2013/14 NBA Thread

**Seto** · 01-31-14, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

If you like da Nets, why wouldn`t you sprinkle a bit on ML?
I am thinking about it. Think it might go to 5.5, so p/u 20 cents on ML.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLVq4hpz-8s

In all seriousness, I dunno. There's no rational explanation to that kind of thing, I just feel it out as I do it. I don't think I'll be adding a bet on the ml, 1.5 units is enough for that game.

Looking at Nuggets even though it's well documented I think they stink.

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-31-14, 05:37 PM

Nice pull on the Vid, the Seattle jersey killed me.
I was looking for X and Sikma.

**Seto** · 01-31-14, 06:56 PM

Nuggets-1 -101 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 1.01x to win 1x)

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 01:10 AM

Today: 1-2, -1.57x
Total: 157-131-3, +98.99x

**JustSomeCash** · 02-01-14, 11:06 AM

My man! how are you?
I need to expect that you're now going to take Wiz +4.5?(because it's too easy to pick OKC,85% of pub IMO)
Or you have some interesting angle for this game?

BTW,

Originally posted by Seto

Today: 1-2, -1.57x
Total: 157-131-3, +98.99x

Why you didnt add Dallas pick to this?

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by JustSomeCash

My man! how are you?
I need to expect that you're now going to take Wiz +4.5?(because it's too easy to pick OKC,85% of pub IMO)
Or you have some interesting angle for this game?

BTW,

Why you didnt add Dallas pick to this?

I can't take Wiz off a West Coast road trip. Laying off that game.

I don't count live bets in my record (it's hard, people will question the legitimacy of the lines you get even with screenshots, they're hard to tail/fade as they move quickly, and I don't necessarily post all of them here).

But if you want to know live bets have not been very kind to me this year despite making a bit of ground yesterday, I'm 23-31, -6.83x.

Had a great end to the season live last year (http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...e-14-5-ml.html http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ive-110-a.html among others) so hopefully the best is yet to come from that point of view.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 05:20 PM

Bobcats+5 +100 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 1.25x to win 1.25x)
Bobcats ml +252 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 0.25x to win 0.63x)

**KRIT** · 02-01-14, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Bobcats+5 +100 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 1.25x to win 1.25x)
Bobcats ml +252 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 0.25x to win 0.63x)

I like this play. Suns off a big eastcoast roadtrip and riding high. Maybe too high. Bobcats will get after them early.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

I like this play. Suns off a big eastcoast roadtrip and riding high. Maybe too high. Bobcats will get after them early.

Yeah that's exactly my reasoning too. Waiting to see if I can get 9 for the game.

GL

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 06:20 PM

LeBron James over 27.5 AND the Heat to win +140 (william hill) (risking 0.5x to win 0.7x)

I feel this is a good way of getting Heat at +money... LeBron is due a big game on National TV this year and I don't see the Heat beating a hot Knicks team without him having one.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 08:10 PM

Seto, talk me out of this. I am usually a total BR manager. The money I could win would do nothing to improve my life.
I basically do it for the action and the pleasure I get when I collect from my book.

That being said, I really like to lay it in on big games (SB, National championships, etc.)
and teasing the team I like.
I am very close to taking Bobs +18.5 and Rapts +17.5 to go along with a side and total I like for SB.
Large, 2x a year type bet for me. what you think??

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Seto, talk me out of this. I am usually a total BR manager. The money I could win would do nothing to improve my life.
I basically do it for the action and the pleasure I get when I collect from my book.

That being said, I really like to lay it in on big games (SB, National championships, etc.)
and teasing the team I like.
I am very close to taking Bobs +18.5 and Rapts +17.5 to go along with a side and total I like for SB.
Large, 2x a year type bet for me. what you think??

I don't know how large we're talking compared to a normal bet, 10x more or so?

I'm typically ok at BR management, don't bet more than 10 units on anything and haven't chased in a while (last May being the last time, sad day that was. lost 6 fukking grand, which was like 60% of my roll. was about to lose 1650 on a series bet, clips vs grizz, and somehow gave back 4x what i should've by betting bullshit during game 6. sad sad day.)

I'm not sure about the Raptors. I'm not touching that game.

I'd be very surprised to see Bobcats get blown out bad but you never know in this league.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 08:39 PM

Thanks for the thoughts. Think I might take the Bobbies and leave 1 open.
I just NEED to have a sizable bet riding tomorrow.

Cash em up tonight. Took DWade under 18.5 B/C had no other action on that game.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 08:53 PM

Bobcats+8.5 +104 (marathonbet) (risking 1.25x to win 1.3x)
Bobcats ml +347 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.87x)

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Thanks for the thoughts. Think I might take the Bobbies and leave 1 open.
I just NEED to have a sizable bet riding tomorrow.

Cash em up tonight. Took DWade under 18.5 B/C had no other action on that game.

Ok. Why not just make a straight bet on the SB though?

GL.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 08:58 PM

Well my friend, we are tied together tonight. Took the Bobs on the teas to set up my SB bet.
10x.Lets get it.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Ok. Why not just make a straight bet on the SB though?

GL.

