I Got A New System for O/u betting

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  • joanapoker
    Restricted User
    • 12-09-08
    • 2275

    #211
    Explanations:

    if the line change more than 4 points in the direction that I want (example, I'm playing the UNDER 200 and the line go down to 195 it's still a play, but if the opposite happens it can break the 9 point filter that I set up initially). It's hard for me 2 explain better in english.

    In the example of today, the LAC/MEM game the line opened at 198.5 and the bkane number was 209,2 so it was a play on the UNDER. But the line during the day went as high as 203, it's now at 202.5 and this number breaks the filter of 9 point that I set up for the system! It passed from a system play to a NO PLAY.
    I beleived that the line was going down even more, that's why I've played at 198.5 (there's no such thing as a perfect system).
    Comment
    • handimann
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-04-09
      • 102

      #212
      Originally posted by joanapoker
      Explanations:

      if the line change more than 4 points in the direction that I want (example, I'm playing the UNDER 200 and the line go down to 195 it's still a play, but if the opposite happens it can break the 9 point filter that I set up initially). It's hard for me 2 explain better in english.

      In the example of today, the LAC/MEM game the line opened at 198.5 and the bkane number was 209,2 so it was a play on the UNDER. But the line during the day went as high as 203, it's now at 202.5 and this number breaks the filter of 9 point that I set up for the system! It passed from a system play to a NO PLAY.
      I beleived that the line was going down even more, that's why I've played at 198.5 (there's no such thing as a perfect system).
      got it. i guess the bigger question is the counterintuitive nature of the bkane system. is it just based on the opposite play of the trends?
      Comment
      • joanapoker
        Restricted User
        • 12-09-08
        • 2275

        #213
        handimann,

        I don't know exactly what the primary reasons that bkane had for playing the Under/Over, but mine are to predict what the linesmaker think on the outcome of the game (regarding the O/U). Sometimes the linemaker will set the line at a value that no trend can explain....so when it happens, I have to go through some math add some filters and try to figure why he puted the line at that specific value!
        Comment
        • joanapoker
          Restricted User
          • 12-09-08
          • 2275

          #214
          FINAL CARD FOR FRIDAY 6 FEB

          LAC/MEM UNDER 198.5
          POR/OKC UNDER 201
          GSW/PHX UNDER 230.5
          ATL +2
          DEN -6.5
          UTA -2.5
          BOS -2 1st qrt
          TOR +1 1st qrt

          Parlay:
          GSW/PHX UNDER 230
          MEM -1.5
          DEN -1.5
          100€ to win 295€
          Comment
          • handimann
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-04-09
            • 102

            #215
            thanks joana. bkane system is awesome
            Comment
            • jtnguyen79
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-26-07
              • 730

              #216
              so only real system play is the UNDER 201 for POR / OKC right
              Comment
              • joanapoker
                Restricted User
                • 12-09-08
                • 2275

                #217
                Originally posted by jtnguyen79
                so only real system play is the UNDER 201 for POR / OKC right
                according to my system yes. but according to bkane there's also a play in TOR/NOH

                it's the UNDER 185
                Comment
                • BREAKmyBOOKIE
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-13-09
                  • 45

                  #218
                  Joana.... Utah -2.5 seems like a trap no ?
                  Comment
                  • SportNut
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-16-07
                    • 1984

                    #219
                    good work there Joanajpoker...
                    Comment
                    • joanapoker
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-09-08
                      • 2275

                      #220
                      Originally posted by BREAKmyBOOKIE
                      Joana.... Utah -2.5 seems like a trap no ?
                      yes. For sure it is!! I said that before, see previous post in page 6

                      --------------------xxxxxx--------------

                      Regarding my card for tonight:

                      I've made more than the 5, 6 bets max per day that I usualy make (money management) because there are two that I don't like at all!

