Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Indiana Pacers -4 and UNDER 199
Two bad teams here so I'm giving edge to the home team here. Indiana and Detroit just broke their respective dry spells beating the Raps by 15 (by Indiana) and Jersey by 4 (by Detroit). Detroit appears to be healthy in the game against Jersey, then again I was watching that game and they were no where near the form of a winning team. Indiana, on the other hand, is consistent in being inconsistent. They actually are a very capable team with their schedule getting the most of them. The way I look at it, this game will most likely be an offensive struggle for both teams. Detroit putting up good defense with Tayshaun hounding Granger and Jerebko+Big Ben manning the middle. On the offensive end, they wouldn't be much of a threat either with only Hamilton and Stuckey to get them baskets (then again they jack up too many shots). Not really feeling this game but that's how I view it. If you have to seriously make a play, look at the other games on the board instead.
New Jersey Nets +13.0
Give me the Nets' ML! Kidding. Seriously, that's just like throwing away my money (like betting on the Clippers last season). This may not be a strong play but Celtics has not been good covering double digit spreads plus Nets may even look ahead to a more winnable game the next day against the struggling Detroit team. Also, don't think about putting this team on a 7 point teaser, Boston, although struggling to find their form, is capable of winning this game by 20. Nets will also be fielding a new head coach. This is a good fade scenario but then again the Nets has covered 4 of their last 5. Boston has yet to cover double digit spreads. The last time they were able to cover was last 12/20/09 against the Wolves. The were also only able to win by double digits ones in their last 10. Not a pretty solid play but it's worth a shot with a possible backdoor cover with this much of a spread.
Milwaukee Bucks -3 and OVER 200.5
The total caught my attention right away. It opened at 198-199 in most books then moved to 200.5 right away. Both teams combine for a total of 22-29 O/U home-road record. 3 of the Bucks last 5 road games went under the set total and 4 of that 5 games didn't even hit 200 points. Bucks are also riding 4 games, all went UNDER the total. New York are just the same. 4 of their last 5 games went UNDER and 6 of their last 10 as well. You also get trends like:
Under is 7-2 in MIL last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 21-7 in NY last 28 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 20-8 in NY last 28 overall.
It then makes you wonder why the line just went up a point or two after it opened. So I'm going with my betting guts on this one and playing what the stat and following what the line movement dictates you.
I'm also leaning the Bucks way because they appear to be the better team and is currently on great form except for that 17 point loss to Orlando. Bucks is actually 8-3 ATS (okay, someone correct me on this as my eyes are poor looking at so many numbers) on games after a blow out loss (10 digit or more) and not covering the spread. Knicks are just questionable out there as they always are. Winners of only 3 games in their last 10, they've struggled against below average teams like the Wolves, Wizards and even the Pistons. Bucks is just 2 games and a half away from the 8th spot in the east and it's this games against fellow below .500 teams that they should take full advantage off.
Atlanta Hawks -7.5
Wow! Bulls! I've like faded them the last 4 games and only got a push out of it. As I've said in my last write up fading the Bulls, the books most likely have caught up with them by now. What bothers me is that the Hawks are crazy good at home. They've won 4 of their last 5 home games, although struggled against Oklahoma and got blown out by the Magic, they have yet to not cover 4 games in a row. The last time they were on a 4-game losing streak was last season when they are playing the 5th game in a 6-game trip. They also excel after a day of rest racking a 16-7 ATS record. Bulls are just so-so with 10-10 ATS record after a day of rest and is only 12-13 ATS on the road. I'm also banking on the bulls' momentum to have died down by now (but man, Rose is just ballin' I'd be sure to watch this game and make the necessary move come half time). Looking at another blow out win for the Hawks here duplicating the same effort in their home win of 2 months ago. LOL. So much for wishful thinking.
Memphis Grizzlies -5
Grizzlies is now my second favorite at the moment. They are 15-8-1 ATS at home against the Rockets' 11-13 ATS road record. They are 5-3 ATS after 2 days of rest against the Rockets' so-so 4-4 ATS. This game should be really interesting with both teams having great front court players. I'm giving edge to the Grizz for having the size and height over the smaller Rockets. You also gotta love the Grizz playing like a Playoff contender at home with a 18-6 home record. Don't get me wrong here. It's not that I'm counting out the Rockets here. They've just been on a bad schedule, playing hot teams that merited them the L. Rebounding would be key here with the Rockets shooting below 45% on the road with the Grizz being able to control the boards here. I've also disregarded the first meeting between the two since the Grizzlies is a different team now than they were in November.
New Orleans Hornets -3
I've vowed not to bet on the 76ers again after that win against the Bulls. I think A.I. will be playing now, all the more reason to go against the 76ers now. Both teams with look ahead games so they most likely cancels each other out. What scares me here is that the Hornets has been winning games around 3-5 points so it should be pretty close.
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5
Dallas is much like Boston. They have a hard time covering double digit spreads. They've also gone sour only covering 2 of their last 10 and none in their last 5. Wolves should come out with a little momentum after winning 2 games in a row. They also look effective out there with Love coming off the bench. Dirk and Dampier is listed as questionable as well. If Dampier is out, Mavs will have a hella problem with the boards against this formidable Wolves front court. Looking for a cover here for Minny.
Phoenix Suns -3
It looks like this game is gonna end the way Phoenix backers wouldn't want. With everyone and their Moms on the Suns, it should get ugly. Simple reasoning here, Phoenix has been playing well the last 4 games and Amare has responded well to all this trade talks and rumors. There won't be any defense here but I feel iffy playing any total on games with set total of 220+ points.
