John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

[oldshoebox72]

I might have to wait for B and C on these two series. NOP plays UTAH on the B game, so hopefully A loses and we pick up an easy B bet. WASH plays OKC, Dal, and SAS for their series so might miss that one. Right now lines are -2 and +9.5, but I think we can get +10 or +10.5 vs OKC tomorrow. And maybe -1.5 for nop, but I do not think that spread will matter much.

NOP will play Pho Today(A), LAL 11/12(B), then Utah 11/13 (C).
I know Utah suck (yeah, tell me about it just lost my money on them last night again ), but they are hungry for a win, and NOP is playing back to back by then. I wouldn't mind to play Utah ML if they are dog regardless big or small.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +0.00 units (fin.series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)

(11/9/13):
#1 Utah (+9) (B) – Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 0-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


There are no system plays for (11/10/13):
#1 Resumes (C) on 11/11/13

[J.M. Disciple]

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u

Profit: -6.82
Record:
A) 4-7
B) 2-2
C) 1-1

Close series via 3.5 filter: 2
RULES:Reference Post #184
SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP
11/10 V3 NOP -2 (A) VS PHO
11/10 V1 WASH +9 (A) VS OKC

UPCOMING PLAYS
11/12/2013 NOP (B) VS LAL
11/11/2013 10:00PM V1 DET (A) VS POR


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +0.00 units (fin.series)
Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 0-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/11/13):
#1 Denver @ Utah (+2½) (C) (9:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[kdavis]

What happened to this thread?

[jonohull]

What happened to this thread?

Maybe people finally understand how a chase works?

Nah.

[ridersonthestorm]

Just give Utah time, they will win this year.

[Wallco99]

Just give Utah time, they will win this year.

There you go...that's the spirit!

[ridersonthestorm]

There you go...that's the spirit!

Yes, sir. Utah have all the talent to challenge Cleveland's achievement but I am sure the coach will be fired sooner.

[miss_sbets]

Only noticed NBA chase has a D bet; my SBR points balance is in danger

[thelimit0310]

What happened to this thread?

You say that like it's a bad thing. What happened to this thread? It stopped being a cluttered mess with too many useless posts day to day. Now it's the plays, works for me

[knugen]

Aahh 1,5 point loss on pistons

[J.M. Disciple]

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u

Profit: -7.92
Record:
A) 4-7
B) 2-2
C) 1-1

Close series via 3.5 filter: 3
RULES:Reference Post #184
SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP
11/11/2013 10:00PM V1 DET +4.5 (A) VS POR

UPCOMING PLAYS
11/12/2013 V3 NOP (B) VS LAL
11/12/2013 V3 MIL (A) VS MIA


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.


NOTE DET DOES NOT MEET THE 3.5 FILTER, SO THEY WILL NOT BE A "B'BET" ON THEM.

[kdavis]

You say that like it's a bad thing. What happened to this thread? It stopped being a cluttered mess with too many useless posts day to day. Now it's the plays, works for me

Not a bad thing at all. I absolutely agree with you.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +0.00 units (fin.series)
Current open series: 1 (-8.26 units)

(11/11/13):
#1 Utah (+2) (C)

v1 Plays
(A) 0-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-1
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/12/13):
#1 Resumes (D) on 11/13/13
#2 Detroit (+9) @ Golden State (A) (10:35pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[hagball52]

I thought that point spread was a little too generous Wallco. I believe Detroit is playing Golden State and not Sacramento.

[Wallco99]

I thought that point spread was a little too generous Wallco. I believe Detroit is playing Golden State and not Sacramento.

I don't know where I got that.

[hagball52]

Dude I honestly don't know how you do it. You track 2 different systems in 2 different sports, post all the plays and probably try and have some kind of a life. I could barely manage the JM MLB thread. My hat's off to you my friend.

[Wallco99]

Dude I honestly don't know how you do it. You track 2 different systems in 2 different sports, post all the plays and probably try and have some kind of a life. I could barely manage the JM MLB thread. My hat's off to you my friend.

