Before this game tips off I just wanted to make sure that everyone realizes that that is UNDER 25 P+A for Augustin. I think the key (as always for the Horns) is Abrams, James and Mason and keeping Atchley off the floor.
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#44
P.S. Courtesy of Bill Simmons (aka the Sports Guy on espn.com)
3. It's no secret that Texas has become my favorite college hoops team; my man-crush on Durant has reached the point that I should probably remain at least 100 yards away from him at all times. So I finally fall for a college hoops team, and just my luck ... they have a crappy coach! It's like my destiny in life to root for poorly coached basketball teams. The way Rick Barnes butchers this team on a game-to-game basis is unconscionable. Seriously, did you SEE Wednesday night's game? What was your favorite bad coaching moment? Acie Law being repeatedly allowed to shoot game-tying threes from his favorite spots on the floor? Durant going 4-5 straight possessions in OT without touching the ball? D.J. Augustin being allowed to recklessly drive to the hoop again and again when he's playing with the most unstoppable college scorer in 40 years?
I asked this question a few weeks ago, and I'm asking it again now: How can you not run more plays for Kevin Durant? Post him up and he has 27 different ways to score. Curl him off picks and he makes 15-footers like they're layups. Spread the floor out, let him handle the ball at the top of the key and he can pull up and swish 25-footers over anyone. THE GUY IS A SURE THING!!!!!!!! Why are they giving him a degree of difficulty? Do they have plays in their playbook called "Durant stands frozen 25 feet from the basket while other guys dribble aimlessly" and "half-assed pick-and-roll that leads to nothing" and "Durant posts up while the point guards stare him down, then reverse the ball the other way?"
I can't handle it. Watching Texas screw up the Durant Era is like watching a guy spend three straight hours buying drinks and working it with a girl who already announced, "Sure, I'll sleep with you." In other words, WHY ARE YOU MAKING THIS HARD????? Seriously, I feel like Barnes should resign. He's overmatched. It's a disgrace. They're going to get bounced from the NCAA Tournament this month solely because Barnes has no idea how to get Durant the ball ... and even worse, doesn't seem to feel any pressing need to get Durant the ball. And since Durant is a good teammate, and he's not one of those guys who would scream at a teammate, "Look, get out of my way and give me the f---ing ball," we get to watch him stand around in close games while opposing coaches think to themselves, "Phew, I'm glad Rick Barnes is over there."
I was just getting ready to post a message about Barnes and his shitty-ass coaching. I feel Simmons sums it up nicely.
Before this game tips off I just wanted to make sure that everyone realizes that that is UNDER 25 P+A for Augustin. I think the key (as always for the Horns) is Abrams, James and Mason and keeping Atchley off the floor.
Wanted to expand on this a little. Considering Durant had 19-5 at halftime, one would think I was concerned at that UNDER 39.5 P+R bet. Well, I wasn't, and basically I didn't worry for the exact reasons listed in the post above, quoting The Sports Guy... The problem with this UT team is that they are possibly the worst coached team in the Big-12... I'd say one of the worst 7 coaches in Division-I Men's hoops (feel free to list your least favorite coach here). So what happened? Well, believe it or not, Durant attempted only 2 shots in the last 12:08 of the game. 2 shots??? WTF are you thinking, Barnes? Run some damn plays for Durant. It was absolutely an atrocious job of coaching. It's absolutely no surprise that a 10 point lead with 11 minutes left ended up being a tied game with 58 seconds left. GIVE YOUR MARQUEE PLAYER THE DAMN BALL. He had a healthy 24 shot attempts, but I'd be happy with him shooting the ball 35 times a game. He's that much better than everyone else. UT hit a grand total of 4 FG's in the last 13 minutes, one being the "brass cajones" trey that Durant hit with 52 seconds remaining, and even that shot was the product of a UT offensive rebound off a horrendous Augustin fade-away. Durant wasn't the main option in a tied game with under a minute left? Really? Just remember this when filling out your brackets.
Plays today: +10.01 Units
Plays to-date: +14.74 Units
(I'll go back and factor in all of the juice on my -105, -110 juice plays later). Right now, I'm only factoring in the juice on abnormal plays (basically any play with juice that is more than a deviation of 10 in either way---parlays, teasers, ML plays). I'll get everything in order tonight to present an accurate performance rating. I just didn't want to bother with it during MBA midterms, but I'm on Spring Break now!!! WOOO!!! (too bad I have a 3 week old baby, a 10 page case study due the day after Spring Break, etc.)
EDIT: ALL JUICE HAS BEEN FIGURED IN NOW.
EDIT AGAIN: There were 2 plays that I didn't list that also both hit:
1* TX -4.5 and the Under of 145.5.
1/2* Gtown +3 and Under 64 in the 2nd half.
