Interesting fact. Locks are 15-47

sweetjones55 · 01-29-10, 03:07 PM

Pistons 1st Quarter LOCKKKK CITYYY

Pistons +2 LOCKKKKK OF THE YEARRRR

HAWKS ML LOCKKKKK OF THE CENTURRRYYY

NUGGETS +2 EASY MONEY TOO EASYYY LOCKKKK

ngates815 · 01-29-10, 03:08 PM

Cuz a bunch of noobs yelling LOCK this LOCK that

Not saying that I'm not a noob, but I don't yelll Lock or Guarantee

benjy · 01-29-10, 03:11 PM

Other than a few rare occasions (like unders in open air stadiums during one crazy snow storm a couple of years back) I've never come across a lock. Then again, one or two of those games went over so maybe I've never seen a lock.

maseda17 · 01-29-10, 03:16 PM

I love seeing people claim lock from both sides of the game. haha

jcljack25 · 01-29-10, 03:18 PM

Its over used. I have over 400 posts and use the lock 1 time so I am 1-0 and quitting while I am perfect at it. You should do a "Da Bomb" count, it may be a worse record.

Z_Wipf · 01-29-10, 03:20 PM

ha god this stat is depressing. Ive seen one true lock in my life. USC -11 at Nebraska 2007. I still didn't have the balls to bet it

FreakyD · 01-29-10, 03:24 PM

Love the guy who has a GOY every other week or GOM 3 times a month. Happens all the time. I guess gives them a better chance to hit their GOY. What a joke.

dogs1972 · 01-29-10, 03:57 PM

I'll have to start tracking those GOY, Of month and of week within the service plays. I'd bet the number of winners is not very impressive.

In regards to the stats I put out there, when I came across a line that looked to good to be true, just seeing someone else had it as a sure thing made it a fade or a no play for me and it's definately saved me some losses. In reality we know better anyway.

Dexter · 01-29-10, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by dogs1972

Over the last month, everytime I seen someone assure a winner. Like....LOCK, GUARANTEED WINNER, EASY MONEY, TO EASY, etc. I"ve written it down and checked the results. Out of 62 times I've seen it, they have lost 47 times. This was on NFL, NBA and NCAA. The vast majority being NBA and NCAA. Of course, this is stuff we probably already know, but i've just put some numbers to it.

turns to

quite often......

this is actually a great thread. you should post all of these plays in here (dont name the poster) and we should track.

Busterflywheel · 01-29-10, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by dogs1972

Over the last month, everytime I seen someone assure a winner. Like....LOCK, GUARANTEED WINNER, EASY MONEY, TO EASY, etc. I"ve written it down and checked the results. Out of 62 times I've seen it, they have lost 47 times. This was on NFL, NBA and NCAA. The vast majority being NBA and NCAA. Of course, this is stuff we probably already know, but i've just put some numbers to it.

turns to

quite often......

This is why we should never post locks etc...I just don't believe in them..Reminds me of a car salesmen for some reason..lol

linedrivr · 01-29-10, 04:16 PM

I think we should log ALL

'lock'

post in one thread and reverse FADE away jump on them all night. I think a 47 - 15 winning record on the reverse fade is a very good track record and money in the bank.

2daBank · 01-29-10, 04:20 PM

there is a lock of the millennium thread in college hoops tonight..of coarse that guy post locks of the year on a every other day basis

dogs1972 · 01-29-10, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by linedrivr

I think we should log ALL

'lock'

post in one thread and reverse FADE away jump on them all night. I think a 47 - 15 winning record on the reverse fade is a very good track record and money in the bank.

not a bad idea.

sweetjones55 · 01-30-10, 03:22 PM

Heat +4

and Hawks 1st half +2.5

are eazyyyyy moneyyy!! Locks of the centuryyy!!

SpreadSniper · 01-30-10, 03:28 PM

well, its better than the 3 - 897 - 2 that I had estimated it

sportsbob · 01-30-10, 03:42 PM

no such thing as a lock....only sure thing in this business is that its never a lock......my opinion

Slanina · 01-30-10, 03:56 PM

This looks like fade material. If you could win 75% of your action, I would quit life.

PAULYPOKER · 01-30-10, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by dogs1972

Over the last month, everytime I seen someone assure a winner. Like....LOCK, GUARANTEED WINNER, EASY MONEY, TO EASY, etc. I"ve written it down and checked the results. Out of 62 times I've seen it, they have lost 47 times. This was on NFL, NBA and NCAA. The vast majority being NBA and NCAA. Of course, this is stuff we probably already know, but i've just put some numbers to it.

turns to

quite often......

but oh so true

sweetjones55 · 01-31-10, 01:02 PM

Magic

, Suns 1st half/game

, VT

, and Lakers

are all LOCKS of the millenium!!! Put your house on these, guaranteedddd Winners!!

Lakers714 · 01-31-10, 01:03 PM

Spurs -3 1H is the lock of the day!

Cornerback · 01-31-10, 01:04 PM

Spurs -5 LOCK it up!!!

THEGREAT30 · 01-31-10, 01:07 PM

not much of a surprise, locks don't exist

whatsgood5 · 01-31-10, 01:11 PM

Thanks for the info, I knew locks were rarely successful, but never would have guessed this poor.

tylerguy02 · 01-31-10, 01:13 PM

It's because everyone looks into previous ATS stats and don't realized that the books factor that in to the lines. If it seems to easy, go the other way seems to work about 90 percent of the time.

2daBank · 01-31-10, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

there is a lock of the millennium thread in college hoops tonight..of coarse that guy post locks of the year on a every other day basis

shockingly the 'lock of the millennnium" failed miserably

good news though he is back with 3 more locks today!!!!!!! believe he calling them greatest locks of all time

2daBank · 01-31-10, 10:40 PM

the problem with locks is the jackoffs claiming them are mentally retarded(every1 that knows anything knows there aint no sure thing) so them saying locks isnt the jinx the fact that they like that team is the jinx as i rather not be on the same side as a mental retard...

jhack704 · 01-31-10, 10:48 PM

i have been gambling for lst 5 years and the 3 main things i learned are

#1 money management!
#2 dont follow any so called pro cappers, 99% of them suck and when u hop on one thats one fire they will lose
#3 anything can happen, so dont bet on teams based on like or hate, bet on your research

2daBank · 01-31-10, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

shockingly the 'lock of the millennnium" failed miserably

good news though he is back with 3 more locks today!!!!!!! believe he calling them greatest locks of all time

shockingly enough the g.l.o.a.t. locks went 1-2.....a little disappointed he hit any

jhack704 · 01-31-10, 10:57 PM

oh yea #4 the lines are set at what they are for a reason

dogs1972 · 01-31-10, 11:02 PM

went back and checked some of the "locks" posted on here the last couple days an it looks like the record continues to hold true to the misfortune of the people that bet them.

doublec · 01-31-10, 11:11 PM

Just goes to show what seems too good to be true generally is.

jonal · 01-31-10, 11:17 PM

lol lock it up

mlb · 02-01-10, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by doublec

Just goes to show what seems too good to be true generally is.

That has to be one of the higher rules of betting I would think ... Most of these lines vegas wants you to think that

sweetjones55 · 02-01-10, 05:53 PM

The Bucks 1st quarter, half, game, and moneyline are the locks of the day, month, year, millenium, decade and century!!