                      UTA-2.5 and LAC/MEM UNDER 198.5 (it's already 204 )
                      Comment
                      • 007Fatty
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-14-09
                        • 2267

                        #221
                        fric i think i took utah! they better take it lol
                        Comment
                        • bkane
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-14-08
                          • 127

                          #222
                          Originally posted by joanapoker
                          The filter is 9! Don't change to 10 just because u like the number 10! The back test made to more than 200 games was made with a 9 point filter and it showed a 65% winning record!
                          ok joana 9 it is so what i watch to see if line moves 2 or more points in order for play or not? bkane
                          Comment
                          • bkane
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-14-08
                            • 127

                            #223
                            4-3

                            my pick tonight is toronto/ new orleans UNDER 183
                            (I HATE IT PERSONALLY) we'll see what happens!
                            Comment
                            • joanapoker
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-09-08
                              • 2275

                              #224
                              bkane,

                              I just can't make a good back test regarding line movement! Because I don't have opening lines vs closing lines to back test the system! What I know is, that you should make the math, get the bkane number (it's what I call ) and then use the filters. If it's a play you then should make a call UNDER/OVER but you can't (or shouldn't??) wait all day to see what the line will do.....so you have to risk it (I did that in LAC/MEM the and then saw the freaking line jump 6 POINTS!!!!) and make the best call you can!


                              I will get burned this night. I new that (see post #221 and others) regarding some early calls I've made tonight. I'm trying to figure out what went wrong!
                              But I'm seeing that many of us will get fc**ed by the bookies (this is for the Magic backers, for the Celtics 1st quarters backers like myself etc...).

                              And I'm still totally with the Raptors first quarter and then.....fckkk me!
                              Comment
                              • joanapoker
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-09-08
                                • 2275

                                #225
                                Update

                                Originally posted by joanapoker
                                FINAL CARD FOR FRIDAY 6 FEB

                                LAC/MEM UNDER 198.5 LOSS
                                POR/OKC UNDER 201 WIN --- JP Total system play
                                GSW/PHX UNDER 230.5 WIN
                                ATL +2 WIN
                                DEN -6.5 WIN
                                UTA -2.5 WIN
                                BOS -2 1st qrt LOSS
                                TOR +1 1st qrt LOSS

                                Record since posting here: 22-9-0 (all picks)
                                bkane system with Joanapoker touch (JP Total system play): 10-4-0

                                Parlay:
                                GSW/PHX UNDER 230
                                MEM -1.5
                                DEN -1.5
                                100€ to win 295€ LOSS
                                updated....
                                Comment
                                • 007Fatty
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-14-09
                                  • 2267

                                  #226
                                  wow.. if it wasnt for grizzlies i wouldve turned 10$ into 1400... i am never going to bet on them again in my life...
                                  Comment
                                  • bkane
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 02-14-08
                                    • 127

                                    #227
                                    4-4

                                    original bkane system is useless
                                    Comment
                                    • joanapoker
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-09-08
                                      • 2275

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by bkane
                                      original bkane system is useless

                                      yep! that way, with no filters it's no good.

                                      the UNDER at OKC makes the

                                      bkane system with joanapoker touch: 10-4-0
                                      Comment
                                      • 007Fatty
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-14-09
                                        • 2267

                                        #229
                                        yeaa dudee! rock on!!! hahaha
                                        Comment
                                        • bkane
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-14-08
                                          • 127

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by joanapoker
                                          yep! that way, with no filters it's no good.

                                          the UNDER at OKC makes the

                                          bkane system with joanapoker touch: 10-4-0
                                          i'm sorry i've been so consumed with the "pure" system, how did you know to skip the toronto/ new orleans game and take the other one? what should i focus on?
                                          Comment
                                          • joanapoker
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-09-08
                                            • 2275

                                            #231
                                            In the TOR/NOH game one thing poped out right after finding the "bkane number", both teams average score in the past 3 between them as almost the same as the bkane number, wich was 16 points higher than the opening line. Add that to the 3 points drop during the day and you have a NO PLAY.
                                            Comment
                                            • joanapoker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-09-08
                                              • 2275

                                              #232
                                              From now on I will call this system (based upon the discovery from bkane): JP Total system

                                              Record since posting here: 22-9-0 (all picks)
                                              JP Total system plays: 10-4-0

                                              Let's get them again 2morrow

                                              Saturday will be my last day here in the forum for the next 11 days (I'll be on vacation)
                                              Comment
                                              • jtnguyen79
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-26-07
                                                • 730

                                                #233
                                                noooooooooooooooooooooooooo what vacation has no internet?????? no just playing have fun joana maybe i'll stop for next 11 days hehehe

                                                actually before you go can you recap JP total system again so I can modify bkane...I think both are great just need the filter so just recap all filters in one thread if possible thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • Bluehorseshoe
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-13-06
                                                  • 15057

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by joanapoker
                                                  From now on I will call this system (based upon the discovery from bkane): JP Total system

                                                  Record since posting here: 22-9-0 (all picks)
                                                  JP Total system plays: 10-4-0

                                                  Let's get them again 2morrow

                                                  Saturday will be my last day here in the forum for the next 11 days (I'll be on vacation)



                                                  I like "bkane" total system better since he started this thread.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 007Fatty
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-14-09
                                                    • 2267

                                                    #235
                                                    wat ya got for today joana? and bkanee!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • joanapoker
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 12-09-08
                                                      • 2275

                                                      #236
                                                      just called JP system to differentiate from the original bkane math and choices!

