jgbgsox/sexymit think tank

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  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #246
    The only one that I liked was Dallas -4... You go ahead and put in plays I will be gone all day today! My bday this weekend so its going to be a looooong weekend. Will try and put forth my opinion and check on here but today and tomorrow will be scarce. So if you have something very strong you have my approval, will just be out most of the day and tomorrow! GL today in whatever you do! Leaning Atlanta as well at home. That is all that I have today!
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • jgbgsox
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-16-09
      • 5774

      #247
      sorry sexymit you will probally dislike me going against you and putting denver +4 in i feel pretty good about this pick and here are some trends. Denver is now 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 meetings with Dallas, including 6-0 SU (5-1 ATS) this season. The Nuggets have also cashed on their last four trips to Dallas (3-1 SU)Not only have the Nuggets cashed in every postseason game to this point, but they’re are on additional pointspread sprees of 15-4 overall, 15-3 against the Western Conference, 14-3 against winning teams and 9-0 against the Southwest Division. The Mavericks are on an 8-18 ATS plunge against the Northwest DivisionDENVER is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.DENVER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.DENVER is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.DENVER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.Head-to-Head Series HistoryDENVER is 10-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons DENVER is 9-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons after this game i will look at cleveland atlanta game i know you said you are like atlanta and im leaning cleveland i think they blow them off the court if i lose this game i won;t post anything until you do i will let you pick the next several games but i know i played denver +4 for several units at my book so let's cash this ticket and by the way happy birthday mine is 3 weeks from today man im getting old haha
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #248
        I have a few mins. Its actually not till Monday but Thanks! Yeah I'll be 30 on Monday, it sucks cause my bday is always with Mothers Day! Every couple of yrs my bday is on the same day! Well today can make or break us if Denver loses cause CK has Dallas so I hope you know what your doing. I would take Dallas because ask yourself, why is Dallas favored? After Denver dominated both games at home should Denver be favored? My signature in my name I live and die by when betting... It just seems to easy to take Denver and the points seeing that Dallas just can't keep up with them, they have dominated both 1st games. Thats my opinion so there you have it. I would lean Atlanta but can Cleveland blow everyone they play out every game? So I would not touch that game at all. GL tonight we will just play that one play I just hope your right since CK has the other side.
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • sweetjones55
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-07-09
          • 5257

          #249
          Vegas didn't get rich off winners. Take Dallas.
          Scared money don't make money

          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #250
            Exactly my thoughts...
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • jgbgsox
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-16-09
              • 5774

              #251
              i could be wrong and even if we took dallas we wouldnt gain anything so like you said if we lose this we lose the match and even if we took dallas and won we would still be in trouble as we are 3 wins behind already and it sux our opinions are different on this one but i disagree when you say denver dominated both games yes they won by 14 in game one and 12 in game two but dallas was in the games until the 4th qtr in both games today i hope denver runs them off the court from the opening tip to the last second in the 4th qtr let's cash this and get ourselves back in this challenge
              Comment
              • SexyMit
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-12-06
                • 6139

                #252
                GL today! Yeah we are still 3 wins behind thats just cause we have picked 3 less games. We go 3-0 we are tied. Lets do this, I don't like the call but am behind you 100%. Just like I'm sure you were wondering what I was doing last night on the Rockets, we can't win them all, if we did I would be doing this for alot more money then I am now, I would have a job betting in vegas. So GL tonight and lets win this challenge!
                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                Comment
                • jgbgsox
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-16-09
                  • 5774

                  #253
                  in all honestly i did like the lakers last nite but i trusted you as i know you are a excellent capper and i rode the rocket train with you and i thank you for riding the nugget train with me today
                  Comment
                  • SexyMit
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-12-06
                    • 6139

                    #254
                    You probably could have talked me out of the Rockets had you been a little more stern with your Lakers lol. I'm from Houston and I have made it apoint when football season is here to not bet for or against either Texas team. The times I bet on them they lose, the times I don't they win. So I have given up on them. I should have stuck with that, I just have a bad feeling about this game, but for the contest sake I wish us luck! I'm bout to be gone the rest of the evening you know wives, we are going out so they have to go buy an outfit just for tonight. So that is why I got to play on here for a little while. Have a good night and I have to root for Denver now! We can't win them all, we have both picked many winners, and some losers. Lets cash this Denver ticket tonight, but I'm warning you in advance I feel weird about this game. If we lose are chances will just get more slim to win this thing. No help to my sorry ass Rockets pick last night!

