Leans for Wednesday 2/25/09 featuring schaapattack Week

[texhooper]

ok, narrowed it down to five.

minnesota
orlando (to get back my friggin money from last night plus some, ****in wankers)
detroit (OOOHHH IT BURNS!!! someone please crush my head in a vice, but they're catching +8 on a team back from a three game road trip. even though it's their third game of a road trip, i have to...)
boston (solely based on the mikki more signing )
denver (dex, let's move the line on this one. i like it. the nuggets are ready to get back into home team form after the celtics embarrassment, and the hawks just have no chance.)

might take boston and denver huge because of the consensus between me and some people who can actually cap.

good luck to all.

[pho3nix32]

man, is it me, or do we have a stacked card tomorrow? i'm liking

minnesota (see above)
philly
indy
orlando
chicago
detroit (yeah, i know, right? new orleans back from a three game road trip, and detroit has got to get it together sometime, why not in new orleans, where they are 4-0 in their last 4 in new orleans? remember, new orleans is not hot either)
boston
denver
milwaukee

someone knock me off some of these games before i go 0-9.

tex, friendly advice man...layoff the pistons...they are on a 7 game ATS slide dude...yes "they are due", but with this reasoning, you must bet on them again when they lose tomorrow because "they are due"...if they lose 20 straight then you'll be down bigtime...i recall memphis losing 12 straight ATS at one point in this season...pick wisely tex. narrow down the selection to the more solid plays. there are many games tomorrow. so many good choices to make. patience is the key. quality and not quantity.

[texhooper]

pho3nix, i have narrowed this down to 5, and detroit made the cut.

not one other team on the list can claim that they were playing a team off a three game road trip who aren't exactly hot themselves, as is the case with new orleans. the pistons aren't invalids, they can cover +8 in a place where they are used to covering. hell, i hope they can, at least.

this might be another situation where i'm telling you i should have listened to you, pho, but i have to run with it.

[pho3nix32]

pho3nix, i have narrowed this down to 5, and detroit made the cut.

not one other team on the list can claim that they were playing a team off a three game road trip who aren't exactly hot themselves, as is the case with new orleans. the pistons aren't invalids, they can cover +8 in a place where they are used to covering. hell, i hope they can, at least.

this might be another situation where i'm telling you i should have listened to you, pho, but i have to run with it.

ok dude, im leaning on fading the pistons though...it has been my strategy this season to ride the hot teams and fade the cold ones. we'll see later...goodluck on your plays bro!

[peterpan19]

ok guys so far I am thinking about:
ORL (they were humilated, they just have to come back and win this one)
PHI (they need a win here so badly, and why not against a poor Was team ?)
Chi (is red hot right now and NJ is ice cold and they were only luck to win the Phi game)
Bos (its the Clips and the line under 10 ? of course you have to ride the green machine)
SAC (ck and shaap agree, 4-0 ATS and SU against Char, b2b for Char, and now Sac gettings points here, SAc it is)
DEN (does anyone think ATL can come back, hell no they are at the end of a long road trip, plaing in high altitude in Denver, Denver has double revenge in their minds loss to ATL early in the year and they were humilated by Bos at home, projected line -8 here)

oh no 6 games again, well I have to scratch 2 plays later on, maybe Chi and ?, toguh one, I mean I need a wining day again, lost like 14.0 in last 2 days

[SportNut]

I gotta admire all of you guys..these experienced information sharing opinions on oneself toward a game and helping each others to win, to make money..wow you guys are good!! amazing! or Am I just stoned!

[pho3nix32]

I gotta admire all of you guys..these experienced information sharing opinions on oneself toward a game and helping each others to win, to make money..wow you guys are good!! amazing! or Am I just stoned!

i second that Sport! the guys here are unbelievable (not those "blindly tailing picks and then bitter after losing guys")...im really grateful to have found to this forum.

[wangichu]

l0l keyword for the most part... i agree it's matchups... but would you honestly play large on Detroit....Bobcats...etc....let's take those two teams... that game could go either way l0l...

The Knicks beating Orlando is possible but not likely remember we're talking about the Knicks people THE KNICKS...I could see a blowout with the 76ers...washington is an extremely weak team despite the huge let ups and inconsistency by the 76ERs.

But the obvious pick tomorrow moneyline is the New Orleans winning over Detroit....next Utah winning over Minnesota

I played large on the bobcats against the celtics 2x, once off a back to back, that turned out just fine. Time and a place for every team, it's the good handicappers that figure out when.

[texhooper]

I gotta admire all of you guys..these experienced information sharing opinions on oneself toward a game and helping each others to win, to make money..wow you guys are good!! amazing! or Am I just stoned!

you must be stoned!!!!!

but really, it's great. i like it too.

i must add, before i hit the hay, that i fear the confidence boost that nj got off that win against philly and with chicago coming off a blowout over a team that me, you, and everyone else knows they shouldn't have blown out (and having to hit the road in the same night) scares me from jumping on the bulls bandwagon. take it with a grain of salt, as of yesterday i'm cold as ice, but that is really why they got nixed from my list.

i wish everyone well, and it's past my bedtime.