                                                      u guys call whatever you want. Total credit to bkane, he knows that!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • joanapoker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-09-08
                                                        • 2275

                                                        #237
                                                        SATURDAY'S PLAYS:

                                                        TOR +2.5 (the line is already at -1) Morr.play LOSS
                                                        TOR pk 1st qtr WIN
                                                        TOR/MEM UNDER 198.5 WIN
                                                        CHI/DAL UNDER 209 LOSS
                                                        DET/MIL OVER 184.5 WIN

                                                        and CK secret plays NCAA (but only 3 plays, 3 of them have already started)

                                                        North Carolina -14 1st Half LOSS

                                                        Michigan State -12 1st Half LOSS
                                                        Houston -10.5 1st Half LOSS
                                                        San Diego st -10 1st Half WIN

                                                        ----------------NO system plays on the totals------------------
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bkane
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-14-08
                                                          • 127

                                                          #238
                                                          i don't see anything good 2nite, i'll be back on in the morning.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KapnKrunch
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 02-02-09
                                                            • 15

                                                            #239
                                                            Jonapoker

                                                            Thank you for the Det/Mil over play!
                                                            I sure needed a win!

                                                            The Chicago/Dallas under was a real bummer due to OT....
                                                            I didn't play that one....

                                                            Comment
                                                            • SportNut
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-16-07
                                                              • 1984

                                                              #240
                                                              Good work JoanaPoker...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • joanapoker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-09-08
                                                                • 2275

                                                                #241
                                                                Record since posting here: 26-13-0 (all picks)
                                                                JP Total system plays: 10-4-0

                                                                Rought night yesterday. Secret plays went a little off and the Under at Dallas was the right choice but the OT fu*d me!!

                                                                I'm going on vacation, if I have net I'll pass once in a while!

                                                                Kill the books!

                                                                Ciao
                                                                Comment
                                                                • joanapoker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-09-08
                                                                  • 2275

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Hi there!

                                                                  Live from Malaysia (arrived today, after 15 hour travel) and still with my times all fcked up)

                                                                  I have a decent connection in my room, so here it comes:

                                                                  PHX/PHI OVER 211.5 LOSS
                                                                  LAC ml LOSS
                                                                  PHI -3 WIN

                                                                  NOTE: the UNDER @Charlotte would be a system play, but I can't go against this clippers team now...so I'm rolling the moneyline with them and keeping away form the total!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Axis
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                                    • 1255

                                                                    #243
                                                                    I agree with you on Philly -3 and LAC ML...

                                                                    But after crunching numbers...the Under was looking really good to me...

                                                                    On the Road and Home
                                                                    PHO scores 115
                                                                    PHI scores 96
                                                                    Total - 211 under
                                                                    Pho gives up 106
                                                                    Philly gives up 91
                                                                    Total - 197 under

                                                                    So average between the two philly home/pho road is 197 and 211 which = 204 Under

                                                                    Last 5: (scoring)
                                                                    Suns: 115 per game
                                                                    Philly: 96 per game

                                                                    Those to total = 106

                                                                    Last 5 (gave up)
                                                                    Suns: 106
                                                                    Philly: 91

                                                                    Those total = 99 average

                                                                    total scored last 5 and average gave up comes to total of = 103 Under


                                                                    I'm not trying to discredit your system, I'm just giving you other numbers to look at...because I did see the record was 10-4 which is pretty fantastic. Just curious to see what you think.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BillAccpetor
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 02-07-09
                                                                      • 790

                                                                      #244
                                                                      #1: Hornets vs. Grizzlies under 188

                                                                      #2: Suns vs. 76ers over 211,5

                                                                      #3: Clippers vs. Bobcats over 196,5


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • joanapoker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-09-08
                                                                        • 2275

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Axis,

                                                                        the Over wasn't a system play! when I have a system play I say so! The NO/MEM wasn't a system play on the UNDER by half a point....too bad! The only system play was LAC/CHA UNDER 195.5 but I said I wasn't playing that because of the late performences of the clippers!
                                                                        Comment
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