CK/wangichu's Think Tank

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #176
    Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
    Ck! Have you got the Mavs +10 as a regular play?

    Yes!
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #177
      Originally posted by SexyMit
      You won't be looking very good after both games. There is still alot of time left to play. Anything can happen
      Who is this comment directed to? The Challenge teams have their own think tanks for a reason. I suggest that we keep things clean. You aren't my enemy. The books are. Always remember that. I don't mind you coming over here, but don't come over here with the strange comments. Cleveland is blowing the Hawks away as we prescribed.
      Comment
      • SexyMit
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-12-06
        • 6139

        #178
        Originally posted by SmackdownV
        Sorry Brothers.....

        That OVER is MONEY....Clev -11.5 is Money....

        Denver is Money....Denver over is Money.....

        Watch and learn from the Smack.
        Well 1-1 the 1st game. I see the same thing the 2nd game
        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
        Comment
        • corona
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-12-09
          • 722

          #179
          Originally posted by corona
          i dont think they score that much in blowouts though, which is what this will be.

          i think 98-75 is far more likely than 105-80

          when the cavs win by more than 15 at home, the over/under is 7-13
          i was close
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #180
            .
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • SexyMit
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-12-06
              • 6139

              #181
              Originally posted by cocknocker
              Who is this comment directed to? The Challenge teams have their own think tanks for a reason. I suggest that we keep things clean. You aren't my enemy. The books are. Always remember that. I don't mind you coming over here, but don't come over here with the strange comments. Cleveland is blowing the Hawks away as we prescribed.
              It wasn't towards you, it was devoted towards smackdown. Just as I quoted in the post above! Yes the books are the enemy. Sorry for the misunderstanding...
              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
              Comment
              • cocknocker
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-08
                • 8001

                #182
                Originally posted by SexyMit
                It wasn't towards you, it was devoted towards smackdown. Just as I quoted in the post above! Yes the books are the enemy. Sorry for the misunderstanding...
                It's cool, babe!
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #183
                  Well I lived up to my name once again. Lost 1/2 my bank last night on the Lakers and Cleveland 1H tonight. Said f**k it and went all-in on Cleveland 2H but not before I blew $400 playing Poker (lost it in about 6 hands).

                  Anyway, between the 2H and the 1st inning bets I'm back to where I started Sunday.

                  Will someone PLEASE knock me in the head?

                  By the way, thanks CK for the Cleveland and 1st inning advice today.

                  Comment
                  • sweetjones55
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-07-09
                    • 5257

                    #184
                    What do you guys think about the Mavs without Josh Howard in the second half? They really struggled without him during the year and I thought they were a completely different team with him in the lineup.

                    I am thinking about playing denver 3rd quarter and 2nd half. I've hit a bunch of the Denver 3rd quarter team totals so far in the playoffs. Might take a look at that also. Dirk is the only guy playing basketball on the Mavs right now.
                    Scared money don't make money

                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #185
                      Taking Dallas+200 moneyline 2nd half
                      Comment
                      • cnleaf
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-08-08
                        • 346

                        #186
                        Den is shooting like crazy in the first half, but Dal still holds on it to keep the score close. Taking Dal 2nd half with CK. Also I believe Josh Howard will come back in the second half. Lets go DAL
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #187
                          Also Dallas+4 +100 2nd half
                          Comment
                          • cs11787
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-26-08
                            • 1088

                            #188
                            Wow as much as I love JR Smith, that was the stupidest shot in the world which led to Kidd making a buzzer 3 pointer. Should be a 6 point game.
                            Comment
                            • RkD KiD
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-14-08
                              • 247

                              #189
                              hmm Howard is out...and watch the fouls!
                              Comment
                              • cocknocker
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-06-08
                                • 8001

                                #190
                                Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                Well I lived up to my name once again. Lost 1/2 my bank last night on the Lakers and Cleveland 1H tonight. Said f**k it and went all-in on Cleveland 2H but not before I blew $400 playing Poker (lost it in about 6 hands).

                                Anyway, between the 2H and the 1st inning bets I'm back to where I started Sunday.

                                Will someone PLEASE knock me in the head?

                                By the way, thanks CK for the Cleveland and 1st inning advice today.

                                You're welcome, but you could have PM'd me with this, lol! Good luck with the rest of your evening.
                                Comment
                                • cs11787
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-26-08
                                  • 1088

                                  #191
                                  CK good luck to you on your original play. Hopefully Denver will win by 6 so we can both hit! . Sorry to against your 2nd half play.
                                  Comment
                                  • RoagBettor
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-20-09
                                    • 8355

                                    #192
                                    CK, I'm done with the crazy betting, I'm following your advice. Maybe I need a name change also.