Thank you, it's not too bad once you get used to it.

[knugen]

New orleans looks pretty bad tonight. On to the C bet

[play4win]

detroit is playing like bunch of old folks! just pathetic!

[J.M. Disciple]

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u

Profit: -17.93
Record:
A) 4-8
B) 2-3
C) 1-1

Close series via 3.5 filter: 3
RULES:Reference Post #184
SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP
11/12/2013 V3 NOP -3.5 (B) VS LAL
11/12/2013 V3 MIL +13.5 (A) VS MIA

UPCOMING PLAYS
11/13/2013 NOP (C) VS UTA
11/13/2013 MIL (B) VS ORL
11/13/2013 OKC (A) VS LAC
11/132013 BRK (A) VS SAC


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.


BIG DAY TOMORROW

[miss_sbets]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +0.00 units (fin.series)
Current open series: 1 (-8.26 units)

(11/11/13):
#1 Utah (+2) (C)

v1 Plays
(A) 0-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-1
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/12/13):
#1 Resumes (D) on 11/13/13

We're betting Utah on 11/13/13 aren't we?...

[Immaculate]

That dilema to want wallco to win or jm to win on the utah vs pelicans

[Wallco99]

Both systems stink right now. Something's gotta give.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +0.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-9.36 units)

(11/12/13):
#2 Detroit (+9) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 0-2
(B) 0-1
(C) 0-1
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/13/13):
#1 New Orleans @ Utah (+2) (D) (9:05 pm EST)
#2 Resumes (B) on 11/15/13
#3 Milwaukee @ Orlando (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.

[Wallco99]

There will be more money on the JM C bet, so I will play that for the difference.

[knugen]

Hope utah suck for one more game

[ridersonthestorm]

Hope utah suck for one more game

To add spice for today's game, both teams suck, just one suck constantly (but now they are acclimatized at home, so there is a hope), while "the favorites" suck on tour. Better Utah start to win now - they will go on tour in a week, you wouldn't be happy if Utah would screw whopping 3 series for you in space of weeks.

[Wallco99]

Hope utah suck for one more game

That doesn't seem to be a problem for them. However I am assured of one thing, now that I want them to lose, they will win.

[knugen]

Mm 8 losses they are going to win soon. And im sure they will tonight just to penetrate our bet

[Andy3568]

Hey, Wallco... I have a question about Series #3. If Sacramento loses the "A" bet, it will go on to a "B" bet against Detroit on 11/15. However, Detroit is already a "B" bet against Sacramento. Doesn't that mean we skip the Sacramento series? Just trying to understand the filters.

[Wallco99]

Hey, Wallco... I have a question about Series #3. If Sacramento loses the "A" bet, it will go on to a "B" bet against Detroit on 11/15. However, Detroit is already a "B" bet against Sacramento. Doesn't that mean we skip the Sacramento series? Just trying to understand the filters.

Actually, you are correct. I was so focused on these series conflicting with the JM bets that I totally overlooked that rule. I am going to temporarily suspend that series until after the Detroit game has concluded. If at that point Sacramento has continued their losing streak, we will then pick them up on the (A) bet, otherwise, no play. Thank you for seeing that. I usually place all bets regardless, because that is the way the backtest was done, with no filters. But since many people are not comfortable with playing both sides of a game, even though potentially we could win both bets, I added these filters to reduce risk and stress. And even I would skip if I saw both bets were going to potentially face off in (D), and sometimes even (C) if I don't like the teams. But other than that, I play them all.

The system records and standings will reflect the rules the way they are written in post #45 regardless of the outcome of any suspended series, even if I personally play them myself.

[Andy3568]

I understand being hesitant to play both sides, especially on two closely matched teams. If the spread's really low, like 2 points, winning both sides seems like a long shot.

[Wallco99]

I understand being hesitant to play both sides, especially on two closely matched teams. If the spread's really low, like 2 points, winning both sides seems like a long shot.

You're right, but we would definitely win at least 1 of them.