6) BET ID= LOSS
Straight Wager 03/11/07 12:49 ET
Result: Pending
1Wisconsin (1stHalf)
1OhioSt (1stHalf) 03/11/07 (15:35 ET)
Over 56.5
7) BET ID=
Straight Wager 03/11/07 12:49 ET PUSH/NO ACTION
Result: Pending
1Arkansas (1stHalf)
1Florida (1stHalf) 03/11/07 (13:10 ET)
Over 64
8) BET ID= WINNER
Straight Wager 03/11/07 12:48 ET
Result: Pending
1Texas (1stHalf)
1Kansas (1stHalf) 03/11/07 (15:05 ET)
Over 68
9) BET ID=
Straight Wager 03/11/07 12:41 ET LOSS
Result: Pending
1Arkansas (1stHalf)
1Florida (1stHalf) 03/11/07 (13:10 ET)
1Arkansas +4.5 (-105)
10) BET ID=204002241 LOSS
Straight Wager 03/11/07 12:31 ET
Result: Pending
NCState
NorthCarolina 03/11/07 (13:10 ET)
NorthCarolina -15 (-105)
11) 03/11/07 12:00 ET LOSS
Result: Pending
Arkansas
Florida 03/11/07 (13:10 ET)
Arkansas +9
12) BET ID= WINNER
Straight Wager 03/11/07 11:59 ET
Result: Pending
Texas
Kansas 03/11/07 (15:05 ET)
Texas +7 (-105)
All plays are 1 unit, except bets
1) 3/4 of a unit
2) 1/2 of a unit (this was originally a typo that said 1/4 of a unit. I have never made a 1/4 unit wager in my life that I can recall.
Well, my grandmother passed away on Sunday, so I haven't really been around often. Flying to Arkansas for the funeral tomorrow. Anyway, here are my NCAA picks (for now):
6* Vandy -3.5
I'll be blunt. i don't think GW is a decent team. Here's their non-conf schedule (copied from espn.com)
11/10 at Boston U W 70-57
11/14 Dartmouth W 94-49
11/17 Longwood W 74-60
11/21 at Kennesaw W 69-52
11/26 at Providence L 86-67
12/03 Va Tech W 63-62
12/05 UMES W 79-56
12/09 at USC L 74-65
12/12 Retrievers W 72-51
12/28 #17 Air Force L 66-52
12/29 at Colgate W 75-42
Granted, they beat Va. Tech by 1 (though Va. Tech is erratic at best), but they lost the other 3 legit games (@Prov, @USC, vs. AF at home) by 19,9 and 14. Xavier beat them by 29 at GW. Also lost to SLU, UMass, Dayton and St. Joe's---all by 6 or more. Vandy is certainly streaky, but I think 3.5 is generous by all accounts, and I look for Vandy to roll.
3* Arizona -2
Imagine how good this team could be if they actually attempted to play defense. Yeah, when they click, they're fantastic. But really, this is me fading Purdue, who somehow parlayed a run in the Big10 tourney, with a 9-7 conference record. Losing at Minnesota, losing big at Ind. St... I just don't think there's any way they win this game.
The following are all 1* plays:
Wright St. +10
Louisville -5.5
ODU +1.5 (may drop another unit on this one---yes, I did drop another one at ODU -2) so 2 Units on ODU now...
VCU +6.5
Maryland -7 (initial lean was Davidson, then I looked at their body of work---yikes, extremely unimpressive) When your best win is at Arizona St. then you have issues... I love the Curry kid, but have to believe Maryland will keep him in check. Duke beat this team by 28 and I expect another dd loss to another, better ACC team.
BC -2.5
And, a couple teasers:
1* 4.5 pt. (+250)
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3
Memphis -13
1* (+160)
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3
1* parlay (pays +260)
MSU -2
ODU +2
Comment
bigboydan
SBR Aristocracy
08-10-05
55420
#49
sorry to hear about your grandmother passing baba
I do like your Vandy, ODU, but I don't like your AZ play at all.
BOL to you bud
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#50
Also worth noting that I have smallish futures wagers on TX A&M to win their regional (11-5) and to win it all (12-1) and have TX at 15-1 to win it all. Was hoping to get 20-1 on winning it all, but hey, smaller bets...
Comment
Razz
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-05
5632
#51
Originally posted by babaoriley
6* Vandy -3.5
I'll be blunt. i don't think GW is a decent team. Here's their non-conf schedule (copied from espn.com)
11/10 at Boston U W 70-57
11/14 Dartmouth W 94-49
11/17 Longwood W 74-60
11/21 at Kennesaw W 69-52
11/26 at Providence L 86-67
12/03 Va Tech W 63-62
12/05 UMES W 79-56
12/09 at USC L 74-65 12/12 Retrievers W 72-51
12/28 #17 Air Force L 66-52
12/29 at Colgate W 75-42
Who the hell is Retrievers?