I have 4 smallish bets working. 2 are last leg of teasers, so am very happy with them.
BUT, no real anxiety. If the Bobs cash, then my balls will be shrinking as I slurping Margaritas and smoked BBQ.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 09:38 PM

Didn`t bet the game (Nets/Indy) but did have Nets @ home last night in the last leg of teas. (+5 up to +13)
They get outscored 63-35 1H and never glimpsed covering or showing any fight.
Tonight they travel to Indy as 11.5 dogs and give Indy all they can handle, cover easy.
OKC on the other hand, absolutely takes the night off. (had no action)
Just begs the question: What the F`k is going on here, and how are we supposed to have a clue ??

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Didn`t bet the game (Nets/Indy) but did have Nets @ home last night in the last leg of teas. (+5 up to +13)
They get outscored 63-35 1H and never glimpsed covering or showing any fight.
Tonight they travel to Indy as 11.5 dogs and give Indy all they can handle, cover easy.
OKC on the other hand, absolutely takes the night off. (had no action)
Just begs the question: What the F`k is going on here, and how are we supposed to have a clue ??

I don't see anything that surprising there tbh. It's just the way the league works. What happens one night has very little if any similarities to what happens the next.

**No coincidences** · 02-01-14, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Bobcats+8.5 +104 (marathonbet) (risking 1.25x to win 1.3x)
Bobcats ml +347 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.87x)

This Phoenix team is really starting to get annoying.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 10:05 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

This Phoenix team is really starting to get annoying.

Yeah.. I dunno where you stand there but I hate run and gun teams. My least favorite 2 teams to watch in the league are the Suns and Nuggets. Just not my style of ball I guess.

Gotta applaud this team and their coach for what they're doing though.

As for the play, I think I'm gonna have to stop systematically fading teams off successful road trips. Already had to squeak out a miracle with Washington against LAC a couple nights ago and now this one looks like it's gonna be either another sweat or a blowout loss. Thought this one would be good though but this team will just not cool down.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 10:09 PM

Cats scored 0 points in the last 5 minutes of the half against a team that allows 101 a game.

Nice.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 10:26 PM

Bought out , gonna eat the juice unless 2nd 1/2 is a tie.Then I win both.That would be sick, 20x.
Manana Seto.

Just picked the wrong dog tonight. Who knows , they may make a run and cover for you??

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Bought out , gonna eat the juice unless 2nd 1/2 is a tie.Then I win both.That would be sick, 20x.
Manana Seto.

Just picked the wrong dog tonight. Who knows , they may make a run and cover for you??

It's always possible. They will make a run it's just about making it soon enough and then not falling apart right after it.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 10:28 PM

Need 6 more for LeBron and Heat to hang on to at least avoid total disaster.

3 units total on the Cats was dumb though. I've been slumping a bit the past 2 weeks.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 10:59 PM

Need 2 more points before he's taken out of the game...

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:01 PM

Bang. At least no 0-fer.

**DOM-Ganador** · 02-01-14, 11:07 PM

Nice hit w/ LBJ. I was a bit worried they might sit him with like 3 to go up so much.
For me, it was between Bosh 17.5 and Wade 18.5 for a little under bet.
picked the wrong one, as Bosh has 4 points I think.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Nice hit w/ LBJ. I was a bit worried they might sit him with like 3 to go up so much.
For me, it was between Bosh 17.5 and Wade 18.5 for a little under bet.
picked the wrong one, as Bosh has 4 points I think.

Yeah that was the danger but the lead wasn't quite big enough.

Bobcats made their run to cut it from 27 to 13 but it doesn't look like they're going to be able to make that last little push for the cover. Bummer but I deserved to lose that one.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:20 PM

Fukking cokksukkers couldn't get that last rebound otherwise they could've covered with a score.

Why did they have to make it so close just to not cover? Fukk you Bobcats.

Still, this deserved to lose, don't get me wrong.

**No coincidences** · 02-01-14, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Fukking cokksukkers couldn't get that last rebound otherwise they could've covered with a score.

Why did they have to make it so close just to not cover? Fukk you Bobcats.

Still, this deserved to lose, don't get me wrong.

Unbelievable that almost cashed.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:24 PM

Today: 1-4, -2.3x
Total: 158-135-3, +96.69x

Since I first cracked the 100 plateau on the 14th of December at 135-104-1, +102.33x, I'm just 23-31-2, -5.64x.

I mean I know my record is awesome and I know variance always kicks in and I know I shouldn't be bitching about it but over a 19 day stretch that sucks. Gotta pick it up.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Unbelievable that almost cashed.

Yeah unreal stuff. One rebound and one score away.

Maybe if Stern was still the commish we could've gotten a little BS call on the rebound and 2 FT's for the Cats. LOL.

**Seto** · 02-01-14, 11:35 PM

Tomorrow's game sucks but I sort of like the Celtics. Still, laying 5 with that team is gonna be hard. Probably pass and move on to Monday which looks like a decent card particularly a couple games.

**Seto** · 02-02-14, 04:05 AM

Celtics-5 -110 (betcris) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

I know the Kings are the Kings so you can never bet too large on them, but I'm planning on taking them for at least 3 units tomorrow. Looks like a great play.