[BCaldwell32]

Denver is coming off an embarrasing home loss to the G men on Monday and should rebound nicely against the struggling Hawks. Atlanta will be without Mike Bibby due to the flu and almost for sure Josh Smith who will be suspended. The Hawks are playing awful lately even with Bibby and Smith, losing 4 in a row ATS on the road and 5 in a row against the West.There is currently no line out but I see Denver winning this one by double digits.

Denver 107-95

Philly has won all 3 games this year against Wash, 104-89 and 104-94 at home and 109-103 at Wash.
The Wizards are 6-16-1 ATS of late and they have lost in eight of nine ATS off a double-digit home loss. The favorite is 10-3-1 in the past 14 encounters. Philly is a 4.5 favorite in this one and I like them to get back on track here against an awful Wizards team.

Philly 105-94

The Bulls have beated the Nets both times this year by 9 points @ home and by 13 on the road. The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the year right now and somehow are 2 point underdogs to NJ tomorrow. I think the Bulls should win this game outright, only possible downside is Bulls will be on btb but beat Orlando pretty handily Monday night. Also, New Jersey has failed to score 100+ in over 2 weeks and the Bulls are about an average defense so this trend should continue

Bulls 99-94

Utah beat the T-Wolves in its first trip to the Target Center as six-point favorites, 99-96, before squeaking out a 112-107 win as 8.5-point home chalk. Minnesota has 'covered' five of seven against the Jazz overall and four of five at home. The T-Wolves are 11-3 ATS against conference competition and 6-2 ATS when playing without rest. Utah is a below average road team and the line is way to high in this game, Minnesota might win this game outright.

Utah 102-101

The Celtics have 'covered' 12 of 16 against the Clippers, including seven of eight at Staples Center. The Celtics have cashed 10 of 12 on the road. Los Angeles failed to meet 21 of its last 28 non-conference challenges ATS. Boston has something to prove with Garnett out and really needs to win the East and get home court so every game here on out is important.

Celts roll 99-84

[wangichu]

kings are good situational dogs and before i looked up these teams records i was almost a little shocked that sacto was catching a hook short of 4. really have to see them winning SU with the cats on a back to back after putting a better game on phoenix than i expected.

SAC +3/ML

caught onto the minnesota utah thing last year, Minny just plays them tough and here is a perfect time, if my counting served me right minnesota is 7-5 off back to backs so they essentially don't suffer a negative effect on back to backs. Every year though, the jazz does this. Pulls of the amazing within their home arena, then hits the road in much the same way that superman runs into a room full of kryptonite, and becomes a .500 road team. Well minny matchups well with them and hasn't been as terrible as everyone thought they would be w/o big al. I think the t-wolves could take this one.

MIN +6.5/ML

what do i need to say. The reason boston is a championship ball club is because they dismantle and trample the weak and or vulnerable. The clippers can have spurts of decency, but personify those traits. Lord have mercy on their soles.

BOS -27 (unless i catch a good spread)

(probably smaller plays):

that win against the magic was huge for the bulls. So huge there's way too big of a let down factor to get me on them for the game despite their good play of late, but i think that somewhere between momentum and confidence gained, the bulls ride into this game and put it on the nets for the first half at least. NJ has been prone to getting jumped on in the first half of home games, and chicago is in a good position to do that.

CHI +1 1st half

both squads on the back end of back to backs, which firstly means the spurs are more vulnerable. They both are good defensive clubs and when on the road, often win with defence or sometimes flop and don't score enough to push the total. Spurs are in the same situation as the rockets were yesterday, but with that total dropping between games for portland, no manu means less scoring and more defense for the spurs. I may back off this pick and switch to the spurs because of the texas road trip hex, but i think the under is the safer play as of now just in case portland mans up like they did last night.

POR/SA under 184 (lean)

[basketballpro]

Bet big on orlando tonightttt

[Karayilan9]

76'ers vs Wizards - 76'ers come back with a bang? do you guys think they'll be fired up after that heartbreaking loss they suffered the other day loosing by a fluke shot from near the half-way line. Or will they just crumble and be emotionally damaged.

I think they have no better chance to come back from the loss and the 3 before then against a team like Wizards.

But the best option in that game looks like the 1st QTR, I've been riding 76ers on the 1st QTR since I noticed their trend, from a 50% win rate they've now risen to over 60% and are on-par with the Lakers. At home their record is ridiculous, they're something like 5-0. However, on road they are 3-2. Wizards on the other hand are the worst 1st team in the NBA winning 30% of their 1st QTR's and are 1-4 in their last 5 games.

76'ers -1 1st QTR has a strong edge, QTR's with no lines are 50/50 anyway, so with their clear advantage this could be a nice pick.

Only worrying thing is how 76'ers will respond to their current form because they are on a 4 game loosing streak and nothing seems to be going in their favour. Hopefully Lady Luck is kind to them today and no stupid decisions go against them.