Good luck tomorrow bud, I like a couple of those.
Comment
Razz
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-05
5632
#52
Oh, and very sorry about your grandmother as well.
Comment
bigboydan
SBR Aristocracy
08-10-05
55420
#53
Originally posted by Razz
Who the hell is Retrievers?
That would be Maryland-Baltimore County I believe Razz.
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#54
Yes, Maryland-Baltimore Retrievers are simply listed "Retreivers" on espn.com Hilarious stuff. That's why I threw in the "copied from espn.com" annotation in the original post. It made me look up "Retrievers"
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#55
Adding for Friday:
2* Memphis -18 LOSS
2* Kansas -19 WINNER
1* Oregon -8 LOSS
3 of my Final Four teams. Hopefully they whoop dat ass tomorrow. Good Luck
Comment
bigboydan
SBR Aristocracy
08-10-05
55420
#57
I respectfully disagree with your Memphis play Baba. I like North Texas in that game.
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#58
Dan, I think Memphis wins by 25. The only way UNT covers (IMO) is a simple 8-0 run (or so) to backdoor it.
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#59
Originally posted by babaoriley
Well, my grandmother passed away on Sunday, so I haven't really been around often. Flying to Arkansas for the funeral tomorrow. Anyway, here are my NCAA picks (for now):
6* Vandy -3.5WINNER
I'll be blunt. i don't think GW is a decent team. Here's their non-conf schedule (copied from espn.com)
11/10 at Boston U W 70-57
11/14 Dartmouth W 94-49
11/17 Longwood W 74-60
11/21 at Kennesaw W 69-52
11/26 at Providence L 86-67
12/03 Va Tech W 63-62
12/05 UMES W 79-56
12/09 at USC L 74-65
12/12 Retrievers W 72-51
12/28 #17 Air Force L 66-52
12/29 at Colgate W 75-42
Granted, they beat Va. Tech by 1 (though Va. Tech is erratic at best), but they lost the other 3 legit games (@Prov, @USC, vs. AF at home) by 19,9 and 14. Xavier beat them by 29 at GW. Also lost to SLU, UMass, Dayton and St. Joe's---all by 6 or more. Vandy is certainly streaky, but I think 3.5 is generous by all accounts, and I look for Vandy to roll.
3* Arizona -2
Imagine how good this team could be if they actually attempted to play defense. Yeah, when they click, they're fantastic. But really, this is me fading Purdue, who somehow parlayed a run in the Big10 tourney, with a 9-7 conference record. Losing at Minnesota, losing big at Ind. St... I just don't think there's any way they win this game.
The following are all 1* plays:
Wright St. +10 LOSS
Louisville -5.5 WINNER
ODU +1.5 (may drop another unit on this one---yes, I did drop another one at ODU -2) so 2 Units on ODU now... (LOSS
VCU +6.5 WINNER
Maryland -7 WINNER (initial lean was Davidson, then I looked at their body of work---yikes, extremely unimpressive) When your best win is at Arizona St. then you have issues... I love the Curry kid, but have to believe Maryland will keep him in check. Duke beat this team by 28 and I expect another dd loss to another, better ACC team.
BC -2.5 WINNER
And, a couple teasers:
1* 4.5 pt. (+250)
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3 check
Memphis -13
1* (+160)
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3 check
1* parlay (pays +260) LOSS
MSU -2
ODU +2
Plays today: +5.34 Units
Plays to date: +16.15 Units
Well, my grandmother passed away on Sunday, so I haven't really been around often. Flying to Arkansas for the funeral tomorrow. Anyway, here are my NCAA picks (for now):
6* Vandy -3.5
I'll be blunt. i don't think GW is a decent team. Here's their non-conf schedule (copied from espn.com)
11/10 at Boston U W 70-57
11/14 Dartmouth W 94-49
11/17 Longwood W 74-60
11/21 at Kennesaw W 69-52
11/26 at Providence L 86-67
12/03 Va Tech W 63-62
12/05 UMES W 79-56
12/09 at USC L 74-65
12/12 Retrievers W 72-51
12/28 #17 Air Force L 66-52
12/29 at Colgate W 75-42
Granted, they beat Va. Tech by 1 (though Va. Tech is erratic at best), but they lost the other 3 legit games (@Prov, @USC, vs. AF at home) by 19,9 and 14. Xavier beat them by 29 at GW. Also lost to SLU, UMass, Dayton and St. Joe's---all by 6 or more. Vandy is certainly streaky, but I think 3.5 is generous by all accounts, and I look for Vandy to roll.
