What choas!
2015-16 JM NBA Thread
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Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#106Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#108I wish I had the strength to organize this for you guys, but I can't even run my systems at the moment.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5143
#109no play 11/4Comment -
CapybaraSBR Posting Legend
- 08-17-08
- 11803
#110Maybe what this thread needs is an adult table and a kids' table?In other words, those of you who've been doing this awhile, who understand all the machinations of this stuff, you guys go ahead and speak to each other in all this complicated JM parlance in the thread... At the same time, the mental 6-year-olds like myself will just sit and play and stare at you blank-faced while you talk your grown-up talk.
Then, if one of you adults would be so kind as to clearly and slowly spell out the actual final plays to us kids, we will nod and smile and place our bets and eat the rest of our ice cream cake.Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#111Maybe what this thread needs is an adult table and a kids' table?In other words, those of you who've been doing this awhile, who understand all the machinations of this stuff, you guys go ahead and speak to each other in all this complicated JM parlance in the thread... At the same time, the mental 6-year-olds like myself will just sit and play and stare at you blank-faced while you talk your grown-up talk.
Then, if one of you adults would be so kind as to clearly and slowly spell out the actual final plays to us kids, we will nod and smile and place our bets and eat the rest of our ice cream cake.Comment -
CapybaraSBR Posting Legend
- 08-17-08
- 11803
#112
Sorry if I offended, I meant the opposite. I appreciate you guys who put time into systems that work over time.Comment -
NZT-48SBR Wise Guy
- 05-29-11
- 522
#113Naw Capybara - pay them no mind - thats why I havent been on here in a yr - if you ask a nice question then you are suddenly called out haha
Its par for the course on this site - sbr is useful for little things - its best to not ask too many questions Capybara or its an attack of the assholes marathon haha
And can anyone step up and post a new pdf file for the full v1-3 NBA schedule like Wallco did last yr - kudos to him for that it certainly was a help and it was accurate too thanks mate =))
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Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#114Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#115Naw Capybara - pay them no mind - thats why I havent been on here in a yr - if you ask a nice question then you are suddenly called out haha
Its par for the course on this site - sbr is useful for little things - its best to not ask too many questions Capybara or its an attack of the assholes marathon haha
And can anyone step up and post a new pdf file for the full v1-3 NBA schedule like Wallco did last yr - kudos to him for that it certainly was a help and it was accurate too thanks mate =))Comment -
pinchegringoSBR Wise Guy
- 03-15-14
- 734
#117I have been lied to, there is no ice cream cake at the kids tableComment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#118Charlotte+4 @ Dallas V1, looks to be the only play tonight for JM NBA. I'll look into creating an updated spreadsheet for 2015 for this system for all versions (V1, V2, and V3).Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5143
#119Cha (A) +4 @ DALComment -
md3324SBR Hustler
- 05-24-14
- 62
#120I made a schedule including the bonus plays but don't know when ill have time to type it up. Until then...
November V3 (A) plays:
11/13: CLE @ nyk
11/13: POR @ mem
11/14: DEN @ pho
11/17: MIL @ was
11/20: PHI @ cha
11/20: PHO @ den
11/22: DAL @ okc
11/25: NO @ pho
11/29: BOS @ orl
December V3 (A) plays:
12/12: NO @ chi
12/13: PHI @ tor
12/14: TOR @ ind
12/14: HOU @ den
12/18: DET @ chi
12/23: NYK @ cle
12/23: DEN @ pho
12/28: BRK @ mia
12/28: ATL @ ind
12/30: PHO @ san
I will be using closing lines from scoresandodds.com to determine win/loss/push. I also have potential bonus plays and will post them if and when they qualify.Last edited by md3324; 11-05-15, 06:32 PM.Comment -
cinaj05SBR Sharp
- 01-12-10
- 325
#121I made a schedule including the bonus plays but don't know when ill have time to type it up. Until then...
