton of value with the Lakers here. Worth a bet, imo, but I think you're smart not to go hog wild on this.

don logan · 02-10-10, 04:14 PM

Lakers/Blazers best NBA bets on the board tonite imo

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 04:20 PM

Blazers eh, ive been staring at this pick +9 and im thinking they should easily cover but PHX is ? to me these days as I cant tell if they are giong to play or not. I watched the OKC / POR game and POR played 1st 3 QTRS well and N.Batum seemed to be back in form.. but in 4th QTR they just fell apart and I think its the same situation for tonight which worries me.
What'x your take Don?

don logan · 02-10-10, 04:42 PM

Blazers have struggled defensively in some games lately which is a little unusual for them...maybe it's due to missing players. Dallas and Utah really torched their defense, but Utah's been doing that to everyone lately. Probably tough for most people to bet Portland tonite on a b2b in Phoenix, but then again that's a big number. On a neutral court with all their horses, Blazers are a bit better than Phoenix imo. If Lakers are worth a bet, then I figure so are the Blazers.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 04:44 PM

Yepz, ill go moderate... just doing alot of numbers crunching and im trying to get it to look in the DLogan Favour haha but nothing is looking right. Normally, my bets come through when I add your picks w/ a few others to this system and its pretty flawless.

Updates have advised possibly no LAMAR Odom either for this game.

don logan · 02-10-10, 04:46 PM

Didn't mean to "downplay" the Lakers bet a few posts ago....I was just comparing it to the Utah/Denver game and feel that Denver bet was a much better wager compared to the Lakers tonite.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 04:51 PM

ahh yeah naw i figured that much. Nevertheless, your opinion is valued and will be keeping a close eyes on these games.

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 04:57 PM

Just wanted your opinions on these 2 games as they are the most favourable on my system
1) NHL - Pittsburgh to smash NYI by 2+ goals. I have PITS -1.5 at +215 at the moment and all data indicates a blow out.
2) NBA - MIL / NJN under 188 - numbers stats of my system is a showing a 92% under for this with variables factored in.

Any thoughts?

don logan · 02-10-10, 05:23 PM

Fortunately I spend way too much time with this stuff so I do have thoughts on those games:

I noticed Pens are at least 50 cents more expensive tonite compared to a couple of weeks ago when they beat Isles 6-4, and the adjustment has more to do with how bad Isles are rather than how good Pens are. Tough to find value in Pitt following an adjustment like that, and they probably tweaked the alt line a good bit as well. Pens goaltending has been average all season, so put a gun to my head I probably go with Isles moneyline.

As for MIL/NJN, the line on that game a month ago was Bucks -1.5/191 I believe, so it looks like your system points in the right direction but oddsmakers have also made adjustments. 188ish looks about right to me, so I'd probably stay away from that, too, personally.

Earlier I mentioned Habs/Caps "under" because I know Habs are low scoring team all the way around and Capitals have strong goaltending. In last couple of weeks Caps have been NHL's version of Utah Jazz but with much better defense. Caps ain't gonna keep scoring 5 goals/game, especially against team like Habs. Lots of people are betting "over" in Caps games lately and oddsmakers made some pretty big adjustments in the last 2 weeks that I think will be temporary. Basically a great price in what I think is a lower scoring game than most people think.

GL my friend

landers781 · 02-10-10, 05:30 PM

Good luck Don, I seem to like the under in the celts game. I been ice cold lately though so it will probably go over. Best of luck tonight

don logan · 02-10-10, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by landers781

Good luck Don, I seem to like the under in the celts game. I been ice cold lately though so it will probably go over. Best of luck tonight

Have no clue how that game should play out, but Hornets do seem to push the pace a bit w/o Chris Paul in lineup. Don't know if that's actually true or not.

At risk of spreading myself thin I'm gonna lay off Portland tonite....I know that ice cold feeling too, bro.

Apexas · 02-10-10, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by AzNDooM

Washington is hot of late, Ovie has field days with Montreal and I cant see Camillari slowing down either... but if your on it then ill have to take a good look at this game.

Cammalleri has been out for more than a week and will be for many more weeks with a knee injury...

Check DailyFaceoff.com for updates on that and starting goalies

AzNDooM · 02-10-10, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by Apexas

Cammalleri has been out for more than a week and will be for many more weeks with a knee injury...

Check DailyFaceoff.com for updates on that and starting goalies

I thought he came back last game. Sorry... thanks for update.

gwiz · 02-10-10, 10:40 PM

sent this message to a buddy this morning

"one thing that worries me about taking the jazz in this game is the fact that the lakers take pride in ending streaks,

if Utah somehow bizarrely ends up as a 3 point favorite I will be tempted like a dog to a bone to play the lakers "

this is how I felt about this game,

not nearly as confident as you though

I am new here and looking for the guys with an eye

you seem to have it sir

gwiz · 02-10-10, 10:42 PM

Imagine my shock when I saw 5-

suicidekings · 02-10-10, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by don logan

Lakers/Blazers best NBA bets on the board tonite imo

Nice calls tonight. I'm all over the Lakers and the Under, but completely missed the boat on the Blazers, thinking the game was starting at 7 Pacific instead of 6...

Definitely two obscenely wrong lines...

don logan · 02-10-10, 10:45 PM

maybe you can tell me how Habs score 6 goals tonite

don logan · 02-10-10, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Nice calls tonight. I'm all over the Lakers and the Under, but completely missed the boat on the Blazers, thinking the game was starting at 7 Pacific instead of 6...

Definitely two obscenely wrong lines...

Lakers were a great play but the Portland game looks like an abortion right there on the bball court. Freakish game.
Nice bet on the Jazz/Lakers under, thought about playing that one meself

lakerboy · 02-10-10, 10:54 PM

See Don the Lakers was a great call

don logan · 02-10-10, 10:56 PM

Yes indeed, the planets aligned for this one

don logan · 02-10-10, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

See Don the Lakers was a great call