Leans for Wednesday 2/25/09 featuring schaapattack Week

[hockeytown11]

I got lucky last night hockey, I woke up at like 430 and missed putting in all your plays except the last one which won. I ended breaking even for the day anyway but could have been ugly I guess. Today I'm getting them in early.

Ya not making excuses but I got totally scrwed on 2 games,went 2-3 so it wasnt a terrible night,the Carolina/Ottawa game ended 4-2 i had under 5.5 and they scored 4 of the goals in a 4 minute span of the end of the first and 1st min of the second and 3 of the shots I could of stopped,also Buffalo outshot Anaheim and dominated them and still lost. Oh well that was yesterday,I am going 2-0 tonight

[ASH0479]

.....

I don't usually like playing teams on the 2nh half of a back to back, but there definately looks like a couple good lines out there today...

The line has moved due to Tim Duncan being Questionable, any news on his situation? I like Portland getting any points, maybe even the ML if Duncan and Ginobli are not playing

[OperatorX]

utah -6 against minne after a b2b, seems a bit odd.

[cocknocker]

That's because Utah is the wrong call on that one, OperatorX

[cocknocker]

peetlui,

I use the Greek for my day to day plays, and Betus for the live betting. In my opinion Greek is the more sharper book. You hav to have a wife or someone like that to open you a 2nd account on either of them so as not to interfere with the system. You will need it bro because I also play the JM baseball system too. SO two seperate books for the season would be fine. One for my thing one for the Jm thing.

[cocknocker]

News Flash

Let's do any non NBA talk via PM from now on and try to keep this forum related to NBA matters and our resident hockey person hockeytown11's offerings.

[peetlui]

peetlui,

I use the Greek for my day to day plays, and Betus for the live betting. In my opinion Greek is the more sharper book. You hav to have a wife or someone like that to open you a 2nd account on either of them so as not to interfere with the system. You will need it bro because I also play the JM baseball system too. SO two seperate books for the season would be fine. One for my thing one for the Jm thing.

Gotcha

[squirrels]

three plays for me so far today

james madison + 2.5 -3 everythig says jm

sixers over 193

sacramento -3

also leaning towards

minnesota as my underdog play of day

[peterpan19]

Celtics will obliterate the Clips tonight. I may lay off of all of my other plays and play just that game SUPER HEAVY

ck
bos -7.5 against the Clips, who are coming of a home win and now this hungry Bos team, even if it is their 6th away game, I mean they destroyed Phoenix and Denver, who are much better than the clips, oh my god I might have to tail you on this one all the way

I might make a small play on Chi and Orl (a hot team and a team that should bounce back) early on, and yes I am scratching that Phi game, its just not good enough, I mean they should win and have to win here, but you never know..

I also think Denver will light up the scroeboard tonight and destroy ATL by at least 15 points, mark my words on that one...

That said I will lay of all the other games, even though Min looks tempting too, 4-1 ATS against the Jazz, also SA looks good (even with the injuries) and Sac , hell I think the Bos and Denver game are much better

ORL (1.0)
Chi (1.0)
Den (3.0)
BOS (6.0) + everything I win from the ORL and CHI game

[Dexter]

utah -6 against minne after a b2b, seems a bit odd.

back up to 7.5 - while the wolves have done well recently at home to the jazz, that was with al jefferson in the lineup. the wolves are gonna get their doors blown off coming from canada last night.

this coming from a man who loves the home dog

[Dexter]

booked plays-

jazz -7.5
nuggets -8

[handimann]

Celtics will obliterate the Clips tonight. I may lay off of all of my other plays and play just that game SUPER HEAVY

i really love this play too and am wondering why barely anybody else has backed this up. sure the clips looked good against the warriors the other night, but i can't see why the celtics are not going to blow out the clips tonight. rondo should shut down baron and have another huge game blowing by him like parker did kidd last night.

[peterpan19]

I am with you dex on that Denver game, but playing it bigger than you (3x)
GL on the Jazz game (Al is probably the missing key to Min right now, no play for me)

[superslinky]

A push is the same as a cover in that system..

That sort of sucks. Especially if the C bet has been pushed.

[Dexter]

l0l keyword for the most part... i agree it's matchups... but would you honestly play large on Detroit....Bobcats...etc....let's take those two teams... that game could go either way l0l...


But the obvious pick tomorrow moneyline is the New Orleans winning over Detroit....next Utah winning over Minnesota

the bobcats - yes, they are one of the better defensive and ats teams in the nba.

hornets moneyline is -400 and utah -320.....yes, thats obvious but pretty risky imo.

[BCaldwell32]

booked plays-

jazz -7.5
nuggets -8

You really like Utah Dex? Why?

[NYCKEV]

Today I like Orl -2.5 and Chi +2. MLB season is here gentleman! small change on my Mets ova Bmore today, lets get it!