November V3 (A) plays:
11/13: CLE @ nyk
11/13: POR @ mem
11/14: DEN @ pho
11/17: MIL @ was
11/20: PHI @ cha
11/20: PHO @ den
11/22: DAL @ okc
11/25: NO @ pho
11/29: BOS @ orl
December V3 (A) plays:
12/12: NO @ chi
12/13: PHI @ tor
12/14: TOR @ ind
12/14: HOU @ den
12/18: DET @ chi
12/23: NYK @ cle
12/23: DEN @ pho
12/28: BRK @ mia
12/28: ATL @ ind
12/30: PHO @ san
I will be using closing lines from covers.com to determine win/loss/push. I also have potential bonus plays and will post them if and when they qualify.Comment -
hoescj01SBR High Roller
- 12-23-09
- 200
#122Thank you to Wallco99 among others who are running/have run this in the past. Thanks to hsvankie for posting V1 and V2 plays. I have found a 2015-16 NBA schedule thanks to RotoGuru2 that I was able to show the V3 plays before any filters might be applied. If this might be helpful for others, great, otherwise I'll try to delete the post, if possible.
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Kev the BritSBR MVP
- 10-25-09
- 2027
#124Morrison 2014-15 Season - Results & Profit/Loss Statement
Currently Published Morrison System:
(3 point buy* all bets @ odds -185/1.54)
V1 Summary
Series scheduled: 68
Series void: 9 (#1, #26, #61, #72, #106, #119, #131, #133, #161: won (SU) all preceding road games in conference)
Series filtered out: 5 (#13, #14, #48, #64, #138: worst road teams)
Series completed: 54
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 29-25
B Bets: 19-6
C Bets: 5-1
Unit P/L:
53 series won = +53.00 (3 PB, 3 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 2 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 45 ATS )
0 series stopped = -00.00
1 series lost = -34.35 (ML, PB, ML)
V1 Total P/L = +18.65 units
V2 Summary
Series scheduled: 30
Series filtered out: 5 (#9, #46: worst road teams; #110: best road team; #31, #51: MEP injured)
Series completed: 25
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 16-9
B Bets: 6-3
C Bets: 3-0
Unit P/L:
25 series won = +25.00 (1 PB, 1 PB & 1 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 22 ATS)
0 series stopped = -00.00
0 series lost = -00.00
V2 Total P/L = +25.00 units
V2 Summary
V3 Summary
Series scheduled: 80
Series filtered out: 8 (#19, #50, #60, #84, #120, #140: worst road teams; #40, #43 MEP injured)
Series completed: 72
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 53-19
B Bets: 13-6
C Bets: 5-1
Unit P/L:
71 series won = +71.00 (3 PB, 3 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 3 PB - but would have won series ATS anyway, 44 ATS )
0 series stopped = -00.00
1 series lost = -23.08 (PB, ML, ML)
V3 Total P/L = +44.48 units
All Versions Summary
Series scheduled: 178
Series void: 9 (see above)
Series filtered out: 18 (see above)
Series completed: 151
Series stopped: 0
Completed series results:
A Bets: 98-53
B Bets: 38-15
C Bets: 13-2
Unit P/L:
149 series won = +149.00 (7 PB, 6 ML - but would have won series PB anyway, 4 PB & 3 ML - but would have won series ATS anyway, 129 ATS).
0 stopped = -00.00
2 series lost = -60.87
Currently Published Morrison System Total P/L for the 2014-15 season: +88.13 units
Kev's V1 Recovery Plan would have successfully increased the above total to 112.21 units
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Morrison 1-7-5 System (subject to confirmation/comment by Wallco)
All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91
Series scheduled: 178
Series void: 11 (#1, #26, #36, #61, #72, #106, #114, #119, #131, #133, #161: didn't lose heavily ATS all preceding road games in conference)
Series completed: 167
Completed series results:
A: 92-73-2. 92 series won @ 1 unit; 2 series stopped (A Bet push) = +92.00 units
B: 43-30. 43 series won @ 7 units = +301.00 units
C: 15-15. 15 series won @ 5 units = +75.00 units; 15 series lost @ -26.52 units = -397.80 units. C Bet total = -322.80 units
Unit P/L:
A Bets: +92.00
B Bets: +301.00
C Bets: -322.80
Morrison 1-7-5 System Total P/L for the season so far; 11/1 to 3/7: +70.20 units
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* Always buy 3 points with the Currently Published Morrison System, except when the selected team is -3 ATS or greater, in which case the ML is the official bet. Alternatively, the bettor may reduce the bet amount, or buy 3 points or stop the series at that point. However, the ML result will be the official system bet for the record.Comment -
Kev the BritSBR MVP
- 10-25-09
- 2027
#125Hi Guys, The above post is an overview of last year's stats. I have a spreadsheet with more details available but I cannot post it because my online SBR Forum attachments box is full and I cannot delete anything in there, which is a royal pain in the @rse. I can send someone the spreadsheet by e-mail and that person can then attach it to a post here. Please PM me if you wish to be the go-between. All confidential of course.
