I've decided the thing doesn't have a clue what its talking about when it comes to margin of victory. However, when I have the top ML plays hitting at 52-8 through 60 plays, that got me to thinking. If the team is winning 85% of the time, how often is it covering the spread? Well, it turns out so far they cover at a 38-22 mark, or 63.33% ($125.45 profit betting $10 a game at -110 odds). if i buy 2 points for each game it goes up to 44-16, a much healthier 73.33% ($133.33 profit betting $10 a game at -150 odds). So, as you can see, not a huge difference if you buy points but it is slightly more and the higher percentage comes in handy if you like round robin parlays. I'll post plays in here with a $100 bankroll to start, i'm going to stop with the moneyline challenge cuz i'm getting sick of having to chase parlays to get back to even. Here's what we've got for tonight:
Chicago -5.5 (B2)
Cleveland -11 (B2)
Boston -5 (B2)
Portland -8 (B2)
Utah -6.5 (B2)
Boston makes me the most nervous, with Chicago coming in second place. However, since this is more of a system tracking thread than a personal plays thread I'm going to include plays like that. One last note, please please please remember that past performance doesn't indicate future results. this thing could go 5-0 tonight and then 0-10 the next few days for all we know, so if anyone feels like tailing... don't for a while
Chicago -5.5 (B2)
Cleveland -11 (B2)
Boston -5 (B2)
Portland -8 (B2)
Utah -6.5 (B2)
Boston makes me the most nervous, with Chicago coming in second place. However, since this is more of a system tracking thread than a personal plays thread I'm going to include plays like that. One last note, please please please remember that past performance doesn't indicate future results. this thing could go 5-0 tonight and then 0-10 the next few days for all we know, so if anyone feels like tailing... don't for a while