2015-16 JM NBA Thread

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  • Wallco99
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-01-11
    • 7261

    #106
    What choas!
    Comment
    • oilcountry99
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-29-10
      • 707

      #107
      Originally posted by Wallco99
      What choas!
      Complete chaos!
      Comment
      • Wallco99
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-01-11
        • 7261

        #108
        I wish I had the strength to organize this for you guys, but I can't even run my systems at the moment.
        Comment
        • J.M. Disciple
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-16-10
          • 5143

          #109
          no play 11/4
          Comment
          • Capybara
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-17-08
            • 11803

            #110
            Maybe what this thread needs is an adult table and a kids' table? In other words, those of you who've been doing this awhile, who understand all the machinations of this stuff, you guys go ahead and speak to each other in all this complicated JM parlance in the thread... At the same time, the mental 6-year-olds like myself will just sit and play and stare at you blank-faced while you talk your grown-up talk.

            Then, if one of you adults would be so kind as to clearly and slowly spell out the actual final plays to us kids, we will nod and smile and place our bets and eat the rest of our ice cream cake.
            Comment
            • Wallco99
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-01-11
              • 7261

              #111
              Originally posted by Capybara
              Maybe what this thread needs is an adult table and a kids' table? In other words, those of you who've been doing this awhile, who understand all the machinations of this stuff, you guys go ahead and speak to each other in all this complicated JM parlance in the thread... At the same time, the mental 6-year-olds like myself will just sit and play and stare at you blank-faced while you talk your grown-up talk.

              Then, if one of you adults would be so kind as to clearly and slowly spell out the actual final plays to us kids, we will nod and smile and place our bets and eat the rest of our ice cream cake.
              Yeah, come in here and insult us. Seems like a very good strategy for getting your lazy ass spoon fed.
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #112
                Originally posted by Wallco99
                Yeah, come in here and insult us. Seems like a very good strategy for getting your lazy ass spoon fed.
                Dude, where'd you get that I insulted you? The exact opposite -- I'm insulting myself for being A) lazy and B) slow.

                Sorry if I offended, I meant the opposite. I appreciate you guys who put time into systems that work over time.
                Comment
                • NZT-48
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-29-11
                  • 522

                  #113
                  Naw Capybara - pay them no mind - thats why I havent been on here in a yr - if you ask a nice question then you are suddenly called out haha

                  Its par for the course on this site - sbr is useful for little things - its best to not ask too many questions Capybara or its an attack of the assholes marathon haha


                  And can anyone step up and post a new pdf file for the full v1-3 NBA schedule like Wallco did last yr - kudos to him for that it certainly was a help and it was accurate too thanks mate =))




                  Originally posted by Capybara
                  Dude, where'd you get that I insulted you? The exact opposite -- I'm insulting myself for being A) lazy and B) slow.

                  Sorry if I offended, I meant the opposite. I appreciate you guys who put time into systems that work over time.
                  Comment
                  • Wallco99
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-01-11
                    • 7261

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Capybara
                    Dude, where'd you get that I insulted you? The exact opposite -- I'm insulting myself for being A) lazy and B) slow.

                    Sorry if I offended, I meant the opposite. I appreciate you guys who put time into systems that work over time.
                    Sorry about that, guess I read it wrong.
                    Comment
                    • Wallco99
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-01-11
                      • 7261

                      #115
                      Originally posted by NZT-48
                      Naw Capybara - pay them no mind - thats why I havent been on here in a yr - if you ask a nice question then you are suddenly called out haha

                      Its par for the course on this site - sbr is useful for little things - its best to not ask too many questions Capybara or its an attack of the assholes marathon haha


                      And can anyone step up and post a new pdf file for the full v1-3 NBA schedule like Wallco did last yr - kudos to him for that it certainly was a help and it was accurate too thanks mate =))
                      I am going to try and do it again. But it is very difficult for me right now. Hopefully someone beats me to it.
                      Comment
                      • NZT-48
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-29-11
                        • 522

                        #116
                        No worries sounds like you got other issues to attend to so get better bro =))


                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                        I am going to try and do it again. But it is very difficult for me right now. Hopefully someone beats me to it.
                        Comment
                        • pinchegringo
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-15-14
                          • 734

                          #117
                          I have been lied to, there is no ice cream cake at the kids table
                          Comment
                          • greally311
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 02-05-10
                            • 30

                            #118
                            Charlotte+4 @ Dallas V1, looks to be the only play tonight for JM NBA. I'll look into creating an updated spreadsheet for 2015 for this system for all versions (V1, V2, and V3).
                            Comment
                            • J.M. Disciple
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-16-10
                              • 5143

                              #119
                              Cha (A) +4 @ DAL
                              Comment
                              • md3324
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 05-24-14
                                • 62

                                #120
                                I made a schedule including the bonus plays but don't know when ill have time to type it up. Until then...

