2013/14 NBA Thread

[Catchn_Picks]

incredible handicapping Seto…some of the best around, imo. These ML calls I thought were crazy…held my nose and bet them…unreal.

ty and bol

[DOM-Ganador]

Seto. Take a look at Indy TT, 103.5 now. I am on it 2x. They are rollin` and Clips can give up 110+ on the road any given night.
Never see you bet TTs, but like this one.

[Seto]

incredible handicapping Seto…some of the best around, imo. These ML calls I thought were crazy…held my nose and bet them…unreal.

ty and bol

[Seto]

Seto. Take a look at Indy TT, 103.5 now. I am on it 2x. They are rollin` and Clips can give up 110+ on the road any given night.
Never see you bet TTs, but like this one.

I've bet one total all year. For once I've actually made a resolution (no more totals) and kinda stayed true to it.

Not really sure what you see in that one, isn't 104 a lot to ask from a team that's primarily defense oriented? Clippers defense has also been better after an awful start. That said they are on a b2b and I wouldn't be surprised if they folded a bit. In fact I wouldn't be surprised by anything in terms of totals which is why I don't bet them

[Seto]

Yesterday: 0-2, -1.93x
Total: 141-113-1, +97.81x

[Seto]

The bwin ride is over, they've limited me to 25 bucks a game LOL. In one go from 200 to 25. Fun while it lasted.

[fitguy67]

wear limitations like this with pride...wait till Marathon limits you to 1euro/1.35usd or some such ridiculous number in one go...

in the long run the only shops you can rely on to NOT limit you are Pinny and the big exchanges such as Betfair

Matchbook--a small exchange--is also a must have...doesn't have much variety but what they have is usually at an excellent price...and action you can take is limited only by the liquidity of the market, NOT by the company's policy)

[No coincidences]

Nice work my man.

[Seto]

Clippers-3 -110 (william hill) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Clippers-20.5 +1000 (william hill) (risking 0.15x to win 1.5x)
Clippers-20.5 +2000 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.1x to win 2x)

Pelicans+8.5 -110 (william hill) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Mavs-1 +111 (pinnacle) (first half) (risking 1x to win 1.11x)

Should post more plays as the day goes on. Might play the Nets. My strongest play of the day is Chicago, probably for 2x or so, waiting on the line there though.

[Seto]

wear limitations like this with pride...wait till Marathon limits you to 1euro/1.35usd or some such ridiculous number in one go...

in the long run the only shops you can rely on to NOT limit you are Pinny and the big exchanges such as Betfair

Matchbook--a small exchange--is also a must have...doesn't have much variety but what they have is usually at an excellent price...and action you can take is limited only by the liquidity of the market, NOT by the company's policy)

I can imagine.. I've been limited at quite a few places now, 888, william hill, bwin (although strangely not at the book I've won at the most, 365). CRIS doesn't limit as well I think no?

I have a betfair account but rarely if ever use it and don't have a matchbook one. Maybe I should look into that.

[Seto]

Nice work my man.

Good to see you back in the game of late.

[Seto]

Bobcats+4.5 -102 (marathonbet) (risking 1.02x to win 1x)

[Seto]

Nets-1.5 -102 (marathonbet) (risking 1.02x to win 1x)

[freeeze]

I really like the Rockets tonight. What do you think on that game ?

[Seto]

I really like the Rockets tonight. What do you think on that game ?

I kinda like em but that team worries me. Still pissed at the way they completely quit in that OKC game. Haven't decided yet.

I will fade Portland tomorrow in OKC for sure though.

[Seto]

Fukk me Mavs are gonna be up by 21+ at half.

Almost took that too w/ the Clippers one..

[fitguy67]

I can imagine.. I've been limited at quite a few places now, 888, william hill, bwin (although strangely not at the book I've won at the most, 365). CRIS doesn't limit as well I think no?

I have a betfair account but rarely if ever use it and don't have a matchbook one. Maybe I should look into that.

matchbook way easier to use than Betfair...it's an exchange (meaning ur only taking action against other bettors...so all action is gud action from the company's perspective...they're paid by the "rake" or commision...) but it plays like a book and the commission is easier to deal with as it's just 1%, win or lose (vs Betfair's 5% only on winning's)...just get used to multiplying all neg-prices by 1.02 and all pos-prices by 0.98 to account for the 1% commission on each end...

for plain-vanilla major-market plays the liquidity at Matchbook IS hi-enough to get all the action you want in (but for huge-$ plays or fancier plays or if you're a serious "in game trader" for soccer/tennis positions or a serious "arbitrageur"--you'll need Betfair)...apart from that though, it's not worth the considerable "learning curve" to operate at Betfair...and Matchbook is a much more straightforward way to get the advantages of an exchange (no worry of being limited and good prices, even after the commission is accounted for) without the complications of a big one like BF...

basically, with Matchbook you can expect Marathon-like prices on plain-vanilla markets, but never worry about getting limited...but no "bells and whistles" side-benefits whatever (such as live-betting or releasing lines earlylike bwn)...good prices/no limitation worries/nothing else

