haser's 8-point 3-teamer dog thread

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  • haserfauld
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-12-08
    • 957

    #1
    haser's 8-point 3-teamer dog thread
    I've had some decent luck recently with the 8-point 3-team teasers (-120 @ bookmaker). I figured I'd start a thread here with my plays when the opportunity arises. Previous record means little without posting it, but I am 5-2 since I started trying them. For the sake of records, I'm starting this thread at 0-0, though. While I don't always tease the dog (such as today, I took conn pk rather than sac +16, although either would have worked). Rarely does a team lose by margins of 15+ so there are a lot of value in these teasers. In the case of a team looking to run their opponent out of the gym, we'll just tease the favorite.

    For tomorrow, we have a 3-game slate, so there aren't a lot of options for variation.

    For the morning game, we have Indiana on the road against San Antonio. Currently, the Fever is playing serious ball and hoping to be serious contenders for the championship. Look for them to finish out strong before the allstar break. Indiana's last game was a 12-point win over washington, with a powerful 28-point performance from tamika catchings. SA, on the other hand, has been hit or miss. Their last game was a loss to chicago, after shooting 22-64, including 6-22 from beyond the arc. not even hitting 25-29 freethrows could save them from that mess. After a discouraging road loss, they've returned home to face the formidable Fever. I expect the money to ride hard on indiana, so I'm hoping to see the line jump to 3.5-4 area. At that point I'd tease the dog once again and take SA +12. SA has has 4 days rest, time to regroup, and they're back at home, while Indiana is on a road trip, traveling from washington on tuesday, and feeeling very confident. The Fever might pull it off, but I expect a better showing from SA. This won't be a blowout.

    SA +11 (hopfully up to +12 by gametime)

    Chicago plays Washington tomorrow, and I'm a little torn on this game. Generally in the WNBA, when teams seem to be somewhat evenly matched, the home team usually pulls out the win. Chicago is very hit or miss it seems. If Dupree is on her game, she can be a game changer. I like Washington to win outright. They're at home, after a day's rest, and playing pretty steady ball, despite a discouraging loss to Indiana on Monday. Chicago is playing back to back after a loss to NY at home, and now they have to travel to washington to play a stronger team. I don't see Chicago getting blown out, but I like the Mystics to win. Either play (WAS +2 or CHI +14) looks plausible. If joe schmoe pounds washington and by gametime washington is -8 or less, I'd tease to PK. otherwise, SKY +16.5 or more seems like a solid play. For now, my lean is:

    WAS +2 (or anything PK or above by gametime)

    Game 3: Not a lot to say. Monarchs suck ass. NY Liberty at home as dogs. N. Powell will have to carry her team once again for the monarchs to have any chance. She played 30 minutes tonight. Sacramento blew an 11-point lead at half to lose by 8 on the road against connecticut. Now they travel to NY to face the Liberty, who just came off a win on the road. Both teams are traveling, but NY is coming home as victors. Expect them to not blow this game against the faltering monarchs. The only wild card is the new coach for SAC. The Liberty can be hit or miss, but I think this is one dog we just shouldn't tease. Leaning:

    NY +1 (or anything PK or above by gametime)

    So the (PENDING) card looks something like this:

    3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
    SA +11
    WAS +2
    NY +1


    Current YTD Record: 0-0-0


    I'm planning to wait till closer to game time, hoping to get SA +12 or +13. Final plays are in the morning!

    This is a new thing to me, so tail at your own risk! BOL to all

  • haserfauld
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-12-08
    • 957

    #2
    With the dynamic duo on SA +3, I semi expect the line to go back to 2.5 with all the money pouring in on it. So I'm pulling the trigger.

    Booked:

    3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
    SA +11
    WAS +2 (pending)

    NY +1.5 (pending)

    Current YTD Record: 0-1-0 -1.2 unit

    At least I was right about N. Powell having to carry her team. Damn she was on tonight
    Comment
    • haserfauld
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-12-08
      • 957

      #3
      Looking to rebound today after a disappointing first day. Less write-up, more hunch today. Indiana got walked all over by SA, now they're going home to redeem themselves. I think there's no chance they lose this game, though the mystics have been on fire recently. Wash +16 is tempting as well. But they beat wash at wash by 12 last week. I expect a solid performance from indiana today.

      Booked:

      3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
      Indiana PK
      Phoenix +12
      Sparks +10

      Current YTD Record: 0-1-0 -1.2 unit

      Comment
      • SportsTerminator
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-18-09
        • 5179

        #4
        Bet To Win
        Comment
        • RoagBettor
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-20-09
          • 8355

          #5
          I like the Indiana pick for sure, I'm wavering on the Phoenix and Sparks plays. I think CT will win SU, so CT +4 is attractive. If I thought Phoenix had a chance to win I'd take them, but for some reason I think they get spanked tonight. The Sparks suck, I don't buy into this "2nd half of the season" bullshit - not yet anyway. But 10 pts is a lot of pts to give them. I also like the under on Sea/SA especially with the 8 pts.
          Comment
          • haserfauld
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-12-08
            • 957