                                November V3 (A) plays:
                                11/13: CLE @ nyk
                                11/13: POR @ mem
                                11/14: DEN @ pho
                                11/17: MIL @ was
                                11/20: PHI @ cha
                                11/20: PHO @ den
                                11/22: DAL @ okc
                                11/25: NO @ pho
                                11/29: BOS @ orl

                                December V3 (A) plays:
                                12/12: NO @ chi
                                12/13: PHI @ tor
                                12/14: TOR @ ind
                                12/14: HOU @ den
                                12/18: DET @ chi
                                12/23: NYK @ cle
                                12/23: DEN @ pho
                                12/28: BRK @ mia
                                12/28: ATL @ ind
                                12/30: PHO @ san

                                I will be using closing lines from scoresandodds.com to determine win/loss/push. I also have potential bonus plays and will post them if and when they qualify.
                                Last edited by md3324; 11-05-15, 06:32 PM.
                                Comment
                                • cinaj05
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-12-10
                                  • 325

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by md3324
                                  I made a schedule including the bonus plays but don't know when ill have time to type it up. Until then...

                                  November V3 (A) plays:
                                  11/13: CLE @ nyk
                                  11/13: POR @ mem
                                  11/14: DEN @ pho
                                  11/17: MIL @ was
                                  11/20: PHI @ cha
                                  11/20: PHO @ den
                                  11/22: DAL @ okc
                                  11/25: NO @ pho
                                  11/29: BOS @ orl

                                  December V3 (A) plays:
                                  12/12: NO @ chi
                                  12/13: PHI @ tor
                                  12/14: TOR @ ind
                                  12/14: HOU @ den
                                  12/18: DET @ chi
                                  12/23: NYK @ cle
                                  12/23: DEN @ pho
                                  12/28: BRK @ mia
                                  12/28: ATL @ ind
                                  12/30: PHO @ san

                                  I will be using closing lines from covers.com to determine win/loss/push. I also have potential bonus plays and will post them if and when they qualify.
                                  This is good you may want to update the sheet in the 1st page of thread I think.
                                  Comment
                                  • hoescj01
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-23-09
                                    • 200

                                    #122
                                    Thank you to Wallco99 among others who are running/have run this in the past. Thanks to hsvankie for posting V1 and V2 plays. I have found a 2015-16 NBA schedule thanks to RotoGuru2 that I was able to show the V3 plays before any filters might be applied. If this might be helpful for others, great, otherwise I'll try to delete the post, if possible.

                                    Comment
                                    • J.M. Disciple
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-16-10
                                      • 5143

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                      Cha (A) +4 @ DAL
                                      $$$
                                      Comment
                                      • Kev the Brit
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-09
                                        • 2027

                                        #124
                                        Morrison 2014-15 Season - Results & Profit/Loss Statement

                                        Currently Published Morrison System:
                                        (3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)

                                        V1 Summary
                                        Series scheduled: 68
                                        Series void: 9 (#1, #26, #61, #72, #106, #119, #131, #133, #161: won (SU) all preceding road games in conference)
                                        Series filtered out: 5 (#13, #14, #48, #64, #138: worst road teams)
                                        Series completed: 54
                                        Series stopped: 0
                                        Completed series results:
                                        A Bets: 29-25
                                        B Bets: 19-6
                                        C Bets: 5-1
                                        Unit P/L:
                                        53 series won = +53.00 (3 PB, 3 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 2 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 45 ATS )
                                        0 series stopped = -00.00
                                        1 series lost = -34.35 (ML, PB, ML)
                                        V1 Total P/L = +18.65 units