Lets have a good season,
KevComment -
pinchegringoSBR Wise Guy
- 03-15-14
- 734
#126Kev you British Hero THANK YOU!!
Follow up, can that be explained further?
I assume series scheduled is how many 3 game road trips are scheduled in the NBA and each series receives a number in order of when they start.
Then I assume that each version filters some series out for different reasons which are stated directly after listing which series is filtered.
Did I understand all that correctly?Comment -
pinchegringoSBR Wise Guy
- 03-15-14
- 734
#127Last thing, you show records for A, B, C bets but I thought this thread was a 4 game chase? At least last season?Comment -
chilidogSBR Posting Legend
- 04-05-09
- 10305
#128I told you yesterday we'll start this season 3-0, and we exactly did just that! Great job on another win tonight. Even though Charlotte were the underdogs coming into the game and playing on the road against a supposedly superior foe, they had absolutely no problems dismantling their opponent by a blow out margin of 14 points.
It's just simply the magic of the NBA Betting System exploding before your very eyes! We are now a perfect 3-0 to start the 2015-16 NBA season, with no end to this mind blowing perfect winning streak anywhere in sight!
We have a couple more system bets coming up. Let's make it 5-0! Here are the upcoming system bet(s):
Detroit Pistons {A} bet - Official Bet
Los Angeles Lakers {A} bet - It's early in the season, but note that Lakers currently has a 0% win rate in its road record. The system says to pass on betting on the worst road record teams.
Now, keep in mind the following points for our NBA system bets:
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
- If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
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Brundle99SBR Sharp
- 10-23-10
- 295
#129Great post Chilidog,
Isn't there also a rule for the NBA system, whereby we don't bet on a team that is #1 on RPI table?.
Detroit are currently #1.
Hope someone can clarify if this is right or wrong.Comment -
chilidogSBR Posting Legend
- 04-05-09
- 10305
#130I'm not aware of that rule, I just copied and pasted the email from Tony's team (since Tony is now incarcerated in a federal prison).Comment -
oilcountry99SBR Wise Guy
- 08-29-10
- 707
#131What's Kevs V1 recovery plan mentioned in post #124?Comment -
Kev the BritSBR MVP
- 10-25-09
- 2027
#132Attached below is the pdf detailing the Currently Published Morrison System Rules.
Do not confuse the Currently Published Morrison System with the Morrison 1-7-5 System or the Chase110 System.Attached FilesComment -
Kev the BritSBR MVP
- 10-25-09
- 2027
#133Its my mini-system that I bring out immediately after a V1 (point buy) series fails. In essence you bet to win back the lost stakes plus the target unit over the next 5 V1 series. V1 (point buy) series losses are very rare, so the chance of a 2nd V1 series failure within such a short period is insignificant.Comment -
stickbitSBR Sharp
- 03-09-08
- 265
#134hey guys does anyone have an a / b / c game breakdown of previous seasons for 1-7-5? I know its posted somewhere, but can't find it. any help is appreciated. thanks.Comment -
grillzboy224SBR Sharp
- 02-26-14
- 353
#135There's so many different rules in here, and that's really confusing, especially when it's this way of betting, and then that way, and then this way again. I'd love to follow, and I understand the basic rules, but it's really confusing when there's like 3 different ways of doing it floating around.Comment -
Kev the BritSBR MVP
- 10-25-09
- 2027
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grillzboy224SBR Sharp
- 02-26-14
- 353
#137Hey Kev! I really like your system. No way you just post your plays? It's not about being lazy. It's just confusing with 3 different systems in here.Comment -
grillzboy224SBR Sharp
- 02-26-14
- 353
#139Kev, I've read the pdf and I am currently using other xls files in this thread to create ones for your system. Will post here when I'm finished.Comment
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