Originally posted by joanapoker
I Got A New System for O/u betting
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bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#36good luck, remember i'm only playin the ONE game with biggest difference. but spreads are very close. glComment -
mmaddness08SBR Rookie
- 11-21-08
- 39
#37One thing I would say on this is Houston had a team meeting yesterday and the whole focus was on defense. There defense has not been their usual past performance. Also McGrady may be out tonight as he got a high ankle sprain in practice. This could have an impact on the over. But I'm pulling for everyone and thank you for posting these plays and look forward to following. Thank you.Comment -
007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#38k i just got home so i bet on the over for second half hope this cashes thanks alot man.Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#39The two Overs are looking good, but the Chi/Phx is looking better! U can adjust ur system bkane....I'll post some results 2morrow and u will see...
nice find out man!
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007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#40warriors and houston isnt looking too good..Comment -
007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#41One thing I would say on this is Houston had a team meeting yesterday and the whole focus was on defense. There defense has not been their usual past performance. Also McGrady may be out tonight as he got a high ankle sprain in practice. This could have an impact on the over. But I'm pulling for everyone and thank you for posting these plays and look forward to following. Thank you.
i think this man was right.. hah fric i wish i didnt bet on it:P but good job still im gonna be on the ones tomorrow!!Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#42sorry guys had the spread been 2 points different the system would have taken chicago/phoenix.
i'll post again on monday, and try it once more.
football tomorrow.
good luck everyone.
bComment -
007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#43hey dudee there is still a chance! hah are you gonna post a play tomorrow?? pleaseee!!! haha thanks for doing this again man. greatly appreciated.Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#44System 2-1 - i'll get one up tomorrow, and will see if this system is just luck or not.
good night all.
b
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007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#45dude dont give up and its actually like 5-1 isnt it?? thats 83% if it keeps going like that ima stick to it all day haha.Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#465-1 since monday---2-1 since postingOriginally posted by 007Fattydude dont give up and its actually like 5-1 isnt it?? thats 83% if it keeps going like that ima stick to it all day haha.
have play up by 10:30 a.m est.Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#47The play for today according to bkane system is:
CLE/DET UNDER 180.5
I'll not be playing this one....everyone is liking the Under on this game....and just for that I'll not bet this one!
My total bet is:
MIN/BOS OVER 197.5Comment -
hunt3rtheoneSBR High Roller
- 12-14-08
- 140
#48joanapoker what do you think about orlando -6?Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#49Originally posted by joanapokerThe two Overs are looking good, but the Chi/Phx is looking better! U can adjust ur system bkane....I'll post some results 2morrow and u will see...
nice find out man!
do tell if u can make it better- thanks b.Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#502-1
Todays pick according to the "system" is:
CLEVELAND/DETROIT- UNDER 180Comment -
jtnguyen79SBR Wise Guy
- 09-26-07
- 730
#51best of luck today!!!Comment -
BluehorseshoeSBR Posting Legend
- 07-13-06
- 15057
#52The funny thing is, I use to do the same thing last year in a sense. I would just guess what the line was and where I was off the most, I'd go the other way. It worked great up until the Super Bowl.
For today, I would also end up on Under Detroit, along with Under Magic and Over Sac.Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#53My Plays for todayOriginally posted by hunt3rtheonejoanapoker what do you think about orlando -6?
ORL -6 Win
MIN/BOS OVER 197.5 Win
Cardinals +6.5 Win and ML LoseComment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#54I'm also liking the UNDER at TORONTO
maybe i'll play that one tooComment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#55bkaneOriginally posted by bkanedo tell if u can make it better- thanks b.
I'm trying to find some good trends on this "system" and then I'll go see if in the past this would work. Some adjustments need to be made or else some good bets will be loss in the way.... (that's way I beted yesterday in the CHI/PHX OVER)Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#56The second play of the day would had been OKC/SAC OVER 216
it's looking good....
Also looking good the UNDER at DETROIT, too bad I didn't beted!
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bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#57Originally posted by joanapokerbkane
I'm trying to find some good trends on this "system" and then I'll go see if in the past this would work. Some adjustments need to be made or else some good bets will be loss in the way.... (that's way I beted yesterday in the CHI/PHX OVER)
sounds good joana- just let me in on itComment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#583-1
DETROIT/CLEVELAND went UNDER the total so that brings the system to: 3-1 since posting
i'll have tomorrows play up about a half hour before first game tips. thanks B.
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007FattySBR MVP
- 01-14-09
- 2267
#59dude see this thing works no worries haha rock on! i love thiss!:PComment -
tntSBR Rookie
- 12-27-08
- 23
#60i just try to add 3 games and see if i've done this right:
Dallas game : 110
line: 208
Memphis game: 92.5
line: 192.5
LAL: 103.5
line: 226.5
So after caclulated what do I do next guys? what i see here all the numbers after add up and divide they're always lower than the line so how do you call a big differential? am i doing this right or wrong please let me know and show me how to get the right pick base on this system.
thanks all.
