John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

[Wallco99]

I'm starting to think Utah should be avoided at all costs in the near future. Have no seen crappier team for a long while.

Didn't you have the same rant about Carolina in my NHL thread? I am really starting to wonder if you are cut out for this.

[Bdolan33]

Another brutal night

[J.M. Disciple]

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u


Profit: -12.51
Record:
A) 3-6
B) 0-1
C) 0-0

RULES:Reference Post #184
SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP
11/6/2013 V2 LAC -6.5 (A) VS ORL
11/6/2013 V3 DAL +7 (A) VS OKC
11/6/2013 v1 UTA +4.5 (B) VS BOS

UPCOMING PLAYS
11/7/2013 V2 LAC (B) VS MIA
11/7/2013 V3 LAL (B) VS HOU
11/8/2013 V1 UTA (C) VS CHI
11/8/2013 V3 DAL (B) VS MIN

[knugen]

Utah 2nd qauarter are not the best i seen ..

Two new 7 units bets tonight

[ridersonthestorm]

Didn't you have the same rant about Carolina in my NHL thread? I am really starting to wonder if you are cut out for this.

Not exactly. In Carolina case I admit being too emotionally verbal, have chilled since, while here just a sad cold observation. I'd be glad if they do not feature in the eleventh hour bet too often.

In any case, I would like to thank you for impressive job you are doing here and there, and assure that excessive rants will be kept in check. Peace?

[Immaculate]

Bit worried about the upcoming play's

[Wallco99]

Bit worried about the upcoming play's

Already? The season just started.

[Immaculate]

That is true.. as i think you said.. its a marathon.. ill be in it to win it BOL!

[thelimit0310]

Today I have information that you're an asshole!

[Wallco99]

Today I have information that you're an asshole!

Who?

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Today I have information that you're an asshole!

That information is old!!

[thelimit0310]

Who?

The spammer who got his post removed

[Wallco99]

The spammer who got his post removed

Oh, I thought you meant me. Even though I am at times, was just surprised to see it. Glad I don't need to start ANOTHER war! Lol

[dlunc3]

Good hit boys

[Wallco99]

Good hit boys

Just enough.

[dlunc3]

well, lakers up 30.5 (ats) after one.. gotta keep it up

[takethepnts]

WOW , Laker win as 11-1 Dogs in Houston ... Nice ML win And great system win along with the Clippers !

[knugen]

great night..
Hope utah can make it tonight

[J.M. Disciple]

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u


Profit: +3.69
Record:
A) 3-6
B) 2-1
C) 0-0

*Two series pending*
# of series who dont meet A-bet criteria 2

RULES:Reference Post #184
SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP 11/7/2013 V2 LAC +6 (B) VS MIA
11/7/2013 V3 LAL +13.5 (B) VS HOU

UPCOMING PLAYS
11/8/2013 V1 UTA +13 (C) VS CHI
11/8/2013 V3 DAL +4 (B) VS MIN


+16.2 units on the day for the system. Great Job! Utah is 1-3-1 at the spread. Its hard to imagine them not covering +13 tomorrow though. Rose struggling shooting averaging just 14pts a game. I could see another double digit team actually win this SU tomorrow. Utah has had one of the tougher schedules to start the season, so we are getting a great spread at 13. Enjoy it while it last. Not going to analyze dal/min. Just expect a high scoring expedition there and hope for a win.


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss:+0.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

v1 Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/8/13):
#1 Utah (+12½) @ Chicago (A) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play.There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[dlunc3]

Wallco, I like the last statement in red on your post. JMD, this may be something that you could add to your post as well? Might help prevent some confusion later.

Thanks to both of your for your consistant early posts

[thelimit0310]

JMD good work on the play posts! As a suggestion, I think it could help for record keeping purposes if we included somewhere how many A bet games were stopped from moving to B and C due to the filter. I am already keeping this stat on my own sheet, but for anyone else it could be useful. Just a suggestion!

Also very happy to see Utah is also a pick in Wallco's system.

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks for tip, post edited. Ok i added both tips to the post. Way too much color and bold print hahaha. Takes away from what actually should be advertised, THE PLAYS!

[dlunc3]

Thanks for tip, post edited. Ok i added both tips to the post. Way too much color and bold print hahaha. Takes away from what actually should be advertised, THE PLAYS!

looks good

[dlunc3]

i have been looking for +13 (on utah) all day, but none of my 5 books want to move off of 12.5.. guess ill keep waiting and hope things don't move in the other direction..

[adidas-b 88]

Thanks for posting up the plays JM Disciple and Wallco....much appreciated!

[Wallco99]

When I am finished with the JM 1-7-5 backtest, I will try to retest some new criteria for chase 110 that may add a few plays and eliminate those high M/L plays. But for now, the system has only been tested one way and if the large M/L games arise and you are uncomfortable with them, then either skip those series or take your chances ATS. M/L on favorites is still the system rule for now.

[dlunc3]

The Limit-- completely off topic, and out of season... but was curious if you ever got around to running the numbers for this? If not, no big deal, I was thinking about running some tests with it myself.. thanks again.

""PS I am starting work on a version of the 7/5 method for On3's MLB homestand system. I ran a quick test through last years results and the initial impressions look good. More info on this as the MLB season approaches.

[J.M. Disciple]

dlunc are you referring to thelimits 5/2 method?

[J.M. Disciple]

careful waiting for spread hit 13 again. it already dropped from 13-12.5 with public being 50/50 on this spread i don't see it moving any time.

[miss_sbets]

When I am finished with the JM 1-7-5 backtest, I will try to retest some new criteria for chase 110 that may add a few plays and eliminate those high M/L plays. But for now, the system has only been tested one way and if the large M/L games arise and you are uncomfortable with them, then either skip those series or take your chances ATS. M/L on favorites is still the system rule for now.

You are amazing, Wallco. You should get a commission from SBR. Seriously. You are the main reason I've just submitted my SBR PRO application. I know now I have a chance to bury 'the man'. Continued success to all your systems!

[dlunc3]

dlunc are you referring to thelimits 5/2 method?

Did he implement that? Somehow I must have missed it. How did it perform this year?

[takethepnts]

Thanks for posting up the plays JM Disciple and Wallco....much appreciated!

Couldnt agree more , thanks guys for all your effort and devotion , its very much appreciated !

[BuckeyeKaptn]

careful waiting for spread hit 13 again. it already dropped from 13-12.5 with public being 50/50 on this spread i don't see it moving any time.

I have it Utah +12.5 with 62.5% on Utah...not 50-50.

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/

http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx ...85% on Utah here at 12.5

I'm gonna pull the trigger now for 12.5

[J.M. Disciple]

I have it Utah +12.5 with 62.5% on Utah...not 50-50.

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/

http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx ...85% on Utah here at 12.5

I'm gonna pull the trigger now for 12.5

When I seen it last night via covers it was 50/50 exactly. I mostly just use their percentage to determine the public.