                                        V2 Summary
                                        Series scheduled: 30
                                        Series filtered out: 5 (#9, #46: worst road teams; #110: best road team; #31, #51: MEP injured)
                                        Series completed: 25
                                        Series stopped: 0
                                        Completed series results:
                                        A Bets: 16-9
                                        B Bets: 6-3
                                        C Bets: 3-0
                                        Unit P/L:
                                        25 series won = +25.00 (1 PB, 1 PB & 1 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 22 ATS)
                                        0 series stopped = -00.00
                                        0 series lost = -00.00
                                        V2 Total P/L = +25.00 units
                                        V2 Summary

                                        V3 Summary
                                        Series scheduled: 80
                                        Series filtered out: 8 (#19, #50, #60, #84, #120, #140: worst road teams; #40, #43 MEP injured)
                                        Series completed: 72
                                        Series stopped: 0
                                        Completed series results:
                                        A Bets: 53-19
                                        B Bets: 13-6
                                        C Bets: 5-1
                                        Unit P/L:
                                        71 series won = +71.00 (3 PB, 3 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 3 PB - but would have won series ATS anyway, 44 ATS )
                                        0 series stopped = -00.00
                                        1 series lost = -23.08 (PB, ML, ML)
                                        V3 Total P/L = +44.48 units

                                        All Versions Summary
                                        Series scheduled: 178
                                        Series void: 9 (see above)
                                        Series filtered out: 18 (see above)
                                        Series completed: 151
                                        Series stopped: 0
                                        Completed series results:
                                        A Bets: 98-53
                                        B Bets: 38-15
                                        C Bets: 13-2
                                        Unit P/L:
                                        149 series won = +149.00 (7 PB, 6 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 4 PB & 3 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 129 ATS).
                                        0 stopped = -00.00
                                        2 series lost = -60.87

                                        Currently Published Morrison System Total P/L for the 2014-15 season: +88.13 units

                                        Kev's V1 Recovery Plan would have successfully increased the above total to 112.21 units
                                        -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System (subject to confirmation/comment by Wallco)
                                        All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91

                                        Series scheduled: 178
                                        Series void: 11 (#1, #26, #36, #61, #72, #106, #114, #119, #131, #133, #161: didn't lose heavily ATS all preceding road games in conference)
                                        Series completed: 167
                                        Completed series results:
                                        A: 92-73-2. 92 series won @ 1 unit; 2 series stopped (A Bet push) = +92.00 units
                                        B: 43-30. 43 series won @ 7 units = +301.00 units
                                        C: 15-15. 15 series won @ 5 units = +75.00 units; 15 series lost @ -26.52 units = -397.80 units. C Bet total = -322.80 units
                                        Unit P/L:
                                        A Bets: +92.00
                                        B Bets: +301.00
                                        C Bets: -322.80

                                        Morrison 1-7-5 System Total P/L for the season so far; 11/1 to 3/7: +70.20 units
                                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                        * Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kev the Brit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-09
                                          • 2027

                                          #125
                                          Hi Guys, The above post is an overview of last year's stats. I have a spreadsheet with more details available but I cannot post it because my online SBR Forum attachments box is full and I cannot delete anything in there, which is a royal pain in the @rse. I can send someone the spreadsheet by e-mail and that person can then attach it to a post here. Please PM me if you wish to be the go-between. All confidential of course.

                                          Lets have a good season,
                                          Kev
                                          Comment
                                          • pinchegringo
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-15-14
                                            • 734

                                            #126
                                            Kev you British Hero THANK YOU!!

                                            Follow up, can that be explained further?

                                            I assume series scheduled is how many 3 game road trips are scheduled in the NBA and each series receives a number in order of when they start.

                                            Then I assume that each version filters some series out for different reasons which are stated directly after listing which series is filtered.


                                            Did I understand all that correctly?
                                            Comment
                                            • pinchegringo
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-15-14
                                              • 734

                                              #127
                                              Last thing, you show records for A, B, C bets but I thought this thread was a 4 game chase? At least last season?
                                              Comment
                                              • chilidog
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-05-09
                                                • 10305

                                                #128
                                                I told you yesterday we'll start this season 3-0, and we exactly did just that! Great job on another win tonight. Even though Charlotte were the underdogs coming into the game and playing on the road against a supposedly superior foe, they had absolutely no problems dismantling their opponent by a blow out margin of 14 points.