            #6
            agreed roag, all good points. i was actually leaning the over 138, especially over 130. both teams have been on fire...i don't see the teams putting up under 65. But I didnt' feel confident enough either way.

            people doubted phoenix on sunday and they came up big against NY on diana's first game back. she'll be looking to make more noise tonight. I think conn will probably win this game, but they have faltered recently. I either see conn get shut down hard tonight, or conn step up the defence and keep the game pretty low scoring and pull out a single-digit win, in which case I like phoenix to keep it within 12. especially with their 3-point talent.

            sparks...was a hard call. I wanted them +12, but missed it before the line moved. I probably should have taken lynx +6, but it is what it is. Hopefully the sparks keep it semi close. I was encouraged to see CK/SM on sparks +4. Lets hit this!
            Comment
            • RoagBettor
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-20-09
              • 8355

              #7
              Ok I ended up playing a 7 team combo parlay (MLB/WNBA):

              Marlins +1.5 (-160)
              Astros ML -110
              ChiSox ML +114

              Lynx ML -140
              Sparks/Lynx over 150.5 (-150)
              Sun -2 (-150)
              Fever -6 (-150)

              Note: I always buy the 2 pts Bookmaker allows on basketball parlays

              $25 to win $1292.24

              Good luck to everyone today!
              Comment
              • haserfauld
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-12-08
                • 957

                #8
                Booked:

                3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
                Indiana PK

                Phoenix +12
                Sparks +10



                Current YTD Record: 1-1-0 -0.2 unit

                Personally a good night, as I hit the 138 over as well as phoenix +5.5 2nd half and min -3.5 2nd half, but as none of them were posted in here and this is just the teaser thread, I'm not counting them in the YTD numbers
                Comment
                • SportsTerminator
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-18-09
                  • 5179

                  #9
                  That Phoenix game was a close one huh lol. Good job haserfauld.
                  Bet To Win
                  Comment
                  • haserfauld
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-12-08
                    • 957

                    #10
                    LEANS:

                    3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
                    San Antonio +10

                    Indiana +3
                    NY +5.5

                    SA was able to pull out a win against the red hot seattle, and I highly doubt they lose by more than 10 to sacramento--even on the road. Then again, sac has surprised recently. I'll be posting a final answer in the morning.

                    Indiana is an easy play here to me, square as it may be. Connecticut struggled against phoenix, rallying huge in the 4th quarter to still lose by 15, and they beat indiana last time they met. katie douglas will do work on them at home.

                    New York is looking to avenge a 1-point loss to washington on the road by coming home to the king of arenas, MSG, to pick up another win. Washington is on a 2-game road trip--the first of which was a loss to the indiana fever. Washington won by 1 despite shooting about on par with NY and being sent to the line 23 times versus NY's 8. Expect the calls to favor the Liberty at home, and expect NY to win SU coming off 4 days rest.

                    Final play comes in the morning =)
                    Comment
                    • haserfauld
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-12-08
                      • 957

                      #11
                      damn, 2 points of line movement from NY. I still expect them to win straight up though...
                      Comment
                      • haserfauld
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-12-08
                        • 957

                        #12
                        Booked:

                        3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
                        San Antonio +11.5

                        Indiana +3.5
                        NY +3.5


                        Lets cash this!
                        Comment
                        • SportsTerminator
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-18-09
                          • 5179

                          #13
                          Originally posted by haserfauld
                          Booked:

                          3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
                          San Antonio +11.5

                          Indiana +3.5
                          NY +3.5


                          Lets cash this!
                          That's cash money without a doubt! That's exactly what I had in mine as far as a teaser. It's perfect it couldn't be any better.
                          Bet To Win
                          Comment
                          • RoagBettor
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-20-09
                            • 8355

                            #14
                            I booked a 3 Team/5 Pointer:

                            Fever PK
                            Mystics +9.5
                            Dream +6
                            Comment
                            • johncrud
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-06-09
                              • 1322

                              #15
                              Nice teasers going here..

                              The losing wnba teams often blow the lead to wide open. Teaser is helpful for nba.
                              Comment
                              • SexyMit
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-12-06
                                • 6139

                                #16
                                I did a 4 pt teaser

                                Sac +.5 Win
                                Sac over 140 Win
                                Fever -.5 Pending
                                Washington+8.5 Pending
                                Atlanta+6 Pending
                                Atlanta under 192 Pending
                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                Comment
                                • haserfauld
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-12-08
                                  • 957

                                  #17
                                  One down, two to go!

                                  Also tailing you today roag. Lets do this!
                                  Comment
                                  • haserfauld
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-12-08
                                    • 957

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by haserfauld
                                    Booked:

                                    3-team 8-point teaser: 1.2 unit @ (-120) to win 1 unit
                                    San Antonio +11.5

                                    Indiana +3.5

                                    NY +3.5


                                    Lets cash this!
                                    holy shit at the back door cover!