                                    Thanks again.
                                    Comment
                                    • sweetjones55
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-07-09
                                      • 5257

                                      #193
                                      This game is crazy. Denver wins the 1st by 8 then loses the 2nd by 5, which is their best quarter and now they start the fourth off on a 16-2 run. You would think Dallas was going to look at that first game and not let Denver stomp all over them in the fourth quarter AGAIN.
                                      Scared money don't make money

                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                      Comment
                                      • cs11787
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-26-08
                                        • 1088

                                        #194
                                        You guys see any value in Houston +345 to win the series? or Denver +305 to win the Western Conference? Lakers have lost every playoff series when they lose the first game. And Denver, well, watchem.
                                        Comment
                                        • pho3nix32
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-09-09
                                          • 1465

                                          #195
                                          denver f#ck#rs!
                                          Comment
                                          • cocknocker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-06-08
                                            • 8001

                                            #196
                                            wang,

                                            what did I say about the Magic in this series? Any points given to the Magic are too many. They are the superior team. There's a false favorite in this game. Orlando is quietly on their way to sweeping the Celtics. The Green Team is undersized at basically every position except point gurad, and that don't count. Orlando has now beaten the Celtics 3 straight times. I just don't see how Rashard Lewis is going to be stopped from getting any shot he wants. The same goes for Howard. If Boston wins this game it won't be by more than a bucket. I say we grab the 4 right now while it's hot. That's my pick from the Lazy Boy

                                            Orlando+4 Game 2

                                            Houston is a .500 team on the road on the year so if their form holds true, then they get blown out in this game. The Lakers won't go to Houston down 2-0, so I'm applying the Kelly factor, and I will simply take the chalk. I like the Lakers-9.5. Trust me this line will go to 10 with ease.

                                            Lakers-9.5 Game 2
                                            Comment
                                            • cs11787
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-26-08
                                              • 1088

                                              #197
                                              I knew you were gonna take Lakers! Lol. Im on that too. Lakers are gonna blow Houston out tomorrow. They are pissed! As for the Orlando game Ill prolly take the ML again and the o187.5. I think Orlando will keep up the scoring and Boston should shoot a little better.
                                              Comment
                                              • Vreston
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-12-09
                                                • 1428

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                wang,

                                                what did I say about the Magic in this series? Any points given to the Magic are too many. They are the superior team. There's a false favorite in this game. Orlando is quietly on their way to sweeping the Celtics. The Green Team is undersized at basically every position except point gurad, and that don't count. Orlando has now beaten the Celtics 3 straight times. I just don't see how Rashard Lewis is going to be stopped from getting any shot he wants. The same goes for Howard. If Boston wins this game it won't be by more than a bucket. I say we grab the 4 right now while it's hot. That's my pick from the Lazy Boy

                                                Orlando+4 Game 2

                                                Houston is a .500 team on the road on the year so if their form holds true, then they get blown out in this game. The Lakers won't go to Houston down 2-0, so I'm applying the Kelly factor, and I will simply take the chalk. I like the Lakers-9.5. Trust me this line will go to 10 with ease.

                                                Lakers-9.5 Game 2

                                                The Lakers line is already at 10 here. And it's around 3am EST.
                                                Comment
                                                • wangichu
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-07-08
                                                  • 946

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by Vreston
                                                  The Lakers line is already at 10 here. And it's around 3am EST.
                                                  9.5 on betus, right now. 2:23 AM pst
                                                  Comment
                                                  • joanapoker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-09-08
                                                    • 2275

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by joanapoker
                                                    I'm on the UNDER at CLEV 179.5

                                                    CLE defense will take care of the game and they also will mark the pass of the scoring! Low score game.

                                                    good luck to all
                                                    100% correct! nice

                                                    Also congrats to all u guys that beted the OVER at Denver....the line movement before the game was clear as cristal!

                                                    cheers
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wangichu
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-07-08
                                                      • 946

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                      wang,

                                                      what did I say about the Magic in this series? Any points given to the Magic are too many. They are the superior team. There's a false favorite in this game. Orlando is quietly on their way to sweeping the Celtics. The Green Team is undersized at basically every position except point gurad, and that don't count. Orlando has now beaten the Celtics 3 straight times. I just don't see how Rashard Lewis is going to be stopped from getting any shot he wants. The same goes for Howard. If Boston wins this game it won't be by more than a bucket. I say we grab the 4 right now while it's hot. That's my pick from the Lazy Boy

                                                      Orlando+4 Game 2

                                                      Houston is a .500 team on the road on the year so if their form holds true, then they get blown out in this game. The Lakers won't go to Houston down 2-0, so I'm applying the Kelly factor, and I will simply take the chalk. I like the Lakers-9.5. Trust me this line will go to 10 with ease.