[BCaldwell32]

forget that Dex, skipped over the post explaining it

[handimann]

wow the celtics game line moved from -8 to -9.5 just now

[repski]

Evansville -3
Evansville is 9-2 straight up and 8-3 ATS when hosting Bradley.
Evansville has revenge from the earlier 86-79 loss.
This is the home finale for Evansville, and they're a senior-dominated team. I love this angle as a motivating factor....just like Providence last night

[peterpan19]

bos line already upto -9.5 at the greek

[JGILL50]

whats up with the spurs line

[peterpan19]

ok guys locked in my plays for the day:
Bos -8 (6.0 which is heavy), may add more (3.0) on that one later if ORL and CHI both cover
Den -7 (3.0)
Orl -2 (1.0)
Chi +2 (1.0)
Parlay (NOH, UTA, DEN, BOS ML 0.5)

[repski]

VT +10.5
The underdog in this series is 6-1 against the spread in the
last seven meetings between these two teams.
The Hookies are 9-3
against the spread in their last twelve games as an underdog
VT is 8-0 in their last eight games as an underdog of 7-12 points

[SpreadSniper]

Spurs play poo on 0 days rest. Ginobilli out and Duncan probably out, can Tony Parker carry the team again?

[peetlui]

Booked: Boston -8
When I first saw this line I just had to jump on it since I knew it could only go up..... I mean come on.... the Clippers? With Pierce, Allen, Rondo, House, Perkins etc. this looks to be a blowout in the making. The line has jumped to -9.5 in no time which confirms it in my eyes. I'm waiting for the first Q line and I will play that also. Also will be on Davidson 1st 1/2 and game. That will pretty much be it for me as I don't want to spread myself out too thin.

[Dfjay9]

Scalabrine is out, whos taking his spot?

[MoneyintheBank09]

that boston line scares me why is it low they killed the last two teams they played and that was with out KG

[handimann]

Spurs play poo on 0 days rest. Ginobilli out and Duncan probably out, can Tony Parker carry the team again?

i would NOT play the spurs in this matchup as parker was out of his mind last night. the blazers are a better team than the mavs and spurs are on the back end of a back-to-back. i am also assuming that duncan will be out again.

[handimann]

that boston line scares me why is it low they killed the last two teams they played and that was with out KG

i can think of a few reasons:

1. clips had a pretty good showing against the warriors with camby and randolph returning
2. clips (especially baron) will be on their A game tonight against the defending champs
3. KG is out
4. celtics are at the last stop of a 6 game road trip

but i am still taking the celtics huge tonight

[Dexter]

Booked: Boston -8
When I first saw this line I just had to jump on it since I knew it could only go up..... I mean come on.... the Clippers? With Pierce, Allen, Rondo, House, Perkins etc. this looks to be a blowout in the making. The line has jumped to -9.5 in no time which confirms it in my eyes. I'm waiting for the first Q line and I will play that also. Also will be on Davidson 1st 1/2 and game. That will pretty much be it for me as I don't want to spread myself out too thin.

agreed - i may have to get me some of that green cash.

[Dexter]

that boston line scares me why is it low they killed the last two teams they played and that was with out KG

9.5 is not that low as a road favorite...

8 was low, but that quickly changed

[BrandonLaz]

Tomorrow's play:

line: mb+7@dm
pick: mb+7

Trends:

- The Bucks are 6-0 ATS against the Southwest this season.
- The Bucks are 17-12 ATS on the road this season.
- The Bucks are 3-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
- The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS against the Central this season.
- The Mavericks are 10-17 ATS at home this season.
- Head to head, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS and 2-0 ATS in Dallas the last 3 seasons.

The Bucks are coming off a 2 days rest where they are 5-2 ATS in these periods. They catch a Mavericks team fresh from a loss to a Ginobili-less, Duncan-less Spurs. Both teams are currently at the #8 spot of their respective conferences. The Bucks although without Redd and Bogut have done very nicely with the emergence of Charlie V and Ramon Sessions. The Mavs are missing Terry's offense as shown in the loss to the Spurs. When you look back at the head to head trends, the Mavs have yet to cover against the Bucks in 3 seasons. I see no reason why this trend should change tomorrow. Expect a tightly contested basketball game between 2 teams vying for a playoffs spot tomorrow my friends.

Love the Bucks play here as well it is one of my plays today. I know this is the NBA forum I suggest you guys look at the NCAAB matchup today of Virginia Tech vs Clemson though. Clemson has won 5 of the last 7 matchups SU, but out of those 7 games the largest margin of defeat by either team was only 5 points. They played earlier this year on 01/29, and the Hokies lost by 4 points. 11 points is just to much here for a rivalry that has a history of playing close games.

[peterpan19]

dex I would still play them at -9.5, bc well we all know they have to win by 10 anyway, right ?

that said if ORL and CHI cover I will add another 3.0 on Bos and 1.0 Bos 1st qtr

[squirrels]

agreee dex me myself i dont think this will be an easy one for boston