                                                It's just simply the magic of the NBA Betting System exploding before your very eyes! We are now a perfect 3-0 to start the 2015-16 NBA season, with no end to this mind blowing perfect winning streak anywhere in sight!

                                                We have a couple more system bets coming up. Let's make it 5-0! Here are the upcoming system bet(s):

                                                Detroit Pistons {A} bet - Official Bet

                                                Los Angeles Lakers {A} bet - It's early in the season, but note that Lakers currently has a 0% win rate in its road record. The system says to pass on betting on the worst road record teams.

                                                Now, keep in mind the following points for our NBA system bets:

                                                - Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
                                                - Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
                                                - If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.

                                                Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
                                                Comment
                                                • Brundle99
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                  • 295

                                                  #129
                                                  Great post Chilidog,

                                                  Isn't there also a rule for the NBA system, whereby we don't bet on a team that is #1 on RPI table?.

                                                  Detroit are currently #1.

                                                  Hope someone can clarify if this is right or wrong.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chilidog
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                    • 10305

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Brundle99
                                                    Great post Chilidog,

                                                    Isn't there also a rule for the NBA system, whereby we don't bet on a team that is #1 on RPI table?.

                                                    Detroit are currently #1.

                                                    Hope someone can clarify if this is right or wrong.
                                                    I'm not aware of that rule, I just copied and pasted the email from Tony's team (since Tony is now incarcerated in a federal prison).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • oilcountry99
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 08-29-10
                                                      • 707

                                                      #131
                                                      What's Kevs V1 recovery plan mentioned in post #124?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                        • 2027

                                                        #132
                                                        Attached below is the pdf detailing the Currently Published Morrison System Rules.

                                                        Do not confuse the Currently Published Morrison System with the Morrison 1-7-5 System or the Chase110 System.
                                                        Attached Files
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kev the Brit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-09
                                                          • 2027

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by oilcountry99
                                                          What's Kevs V1 recovery plan mentioned in post #124?
                                                          Its my mini-system that I bring out immediately after a V1 (point buy) series fails. In essence you bet to win back the lost stakes plus the target unit over the next 5 V1 series. V1 (point buy) series losses are very rare, so the chance of a 2nd V1 series failure within such a short period is insignificant.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stickbit
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 03-09-08
                                                            • 265

                                                            #134
                                                            hey guys does anyone have an a / b / c game breakdown of previous seasons for 1-7-5? I know its posted somewhere, but can't find it. any help is appreciated. thanks.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • grillzboy224
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-26-14
                                                              • 353

                                                              #135
                                                              There's so many different rules in here, and that's really confusing, especially when it's this way of betting, and then that way, and then this way again. I'd love to follow, and I understand the basic rules, but it's really confusing when there's like 3 different ways of doing it floating around.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-09
                                                                • 2027

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Brundle99
                                                                Great post Chilidog,

                                                                Isn't there also a rule for the NBA system, whereby we don't bet on a team that is #1 on RPI table?.

                                                                Detroit are currently #1.

                                                                Hope someone can clarify if this is right or wrong.
                                                                That is correct. See the pdf I posted earlier today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • grillzboy224
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-26-14
                                                                  • 353

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                  Attached below is the pdf detailing the Currently Published Morrison System Rules.

                                                                  Do not confuse the Currently Published Morrison System with the Morrison 1-7-5 System or the Chase110 System.
                                                                  Hey Kev! I really like your system. No way you just post your plays? It's not about being lazy. It's just confusing with 3 different systems in here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kev the Brit
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-25-09
                                                                    • 2027

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by zxc
                                                                    Hi Kev, are you going to run 1-7-5 for this season?
                                                                    Yes, but I need someone to post the schedule
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • grillzboy224
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 02-26-14
                                                                      • 353

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Kev, I've read the pdf and I am currently using other xls files in this thread to create ones for your system. Will post here when I'm finished.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TwoCats
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 07-14-12
                                                                        • 227

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by chilidog
                                                                        ... since Tony is now incarcerated in a federal prison ...
                                                                        Good to hear.

                                                                        I had been trying to find out about that - do you have any further info?
                                                                        Comment
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