WNBA Dating Tips

**oda11** · 08-27-09, 11:53 PM

I see, thank you. I was thinking aboout taking the opposite side and buy one point. $1147 to win $900 I think. That way I lose the juice (about $200 and $147)... Then wait for the line to drop to take Lynx, LOL. Sigh, that's my fault for pulling the trigger too quick knowing Sac is a JM play.

**oda11** · 08-27-09, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by cocknocker

I promise that for the rest of the WNBA season I will try to make it a priority to hang out in here late night and make a couple of second halves, analysis, etc. I stopped doing much analysis on the thread because apparently we are changing lines with the information we pass here. But with that being the case, we will discuss our picks more here, but the down side of that is that we will end up playing our picks right then and there if the line is to our liking. So my advice is to check our last posts and see what the hell we are talking about

We missed you here CK.

**Marvinj** · 08-27-09, 11:57 PM

Good thing that i safed up with phoenix -3. fuvking seattle fuvked me over.

**Marvinj** · 08-28-09, 12:02 AM

Hells yeah mutha****a 100th post.

**Nickelicious** · 08-28-09, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

I promise that for the rest of the WNBA season I will try to make it a priority to hang out in here late night and make a couple of second halves, analysis, etc. I stopped doing much analysis on the thread because apparently we are changing lines with the information we pass here. But with that being the case, we will discuss our picks more here, but the down side of that is that we will end up playing our picks right then and there if the line is to our liking. So my advice is to check our last posts and see what the hell we are talking about

Much appreciated, CK. And you're right: the books can't bust a move in the 60 seconds it takes me to tail a 2H play. Frankly, this is where the money is today.

Betchya don't lose 4 in a row on that muthah....

**alias69** · 08-28-09, 12:04 AM

ck sexymit, if u r concerned about line movement, why not set up a secret blog-page-email and invite 50 degenerates,bettors,friends whateva and take it from there.

**cs11787** · 08-28-09, 12:54 AM

I shouldve known Seattle was gonna come out and play when I heard they havent beat Conn in 4 seasons!

**corona** · 08-28-09, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Okay corona.

I have heard enough out of you with this shit. Dude, if you can't handle paying -120 or -130 then you have absolutely no business EVER wagering on baseball. In that sport you will lose games at -130 or more on the regular if you do it with any regularity. Put down the violin. If you don't like buying points then play the other side if it makes you more comfortable. But bitching about vigorish to a baseball guy falls upon deaf ears. It's all in the game. Matter of fact, it's quite funny now that I think of it. Man up, young fellow. In the future if you don't want to buy the points play the other side. It really is just that simple. We never have problems with a person taking the other side.

baseball's more or less a ML game, we're talking spreads here.

i don't like buying points on a 57% play. i can't imagine you do.
i don't like getting a free 0.5 to 1 points on a 43% play.

it's nice to see...
starting bankroll - $2500
current bankroll - $5500

but for regular joe schmo with a day job, i've found this season to be quite useless. like i said, unless you have accounts at a range of books, and sit in front of your computer refreshing sbrforum.com every 5 minutes, this whole 'project' thing will result in essentially breaking even.

**Nickelicious** · 08-28-09, 02:46 AM

Corona, I might agree with you, but bear in mind the project plays have hit a dip in the last week or so. If the historical record of the project plays was 60+% successful before the prior week (after so many plays this season), you might presume a bounce back on the success rate this week. This is something everyone learns when following a tout: there will be bad weeks, every tout has bad weeks. Or even bad months. But I don't see a bad month with the project plays.

Look, I'm as fukkin pissed off as you are about losing money and not being able to capitalize on the quoted spreads in this thread. But over the long haul, these guys clearly know the game, know the teams, and know how to manipulate weaknesses in the lines.

Both of us have to take 100% responsibility for what we risk our money on. The dating tips fukked me over for 6 plays in a row, but whose fault is that? MINE. I will be tailing these punks for the remaining days of the WNBA season, hoping they can continue to exploit the ignorance of the books and the betting masses to make me $$$. I sure as hell know that I would be flushing money down the toilet trying to do this shit myself.

**oda11** · 08-28-09, 02:59 AM

Corona, it's EASY, how about you just stop tailing? I am not tryna be an ass, but c'mon, are you seriously complaining because the lines moved before you got yours in? Do you want them to set their schedule around yours?

There are a bunch of money places on this forum, it's yours to find.

