Leans for Saturday 3/14/09

[peterpan19]

They're facing Memphis so the spread is going to be pretty big anyway. Might not be such a good play.

I expect a line around -8 maybe -9, considering that Bos got -12.5 at home... and also considering that the last few time the spread was -7.5; -8; -11 and Det went 2-1 ATS ... still looks nice

edit:
ok Mia is +2 right now and going up, so Wade might be out, if they have some inside info... anyway cant book it until I know that Wade is a go

Bulls also +2 right now... and of course NO is a completly different team with Paul, but still Chi at home getting points and the way they played there as of late ... Chi looks really good

Char -5 ... mhh the spread is going up, so its doing what it should do, still like, but will see how th early action goes...

[hockeytown71]

Early Pucks:

***Det/Blues Over 5.5 -115 (pounding it)***

real small plays on
Phi ml -155
Boston -1.5 -125
Pitt/Ott Over 5.5 -120

Scratch Philly! NO PLAY

[suckatmyjob]

wow this game has slowed down quick quick quick but Utah/Mia game coming up

[W0lfy]

Why is Miami +2 now.. Someone out?

[repski]

Leaning USC +2 tonight
"James Harden, the Pac-10's leading scorer at 21.6 per game, had 13 points for ASU. Just like the first meeting between USC and Arizona State, Harden was hounded by Daniel Hackett. Harden was held to six field-goal attempts and made five. Not great, but much better than the last meeting between teams.

USC won in Los Angeles 61-49 and Harden scored a career-low four points.

"We knew they way they were going to guard James. It didn't happen [for Harden] at SC," Glasser said. "We knew they were going to do the same thing. We had to step up our scoring to win."

USC has the talent to shut down Harden limiting him to 17 total points in two games...USC is playing lights out "D" like they did against UCLA last night.....

[peterpan19]

wolfy
i have the bad feeling Wade will be a late scratch or something like that.... so lets hope he plays ... still 30 min until gametime ... so lets hope we know more soon

[peterpan19]

ok push or win for some of us on the mem 1H spread
... but not taking -6.5 for second half .. better bets to come

edit: it might be a gift, but I dont have to force it here, I mean have them for the game and also cashed the 1H, so... its enough for

anyway:
taking FSU +8.5 (nc just not too impressive as a favorite and they dont really need a win here)
LSU -3.5

[RoagBettor]

Memphis is a second half team. -6.5 is a gift.

[repski]

Memphis is a second half team. -6.5 is a gift.

Memphis should be looking for a beatdown here for "style" points to lock down a #1 seed...

Pitt/UNC are the only 2 others I think have one locked...Interesting to see if Mich St. can put a beating on OSU

[peterpan19]

ok guys I just assume Wade will play now ... Mia +2 booked
LSU -3.5 and FSU +8.5 too (but only small, hell its cbb ... and we know what the kids do for a few G)

[Dexter]

booked-

heat +2.5
over suns 234.5 (big)
spurs +2.5

[solobass]

ok i made 2 more calls here is my final booked card for the day

jazz pk
rockets -2
t-wolves +5
nuggets -12.5
hornets -2
suns -8

best of luck today everyone !!

[W0lfy]

Peter do you know if anyone else is missing for Miami though? That line jump is scary.

[solobass]

Peter do you know if anyone else is missing for Miami though? That line jump is scary.

haslem is probable/back courtesy of sports insights....

[peterpan19]

wolfy
cook is out for sure ... but that shouldnt really matter

as I said either someone knows that Wade is out and they announce a few sec b4 the game starts or well everybody is on the Jazz as they dont think Mia has a it ... but also keep in mind that this will be one of the last home games for the Heat in the reg season, only 6 of the last 17 are at home ... so they know too that they have to play well tonight...they also have NO, orl and det at home ...

[solobass]

off to the driving range....it is above 40 degrees finally. best of luck and i will talk to you all tonight!

[W0lfy]

Thanks solo and Peter. Going with Miami ML. GL!

[showtime2000]

Going with the following in NHL for the early games,

Ny Islanders pl
Ny Islanders TT over 2
NY/Bos over

[repski]

BOOKED
Miss St ML +120

[repski]

Going with the following in NHL for the early games,

Ny Islanders pl
Ny Islanders TT over 2
NY/Bos over

I booked a little parlay NYI/NYR

[The_Kid]

repski, I'm going with USC too. Floyd will come up with a defensive game plan to stop Harden.

[peterpan19]

the_kid
usc has to be the call here ... they have to win if they want to advance further into march ... they just have to ... ASU they have their spot no matter what ... and playing in LA thats a home game for USC ... USC +2 it is

ok guys Wade is playing and Mem is now destroying Tulsa as promised

[repski]

Memphis has Tulsa's number...they are frustrating the shit out of there best player Jordan...he's fouling to just get out of the game.....this was too easy....over isn't looking good here though

[The_Kid]

I agree, peter. I'm taking the ML with USC. Forget the points!

I'm also going with FSU +9.5. I bought a hook and I'm also going with the OVER 148. If UNC wants to win, they'll want to outscore their opponents but FSU did play'em tough the last time in conference tournament play.

[texhooper]

hey, kid, guess what? i just booked fsu +9 myself. sweet.

[texhooper]

and after what i saw last night, usc will not be stopped by arizona state. usc moneyline is in order there as well.

[The_Kid]

GL, tex. I don't think UNC wants it as bad and they certainly struggled without Lawson yesterday.

On another note, Memphis is steamrolling Tulsa now. Should have took that UNDER 120 but oh well. There will be other games on tap today.

[suckatmyjob]

to Memphis to the over onwards...

[suckatmyjob]

Repski and Peter....what are your thoughts on Syracuse vs Lville? This Lvillve team is not a joke and you would think today this Syracuse team will feel the fatigue. I mean have you seen the depth this Lville team has?? Let me know what your thoughts are on this game I'm thinking of this game and one other as my 2 biggest college today

[texhooper]

i actually almost took memphis -13.5 after we were talking about it last night, but still laid off. and the under hit. oh well.

[The_Kid]

suck, I'd go with Louisville. I don't know how much Syracuse can take. They've played 7 OTs in the last two games. You'd have to think their legs will feel a little bit tired.

[peterpan19]

mem did blow them out ... FSu +8.5 for me as posted earlier and LSU -3.5

Mia not looking good in the 1st qtr, but they normally never do ... so nothing to worry right now ...

GL

edit:suckatmyjob

Syr somehow impressed me, I mean they played like a million OT and won again last night... but thats it ... I mean they have to be tired, they just have to be ... Lou won by 10 early in the year ... their D is just impressive allowing only 55 points the last 2 games ... add in the tired legs for Syracuse and I think we will see something like that again today ... -8 just seems like a gift to me ... so only thing I can think of is that syracuse is just so motivated and pumped up right now that they dont stop ... but like you said lou has the depth and the ability to counter here ... I would take Lou -8

GL

[RoagBettor]

I hit Memphis -13 for the game and the under -122

[cocknocker]

Louisville-6 (1.5 point buy) BIG

also I have to ride em' until the wheels fall off

Auburn+4.5

[texhooper]

ok i made 2 more calls here is my final booked card for the day

jazz pk
rockets -2
t-wolves +5
nuggets -12.5
hornets -2
suns -8

best of luck today everyone !!

hey loser, are these nba math toy picks?