1. #11061
    Rabbitbrew
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude View Post
    The Queensland TAB has +3.

    Any injury concerns in the Vixens?
    Not that I'm aware of.

  2. #11062
    Rabbitbrew
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    A dominant performance by the Vixens means we cover the spread but they win by too much for the 2nd bet.

    It's games like this, in hindsight, I'd wished I made a 4 unit bet.

    YTD: 5-5 (+1.25 units)
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  3. #11063
    the tross
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rabbitbrew View Post
    A dominant performance by the Vixens means we cover the spread but they win by too much for the 2nd bet.

    It's games like this, in hindsight, I'd wished I made a 4 unit bet.

    YTD: 5-5 (+1.25 units)
    slow and steady Rabs. Don't want that mojo getting loose....

  4. #11064
    burkestar
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    nice job rabs

  5. #11065
    miss_sbets
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    That was fun

  6. #11066
    ender749
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rabbitbrew View Post
    A dominant performance by the Vixens means we cover the spread but they win by too much for the 2nd bet.

    It's games like this, in hindsight, I'd wished I made a 4 unit bet.

    YTD: 5-5 (+1.25 units)
    great read Rabbit, almost too good! but yes, I think sometimes better to back your main read completely.

    anyway, you are BACK! and we are in the green. good luck crushing rest of the season.


  7. #11067
    Rabbitbrew
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    Not a lot of value in the Netball markets this week.

    Just waiting for Centebet to open their quarter/half time markets.

  8. #11068
    Rabbitbrew
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    Melbourne Vixens @ NSW Swifts

    Melbourne Vixens (+0.5) 1st quarter handicap: 1 unit @ $1.90 (Centrebet)

    The Vixens are are the best 1st quarter team in the competition this year having 5 out of 6 so far. This is a massive game for both teams as it is a battle for 2nd spot. The Vixens will know that the Swifts have a game in hand as they have already had their bye. Once again the Vixens will be focussing on a fast start. I've got the Vixens up by 2 at quarter time.

    Good luck and bet smart!

  9. #11069
    Rabbitbrew
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    Queensland Firebirds @ West Coast Fever

    Any Other Result (Half Time/Normal Time Double): 0.25 units @ $15 (Sportsbet)

    I've got this match being a very tight affair with a draw being the final result at normal time. I've gone for the safer option so if we get a draw at half or full time we get a win.

    Good luck and bet smart!

  10. #11070
    Lakey
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rabbitbrew View Post
    Melbourne Vixens @ NSW Swifts

    Melbourne Vixens (+0.5) 1st quarter handicap: 1 unit @ $1.90 (Centrebet)

    The Vixens are are the best 1st quarter team in the competition this year having 5 out of 6 so far. This is a massive game for both teams as it is a battle for 2nd spot. The Vixens will know that the Swifts have a game in hand as they have already had their bye. Once again the Vixens will be focussing on a fast start. I've got the Vixens up by 2 at quarter time.

    Good luck and bet smart!
    Bad luck mate, couldn't imagine a worse way to lose than that.

  11. #11071
    Rabbitbrew
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakey View Post
    Bad luck mate, couldn't imagine a worse way to lose than that.
    Misses the first but gets the 2nd just after time expires.

    Variance is a big part in gambling I suppose.

  12. #11072
    Rabbitbrew
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    After a 5-7 for 0 units season I've decided to focus only on totals for the remainder of the season.

    I try to focus on one option when I'm not having a great run.

    If I spot an absolute wrong line I'll make it a play but otherwise just totals.

    I can post my predictions from my netball models but I would NOT recommend betting them blindly.
    Last edited by Rabbitbrew; 04-14-14 at 07:02 AM. Reason: spelling
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  13. #11073
    rohan22no
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    Was anyone else on dragons ML?
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  14. #11074
    therealdealau
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    Quote Originally Posted by rohan22no View Post
    Was anyone else on dragons ML?
    Was on the other side, a sneaky Storm ML live...so lucky.

  15. #11075
    shevabets
    GEROSKIPOU B'TCH
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    This is why sando has abandoned this thread. Another brutal night, at least third in four tries (that I tailed).

    <small class="time" style="font-size: 14px;">from twitter this morning</small>
    Victory to field a B grade team tonight in the ACL. Expect plenty of goals.Guangzhou ML $1.74 (1.5x)Over 2.5 & 3 $1.72 (2x)

  16. #11076
    shevabets
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    FT 2-0 to Melbourne.

    No accountability is bad. I'm done tailing until he's back here and takes care of updating this thread.

  17. #11077
    Lakey
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    You forgot to mention his 3x win on the Dragons on MNF.

  18. #11078
    Donkey
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    Wishing I had my Dragons money on sportsbet as they offered a 'justice refund'. Even the Dragons CEO is asking for the competition points now

  19. #11079
    shimeon40
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    Hi Sando..hope your keeping well..u picked dragons?? oh that was stiff as can be..robbery ..I think the last pass was even forward..u must be up 4 a long service award here,at the least a forum funded hoiday..All the best.