**cs11787** · 08-28-09, 03:00 AM

Originally posted by Nickelicious

Corona, I might agree with you, but bear in mind the project plays have hit a dip in the last week or so. If the historical record of the project plays was 60+% successful before the prior week (after so many plays this season), you might presume a bounce back on the success rate this week. This is something everyone learns when following a tout: there will be bad weeks, every tout has bad weeks. Or even bad months. But I don't see a bad month with the project plays.

Look, I'm as fukkin pissed off as you are about losing money and not being able to capitalize on the quoted spreads in this thread. But over the long haul, these guys clearly know the game, know the teams, and know how to manipulate weaknesses in the lines.

Both of us have to take 100% responsibility for what we risk our money on. The dating tips fukked me over for 6 plays in a row, but whose fault is that? MINE. I will be tailing these punks for the remaining days of the WNBA season, hoping they can continue to exploit the ignorance of the books and the betting masses to make me $$$. I sure as hell know that I would be flushing money down the toilet trying to do this shit myself.

So does this mean youre goin against the B bet also? Lol.

**aznjeff07** · 08-28-09, 03:13 AM

corona, you could always just play your own picks that match up with others'; the line may have moved but it's up to you if the adjusted line has value. That's what i've been doing and have been very successful these past 3 weeks. Btw an extra 2500 is always worth it....

**Nickelicious** · 08-28-09, 03:13 AM

Originally posted by cs11787

So does this mean youre goin against the B bet also? Lol.

Mmmm, still torn about that. Likely to freak it up with a combination of ML bets, parlays, teasers, if bets, MLB combos, and "the one giant play that will make millions."

In other words, no/yes.

**Tennispro** · 08-28-09, 03:29 AM

K guys learn to bet only on ck and sexy winning bets DUHHHHHHHHHHH hehe jking.
Anyways i am picking Chicago -2 big tonight and Minnesota -2 Normal bet.
K i'll be out and getting that booty tonight so enjoy with me!!!

**ztballer** · 08-28-09, 04:09 AM

Why Chicago? Fowles is still out

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 04:20 AM

Minny down to -1.5 on BookF*cker

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 07:35 AM

Minny down to -1 on BookF*cker and -120 ML.

I booked the ML.

**Danskeren** · 08-28-09, 07:43 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Minny down to -1 on BookF*cker and -120 ML.

I booked the ML.

You don't think it will go down to PK?

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 07:47 AM

It might, but I think we'll see some money come in on Minny after the JM bettors are done. So I'm happy with the ML at -120, not much juice and I see the line moving back up to -2 or more before gametime.

**Jimbo42** · 08-28-09, 08:51 AM

Howdy!

I am on Minnesota today as well... and ya'll know i don't tail... I got it capped this way too...Let's get the money tonight fellas....

**cocknocker** · 08-28-09, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by corona

baseball's more or less a ML game, we're talking spreads here.

i don't like buying points on a 57% play. i can't imagine you do.
i don't like getting a free 0.5 to 1 points on a 43% play.

it's nice to see...
starting bankroll - $2500
current bankroll - $5500

but for regular joe schmo with a day job, i've found this season to be quite useless. like i said, unless you have accounts at a range of books, and sit in front of your computer refreshing sbrforum.com every 5 minutes, this whole 'project' thing will result in essentially breaking even.

Baseball also has a spread called the runline. ANd if you're a math wizard in disguise that's okay too. So you mean to tell me that you don't buy hooks in football or NBA games? Is that what I am hearing here? Because if that is the case, then it is clear that you haven't been wagering too long. Listen man, I don't want to go off into a long spill about key numbers. 15 years into the game and I know that if you don't learn the art of using a hook or a single point to your advantage you don't have much skill. That hook or whole point can make or break you. Baseball should teach you to have no fear of playing games at -130 or so. After the All-Star break the average line for a favorite goes up to -150. Did you know that? So what you are telling me is that you feel better losing a -150 baseball bet than losing a -130 bet with a point buy in WNBA? C'mon man. look at how you sound. I understand your frustration, but don't get scientific on me with equations that make sense only to a couch potato. It's either/or..

And regardless of how you want to coin it, in baseball you will have to get used to playing with juice. And no I don't think that this project will result in breaking even if you had an account specifically for WNBA as prescribed when the project first started. You can't play baseball games on a football sportbook. So if you have lost money it's pretty obvious that you aren't betting JUST WNBA on a seperate book. When we get to 10 dimes here I will certainly have the results in the book.

