New Orleans +1; Back to back for OKL

gshock1 · 02-03-10, 07:09 AM

Chris Paul is out. Suns pasted NO after playing the day before.

hedgejob · 02-03-10, 07:11 AM

And Suns had played OT against Rockets night before.

Gopi-1 · 02-03-10, 07:40 AM

... and the Thunder is a young team, the consequences of b2b games might have minimal effect on them. If this was like the tail end of a 6-game road trip for OKC, then the equation of playing "b2b games" will take its full effect, just like the Lakers game against the Grizz. The only thing that worries me is that OKC, thinking Chris Paul isn't around, could be a little overconfident coming in, thinking this game is all sewn up for them even before it started, then instead of watching a close pick 'em game (which should be according to stats), we might see a blowout...

Busterflywheel · 02-03-10, 07:40 AM

NO would seem to be the better call but IDK just yet... BOL with your play

teecee · 02-03-10, 07:49 AM

I'll be checking out NO first half. If I play that and it loses, I'll double up second half (If it looks like a good number).

AzNDooM · 02-03-10, 07:51 AM

hmm... nice analysis TGoat but im going to have to say OKC. They're stats are much improved compared to NOH and no Chris Paul is another issue. Although you are right with a well rested team, I dont like a match up of David West with KD and Ilbaka, seriously these guys are playing well and if he doesnt get going, no one else on NO will.

If you look at last year stats when CP3 was out, they went 2-11 with him out of the line up. Those are stats that ugly and there team is no different then last year - minus Chandler which is even worse team this year if you ask me.

In anycase, BOL on your bet bud.

TGoat · 02-03-10, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by gshock1

Chris Paul is out. Suns pasted NO after playing the day before.

How long has he been out, and is NO dead without him? How have they done lately with him gone?

Gopi-1 · 02-03-10, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by Busterflywheel

NO would seem to be the better call but IDK just yet... BOL with your play

Wazz up B!

Any leans for today? Yesterday was a "push" day for me, no harm, no foul since my biggest bet (Bulls) got lost in the shuffle!

I really like the UNDER (193.5) and for the Bulls to redeem themselves today against the aging 76ers. They will probably give themselves a couple of bitch slaps in the face after that debacle last night and that might wake them up to be these vicious road warriors again.

I'm also leaning towards the OVER (197.5) on the Blazers/Jazz game. What's your take on these games?

Gopi-1 · 02-03-10, 08:02 AM

Originally posted by TGoat

How long has he been out, and is NO dead without him? How have they done lately with him gone?

FWIW, I think that (-1) for OKC is all about KD. His face is almost always plastered all over ESPN when they're showing the NBA and there's a lot of Joepub watching that show, but I'm not saying that Joepub's pick for today is that bad, just saying bro...

ngates815 · 02-03-10, 08:04 AM

NO should be ok without Paul...Sure you can't really replace what Paul brings to the table, but Collison should get just a tad less Points, but should distribute the ball about the same.

That being said tough pick on tonights game, seeing how OKC handled Atlanta last night.

MrSink · 02-03-10, 08:05 AM

hard to judge here that NO is possible to cover spread or win the game
chris paul is out for about 1 month
I will stay away from this game

Gopi-1 · 02-03-10, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by MrSink

hard to judge here that NO is possible to cover spread or win the game
chris paul is out for about 1 month
I will stay away from this game

That would be the smartest play I believe, although I'm really tempted to play the OVER (192.5) for this game just for $hits and giggles...

nulldah · 02-03-10, 08:23 AM

i will stay out of this game coz not in desperate mode

, but if i has to choose, i will pick oklahoma (they r actually play better at road)..

but this one will be my lucky play if oklahoma can pull out 10+ points lead in the first half, then it worth a shot to pick new orleans at high odds coz they just never give up

Wade Dwayne · 02-03-10, 08:25 AM

OKC rolls in this match. Bak 2 bak is no probs with this young team. Collison cant shoot and cant defend Westbrook will school this rook.

Glitch · 02-03-10, 09:25 AM

okc is the youngest team in the league in front of 2. memphis and 3. utah

new orleans is night and day at home- 16-6 home while 10-16 on the road. Chris paul is considered in the running for being the best pointguard in the league...the position where you touch the ball the most and set up plays.

i think OKC should win easily even though they played last night and young kevin durant is all over the tv for ballin in a big way. CP3 bein out is a big. i dont think the hornets will be able to keep up offensively, but they do have other scorers- peja sometimes has flashbacks

GGPLAYER · 02-03-10, 11:03 AM

This game reminds me a little of last night with Chi and LAC. Chi coming off a great road trip winning and covering so many games. LA struggling, etc The whole board going on and on how Chi will kill them and cover the points easily. Well that is what the books love to hear and see. Here we are again with a hot OKC and the whole world talking about Durant. All anyone here can say about NO is they are without CP. As good as OK is they do struggle on the road I think are like 2-2 ATS as the road fav (11-8 overall). I'll wait and see where the bets go and if they do fall more on OKC as I think they will, I'll be on NO.

maseda17 · 02-03-10, 11:54 AM

New Orleans now getting 2 on their home court, Collison is distributing the ball as well as anyone in the league in his first 2 starts since CP3 going down. I like them in this spot despite OKC covering consistently on the road. If Paul is playing this is probably a 3-4 point line the other way and I don't think the disparity is that drastic in a regular season game. Go Hornets.

Busterflywheel · 02-03-10, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by Glitch

okc is the youngest team in the league in front of 2. memphis and 3. utah

new orleans is night and day at home- 16-6 home while 10-16 on the road. Chris paul is considered in the running for being the best pointguard in the league...the position where you touch the ball the most and set up plays.

i think OKC should win easily even though they played last night and young kevin durant is all over the tv for ballin in a big way. CP3 bein out is a big. i dont think the hornets will be able to keep up offensively, but they do have other scorers- peja sometimes has flashbacks

You make a very valid point! B2B might be that big of a deal for such a young team...

smog613 · 02-03-10, 01:39 PM

got okc at -1

Wilforth · 02-03-10, 02:40 PM

I have to go with the Hornets here.

Ralphie1412 · 02-03-10, 02:46 PM

you guys didnt learn your lesson when they played phoenix? New orleans without CP3 is on autofade.

NBAStats · 02-03-10, 02:50 PM

I have OKL as a 3.6 favorite, and that's based on this years numbers in which Paul has played almost all of the games. New Orleans home record is deceiving, as the strength of their home schedule has been extremely weak up to this point. New O has scored 97.1% (at home) of what their opponents usually give up on the road. New O opponents have scored pretty close to 100% of their road averages. All in all this means that despite their home record, New O really isn't a very good home team.

NBAStats · 02-03-10, 02:53 PM

On the other hand, OKL has scored 99.5% (on the road) of what the home team usually gives up, while allowing the home team to score only 94.4% of what they usually do. OKL is even better on the road than their record indicates.

THEGREAT30 · 02-03-10, 05:49 PM

Refs love Durant