Leans for April Fool's Day

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  • Vreston
    SBR MVP
    • 03-12-09
    • 1428

    #71
    Originally posted by cocknocker
    I am adding the Celtics HEAVY to my playbook for the day. My explanation is on my big board. I am going to wait it out and see if i can play them at -7.5 by buying a point.

    Hey CK
    The online betting service I use has the Celtics at -8.5 and I can't buy points with them. Would you still go heavy with -8.5 or should I stay off?
    Your opinion is much appreciated.

    Hope to rebound off a terrible night yesterday. How bout them Nuggets!

    Thanks.
    Comment
    • UndersSuck
      SBR Hustler
      • 12-16-08
      • 86

      #72
      Anyone like the Hornets (-3.5) @ LAC tonight? NO is 8-2 ATS in the last 3 yrs vs LAC. Last 5 meetings the hornets have pasted the Clip show by
      27
      12
      22
      19
      14
      ALL ATS WINS! No Camby and possibly no B. Davis for the Clippers as well. -3.5 looks juicy!
      Comment
      • whatisit
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-25-09
        • 319

        #73
        ^^ David West is a game time decision for tonight and BD is expected to play for the LAC.

        David West (ankle) will be a game-time decision for Wednesday's matchup with the Clippers.
        He played through the injury (and scored 40 points) on Tuesday, so there's certainly reason to be optimistic that he'll play. Check back for more info on his status prior to tipoff.
        Baron Davis (strained calf, stomach ulcer) practiced the last two days and is expected to play on Wednesday.
        Comment
        • stakagrp
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-05-09
          • 237

          #74
          I want to get the board's opinion on which is a better moneline parlay for an outright win. I'm not extremely concerned about the value rather than needing just a straightup win by the teams picked. Please share your thoughts and thanks. Oh and if there is another ML parlay you guys would like to put together please do so.

          A) Orlando, Boston, Lakers
          B) Orlando, Boston, Golden St.
          C) Orlando, Lakers, Golden St.
          D) Boston, Lakers, Golden St.
          Comment
          • TheLemonDropKid
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-09
            • 1501

            #75
            Originally posted by stakagrp
            I want to get the board's opinion on which is a better moneline parlay for an outright win. I'm not extremely concerned about the value rather than needing just a straightup win by the teams picked. Please share your thoughts and thanks. Oh and if there is another ML parlay you guys would like to put together please do so.

            A) Orlando, Boston, Lakers
            B) Orlando, Boston, Golden St.
            C) Orlando, Lakers, Golden St.
            D) Boston, Lakers, Golden St.

            I would go with A) out of these 4........
            Comment
            • RoagBettor
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-20-09
              • 8355

              #76
              The question is can the Lakers lose 3 in a row on this trip. A healthy Celtics team lost 3 out of 4 on their West Coast trip in late December. I think the Lakers will take it tonight, but I like Orlando and Boston better.
              Comment
              • stakagrp
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-05-09
                • 237

                #77
                Originally posted by UndersSuck
                Anyone like the Hornets (-3.5) @ LAC tonight? NO is 8-2 ATS in the last 3 yrs vs LAC. Last 5 meetings the hornets have pasted the Clip show by
                27
                12
                22
                19
                14
                ALL ATS WINS! No Camby and possibly no B. Davis for the Clippers as well. -3.5 looks juicy!
                I don't think NO is such a wise play. They're not the same team as last year and are having trouble down the stretch with injuries. The NO team last year played great with a lot of energy and smashed on other teams. This year they're just getting by in a lot of games. They played a tough game last night against a weak team and won by a buzzer beater. Last nights game had a lot of running involved and with travel on a b2b, I think the Clippers might be able to win this outright. The Clippers have a healthy squad with the exception of Camby who is out and B. Davis as probable, which most likely means that he will play. They've been playing well in front of their home crowd and are well rested with a lot of young players logging in minutes. Young players such as Gordon, Thorton, and Taylor are stepping up to the challenge and then you have Fred Jones and Novak making them 3's. After doing this writeup I think I'm going to lay something on the Clips because I think I just convinced myself in doing so. Rarely would I ever lay anything on this team, but I think they have a chance with NO tired from last nights game and on b2b shorthanded.
                Comment
                • stakagrp
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 237

                  #78
                  I appreciate your pick Lemon and your thoughts on this Roag. I do like Orlando and Boston, but a little scared with Lakers lately and not too sure on GSW. In my mind I can't see Lakers losing 3 in a row especially to Milwaukee, but at the same time they're just the type of team you can't exactly trust plus they've been on a long road trip without rest on a b2b. On the other side I don't exactly trust GSW either, but they do play better at home and they're playing against Sactown who just played a tough game last night with travel and on b2b. They should be tired and in order for them to win they're going to have to outrun and outgun GSW. The only reason I like choice B better is the home field factor. Ok its either going to be A or B. Anyone else wanna share there thoughts?
                  Comment
                  • UndersSuck
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 12-16-08
                    • 86

                    #79
                    Stakagrp...