3* Arizona -2LOSS
Imagine how good this team could be if they actually attempted to play defense. Yeah, when they click, they're fantastic. But really, this is me fading Purdue, who somehow parlayed a run in the Big10 tourney, with a 9-7 conference record. Losing at Minnesota, losing big at Ind. St... I just don't think there's any way they win this game.
The following are all 1* plays:
Wright St. +10
Louisville -5.5
ODU +1.5 (may drop another unit on this one---yes, I did drop another one at ODU -2) so 2 Units on ODU now...
VCU +6.5
Maryland -7 (initial lean was Davidson, then I looked at their body of work---yikes, extremely unimpressive) When your best win is at Arizona St. then you have issues... I love the Curry kid, but have to believe Maryland will keep him in check. Duke beat this team by 28 and I expect another dd loss to another, better ACC team.
BC -2.5
And, a couple teasers:
1* 4.5 pt. (+250) LOSS
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3
Memphis -13
1* (+160) LOSS
Texas -4
Oregon -4
Maryland -3
1* parlay (pays +260)
MSU -2
ODU +2
Plays to day: -1.2 Units
Plays to-date: +14.95 Units Again, didn't log all my bets here. This time it cost me a few units on my tally.
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#64
For Saturday:
4* Texas A&M -2
2* Texas A&M/Louisville +131.5
1* Gtown -8
1* VCU +7.5
1* Vandy ML (+115)
1* Gtown/A&M/UCLA ML parlay (+181)
1* Gtown/UNC/OSU/UCLA ML Parlay (+148)
1* (+250) 4.5 point teaser
Gtown -3.5
Ohio St. -3
UCLA -2.5
Maryland -1
For Saturday:
4* Texas A&M -2 WINNER
2* Texas A&M/Louisville +131.5 WINNER
1* Gtown -8 LOSS
1* VCU +7.5 WINNER
1* Vandy ML (+115) WINNER
1* Gtown/A&M/UCLA ML parlay (+181) WINNER
1* Gtown/UNC/OSU/UCLA ML Parlay (+148) WINNER
1* (+250) 4.5 point teaser LOSS
Gtown -3.5
Ohio St. -3
UCLA -2.5
Maryland -1
Plays Today: +9.04 Units
Plays to-date: +23.99 Units
Comment
bigboydan
SBR Aristocracy
08-10-05
55420
#66
looking good so far baba
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#67
Thanks Dan. Somehow, I got roped into taking Texas for 4* tomorrow. Just got off the phone with a friend from USC who told me they "a 20% chance of winning, and that hinges on Durant or Augustin getting hurt or Barnes snatching loss from the jaws of victory"... That was pretty much his quote, verbatim, including the 'snatch loss from the jaws of victory' part and he's usually brutally honest with me... Then again, this is the same guy who told me i could name my line for TX-USC in the 2006 Rose Bowl, and he'd take it. I said TX +29 and he laughed then said something along the lines of "We'll probably have that covered in the 1st half". We were both joking but he was semi-serious. He was also hammered just now... Still, mark me down for 4 units on TX -2.5 (-110) for tomorrow.
Plays for Sunday (to be updated):
4* TX -2.5
1* UNLV +5.5
1* Tennessee -2.5
1* (pays +250)
Kansas -4
Memphis -1
UNLV +10.5
Fla -7
1* ML Parlay (pays +204)
TX
Kansas
Memphis
Considering a 10 unit play on Kansas ML to win 2.5 Units, but trying to figure out a better way to play it.
Thanks Dan. Somehow, I got roped into taking Texas for 4* tomorrow. Just got off the phone with a friend from USC who told me they "a 20% chance of winning, and that hinges on Durant or Augustin getting hurt or Barnes snatching loss from the jaws of victory"... That was pretty much his quote, verbatim, including the 'snatch loss from the jaws of victory' part and he's usually brutally honest with me... Then again, this is the same guy who told me i could name my line for TX-USC in the 2006 Rose Bowl, and he'd take it. I said TX +29 and he laughed then said something along the lines of "We'll probably have that covered in the 1st half". We were both joking but he was semi-serious. He was also hammered just now... Still, mark me down for 4 units on TX -2.5 (-110) for tomorrow.
Considering a 10 unit play on Kansas ML to win 2.5 Units, but trying to figure out a better way to play it.
ALSO, I HIT THE ABRAMS AND MISSED THE AUGUSTIN PROP and, if I wouldn't have been a UT fan, I would have thrown a couple units on USC, as I mentioned in the damn thread I started about the game
Plays Today: -.74 Units
Plays to-date: +23.25 Units
Comment
babaoriley
SBR MVP
12-11-06
2316
#70
Friday plays:
4* Florida -10.5 (I'm waiting until the last possible moment to see if I can get a 9.5 or 10 tomorrow, sometime. If not, I'll roll with 10.5
1* UNLV +3
1* Vandy +7.5