[peterpan19]

Orl ATS record after a loss this season:
9-5

[repski]

CK,
I noticed no mention of Davidson...have you changed your thinking since last night.....or is that just something your not talking about anymore

[repski]

Early Leans:
CHI +2....Chicago is playing vey well right now...I know they are BTB....I'll probably watch the RLM
Bucks +7.5 @ Dal....Dal is BTB and did they even show up last night?? I like the young Bucks...think they @ least keep it close
Min/Utah over 211 I believe it was Phoenix that mentioned the article that Minn is going to a running stlyle and the over was easy last night..Utah can play that style...I like over
Orlando/NYN over 217

[BiggDogg5n2]

Orl ATS record after a loss this season:
9-5

Orl ATS record after a loss this season:
9-5

Early Leans:
Orlando/NYN over 217

Double P...
I also really like Orlando in this situation...
They have only lost once ATS this year on 2 consecutive road games
2/6 at Pacers, then lost their following road game on 2/18 at NO..

Orlando has not lost ATS on back to back road games all year...

Repski...
I like that the last 11 out of 12 games for Knicks have gone over...
Orlando last 5 out of 10 have also gone over....
BOL to you all and God Bless...Dogg

[pho3nix32]

Min/Utah over 211 I believe it was Phoenix that mentioned the article that Minn is going to a running stlyle and the over was easy last night..Utah can play that style...I like over

careful with this play. boozer might disrupt this running game thing tomorrow if sloan plays him more.

[BCaldwell32]

I agree Phoenix, could go either way depending on Boozer's minutes. No play for me for sure.

[OperatorX]

Im feeling chicago tonight as well, but im so scared of devon harris now. :P

[Dexter]

the jazz have been red hot at home, but they catch a twolves team playing btb traveling from tor to minny. boozer is back, and the jazz may go on a sick ats run with their whole squad healthy again. classic blowout. projected line of -9.

-jazz
_______________
the hawks will be on their 6th and final game of this west coast trip - and they have the difficult task of playing in denver who is off a su loss. hungry to get back in the win column, and get revenge for a thumping they took in atl (15 pt loss) earlier in the year - the nuggets should roll by 15+. projected line of -7.5.

-nuggets

[hockeytown11]

2 pucks for tonight betting both huge

detroit -130
toronto/ny rags over 5.5

[cocknocker]

CK,
I noticed no mention of Davidson...have you changed your thinking since last night.....or is that just something your not talking about anymore

Bingo. It's something I'm not talking about anymore.

[showtime2000]

2 pucks for tonight betting both huge

detroit -130
toronto/ny rags over 5.5

Hey hockeytown, like your pick with the over on NY/TOR. I said it the other night, look for the rangers too start scoring more and the over hitting more frequent in their games now that Torterella is the new coach. They plaayed toooooooo conservative under Renney.
Nice call!

[vassman86]

Blazers dropped from +5 to +2

Just a heads up on the dramatic drop of this line. If you can get the Blazers +4 at a local book, give it a try

[BCaldwell32]

2 pucks for tonight betting both huge

detroit -130
toronto/ny rags over 5.5

I got lucky last night hockey, I woke up at like 430 and missed putting in all your plays except the last one which won. I ended breaking even for the day anyway but could have been ugly I guess. Today I'm getting them in early.

[peetlui]

2 pucks for tonight betting both huge

detroit -130
toronto/ny rags over 5.5

Hocktown, you putting them in your "ICP" catagory?

[OperatorX]

2 pucks for tonight betting both huge

detroit -130
toronto/ny rags over 5.5

Like these picks a lot, I think im also gonna jump on the rangers to take out the leafs, that new coach should spark a fire under the rangers ass and revenge might come into play after that loss in NY.

[vassman86]

Celtics lines are up

Celtics -8
Clippers +8

[hockeytown11]

Yes,these 2 plays for me are as big as ill bet

[cocknocker]

Celtics will obliterate the Clips tonight. I may lay off of all of my other plays and play just that game SUPER HEAVY

[Dexter]

2/26/09-

as you all know, i started playing the suns overs big 2 games ago and am now 1-1. my plan was to continue playing the overs until one lost (which it did last night). i should have started the streak the first game porter was gone (vs the lac) and i would have gotten a 4-1 record out of it. my screw up. but last night 36 points were scored in the 4th qtr when only 45 were needed for the over. steve nash played 1 minute of the 4th, and gerald wallace played about 3 minutes before fouling out very early. i'm willing to throw out this game, and play the over again tomorrow night as long as nash is playing. gonna check the status of jrich as well. however, i will no doubt be playing the lakers vs the suns. there is no way phx can beat the lakers at their own game now that they have basically dismissed defense.

-lakers
-over lakers (pending nash/jrich)

[repski]

MLB pre-season lines out toda....like the Phillies -120 today..lol

[hockeytown11]

Tigers could be a play today since they are usuing 3 starters for 2 innings each,verlander,miner, i think the 3rd is robertson,so at least u will get major league pitching for 6 innings

[peetlui]

CK, which book do you use for your MLB plays?