jgbgsox/sexymit think tank

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  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #176
    Originally posted by jgbgsox
    sexymit if u feel confident with dallas ill ride them with you im just glad we decided to not play lakers 1st half i had a feeling they wouldnt cover 1st half but pull away in 2nd half
    I will watch what happens with that game, I have a feeling the public is going to hammer Denver getting points since they have already dominated the series. We are holding our own, lets keep our heads together and grinding out winners.
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
    Comment
    • jgbgsox
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-16-09
      • 5774

      #177
      yea lets finish this contest hitting over 70 %
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #178
        Hitting about 78% right now. And they are hitting 70%, those are some excellent records we have going on right now. 7-3 versus 7-2 wow its close so far!
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • jgbgsox
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-16-09
          • 5774

          #179
          yea both teams are on fire
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #180
            I'm off to get some rest so I can get ready for some more winners on tomorrow! Have a good night and let me know if you come with anything between now and then!
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • jgbgsox
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-16-09
              • 5774

              #181
              only thing now is the over only one game tomorrow
              Comment
              • jgbgsox
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-16-09
                • 5774

                #182
                today im liking clev-6 first half atlanta +13 for the game and the over 177.5
                Comment
                • SexyMit
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-06
                  • 6139

                  #183
                  I honestly don't wat to mess with the game. I do however like the Over though....
                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                  Comment
                  • jgbgsox
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-16-09
                    • 5774

                    #184
                    ok we both like the over so go ahead and post it as play # 10 and let's get to 80%
                    Comment
                    • SexyMit
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-06
                      • 6139

                      #185
                      I would lean Atlanta and the points but Cleveland last game made them look stupid so I really not wanting to do much today!
                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                      Comment
                      • jgbgsox
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-16-09
                        • 5774

                        #186
                        ok we don't have to play atlanta no need to force a play i have them for a couple of units at my book but they might not show up again but cleveland is due for an off game if not tonight then definately next game in atl where the hawks play some good ball
                        Comment
                        • SexyMit
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-12-06
                          • 6139

                          #187
                          If Cleveland blows them out again and then Atlanta is favored at home, I will be unloading on Atlanta!
                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                          Comment
                          • jgbgsox
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-16-09
                            • 5774

                            #188
                            over already moved up to 179 jumped a point and a half already
                            Comment
                            • NBA Hero
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-05-08
                              • 1886

                              #189
                              it doesnt concern you guys that the public is heavy on the over? that seems the trend the pass two days and the books are paying
                              Comment
                              • jgbgsox
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-16-09
                                • 5774

                                #190
                                Originally posted by NBA Hero
                                it doesnt concern you guys that the public is heavy on the over? that seems the trend the pass two days and the books are paying
                                another trend that i noticed since sexymit brought it up is when game one goes under games two go over at an alarmimg rate and that held true with bos/orl hou/lakers and den/dal i didnt pay close attention to that stat in round 1 but in round two it is 3-0 and hopefully will go to 4-0 after tonight
                                Comment
                                • Vreston
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-12-09
                                  • 1428

                                  #191
                                  The line moved to 179 just a few minutes ago over here and I didn't get a chance to play it at 177.5

                                  I'm think I'll still play the over. Would you guys?

                                  I'm thinking Cleveland team total over 95.5 looks good too.
                                  Comment
                                  • SexyMit
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-06
                                    • 6139

                                    #192
                                    Yeah the public pounding the line kind of worries me a bit to tell you the truth. I'm really kind of iffy on the over now.
                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                    Comment
                                    • SexyMit
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-06
                                      • 6139

                                      #193
                                      This yr game 2's 1st and 2nd rd are 9-2 for the over so far this yr. I think the last 3 yrs they are 29-10-2
                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                      Comment
                                      • jgbgsox
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-16-09
                                        • 5774

