Total profits (+74.59u) now at their lowest point since Jan. 25th.
Getting back in range of the season high (+110.79u) seems beyond hope.
And the beats seem to get uglier and uglier. And the season goes on and on.
I’m going to run the numbers and calculate the plays to the bitter end. If nothing else, I can learn a lot for next year.
MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 1-6, -5.14u
(TOR, NY, LAX, NJ, NOK, POR, SAC)
YTD 231-427, +47.74u
(since the ASB: 22-62, -17.97u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 1-6, -5.30u
YTD 345-303 (.532) +26.85u
(since the ASB: 37-46 (.446) -11.30u)
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 83
2 DAL 71
3 UTH 67
4 CLE 63
5 CHI 61
6 MIA 57
7 PHX 56
8 SAC 54
9 SEA 54
10 MIL 53
11 ORL 52
12 DET 52
13 LAX 51
14 BOS 50
15 POR 49
16 LAC 49
17 TOR 49
18 DEN 48
19 PHI 47
20 WAS 45
21 NOK 45
22 NY 44
23 NJ 43
24 HOU 43
25 ATL 40
26 MEM 40
27 GS 39
28 CHA 37
29 MIN 31
30 IND 30
EDGAR LINES FOR 03.07.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
ATL 4.8/174 over WAS
TOR 4.7/171 over MEM
PHI 3.6/147 over SEA
DET 3.3/143 over CLE
BOS 4.5/168 over HOU
MIA 4.8/174 over CHI
MIL 5.7/199 over LAX
PHX 6.6/251 over CHA
UTH 10.7/609 over IND
GS 4.6/169 over DEN
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
WAS +209, ATL -145
MEM +206, TOR -143
SEA +176, PHI -124
CLE +170, DET -120
HOU +201, BOS -140
CHI +209, MIA -145
LAX +243, MIL -166
CHA +312, PHX -206
IND +910, UTH -446
DEN +204, GS -142
20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)
WAS +463, ATL +124
MEM +452, TOR +126
SEA +362, PHI +145
CLE +346, DET +150
HOU +438, BOS +128
CHI +463, MIA +124
LAX +587, MIL +109
CHA +936, PHX -112
IND ----, UTH -204
DEN +445, GS +127
Getting back in range of the season high (+110.79u) seems beyond hope.
And the beats seem to get uglier and uglier. And the season goes on and on.
I’m going to run the numbers and calculate the plays to the bitter end. If nothing else, I can learn a lot for next year.
MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 1-6, -5.14u
(TOR, NY, LAX, NJ, NOK, POR, SAC)
YTD 231-427, +47.74u
(since the ASB: 22-62, -17.97u)
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 1-6, -5.30u
YTD 345-303 (.532) +26.85u
(since the ASB: 37-46 (.446) -11.30u)
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 83
2 DAL 71
3 UTH 67
4 CLE 63
5 CHI 61
6 MIA 57
7 PHX 56
8 SAC 54
9 SEA 54
10 MIL 53
11 ORL 52
12 DET 52
13 LAX 51
14 BOS 50
15 POR 49
16 LAC 49
17 TOR 49
18 DEN 48
19 PHI 47
20 WAS 45
21 NOK 45
22 NY 44
23 NJ 43
24 HOU 43
25 ATL 40
26 MEM 40
27 GS 39
28 CHA 37
29 MIN 31
30 IND 30
EDGAR LINES FOR 03.07.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
ATL 4.8/174 over WAS
TOR 4.7/171 over MEM
PHI 3.6/147 over SEA
DET 3.3/143 over CLE
BOS 4.5/168 over HOU
MIA 4.8/174 over CHI
MIL 5.7/199 over LAX
PHX 6.6/251 over CHA
UTH 10.7/609 over IND
GS 4.6/169 over DEN
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
WAS +209, ATL -145
MEM +206, TOR -143
SEA +176, PHI -124
CLE +170, DET -120
HOU +201, BOS -140
CHI +209, MIA -145
LAX +243, MIL -166
CHA +312, PHX -206
IND +910, UTH -446
DEN +204, GS -142
20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)
WAS +463, ATL +124
MEM +452, TOR +126
SEA +362, PHI +145
CLE +346, DET +150
HOU +438, BOS +128
CHI +463, MIA +124
LAX +587, MIL +109
CHA +936, PHX -112
IND ----, UTH -204
DEN +445, GS +127