                    I hear what you are saying. Maybe more than anything, I just have a hard time siding with the Clip Show!! Thanks for your thoughts.
                    Comment
                    • mkchung
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-20-09
                      • 127

                      #80
                      stakagrp, although going against the warriors at home is always tough, be mindful of the fact that they have a short bench with all the injuries.
                      Comment
                      • JamesBrown
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-07-08
                        • 3860

                        #81
                        Originally posted by stakagrp
                        I want to get the board's opinion on which is a better moneline parlay for an outright win. I'm not extremely concerned about the value rather than needing just a straightup win by the teams picked. Please share your thoughts and thanks. Oh and if there is another ML parlay you guys would like to put together please do so.

                        A) Orlando, Boston, Lakers
                        B) Orlando, Boston, Golden St.
                        C) Orlando, Lakers, Golden St.
                        D) Boston, Lakers, Golden St.
                        E) Boston, Lakers, Dallas I think it gets +140ish
                        Comment
                        • stakagrp
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 237

                          #82
                          Ok I'm definitely going to exclude the warriors although I think they have a shot and maybe Vegas thinks so too with the big chalk. I am now thinking of Dallas because they do well playing at home against Miami, but this might be a tough game.
                          Comment
                          • Lunakid7
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 58

                            #83
                            What do you guys think of:

                            5 Team ML Parlay
                            Magic
                            Pistons
                            Grizzles
                            Mavs
                            Hornets

                            5 Team 5 Point Teaser
                            Magic -4.5
                            Bobcats +13.5
                            Pistons +6.5
                            Lakers -2.5
                            Grizzles +2.5
                            Comment
                            • Karayilan9
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-10-09
                              • 3742

                              #84
                              Orlando 1Q
                              Boston 1Q
                              Lakers 1 Q
                              Dallas 1Q
                              Comment
                              • RoagBettor
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-20-09
                                • 8355

                                #85
                                Luna, both are risky but good luck if you play them. 4 out of your 5 ML teams could lose SU tonight (I think Orlando will win).

                                There just aren't many good games to choose from tonight, every game could pretty much go either way.
                                Comment
                                • peterpan19
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-02-08
                                  • 3377

                                  #86
                                  all games locked in today:
                                  Tor +6 1H (bought .5)
                                  Char +9 (played earlier)
                                  Det +1.5
                                  Mia +6 (bought .5)
                                  Pho -1.5

                                  also throwing some change on Mil +7 and Was +3

                                  GL
                                  Comment
                                  • RoagBettor
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-20-09
                                    • 8355

                                    #87
                                    Playing a 6 team "Roag" Parlay tonight also:

                                    ORLANDO -7.5
                                    BOSTON -6.5
                                    LAKERS -5
                                    MEMPHIS -.5
                                    DALLAS -3.5
                                    HOU/PHO UNDER 225.5

                                    $60 to win $1226.01
                                    Comment
                                    • Pajda
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-25-09
                                      • 1385

                                      #88
                                      10 points teaser for today:

                                      Boston Celtics +1½

                                      Los Angeles Lakers +3

                                      Memphis Grizzlies +7½

                                      Orlando Magic Pick
                                      Comment
                                      • shoebox
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-26-08
                                        • 5710

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by stakagrp
                                        Ok I'm definitely going to exclude the warriors although I think they have a shot and maybe Vegas thinks so too with the big chalk. I am now thinking of Dallas because they do well playing at home against Miami, but this might be a tough game.

                                        warriors is the play imo, I would exclude the lakers. You gotta realize vegas wants you on the sexier team (Lakers)

                                        GL tonite
                                        Comment
                                        • RoagBettor
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-20-09
                                          • 8355

                                          #90
                                          Lakers line just moved to -7 on Bookmaker. I'm thinking Phil has the troops riled up (no pun intended).
                                          Comment
                                          • cocknocker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-06-08
                                            • 8001

                                            #91
                                            I played Boston at -7.5
                                            Comment
                                            • cocknocker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 8001

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Vreston
                                              Hey CK
                                              The online betting service I use has the Celtics at -8.5 and I can't buy points with them. Would you still go heavy with -8.5 or should I stay off?
                                              Your opinion is much appreciated.

                                              Hope to rebound off a terrible night yesterday. How bout them Nuggets!