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SportNutSBR MVP
- 05-16-07
- 1984
#61Hmmm.....I got my eyes on this thread, very interesting.
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VVETSBR High Roller
- 01-17-09
- 120
#62Its definitely worth some play...nice work. Joana, what adjustments are you making a long the way?Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#63Originally posted by VVETIts definitely worth some play...nice work. Joana, what adjustments are you making a long the way?
I'm adding some filters, such as line movement, points mark etc....
But I'm open to any new ideas! Maybe we all find a cool system.....Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#64come on guys give me some credit- i started the system, joana s just helping make adjustments. thanks b.kaneComment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#65Well I'm guessing for today bkane is playing the CHA/UTA UNDER and SA/GSW OVER. But I'm putting one more play to "bkane system".
TODAY'S PLAYS OVER/UNDER
CHA/UTA UNDER 194.5 (my BIG play of the DAY)
SAS/GSW OVER 213.5
SAC/PHX OVER 224 (small, playing half of normal size bet)
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bkane system explanation:
this is a system based upon the last 3 total results of each team. If the final number (see bkane explanation to understand how to get the final number) is above the Total line you should play the UNDER; but if the result is below the TOTAL number you should play the OVER.
bkane only plays the game with the biggest difference (total line vs final number) and this is what makes the system work. Why?? Simple: if you do the math u should come up with final numbers very close to the total line set by the bookie, so if you have a big diferencial (ex. final number 206 and total line is 194) is because the linesmaker knows something you don't know. In my last example the linesmaker should had set a total around the 206 and if he sets 12 points down that line.....so something is fishy!!
Any doubts?
I sure need somemore help....feel free to post constructive comments!Comment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#66Originally posted by bkanecome on guys give me some credit- i started the system, joana s just helping make adjustments. thanks b.kane
bkane the system is all yours! I'm already calling it "bkane system"!
Don't be upset man!Comment -
bkaneSBR High Roller
- 02-14-08
- 127
#67sorry guys for being a wimp- thanks joana- your rightComment -
joanapokerRestricted User
- 12-09-08
- 2275
#68I'm using this as my main thread, so i'll just put all my picks here:
CHA/UTA UNDER 194.5 (my BIG play of the DAY)
SAS/GSW OVER 213.5
SAC/PHX OVER 224 (small, playing half of normal size bet)
LAL -3.5 (2 points buy, system play)
Davidson -10.5 1st Half (CK secret play)
Iona -2 (Machine play)Comment -
tntSBR Rookie
- 12-27-08
- 23
#69joanapoker and bkane please see my post above couple posts here can you guys help me out...thanksComment -
SlaninaSBR MVP
- 01-21-09
- 3828
#70Originally posted by bkaneIt involves a system that can be found on the net, except you do things different at the end of it.
Go back 3 games for both teams playing that night
add 1 teams total game scores for 3 games,then divide that number by 6.
After you get that number do the same thing for the other team.
add the 2 numbers you have together. if that number is bigger than listed line---bet on OVER.......if that number is smaller than listed line----bet on UNDER....
i was picking the game with the biggest differential, and having very little success.
now i have noticed that when i take the 1 game with the biggest differential from the game line and go with the opposite result its been hitting like crazy!!!
For example the line on a game is 195 and the number i get is 209, instead of betting the over, i bet the under.
it could be luck or could have something to do with going against the public-i have no idea.
tonight i took the under in the cle -orl game (195) we'll see what happens.
sorry if it doesn't make sense.. just wanted to share this.....thanks...B
I don't understand this.
You get the O/U of every NBA game for the day. But in this case we will just pretend there are only two NBA games today. Just to save all the math. We will use Dallas/Orlando and Lakers/New York.
Game 1
First : Add the total points scored by Dallas over last 3 games, which is 328. Now you divide that number by 6. Giving you 54.66 rounding to 55. While Orlando has scored 347. Divided by 6 gives you 57.83 rounding to 58.
Second : Add up those two numbers. 55 + 58 = 113.
Line is 208. Which is a difference of 95.
Game 2
Lakers total over last 3 games is 357. Divide by 6, which equals 59.5 which rounds up to 60. New Yorks total is 338. Divided by 6 equals 56.33 which rounds to 56.
Second : Add up those two numbers. 60 + 56 = 116.
Line is 223.5 Which is a difference of 107.5.
Now that the Lakers game has the bigger difference we are betting that game. But this is where I don't understand. The total would always well under the line. So if it's under the line we do the opposite. We take the over. So that means you always bet the over according to this. And I know this isn't the case. Could you please use an example which just these two games as a sample while showing the math to arrive at your pick. I don't see why we would divide by 6 either. Since you are going back 3 games wouldn't you just divide by 3 to get their average of the course of those games? I've been reading this thread since you created it. And I liked the idea of what you're doing. But today I wanted to figure out how to do it myself and that's when I obviousliy didn't understand how you arrived at the picks.Comment
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