[t-wizzle]

Good luck today setes

[Seto]

matchbook way easier to use than Betfair...it's an exchange (meaning ur only taking action against other bettors...so all action is gud action from the company's perspective...they're paid by the "rake" or commision...) but it plays like a book and the commission is easier to deal with as it's just 1%, win or lose (vs Betfair's 5% only on winning's)...just get used to multiplying all neg-prices by 1.02 and all pos-prices by 0.98 to account for the 1% commission on each end...

for plain-vanilla major-market plays the liquidity at Matchbook IS hi-enough to get all the action you want in (but for huge-$ plays or fancier plays or if you're a serious "in game trader" for soccer/tennis positions or a serious "arbitrageur"--you'll need Betfair)...apart from that though, it's not worth the considerable "learning curve" to operate at Betfair...and Matchbook is a much more straightforward way to get the advantages of an exchange (no worry of being limited and good prices, even after the commission is accounted for) without the complications of a big one like BF...

basically, with Matchbook you can expect Marathon-like prices on plain-vanilla markets, but never worry about getting limited...but no "bells and whistles" side-benefits whatever (such as live-betting or releasing lines earlylike bwn)...good prices/no limitation worries/nothing else

so basically the same kind of advantages as pinnacle presents: no limitations, good lines?

thanks for the description

[Seto]

Good luck today setes

Thanks, likewise

[fitguy67]

so basically the same kind of advantages as pinnacle presents: no limitations, good lines?

thanks for the description

more like Marathon is for you now= prices that are often markedly better than pinny BUT no limitation worries

[freeeze]

I kinda like em but that team worries me. Still pissed at the way they completely quit in that OKC game. Haven't decided yet.

I will fade Portland tomorrow in OKC for sure though.

I think this will be my first bet on the rockets this season. Team's just too unpredictable to me. With that being said, I'm quite confident in a Houston win tonight. Will look into the Bulls too, it makes sense to fade the Lakers here.

Good luck with all your plays tonight

[Seto]

Pelicans+8.5 -110 (william hill) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)

Grizzlies-7.5 +107 (marathonbet) (risking 0.75x to win 0.81x) - actually got 50 at +106 and 25 at +110 - currently +110.

Kinda pussying out a bit, and I got 2 "bad" lines on this game so gonna take advantage a bit.

Hopefully somehow Memphis wins by 8, I think the game will be decided around the spread so I certainly think I have a shot.

[Seto]

I think this will be my first bet on the rockets this season. Team's just too unpredictable to me. With that being said, I'm quite confident in a Houston win tonight. Will look into the Bulls too, it makes sense to fade the Lakers here.

Good luck with all your plays tonight

gl as well.

line screams chicago. public all over the lakers too and predictably so with such a high spread. they lose tonight i think.

[Seto]

Bulls-9 +105 (marathonbet) (risking 1.5x to win 1.58x)

[Seto]

Yesterday: 5-4, +2.61x
Total: 146-117-1, +100.42x

Nice call guys who took Houston. Shoulda jumped on the train especially with vyom on them but I just couldn't bring myself to take them again after what I saw from them Thursday. Oh well.

[Seto]

Thunder-5.5 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 2.6x to win 2.5x)

[Seto]

Thunder-20.5 +700 (william hill) (risking 0.15x to win 1.05x)
Thunder-20.5 +1600 (william hill) (first half) (risking 0.1x to win 1.6x)

[Seto]

Heat-9 -101 (pinnacle) (risking 1.01x to win 1x)

[Seto]

Today: 1-3, +1.24x
Total: 147-120-1, +101.66x

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Heat sucked it up badly man. No one stepping up offensively. THey need to establish Bosch early in games.

[Seto]

Heat sucked it up badly man. No one stepping up offensively. THey need to establish Bosch early in games.

Biggest problem is the rebounding. Even when they were up big early they were getting killed on the glass. Celtics had like 12 offensive boards when I stopped watching and it wasn't even halftime (switched to the OKC game).

[DOM-Ganador]

Well, if you were watching OKC, and I wasn`t, must have been an exciting last few minutes.
Just saw the hightlights w/ KD going beserko.I laid off the game, would have had to lay 6.5, was close to hitting TBs.

Nice multi-unit pull.

[Seto]

Well, if you were watching OKC, and I wasn`t, must have been an exciting last few minutes.
Just saw the hightlights w/ KD going beserko.I laid off the game, would have had to lay 6.5, was close to hitting TBs.

Nice multi-unit pull.

it was a lucky hit, to say anything less than that would be lying.

but it does make it more exciting when it hits that way. yeah was going crazy. durant is a monster.

perkins of all people made the biggest shot of the game. a 17-footer too. lmao.

[DOM-Ganador]

If Perkins actually scored to help you cover, then I must agree, very freakin` lucky.

His line almost everytime I check a boxscore: 4 points, 8 reb, 0000 anything else of value.
At one point in time, he looked like he was going to be better. He just never improved.