2015/16 NBA Thread

[mikmik]

Thanks for the plays. Yea Knicks game was horrible.

[NBA Maniac]

Today: 1-2-1, -1.95x
Total: 17-21-1, +17.76x

Unreal fukking bullshit in that Knicks game. Obviously I could've gotten the 6.5 later and it would've been fine but that's not even the point, Knicks led all fukking game and it was tied with 40 seconds to go and +6 pushes. Absolutely disgusting. It's amazing I'm up as much as I am considering the luck I've had this season.

I didn't had time to Book Knicks, but if i had, i would have take +6.5.
Push is better them a loss
Let's not forget about Minnesota @ Indiana, because i had money on it and i'm really pissed, they ****** +20 point lead, penetrating bunch of scrubs !!

Still a good beggining with +17 units for you

[Seto]

I didn't had time to Book Knicks, but if i had, i would have take +6.5.
Push is better them a loss
Let's not forget about Minnesota @ Indiana, because i had money on it and i'm really pissed, they ****** +20 point lead, penetrating bunch of scrubs !!

Still a good beggining with +17 units for you

Yeah they had a 27 point lead. Unbelievable. I liked them too thankfully didn't take em.

In that case a push basically is a loss. But we have to move on. I hope I'll start getting a few more of the close ones as we move forward.

[Seto]

I don't know why weekend cards are always the ones that inspire me the least. Had no plays yesterday and unlikely I make one today as well.

[freeeze]

I might actually take the Lakers today.

[Seto]

Knicks-1.5 -110 (paddy power/bet365) (risking 4.4x to win 4x)

Line is a bit inflated because Davis is back but fact is New Orleans stink until they get Tyreke Evans back, and all their players healthy and in a rhythm. Knicks by far the better squad to me at this point in the season.

[Seto]

I might actually take the Lakers today.

Detroit probably wins that to salvage the trip at 3-3. I think they're fairly legit. I can't take the Lakers given how Kobe's looked so far this year. Early last year his numbers weren't particularly great but if you watched the games you could still tell he was influencing them positively and they were capable on any given night of raising their game. This year he looks done, which is sad to say as he's probably my favourite NBA player outside of Mavs players.

[Pikachu]

Good call. I was a bit nervous considering how bad they closed out previous few games.

[jeep summit]

Nice call

[Seto]

Thanks guys. Nice to win that after originally thinking I wouldn't play for the day, typically those "decide to play at the last minute after saying the card sucks" plays don't work so well. That said there wasn't even a line for this game at that point that said so it's not like I changed my mind or anything.

The only thing I'd sort of consider for the rest of the day would be the Kings but I still don't really trust those fukks so idk. I do feel like they have nice value as a dog though.

[jeep summit]

Ohh nooo I'm on the raps again. Lol. 1-1 ?

[RavensFan2k3]

Thanks guys. Nice to win that after originally thinking I wouldn't play for the day, typically those "decide to play at the last minute after saying the card sucks" plays don't work so well. That said there wasn't even a line for this game at that point that said so it's not like I changed my mind or anything.

The only thing I'd sort of consider for the rest of the day would be the Kings but I still don't really trust those fukks so idk. I do feel like they have nice value as a dog though.

I like Kings aswell

[RavensFan2k3]

I like Kings aswell

Hope you played it buddy

[Seto]

I didn't except in a £25 freeplay parlay. Knicks Kings and a soccer future, could end up winning me 400 bucks.

I typically post all my pregame NBA plays in here, although every now and then I'll forget one or be on the road with my phone on low battery so not post it to save battery. I think that's only happened for like 2 or 3 plays this year though (Pacers at Cavs, Bulls vs Wolves spring to mind)

[Seto]

Yesterday: 1-0, +4x
Total: 18-21-1, +21.76x

[Seto]

Anyone brave enough to take Houston today?

That's the only play I'm considering of the lines that are out and given the dysfunctional mess they are I'm not sure I'll play them at all.

[louielouie]

I like Houston today but not the line movement in that game so pass

[Seto]

Knicks+1.5 -115 (coral) (risking 2.88x to win 2.5x)

[No coincidences]

Anyone brave enough to take Houston today?

That's the only play I'm considering of the lines that are out and given the dysfunctional mess they are I'm not sure I'll play them at all.

Good thing you didn't.

I watched the game. Just, wow.

[Seto]

Good thing you didn't.

I watched the game. Just, wow.

Yeah, pretty pathetic effort. They're a team I'll be wary of going forward. They might start becoming the Western Conference's version of the Hawks of a few years ago.

[freeeze]

Knicks keep getting these really favorable lines. Hopefully they keep covering them as well as I'm with you on them tonight.

Also considering the Wiz, they've been mediocre so far but it's a decent line. I also don't think highly of the Bucks at all and I'm thinking we might see a letdown from them after the big win vs Cleveland.

[Seto]

Knicks keep getting these really favorable lines. Hopefully they keep covering them as well as I'm with you on them tonight.

Also considering the Wiz, they've been mediocre so far but it's a decent line. I also don't think highly of the Bucks at all and I'm thinking we might see a letdown from them after the big win vs Cleveland.

Yeah books haven't started giving the Knicks respect yet. I'm cool with that, I'm 4-0-1 ATS having bet them in each of their last 5 games, and the lone push should've been a win.

Hope you took the Wiz. Had no feel there.