                                    Current YTD Record: 2-1-0 +0.8 unit
                                    Comment
                                    • SexyMit
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-06
                                      • 6139

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by SexyMit
                                      I did a 4 pt teaser

                                      Sac +.5 Win
                                      Sac over 140 Win
                                      Fever -.5 Win
                                      Washington+8.5 Win
                                      Atlanta+6 Win
                                      Atlanta under 192 Win
                                      Actually hit the 6 team staight up on every game lol. Didn't even need to do a teaser! I wonder what that would have paid out?
                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                      Comment
                                      • SportsTerminator
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-18-09
                                        • 5179

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by haserfauld
                                        holy shit at the back door cover!

                                        Current YTD Record: 2-1-0 +0.8 unit
                                        NY liberty came back and covered wow unbelievable.... by .5! That's awesome.
                                        Bet To Win
                                        Comment
                                        • haserfauld
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-12-08
                                          • 957

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SexyMit
                                          Actually hit the 6 team staight up on every game lol. Didn't even need to do a teaser! I wonder what that would have paid out?
                                          well if they were all -110 bets, $100 > $4741.27 lol
                                          Comment
                                          • haserfauld
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-12-08
                                            • 957

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                            NY liberty came back and covered wow unbelievable.... by .5! That's awesome.
                                            I KNOW. damn I wrote that off at halftime...unbelievable
                                            Comment
                                            • RoagBettor
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-20-09
                                              • 8355

                                              #23
                                              Nice work guys!
                                              Comment
                                              • SexyMit
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-06
                                                • 6139

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by haserfauld
                                                well if they were all -110 bets, $100 > $4741.27 lol
                                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                Comment
                                                • RoagBettor
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 8355

                                                  #25
                                                  SM, don't feel bad, I missed out on a 6 team parlay last night when the Phillies crapped all over my bet. I had my 4 WNBA plays and the White Sox over the Yankees. I should have read CK's baseball thread first, I would have taken the Giants instead and hit a nice one.

                                                  Oh well, that's the way it goes.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • haserfauld
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-12-08
                                                    • 957

                                                    #26
                                                    phillies pooped on me too...i expected either domination from the phillies sluggers, or solid pitching and low scoring win by the giants. i hedged with giants / under 8.5 parlay and they scored 9. that would have been a beautiful payout
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                      • 8355

                                                      #27
                                                      Haser, I'm looking at a 2 team/5 pt teaser Minny +9.5, over 154.

                                                      What do you think?

                                                      Update: I just booked it. Got Minny at +10.5 and the over at 152.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • haserfauld
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-12-08
                                                        • 957

                                                        #28
                                                        I'm liking that...despite having detroit -4 tailing CK. minny has been on fire and i don't see them getting blown out by double digits. I don't love a 6 point window though. I see phoenix32 on the over, and that guy's usually pretty solid at total. Ah well, what the heck. I'd grab it for a unit.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wilforth
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-10-08
                                                          • 16309

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                          Haser, I'm looking at a 2 team/5 pt teaser Minny +9.5, over 154.

                                                          What do you think?

                                                          Update: I just booked it. Got Minny at +10.5 and the over at 152.
                                                          I have Minny ML at +200. I don't see them merely covering the spread but winning SU.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nevadaside
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-20-06
                                                            • 1263

                                                            #30
                                                            EXCELLENT thread!

                                                            Funny, I just recently went back to playing these very selectively.

                                                            There used to be more of these Teaser & ML Parlay threads here back in the day........excellent way to brainstorm some winners.

                                                            I find these 8Pt'ers are definitely more helpful in WNBA, but teasers in the long run usually don't pan out.........look forward to your season end results.

                                                            Relying on 3 different actions to pan out in the 3 team teasers is sketchy at best IMO.........I think you really have to pick your days to run these or you will lose in the long run.

                                                            Kudos for not using your prior unposted results......so many come & post their unposted results & then post plays & you see what happens, never hear from them again.

                                                            GL on this haser!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoagBettor
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-20-09
                                                              • 8355

                                                              #31
                                                              I made most of my money in the last year on 3 Team/8 Pt teasers with the NBA and NCAA basketball.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoagBettor
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-20-09
                                                                • 8355

                                                                #32
                                                                Lines are out for tomorrow, some interesting teaser possibilities. I might play this 4 Team/5 Pointer:

                                                                Liberty +10
                                                                Sun +7
                                                                Sparks +8
                                                                Storm -1
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SportsTerminator
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-18-09
                                                                  • 5179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like the Seattle Storm and Atlanta tomorrow. If Atlanta loses to NY that would be sad. How do you blow out the 2nd best team in the WNBA by like 40 and then lose to NY.
                                                                  Bet To Win
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoagBettor
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-20-09
                                                                    • 8355

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                                                    I like the Seattle Storm and Atlanta tomorrow. If Atlanta loses to NY that would be sad. How do you blow out the 2nd best team in the WNBA by like 40 and then lose to NY.
                                                                    NY is the play tomorrow. The public will be all over Atlanta.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nevadaside
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-20-06
                                                                      • 1263

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                                      I made most of my money in the last year on 3 Team/8 Pt teasers with the NBA and NCAA basketball.
                                                                      I must have missed that thread.
                                                                      Comment
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