                    But however GO DENVER for this contest! We got them in game number one when we took Denver and they had Dallas lets hope it works that way again!
                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                    Comment
                    • jgbgsox
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-16-09
                      • 5774

                      #255
                      i think im sitting out 2nd game unless u wanna play it if u see this before u head out let me know
                      Comment
                      • jgbgsox
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-16-09
                        • 5774

                        #256
                        denver shooting about 30% and up 3 at the half let's hope they heat up in the 2nd half and put the mavs away i'm not going to post anything for the 2nd game let's cash the nuggs ticket
                        Comment
                        • jgbgsox
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-16-09
                          • 5774

                          #257
                          denver babyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy yyyyyyyyy back in it now i need you to go one of your runs come on now let's hit 4-5 in a row
                          Comment
                          • jgbgsox
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-16-09
                            • 5774

                            #258
                            im leaning orl/celts over 192,lakers -6, and lakers/hou over 194 also leaning dallas -1 monday nite i don't think they will get swept they were in it everygame and i think denver will win game 5 at home
                            Comment
                            • SexyMit
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-12-06
                              • 6139

                              #259
                              Good call, I was rooting for Denver yesterday! Yes I'm liking Dallas -1 also, I would not touch the Lakers game if I were you. You should have jumped on Lakers -3 when the line came out I knew Yao was hurt and that he was going to miss. I will have to do some research and get back with you. I don't have anything today about to head out and be gone all day again.
                              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                              Comment
                              • SexyMit
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-12-06
                                • 6139

                                #260
                                I would take the Rockets again. And also Boston. That is all that I have an opinion on today, But I would not be suckered into the Lakers today buying into Yao being out. We have a 2 loss lead in the race right not if we can just rattle of winners now we can put this thing away!
                                If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #261
                                  Your going to hate me but I want to take the Rockets today again as my only play! +7.5 or 8 whatever it is by game time, Just ride the Rockets train with me again. I'm out I can look on my phone later but going to Buzzfest here in Houston, there is bands all day and drinking so well was out all night last night and going to do it again today... Bdays only come once a yr and turning 30 does too lol. Rockets tonight and whatever you else you want to do. Have a good day will try and look from phone later.
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
                                  • jgbgsox
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-16-09
                                    • 5774

                                    #262
                                    u feel real confident with rockets?
                                    Comment
                                    • SexyMit
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-06
                                      • 6139

                                      #263
                                      I feel they will cover.... Yes. Especially now that noone even gives them a chance since Yao is out. Thats what makes it even better! I have a weird capping style, believe me. Alot of my plays sometimes don't make sense but they win. I'm leaving now so your just going to have to ride like I did Denver! I feel better today about them they I did in game 3. Have a good day and lets go 2-0 or 3-0 and run away with this contest
                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                      Comment
                                      • jgbgsox
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-16-09
                                        • 5774

                                        #264
                                        ok i will post rockets for you i mean us haha but i will wait to see if i can get it at 8 im going to play celts for the game also going to wait a little to see if i can get a better line if not i will play them at + 5 so our two plays will be rockets and celts let's cash this twice and go to 12-4
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #265
                                          Happy Birthday, Sexymit! My 2nd wive's birthday is 5/9/09. So I know for a fact that you're a Taurus man! I like the Rockets today too, but I think that I will play them non competition style and buy the 3 points according to ur playoff tips page. I absolutely love them at +10! They played a lot of games last year without Yao, so they know how to handle themselves under adversity, Don't get too full at the Buzzfest
                                          Comment
                                          • jgbgsox
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-16-09
                                            • 5774

                                            #266
                                            ok sexymit time for me to lock in your rocket play i know you said u liked them at 7.5-8 and the line is now 9 im going to ride the rocket train with you even though i dont feel confident with this pick but u rode the nugget train with me and it's time for me to sit back put my feet up and ride the train with you let's cash this
                                            Comment
                                            • shhhhh22
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-30-08
                                              • 2357

                                              #267
                                              Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                              line just jumped to 8.5 at bodog looking like this could go up to 10 before tip
                                              Ya very glad I locked -6 earlier!
                                              Comment
                                              • suckatmyjob
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 785

                                                #268
                                                30 wow happy bday sexymilt....i turned 30 about 5 months ago hahaha

                                                man stupid denver game got me drunk before atlanta game even started but it was great seats and a great under for the atl/cle game

                                                sorry to say it but sweep is going to happen on monday

                                                so is today the last day of the challenge or are you going to do another challenge JGBG?