And if you think that you will break even on the Project because of point buying or whatever excuse you have for the bitching, once again I will say it for you mate. You may be better off playing the other side. Or even better than that, don't wager. Then you can keep ALL of your money, and not worry about what we are doing over here. Ain't nobody twisting your arm to play what Sexymit and I are playing. Our goal was and is never to watch you lose money. It's about time that you figured that out.

Now either man up, or stop wagering altogether.

**cocknocker** · 08-28-09, 09:37 AM

Just keep waiting for the Minneota moneyline to dip even more. I absolutely love the -120 for ateam at home with this many consecutive losses!

**cuasi** · 08-28-09, 09:42 AM

CK. i think the public is pounding min! still going with min?

**SexyMit** · 08-28-09, 10:00 AM

Project Play 8/28/09

Minnesota -1 -110 $990.00 to win 900.00 3units

**PortsDave** · 08-28-09, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by cuasi

CK. i think the public is pounding min! still going with min?

Where are you getting that from?? i see the public pounding Sacramento on two line movement sites.

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 10:03 AM

Let's see how long it takes to move up from that -1 now!

**peterpan19** · 08-28-09, 10:07 AM

3 unit play... sweet...

**SexyMit** · 08-28-09, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by PortsDave

Where are you getting that from?? i see the public pounding Sacramento on two line movement sites.

Yeah I see the samething you do! They are all over the JM play of Sacramento!

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 10:45 AM

And as expected, it has moved back to -1.5 on BookF*cker

**cocknocker** · 08-28-09, 10:58 AM

Chicken Dinner Special for our boy Corona. Get your money back cuzzin'. We still love ya!

Cubs-1.5 -120

Listen degenerates. This is some real shit.

I have to finish the baseball season at a 54% clip to have a winning year record wise. I am up in terms of units, but the record is at a tepid 46% or so. I make more +money wagers than anyone that I have seen here at SBR, so despite the losing record, I am ahead. I just gave out a +270 series winner on the Rangers coupled with two wins one of which was a +190 jobber. A few weeks ago I accurately predicted that the lowly Mets would sweep the Rockies and everybody laughed at me. Meanwhile I counted my money 3 out of the 4 games and even won on the reverse runline one of the games. For the plus money I seek at all times I have been annointed the name Mr. Crumbs for my baseball work. I don't believe that I have gone over -135 for a baseball bet this year except on two occasions. And one of them the Phillies lost outright, lol!

Relievers have handed me some of the worst losses this year, much more than in years' past because obviously I noticed it this year. I keep hearing that relief pitching has always been this bad and that I had been skating by all of the previous years on sheer luck. True I had no idea it was as bad is it is but I don't want to use that as an excuse. I didn't make my niche in the underground by giving up either. So I will plow ahead and make it work! Will CK get to 51% in baseball? I don't know....but I need help from a science f*cker with the math. I want to know exactly what EV+/- I average per play, as well as seperate results per team ( I am riding 6 teams down the stretch) and combined for my goals. I also want my unit measure well kept and tidy. There are a few more instructions that I have on that particular thread, but for the most part I am easy. Just need an assistant to keep track while I do the hard part.

oda11 would be my first choice but I am open to anyone who is an expert at math to keep track of my stretch drive thread. I have to get 54% or bust babes. And I want to know to the exact unit if I can get there!

**RoagBettor** · 08-28-09, 10:58 AM

And back down to -1. Those JM folks are really confident about this one. And the books are eating it all up.

**corona** · 08-28-09, 10:59 AM

omg it went to -1 !

**cocknocker** · 08-28-09, 11:07 AM

Based upon my research for teams with the strong playoff aspirations and strong teams that can play spoiler and strength of schedule numbers I amassed the following list of teams that I will follow until the end of the year:

Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers Thou shalt not bet against my team!
Florida Marlins
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics Thou shalt not bet against my team!

These are the teams that I am going to depend upon to get me the magic number! I tried to spread it out over different divisions in the majors so as to shake it up a bit and give it some flavor.

**cuasi** · 08-28-09, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by PortsDave

Where are you getting that from?? i see the public pounding Sacramento on two line movement sites.

sorry i was wrong! anyway, let's go min!

**FreeFall** · 08-28-09, 11:47 AM

still waiting for greek or matchy to move