2015-16 JM NBA Thread

[glittergold]

Anyone have a good bankroll management system?

Hahaha that's easy. Don't bet.

[Igor_1965]

lol

[cmdyrds]

checking in. did anyone do a spreadsheet yet as to the plays? thanks in advance.

[imotiv8]

Hahaha that's easy. Don't bet.

Obviously you bet or you wouldn't be on this thread

[Joey10]

Checking in

[hsvankie]

I got V1 and V2 plays without filters or anything. Just the dates and games. It is a sheet from last years thread that I have updated but like I said not completed. I hope these are the right plays I added

[li]

Hi, what filters in general exist for NBA?

[Wallco99]

Hi, what filters in general exist for NBA?

Five players per team allowed on court at any given time.
Four twelve minute quarters, with unlimited overtimes if necessary.
Six fouls, a player has to leave game.
Team with most points wins.
Referees are NOT allowed to wager on games they are officiating.
And of course, Brita, the official water filter of the NBA.

[hagball52]

Five players per team allowed on court at any given time.
Four twelve minute quarters, with unlimited overtimes if necessary.
Six fouls, a player has to leave game.
Team with most points wins.
Referees are NOT allowed to wager on games they are officiating.
And of course, Brita, the official water filter of the NBA.

You may be banged up a bit but still retain your sense of humor.

[TwoCats]

You may be banged up a bit but still retain your sense of humor.

Wallco,

What have you been doing that you should not have?

[EasyPicks]

check

[Wallco99]

Wallco,

What have you been doing that you should not have?

Took a fall off scaffold, dropped straight to floor. Busted up feet and shoulders. Doing a lot of painful crawling and temporary wheelchair til bones heal. Really sucks, but have to make the best of it. Humor is all I've got at the moment. That and the fact that I hate filters. LOL.

[TwoCats]

Took a fall off scaffold, dropped straight to floor. Busted up feet and shoulders. Doing a lot of painful crawling and temporary wheelchair til bones heal. Really sucks, but have to make the best of it. Humor is all I've got at the moment. That and the fact that I hate filters. LOL.

I blame Newton - he "invented" gravity. It causes aircraft problems as well (which is what I thought might have happened).

Take it easy and get well!

[Wallco99]

I blame Newton - he "invented" gravity. It causes aircraft problems as well (which is what I thought might have happened).

Take it easy and get well!

Fortunately not that, several people have thought that. Helo still safe in the hanger but I won't be flying it for a while. I don't know what's more painful, these injuries or watching my Eagles play.
Damn Newton!

[hsvankie]

Kev do you have an update on the stats for the original jm system? Would be great to know before the season starts.

Thank you

[greally311]

Not even sure if this will be posted in this thread, but I saw it mentioned previously. How does the Chase 110 system work? SU and ATS losers of 3 straight, then chase for 4 games until you record a Win to earn +1 unit...All favorites take moneyline?

[Wallco99]

Skyscrapers set up a temporary thread for Chase 110 until I am healed enough to resume posting my system.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/3164275-wallcos-chase-110-a.html

I am not sure if he is putting it in this thread as well, but for now, it can be found in the link above.

[zxc]

Hi Kev, are you going to run 1-7-5 for this season?

[J.M. Disciple]

Not sure if we skip teams where their opening game begins a 3 game road trip. If not I think DAL & UTA are both (A) tomorrow.

[zxc]

Just a quick question regarding 1-7-5. Basically we play any team who begins a 3 game road trip right?

[Wallco99]

Just a quick question regarding 1-7-5. Basically we play any team who begins a 3 game road trip right?

Yep.

[md3324]

The schedule shows Utah is a play tonight but does not have Dallas. Is Dallas a play? They are starting a three game road trip.

[zxc]

Yep.

Thanks Wallco! But if I remembered correctly, we skip series that starts on October right?

[Wallco99]

Thanks Wallco! But if I remembered correctly, we skip series that starts on October right?

In my 1-7-5, we play NO SERIES that begin in October. This is really the only filter.

Also, for the past two seasons, it seemed that the 1-7-5 kicked ass for a while, until almost the halfway point of the season. At this time the past two years, several grouped losses occurred, and I began fading the system for the remainder of the season, doing extremely well. I don't know if this is a perennial thing or not, but over the last two years, it ended up being very rewarding for me fading, while the standard 1-7-5 took a shit by season's end.

[Wallco99]

Wallco 1-7-5 Bet Strategy For JM NBA (With NO (A) Bet Filters)


My plays were based on the following criteria:



1. We will play all JM series, with no 3 ½ point (A) bet filter, until we win series or take a loss on (C) bet, with the exception of the following cases: We will play no series that begin in October, or if our (A) bet pushes ATS, the series is over at that point and we will not continue on to (B). Any other situation, we play all series out.
2. If our (B) or (C) bet pushes, we will play the next game in rotation as our (B) or (C) bet that pushed then finish out the series on the following bet if necessary. At times, this may require the (C) bet to be played during a home game after the road trip, but no negative results have become of this strategy in the 10 year test.
3. We will include ALL the JM v1 bonus plays which become official in any series that starts in-conference and finishes with at least three consecutive out of conference games, provided ALL the in-conference games were lost by more than 3 points ATS, as per JM rules in his .pdf.
4. WE WILL PLAY ALL GAMES ATS AND NEVER BUY POINTS OR PLAY THE M/L.
5. We are playing to WIN 1 unit profit on (A) bets, 7 units profit on (B) bets, and 5 units profit on (C) bets. So the (A) bet wager will be RISK 1.10 units to WIN 1 unit. The (B) bet wager will be RISK 8.91 units to WIN 8.10 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the 7 units profit for a (B) bet wager). The (C) bet wager will be Risk 16.51 units to WIN 15.01 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the amount we lost in (B), 8.91 units plus the 5 units profit for a (C) bet wager. A loss in this strategy will cost -26.52 unit
6. Covers.com was used for all backtest results and will be the official lines for this bet strategy.


** Keep in mind, as stated in my earlier post, fading has been more profitable for the second half over the past two seasons. Not saying it will again, but if a string of losses start to chip away at your profits, don't be afraid to make the switch.

[analyzer]

I did quite a bit of searching this morning and am coming up short in finding this so I'm just going to ask. Does anyone know the 1-7-5 record for the 2013-2014 season? I see in thread were Kev posted games but don't see anything to indicate the overall + or - for the system for the season. Thanks!

[hsvankie]

Would be interested in the stats by games too. a bet win rate etc.

So, on sunday would be V1 San Antonio and V2 Orlando right?

[imotiv8]

I started the Utah series, hope it doesn't make me regret it. Forgot about waiting till November

[hsvankie]

I forgot the Utah game on the a bet... Thinking about playing the b bet today.

[Andy3568]

There was a Dallas series that started in October (Version 3), but it won on the "A" bet. I forgot about waiting 'til November as well.

[J.M. Disciple]

utah (b) -7.5 vs phi.

[J.M. Disciple]

no play 10/31

[Kev the Brit]

Hi guys, I had an honest intention a few days ago to post the analysis of last season but something more important came before I could do so. I am now currently away from home until Tue 11/3. I will post the data before next Friday.

Kev

[randelltorres]

We start the 3 game chase with spurs tomorrow right?

[Andy3568]

We start the 3 game chase with spurs tomorrow right?

The Spurs start a V1 series, and the Magic start a V2 series.