  20. #11080
    shimeon40
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    holiday

  21. #11081
    tommygun
    Hareeba! for Prime Minister
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    I just can't believe Sando has abandoned his thread so early in the season.

  22. #11082
    shimeon40
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    Didn't realise sando not even here anymore..looking back through thread I see hes had a bad run..i hope he gives it away and concentrates on more important things in his life if this is costing him.

  23. #11083
    Rabbitbrew
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    Got a good angle on the total in tomorrows Vixens/Thunderbirds game.

    Just waiting for one more bookie to open their number.

  24. #11084
    burkestar
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    some bet 365 NRL super coach H2H plays

    1. Nathan Friend 1.87
    2. Jason Bukuyua 2.10
    3. Ryan Hoffman 2.15
    4. Manu mau 1.75
    5. Nate Myles 1.87

  25. #11085
    Rabbitbrew
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    Adelaide Thunderbirds @ Melbourne Vixens

    Game Total UNDER 100.5 goals: 3 units @ $1.90 (b365)

    The Thunderbirds are coming of the bye in a must win game while the Vixens head home after a 3 game road trip. Thunderbirds see the return of Beaton who should play a least half a game at WA and I expect they will give up on the Poolman experiment at GK and hand it back to Shimmin, which will see an improved defensive duo. As always, Mentor's vertical leap sees her play well on the taller GS's so Borrego is in for a tough day. The Vixens have the No.1 defence in the competition and the bye will mean that Adelaide should have plans it place to slow the Vixens attack. Add in the stats below and I've got the game total at 95 goals.

    This year, when at home, the Vixens over/under record: 0-3

    In the regular season, since 2012, with a total line greater than 100, the Vixens over/under record is:

    All games: 5-14
    At home: 0-10


    Good luck and bet smart!
    Points Awarded:

    OZnBa Fan gave Rabbitbrew 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  26. #11086
    Rabbitbrew
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    And for what it's worth, below are the average predictions from my netball models. I would not recommend betting them blindly!



    Thunderbirds @ Vixens: Vixens by 11.93
    Swifts @ Firebirds: Swifts by 4.61
    Mystics @ Magic: Magic by 15.18
    Steel @ Tactix: Steel by 1.8

    NOTE: These numbers do not take into account injuries, motivation, new players, travel, matchups etc.
    Last edited by Rabbitbrew; 04-18-14 at 07:11 PM. Reason: formatting, numbers

  27. #11087
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    Good luck Rabbit
    Price has already moved 10 cents

  28. #11088
    micase
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tim Gerry Mander View Post
    Good luck Rabbit
    Price has already moved 10 cents
    You can still get $1.87 at the TAB last time I checked.

  29. #11089
    Tim Gerry Mander
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    i booked with IAS for $1.88

  30. #11090
    OZnBa Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rabbitbrew View Post
    Adelaide Thunderbirds @ Melbourne Vixens

    Game Total UNDER 100.5 goals: 3 units @ $1.90 (b365)

    The Thunderbirds are coming of the bye in a must win game while the Vixens head home after a 3 game road trip. Thunderbirds see the return of Beaton who should play a least half a game at WA and I expect they will give up on the Poolman experiment at GK and hand it back to Shimmin, which will see an improved defensive duo. As always, Mentor's vertical leap sees her play well on the taller GS's so Borrego is in for a tough day. The Vixens have the No.1 defence in the competition and the bye will mean that Adelaide should have plans it place to slow the Vixens attack. Add in the stats below and I've got the game total at 95 goals.

    This year, when at home, the Vixens over/under record: 0-3

    In the regular season, since 2012, with a total line greater than 100, the Vixens over/under record is:

    All games: 5-14
    At home: 0-10


    Good luck and bet smart!
    great work mate

  31. #11091
    shevabets
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    I almost missed it!

  32. #11092
    Rabbitbrew
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    A winner and back in the positive.

    YTD: 6-7 (+2.7 units)

  33. #11093
    Shazzadude
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    Interestingly, the Queensland TAB doesn't allow multis on netball. I guess that says a lot about their lack of confidence in it.

    Out of interest, how many goals did your system have that game at Rabbit?
    Last edited by Shazzadude; 04-19-14 at 03:26 AM.

  34. #11094
    Rabbitbrew
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude View Post
    Out of interest, how many goals did your system have that game at Rabbit?
    My total score model had it at 95 goals. Vixens 57 - Thunderbirds 38.

    I thought the line of (-7.5) was a little off but I'm only concentrating on totals due to my poor season so far.

  35. #11095
    Rabbitbrew
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    NSW Swifts @ Queensland Firebirds

    Game Total UNDER 104.5 goals: 1 unit @ $1.90 (Cbet, Sportingbet)

    The Firebirds attack has been sub par of late with Aiken playing and shooting terribly. Expect Layton to have her measure once again. Wild will have to put up more shots from a longer range which will mean more misses. The Swifts also play a smothering all court defence which will mean the Firebirds will have to slow down their play and pick their way through. The Firebirds played in Perth last week and their maximum total after playing in Perth since 2012 had been 100, with the last three against the Swifts. Small play only though. Game total at 100.

    Good luck and bet smart!

    YTD: 6-7 (+2.7 units)

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