                                                      Lakers-9.5 Game 2
                                                      I want to sleep on it, but right now, i have to think the lakers are good, and while ultimately, i really think that the celtics win game 2 SU, I don't see them covering any kind of spread as a 2 point victory is what i would expect. I still can't see rondo, allen, and pierce as incapable of asserting a victory at home. Ultimately, though, I always feel like there are some teams that should never get points and if they do, you just have to take them, and that consists of the lakers, magic, celtics, cavs and probably the nuggets (though i'll fade them game 3 most likely). That trend has held fairly true in this series in the regular season and will most likely be the right way to play them in the postseason (except for systematic game 3's). I think it may help to watch the lines a little more and see if we can catch any imbalance that the books feel needs correcting, so i'll do that before throwing my money in the fray, but from anything i see the lakers are the play and orlando +4 because that play covers an orlando victory or even the narrow boston victory, i almost anticipate.

                                                      Again, still want to sleep on it, but if you're ready to drop the plays early, i don't have any reason to despute those plays at the moment.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sweetjones55
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-07-09
                                                        • 5257

                                                        #202
                                                        Ray Allen will be the difference today. He was 2-12 and 1-7 from 3's. JJ Redick outscored him. That will not happen today. Also, Michael Pietrus will not come off the bench and put up 17. Boston hasn't lose two straight at home all year.

                                                        What do you guys think about the Lakers team over 101.5? I took a look at the Lakers losses this year and they always score more than 101 after a loss. Lakers scored more than 101 in ten out the 13 games following a loss this year.
                                                        Scared money don't make money

                                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #203
                                                          I'm still smokin on these games wang. I will take the matter up with the PC's and see if we can come up with a HEAVY play today. It looks like th Lakers may end up being the one. The moneyline is indicative of a 14 point line. Time to stuff the pockets!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wangichu
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-07-08
                                                            • 946

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                            I'm still smokin on these games wang. I will take the matter up with the PC's and see if we can come up with a HEAVY play today. It looks like th Lakers may end up being the one. The moneyline is indicative of a 14 point line. Time to stuff the pockets!
                                                            yeah, plus the line moved up another half point over night with almost even money on the two teams. I'm sold on the lakers. book that one for sure.

                                                            one thing though. I'm really not feeling boston first half. orlando has covered and won SU all 3 of the first halves these teams have played in the KG-less era, as well as covering the first half of the first meeting when KG was there and the magic wound up getting slapped silly (BOS 48- ORL 46 with a game spread of +8.5). Not to mention, opening a can of whoop-ass in the first half has been orlando's MO all year, while boston does it differently most of the time. I'd definitely rather stick to the game spread here.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cocknocker
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 8001

                                                              #205
                                                              Cool-Skybook still has it at -9.5. I'm gonna play it there and take it down to Lakers-6.5. As far as the Challenge is concerned, we will have to take it at -9.5. Since we are in agreement on one, we need to work out the other. This play is PC approved by 3 of us. The other two are grumbling a bit about it. So I will more than likely not go too heavy on it. I'm still chewing on the magic. I think tha tif we wait a little longer we may get a hook added on by the linemaker.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sweetjones55
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-07-09
                                                                • 5257

                                                                #206
                                                                Magic are at +4.5 already on 5dimes.
                                                                Scared money don't make money

                                                                182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Don't trip, wang.

                                                                  I have the perfect play for us. We'll take the over on the Celtics/Magic. It's a beautifully crafted pick. One thing yu can't do is guage the total by what the public is doing. They will always prefer the over. However, this time I think that they are correct. I see a spirited effort by Bostn, and when those shots start to fall they won't let up. I hedged myself on the series wager by taking Boston+200 today as well. I talked it over with the PC's and they are in on it with me. This won't be a HEAVY play, just a BIG play. If you don't mind, I'll take control of this pick. I am very intrigued by this one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • wangichu
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-07-08
                                                                    • 946

                                                                    #208
                                                                    by all means... i was pretty torn on that game, so it's all good.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wangichu
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-07-08
                                                                      • 946

                                                                      #209
                                                                      also, whenever you want to post cleveland 1st half tomorrow, i'm sold
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cocknocker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                                        • 8001

                                                                        #210
                                                                        F*ck it homes you got it! We'll list it now then. No waiting!
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...