BOL.
and time to get paid
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Friday/Leans:
Pacers -4 (4 Units)
Bucks +3 (6 Units)
Hawks -7 (4 Units)
Leans:
Grizzlies -5
Timberwolves +11
76ers vs Rockets Over 195.5
Indiana Pacers -4 and UNDER 199
Two bad teams here so I'm giving edge to the home team here. Indiana and Detroit just broke their respective dry spells beating the Raps by 15 (by Indiana) and Jersey by 4 (by Detroit). Detroit appears to be healthy in the game against Jersey, then again I was watching that game and they were no where near the form of a winning team. Indiana, on the other hand, is consistent in being inconsistent. They actually are a very capable team with their schedule getting the most of them. The way I look at it, this game will most likely be an offensive struggle for both teams. Detroit putting up good defense with Tayshaun hounding Granger and Jerebko+Big Ben manning the middle. On the offensive end, they wouldn't be much of a threat either with only Hamilton and Stuckey to get them baskets (then again they jack up too many shots). Not really feeling this game but that's how I view it. If you have to seriously make a play, look at the other games on the board instead.
New Jersey Nets +13.0
Give me the Nets' ML! Kidding. Seriously, that's just like throwing away my money (like betting on the Clippers last season). This may not be a strong play but Celtics has not been good covering double digit spreads plus Nets may even look ahead to a more winnable game the next day against the struggling Detroit team. Also, don't think about putting this team on a 7 point teaser, Boston, although struggling to find their form, is capable of winning this game by 20. Nets will also be fielding a new head coach. This is a good fade scenario but then again the Nets has covered 4 of their last 5. Boston has yet to cover double digit spreads. The last time they were able to cover was last 12/20/09 against the Wolves. The were also only able to win by double digits ones in their last 10. Not a pretty solid play but it's worth a shot with a possible backdoor cover with this much of a spread.
Milwaukee Bucks -3 and OVER 200.5
The total caught my attention right away. It opened at 198-199 in most books then moved to 200.5 right away. Both teams combine for a total of 22-29 O/U home-road record. 3 of the Bucks last 5 road games went under the set total and 4 of that 5 games didn't even hit 200 points. Bucks are also riding 4 games, all went UNDER the total. New York are just the same. 4 of their last 5 games went UNDER and 6 of their last 10 as well. You also get trends like:
Under is 7-2 in MIL last 9 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 21-7 in NY last 28 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 20-8 in NY last 28 overall.
It then makes you wonder why the line just went up a point or two after it opened. So I'm going with my betting guts on this one and playing what the stat and following what the line movement dictates you.
I'm also leaning the Bucks way because they appear to be the better team and is currently on great form except for that 17 point loss to Orlando. Bucks is actually 8-3 ATS (okay, someone correct me on this as my eyes are poor looking at so many numbers) on games after a blow out loss (10 digit or more) and not covering the spread. Knicks are just questionable out there as they always are. Winners of only 3 games in their last 10, they've struggled against below average teams like the Wolves, Wizards and even the Pistons. Bucks is just 2 games and a half away from the 8th spot in the east and it's this games against fellow below .500 teams that they should take full advantage off.
Atlanta Hawks -7.5
Wow! Bulls! I've like faded them the last 4 games and only got a push out of it. As I've said in my last write up fading the Bulls, the books most likely have caught up with them by now. What bothers me is that the Hawks are crazy good at home. They've won 4 of their last 5 home games, although struggled against Oklahoma and got blown out by the Magic, they have yet to not cover 4 games in a row. The last time they were on a 4-game losing streak was last season when they are playing the 5th game in a 6-game trip. They also excel after a day of rest racking a 16-7 ATS record. Bulls are just so-so with 10-10 ATS record after a day of rest and is only 12-13 ATS on the road. I'm also banking on the bulls' momentum to have died down by now (but man, Rose is just ballin' I'd be sure to watch this game and make the necessary move come half time). Looking at another blow out win for the Hawks here duplicating the same effort in their home win of 2 months ago. LOL. So much for wishful thinking.
Memphis Grizzlies -5
Grizzlies is now my second favorite at the moment. They are 15-8-1 ATS at home against the Rockets' 11-13 ATS road record. They are 5-3 ATS after 2 days of rest against the Rockets' so-so 4-4 ATS. This game should be really interesting with both teams having great front court players. I'm giving edge to the Grizz for having the size and height over the smaller Rockets. You also gotta love the Grizz playing like a Playoff contender at home with a 18-6 home record. Don't get me wrong here. It's not that I'm counting out the Rockets here. They've just been on a bad schedule, playing hot teams that merited them the L. Rebounding would be key here with the Rockets shooting below 45% on the road with the Grizz being able to control the boards here. I've also disregarded the first meeting between the two since the Grizzlies is a different team now than they were in November.
New Orleans Hornets -3
I've vowed not to bet on the 76ers again after that win against the Bulls. I think A.I. will be playing now, all the more reason to go against the 76ers now. Both teams with look ahead games so they most likely cancels each other out. What scares me here is that the Hornets has been winning games around 3-5 points so it should be pretty close.
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5
Dallas is much like Boston. They have a hard time covering double digit spreads. They've also gone sour only covering 2 of their last 10 and none in their last 5. Wolves should come out with a little momentum after winning 2 games in a row. They also look effective out there with Love coming off the bench. Dirk and Dampier is listed as questionable as well. If Dampier is out, Mavs will have a hella problem with the boards against this formidable Wolves front court. Looking for a cover here for Minny.
Phoenix Suns -3
It looks like this game is gonna end the way Phoenix backers wouldn't want. With everyone and their Moms on the Suns, it should get ugly. Simple reasoning here, Phoenix has been playing well the last 4 games and Amare has responded well to all this trade talks and rumors. There won't be any defense here but I feel iffy playing any total on games with set total of 220+ points.
BOL.
and time to get paid
