I will post the "System" rules as i did with my NCAAB "System" thread here shortly along with the first play. GL
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01/20/2010
Totals "System" Play #1
Boston @ Detroit UNDER 187.5
Year To Date "Totals" System: 0-0Comment -
GL Snap!Comment -
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What are the rules to this system?Comment -
01/22/2010
Totals "System" Play #2
Portland/Boston UNDER 187
Year To Date "Totals" System: 1-0Comment -
There was no play yesterday due to only 2 games on the schedule. I will post the simple rules later today but one of the guidlines is there must a minimum of 4 games on the schedule for there to be a play.Comment -
NBA Totals "System" rules:
One of the oldest NBA total betting systems around is simply to bet the under in the game with the lowest posted over/under number on the board, provided there is a minimum of four games being played.
The method makes sense from a logical perspective, since most bettors prefer to bet overs, as it's typically more enjoyable to root for scoring, bettors are less likely to bet "under" such a low total. Any time a sports bettor can be wagering against the public, they will generally have the advantage over the long run.
Very simple sysyem that provides good results.
I have another "System" i will be starting today and i will post the rules here in a minnute and i will update the plays.Comment -
NBA "System" #1 (I will start this tonight)
The first system is fairly easy to use, although it may sound a bit complicated the first time you read it. It will soon become second nature, however, so don't worry.
The first step is to take the winning percentage of each team, which is easily found online or in any newspaper, and subtract the lower winning percentage from the higher percentage.
The second step is to divide the percentage differential by 20.
The third step is to add 3 points to the home team.
The fourth step is to subtract the point spread from the favored team and if the difference is 10 or greater, you would have a play.
FILTERS:
1. Neither team can be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back
2. Neither team can have a injured starter.
3. No games can be considered if the spread is 10 points or more.
The reported record was over 60-percent last season.Comment -
NBA "System" #2 (I will start this tonight)
"System" #2 is a bit more complicated, as it involves taking the underdog when they go from a negative situation to a positive based on the line. The first part of the system is done in the exact same manner as the first example, in that you take the winning percentages and use the divider of 20.
For example, if the 76ers have a winning percentage of .400 and the Clippers have a winning percentage of .320, the 76ers would be rough favorites of four points.
If the 76ers are at home, Philadelphia is favored by seven (+7) and one the road the 76ers are favored by one (+1). From the Clippers' perspective, they are seven-point underdogs on the road, which is (-7), while at home, the Clippers are one-point underdogs (-1).
When you factor in the point spread, the Clippers have the possibility of going from a negative figure to a positive figure and could possibly be a play.
If the 76ers are favored by 8 to 9.5 points at home, the Clippers would be the play, as they go from (-7) to (+1). (Remember we exclude games where the point spread is 10 points or more.)
If the 76ers are favored by 2 to 9.5 points on the road, the Clippers would again be the play, as they will go from (-1) to (+1) or greater.
Once again, the same qualifiers of back-to-back games being tossed out and staying away from teams with an injured starter.Comment -
2. Neither team cannot have a injured starter.
So each team MUST have an injured starter?
I have a theory that if you bet OVER on the highest over and UNDER the lowest under every day there is say, 8 or more, or 10 or more games being played, regardless of anything else, you would do quite well. I wonder if anyone here has any experience trying something similar.Comment -
Will you be posting your picks for these two Systems ?Comment -
01/22/2010
"System" #1
Dallas -2.5 (If Josh Howard Plays)
Year To Date "System" #1: 0-0
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I will post "System" #2 plays, if there are any, a little later.Comment -
01/22/2010 FINAL PLAYS
"System" #1
Dallas -2.5
New Orleans -3
"System" #2
Houston +6.5
Totals "System"
Portland/Boston UNDER 187
Year To Date "System" #1: 0-0
Year To Date "System" #2: 0-0
Year To Date Totals "System": 1-0Comment -
I edited post 16 because both players in question are probable and will play. GL tonight!Comment -
Hey Snap,
Has these systems been back-tested? what's the % of winning these?Comment -
Good luck tonight!Comment -
I hope he rightComment -
These systems are as old as vegas. That's why vegas is in the shape it's in & gamblers are in the shape they are.Comment -
Not that I don't like the systems, they are a great place to start handicapping & if the system still favors your handicapping work extra confidence!Comment -
Systems #1 and #2 are based off the 70% system:
It appears he dropped the reverse play if the final number is -1 or lower and modified the back-to-back rule to include both teams. Seems like a pretty profitable system, but not a whole lot of plays.Comment -
Disect it all you want. These 2 systems are profitable i dont care how old they are. Refernece other threads which are similiar and thats fine also. I will post the plays and you can play them or not it doesnt matter to me. I have played them for the past 2 years and have made money and thats all that matters to me. GLComment -
well the timberwolves fall into a little system of mineComment -
fade an away team going on a 4+ game road trip, hitting over 80 percent, also bet tthe under on the 1st game of road trip
4-0 yesterday cavs covered, stayed under
nugs covered stayed under
tonight the wolves cover and stay underComment -
does it matter if the over under system, if the number is opening number or through out the day or the closing number to play the under?Comment -
Snap-Stick, keep putting in your work and follow your systems, disregard all haters and continue to get yours. As I mentioned this morning in your NCAA system thread, I will be following your progress. As long as I'm confident on my own research, in regards to your system plays; I'm sure I'll be tailing a couple games hear and there. Best of luck dude.
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4+ gamesComment -
the spreadComment -
the under hits about the same in the 1st game of the tripComment