                                              Thanks.
                                              I believe that they will beat the Bobcats by 10, so yes
                                              Comment
                                              • Jimbo42
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-04-09
                                                • 2076

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by shoebox
                                                warriors is the play imo, I would exclude the lakers. You gotta realize vegas wants you on the sexier team (Lakers)

                                                GL tonite
                                                I'm looking at the Warriors too.... haven't booked it yet tho
                                                Comment
                                                • natelli1
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-01-08
                                                  • 251

                                                  #94
                                                  CK, i take your picks into consideration everyday you post here, but i can see the bobcats covering this spread easy, maybe even squeeking out a win in boston, so im going to do a small ML play on the bobcats .. but good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BmoreBucco
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-10-08
                                                    • 278

                                                    #95
                                                    Prop of the Day:

                                                    Charlotte will go all out tonight fighting for that first ever playoff spot which means a whole bunch of minutes for Gerald Wallace. Add tothat the lack of shot blockers with Boston's injuries and I'll go with...

                                                    Gerald Wallace over 20.5 points (+110)

                                                    Also booked:

                                                    Lakers 1Q -2

                                                    Toronto 1H +5.5

                                                    and chump change parlay:

                                                    [503] CHARLOTTE +8½-110
                                                    [505] TOTAL o186½-110 (DETROIT vrs NEW JERSEY)
                                                    [510] MEMPHIS -2-120 (B+½)
                                                    [56] TOTAL u6+120 (PHILADELPHIA vrs TORONTO)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mixpicks
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-09-09
                                                      • 280

                                                      #96
                                                      all these Pars and Teasers, WOW Looks Like A Lot of people here are going for the HOMERUN, and with the bases coming right up Why Not, (I Quess) Best Of Luck!

                                                      To the guy with all the fav. in the 6teamer IMO Should Also Play, 1 or 2 str8 the other way with the PTS, Like Maybe TORONTO+10'
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dre3000
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-07-09
                                                        • 187

                                                        #97
                                                        Can someone tell me where I can find current ATS streaks for teams? I only see the overall stats for the season. Thanks.

                                                        Oh and btw, I'm loving the Pistons ML tonight reaaal bad.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BmoreBucco
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-10-08
                                                          • 278

                                                          #98
                                                          Mixpicks, you got me thinking, so I'd like a belt-high fastball please...

                                                          [503] CHARLOTTE +360
                                                          [506] NEW JERSEY -120
                                                          [508] MILWAUKEE +250


                                                          $25 to win $713
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cs11787
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-26-08
                                                            • 1088

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by natelli1
                                                            CK, i take your picks into consideration everyday you post here, but i can see the bobcats covering this spread easy, maybe even squeeking out a win in boston, so im going to do a small ML play on the bobcats .. but good luck
                                                            Im doing the same. I think Charlotte gets lucky here and wins or gets blown away. Lets see what happens.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TAPDATBOOK
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-17-09
                                                              • 244

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                                              Orlando 1Q
                                                              Boston 1Q
                                                              Lakers 1 Q
                                                              Dallas 1Q

                                                              Hi Karayilan,

                                                              Boston 1Q got me worried. charlotte is good 1Q team too???
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jimbo42
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-09
                                                                • 2076

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by dre3000
                                                                Can someone tell me where I can find current ATS streaks for teams? I only see the overall stats for the season. Thanks.

                                                                Oh and btw, I'm loving the Pistons ML tonight reaaal bad.
                                                                You can look at vegasinsider bro...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hockeytown71
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 02-21-09
                                                                  • 95

                                                                  #102
                                                                  NHL Plays:

                                                                  Buff/Atl Over 6 -130
                                                                  Phi/Tor Over 6 -140
                                                                  Phi -1.5 +140
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • holdplz
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 02-05-09
                                                                    • 113

                                                                    #103
                                                                    This is almost a playoff game for the Bobcats; I wouldn't dream of betting against them tonight. Bottom line: Boston's defense just aint that good without Powe and Garnett. Charlotte will be playing out of their skins on D, and they already have one of the better defensive units in the league as it is. Allen and Pierce will have their usual numbers, but you can forget about points inside... Charlotte +8.5 looks solid to me.

                                                                    I'm also loving Golden State -8.5, looking for the home-town boys to get it done handily against the Kings. Vegas is just dying for you to take Sac-town after keeping it close vs. the Hornets last night... As for the Warriors, their woeful performance against Memphis speaks for itself. They're asking you to take them -8.5, and nobody is really biting: Only 37% on GSW whereas they had close to 75% of the public's money vs. Memphis.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jimbo42
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 2076

                                                                      #104
                                                                      All right, who's got Repski's Gremlin? Repski you still got it? Or is CK now cruising that badboy through the hood? I need to know bad cause I like that Laker 1Qtr too... need to do some jackin....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • repski
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-01-09
                                                                        • 1929

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Celtics/Charlotte

                                                                        -C’s are just 5-13 ATS without Kevin Garnett this season.
                                                                        -The Bobcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight,
                                                                        -Boston is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games,
                                                                        -Bobcats have covered six of the last seven meetings including both this season
                                                                        -the underdog is 12-0 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
                                                                        Comment
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