                                                one day just hope there's a forum with just picks from: CK, sexymilt, wang, jgbg, dex, shoe, non -- only the 7 that i seem to know that seems to bet everything and have good analysis on everything
                                                Comment
                                                • jgbgsox
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-16-09
                                                  • 5774

                                                  #269
                                                  Originally posted by suckatmyjob
                                                  30 wow happy bday sexymilt....i turned 30 about 5 months ago hahaha

                                                  man stupid denver game got me drunk before atlanta game even started but it was great seats and a great under for the atl/cle game

                                                  sorry to say it but sweep is going to happen on monday

                                                  so is today the last day of the challenge or are you going to do another challenge JGBG?

                                                  one day just hope there's a forum with just picks from: CK, sexymilt, wang, jgbg, dex, shoe, non -- only the 7 that i seem to know that seems to bet everything and have good analysis on everything
                                                  you guys are all spring chickens haha im 30 with almost 4 years experience, sunday may 17 is the last day sorry about the confusion we have one week from today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SexyMit
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                    • 6139

                                                    #270
                                                    Thanks Ck. Yes JG those 2 plays are good. The Rockets game has a chance for a good middle if u got Lakers early! Vegas will make a shitload of money on this game if Rockets win or lose by less then 3. I can very well see that happening today with noone giving Rockets a chance with out Yao, like CK said they won alot of games last yr without Yao and Tracy and still made playoffs. Dont count them out for sure. Have a good day everyone and GL, on my phone so hope we make some money!
                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jgbgsox
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-16-09
                                                      • 5774

                                                      #271
                                                      ok i posted our 2 plays hou with 9 and bos with 5 hope today is the day of the dogs im off here for awhile gotta cook the lady a meal for mother's day let's cash these two tickets today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SexyMit
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                        • 6139

                                                        #272
                                                        I hope it is cause there sure has been alot of chalk covering lately, its time for some dogs to hit.
                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SexyMit
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-12-06
                                                          • 6139

                                                          #273
                                                          Yeah baby! Rockets, now come on Boston lets go 2-0 today!
                                                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jgbgsox
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-16-09
                                                            • 5774

                                                            #274
                                                            nice call on the rockets now let's cash the celts ticket and make this a 2-0 day
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jgbgsox
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-16-09
                                                              • 5774

                                                              #275
                                                              2-0 nite we have to keep playing one to two games a nite just our best picks now.We have less than a week left so i just want to say thank you for being a great teammate and whether we win or lose this match i think we showed alot of people what were made of and if i ever do a tag team challenge again i will definately ask you to join my side hopefully you will accept if i need one haha but we still have work to do so we gotta finish this strong
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoagBettor
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-20-09
                                                                • 8355

                                                                #276
                                                                From my perspective it doesn't matter who ultimately wins the challenge, you guys are all great cappers and have earned the respect of this community.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kmarinouofm
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 8437

                                                                  #277
                                                                  I am guessing this is what the two of you look like going over picks





                                                                  Originally posted by jgbgsox
                                                                  2-0 nite we have to keep playing one to two games a nite just our best picks now.We have less than a week left so i just want to say thank you for being a great teammate and whether we win or lose this match i think we showed alot of people what were made of and if i ever do a tag team challenge again i will definately ask you to join my side hopefully you will accept if i need one haha but we still have work to do so we gotta finish this strong
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SexyMit
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                                    • 6139

                                                                    #278
                                                                    I have to lean Atlanta tomorrow! Can they really lose by DD in every game even at home? I sure hope not and also have to lean Dallas! They should have won that game the other night in Dallas, had they made them free throws at the end I think they would have! Let me know what you think, that is all that I'm liking. Other then Lakers at home Tuesday after the Rockets beat their ass like there was no tomorrow! Been a long day off to bed will get back with you later today since its already tomorrow! Hey wait its my BDAY now
                                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kmarinouofm
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 8437

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Happy Bday SexyMit... hope you have a great one..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vreston
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-12-09
                                                                        • 1428

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Happy Birthday SexyMit!

                                                                        Comment
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