[Seto]

Yesterday: 1-0, +2.5x
Total: 19-21-1, +24.26x

Jazz-3.5 -110 (paddy power) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)

Tough for Toronto to get up for this game after nearly pulling off the miracle in Golden State. They were down big at the half so probably spent a lot of energy getting back in the game and now have to travel into the altitude. The Jazz are coming off a disappointing 1-3 trip despite salvaging it with a win in Atlanta in the last game, and will probably look to bounce back at home where they've historeically played much better.

[Seto]

The rest of the card is dodgy but I have leans on the Nets, Mavs, and the atrocious Rockets. Tough to say what I'll do with them though. The last one for self-explanatory reasons will be very tough to play.

[DOM-Ganador]

I will NOT be betting the Houston Rockettes.....but the opener -7 seems a bit high, maybe this is the night they blow out
TB.

Dal 4.5 dogs @ Boston. Same scenario to me, seems a bit high and these Celtics play for 48.
Seem to have good 3Qs and 2nd 1/2s against all but the top tier teams.

[RavensFan2k3]

Knicks+1.5 -115 (coral) (risking 2.88x to win 2.5x)

Excellent call here. I was on Charlotte here, but Knicks surprised me.

Yesterday: 1-0, +2.5x
Total: 19-21-1, +24.26x

Jazz-3.5 -110 (paddy power) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)

Tough for Toronto to get up for this game after nearly pulling off the miracle in Golden State. They were down big at the half so probably spent a lot of energy getting back in the game and now have to travel into the altitude. The Jazz are coming off a disappointing 1-3 trip despite salvaging it with a win in Atlanta in the last game, and will probably look to bounce back at home where they've historeically played much better.

you make a good point here, I was actually leaning Raptors just because Raptors still shouldn't be this much of a dog vs Jazz. But perhaps you are right

[killersweet]

Yesterday: 1-0, +2.5x
Total: 19-21-1, +24.26x

Jazz-3.5 -110 (paddy power) (risking 5.5x to win 5x)

Tough for Toronto to get up for this game after nearly pulling off the miracle in Golden State. They were down big at the half so probably spent a lot of energy getting back in the game and now have to travel into the altitude. The Jazz are coming off a disappointing 1-3 trip despite salvaging it with a win in Atlanta in the last game, and will probably look to bounce back at home where they've historeically played much better.

Good call on the Knicks. I am torn on the raptors game. I think they will struggle in the altitude, but Jazz coming back from a east trip, might be slow today. that's my only concern. But good luck. What do you think about Orlando? Wolves got a big win yesterday.
McHale is gone, so may be Houston wins tonight?

[Seto]

Rockets-6.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 9.9x to win 9x)
Rockets-20.5 +600 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 6x)

You guys know the angle. Killer I think the road trip thing only applies when a team has a successful trip. Thats the way I use it anyway

Im out now but will be back to discuss the games later. Thankfully I caught the mchale news anyway.

[freeeze]

Hope you took the Wiz. Had no feel there.

and a nice cash on the Knicks as well.

Love both of your bets tonight. Fired coach angle is usually great and I think that the case with Houston was definitely that the players didn't like the coach and couldn't be bothered to put up a serious defensive effort because of that (and because most of them are lazy bums), but that should get them fired up at least for a few games.

Jazz are imo better than the Raptors, Favors can post up well enough to take advantage of Carroll at 4, and Raps on a back-to-back at Utah after an exhaustive effort where they came really close to beating Golden State. -3.5 seems like a very good deal.

Was leaning the Celtics as well, but at -5 I think it's fairly inflated and not sure they're 2 points better much better than the Mavs. Also, Celtics keep getting inflated lines from what I see and they've still managed a 6-4 ATS record. I know you were initially low on them, but could they actually be good for a 4-6 seed this year?

[Seto]

Well, you know me, I don't change my mind on a team easily. They have nobody who's that good on their team and the East is much better than last year. That said last year the Atlanta Hawks won 60 games with a bunch of nobodies so who the fukk knows. What I do know is that if they somehow make the playoffs they're a guaranteed first round exit no matter who they play.

In my mind Dallas is a much better team, that said they have 2 major players still working their way back into shape so it's tough to say on any given night how they'll play. There's probably better value in Dallas ml than +5. I don't think this will be a very close game either way for some reason.

Let's hope those plays go well tonight

[Seto]

I will NOT be betting the Houston Rockettes.....but the opener -7 seems a bit high, maybe this is the night they blow out
TB.

Dal 4.5 dogs @ Boston. Same scenario to me, seems a bit high and these Celtics play for 48.
Seem to have good 3Qs and 2nd 1/2s against all but the top tier teams.

The line is a bit high but if you look at the lines Boston have bene getting all year, it's right in line with that. Not much to read into it imo.

[killersweet]

Good luck on the big bets.

[Seto]

(to clarify, I'm not saying Boston can win 60 nor saying their talent level is the same as Atlanta's. Millsap and Horford are 5x the players anyone Boston has on their frontline for instance. just saying if they win, say, 47, as some Celtics fans think they will, it will be the equivalent of Atlanta winning 60 last year)

[Seto]

Good luck on the big bets.

Btw I sort of like the Orlando idea but I'm not sure I can bet that game. Spread could end up being decided by late free throws.

[Seto]

Wow Clippers getting 6.5 tomorrow. Guess Paul and Redick are out for sure. I actually think they'll win that game, but I know if I take them, they'll lose by 25. Maybe I should put £1 on them to guarantee they lose. Fukk, I should do that on all their games

Like Milwaukee in the other TNT game but it troubles me that they just beat Cleveland.