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by SexyMit
                                        Yeah the public pounding the line kind of worries me a bit to tell you the truth. I'm really kind of iffy on the over now.
                                        if you don't feel confident in the game we can take it out and just be spectators tonight we still have a week and a half to go no need to play anything we don;t feel confident in afterall we are going for the tag team belt haha
                                        Comment
                                        • jgbgsox
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-16-09
                                          • 5774

                                          #195
                                          maybe this will even make u less confident:
                                          The under for Cleveland is on a bundle of runs, including 8-2-1 at home, 15-4 in conference semifinal games and 6-1 when favored in the postseason. Likewise, the under for Atlanta is on tears of 8-2 overall, 5-0 on the road, 11-2 against winning teams and 5-0 with the Hawks as a playoff pup.
                                          Comment
                                          • SexyMit
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-12-06
                                            • 6139

                                            #196
                                            So in other words they are definately due for an over!
                                            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                            Comment
                                            • RoagBettor
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-20-09
                                              • 8355

                                              #197
                                              Just moved to 180
                                              Comment
                                              • jgbgsox
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-16-09
                                                • 5774

                                                #198
                                                yea we will stick with the over, game 2 overs have been doing well when game ones go under lets go to 8-2 tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • SexyMit
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-12-06
                                                  • 6139

                                                  #199
                                                  Yeah I'm going to leave it. I'm not like CK and cancel plays and still watch them win. Damn they are hitting the over pretty hard, I hope that doesn't screw us any.
                                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jgbgsox
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-16-09
                                                    • 5774

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                    Just moved to 180
                                                    yea this happened the other nite with den opened up at 206 then moved all the way up to 208 and it went over with ease let's hope the same thing happens tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SexyMit
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-12-06
                                                      • 6139

                                                      #201
                                                      CK would only have 1 loss had he not changed his mind on 2 of the games. I'm not complaining though, were hanging tuff with them as I figured we would. But I'm really leaning Atlanta +13 tonight
                                                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jgbgsox
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-16-09
                                                        • 5774

                                                        #202
                                                        sexymit i know i booked atlanta with 13 and i know i liked it but i didnt get your ok so i didnt put it in as a challenge play so if u like it alot you can post it as play # 11 i really think atlanta will come to play tonight everyone expecting another blowout but i see atlanta covering this one ill leave this one up to you though if u feel confident then post it and im fine with that
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SexyMit
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-12-06
                                                          • 6139

                                                          #203
                                                          I went ahead and posted the Atlanta spread. For tomorrow I'm kinda leaning the Rockets +1, let me know your thoughts on that one as well, and GL tonight
                                                          If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                          I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cocknocker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-06-08
                                                            • 8001

                                                            #204
                                                            We've been had gentlemen. The line is at 182 now, which represents a 4.5 movement in one direction. A wise man told me back in the day that a movement over 3 points should be faded. But you should be alright with the Hawks. I played them at +16 today with a 3 point buy. Seeing is believing. You need all the help you can get when betting against LeBron
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cassidy
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-19-09
                                                              • 125

                                                              #205
                                                              CK arent you on the over so?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • laxdjock
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-15-07
                                                                • 4074

                                                                #206
                                                                That is a huge movement this late (correct me if I'm wrong). I looked at 181 and it seemed fishy (from 177/178). I feel good about my 1H bet -7, but I'm not sure what kind of numbers we'll get in the 2nd half.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jgbgsox
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-16-09
                                                                  • 5774

                                                                  #207
                                                                  atlanta didnt show up hopefully we can cash this over ticket
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jgbgsox
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-16-09
                                                                    • 5774

                                                                    #208
                                                                    1-1 not too bad overall we are 8-3 and we are hanging tough on to tomorrow
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jgbgsox
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-16-09
                                                                      • 5774

                                                                      #209
                                                                      in the first round if i seen this right the under in game three's were 8-0 my early leans for tomorrow is under 189.5 for celts and under 195 for houston and boston +4.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SexyMit
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                                        • 6139

                                                                        #210
                                                                        I knew we should have stayed away from Atlanta
                                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                        Comment
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