New nba power rating system

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  • djpremier36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-11-08
    • 3479

    #176
    Originally posted by Formulawiz
    Watch out. MIA fell into rule#3. OKL is now a 1 pt Fav.
    therefore no play today unless it goes to pickem.
    MIA fell to +1 because of Marion not playing.

    Truth be told....that helped MIA today as I played them at -1.5.

    NOT a system win but... what the heck.
    Comment
    • Formulawiz
      Restricted User
      • 01-12-09
      • 1589

      #177
      NBA PR chart for today

      If anyone played college hoops yesterday there was 1 game and 2 rule #3 games. Kentucky and it won.
      By the way if your interested in college hoops here is the link to sportrends. I dont want to keep posting it so if you want save it as a link


      Here is todays NBA PR Chart
      Attached Files
      Comment
      • NBA Hero
        SBR MVP
        • 12-05-08
        • 1886

        #178
        whats the plays?......
        Comment
        • ThomasKranked
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-19-09
          • 25

          #179
          did it fast, without guarantee

          todays plays (in brackets the min. line to play):

          toronto +5,5 (5)
          indiana +8 (7)
          clippers +5 (4,5)
          wash +5 (3)
          milw +6 (5)

          rule #3 NY,hou,cleve

          not opened yet (in brackets also the min. line to play when opened):

          detr (-3) / memph +8
          dal (+3) / phil (+2)

          goodluck
          Comment
          • NBA Hero
            SBR MVP
            • 12-05-08
            • 1886

            #180
            not so good except for ind.
            Comment
            • Formulawiz
              Restricted User
              • 01-12-09
              • 1589

              #181
              NBA plays for today

              Based on early lines we have
              DAL + 4.5
              TOR + 7.5
              IND + 7.5
              LAC + 6
              WAS + 4.5
              MIL + 6
              Comment
              • eanelson
                SBR Hustler
                • 12-23-08
                • 86

                #182
                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                Based on early lines we have
                DAL + 4.5
                TOR + 7.5
                IND + 7.5
                LAC + 6
                WAS + 4.5
                MIL + 6
                Yep, that's what I have too. Also, with early lines, we have three Rule 3 plays today:

                LAL -4
                NYK -2
                HOU -3.5
                Comment
                • djpremier36
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-11-08
                  • 3479

                  #183
                  David West is out for New Orleans. I'm taking IND for sure now!
                  Comment
                  • Formulawiz
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-12-09
                    • 1589

                    #184
                    Originally posted by eanelson
                    Yep, that's what I have too. Also, with early lines, we have three Rule 3 plays today:

                    LAL -4
                    NYK -2
                    HOU -3.5
                    3-2 with 1 game left
                    lets hope MIL comes in
                    Comment
                    • eanelson
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 12-23-08
                      • 86

                      #185
                      System plays were 3-3 today. Wins were DAL, TOR, and IND. Losses were LAC, WAS, MIL.

                      Rule 3 plays were 2-1 . Wins were NYK, LAL. Loss was on HOU.

                      System Record:

                      Win 26
                      Loss 12
                      68.42%

                      Rule 3 Plays:
                      Win 4
                      Loss 4
                      50.00%
                      Comment
                      • gameday10
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-16-09
                        • 601

                        #186
                        question. What if both PR's are the same? Which spread do I use to add? The -/+ ?
                        Ex.
                        Team A = 95
                        Team B = 95
                        Comment
                        • eanelson
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 12-23-08
                          • 86

                          #187
                          Originally posted by gameday10
                          question. What if both PR's are the same? Which spread do I use to add? The -/+ ?
                          Ex.
                          Team A = 95
                          Team B = 95

                          Doesn't really matter which you add. If you use the spread for the fav (-) and it is lower than -2, you will get a play for the dog. If you add the spread for the dog (+) and it is greater than 2, you will get a play for the dog. Either way, it should have the same outcome.
                          Comment
                          • Formulawiz
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-12-09
                            • 1589

                            #188
                            Originally posted by eanelson
                            System plays were 3-3 today. Wins were DAL, TOR, and IND. Losses were LAC, WAS, MIL.

                            Rule 3 plays were 2-1 . Wins were NYK, LAL. Loss was on HOU.

                            System Record:
                            Win 26
                            Loss 12
                            68.42%

                            Rule 3 Plays:
                            Win 4
                            Loss 4
                            40.00%
                            Correction rule 3 plays are 50%
                            Comment
                            • Formulawiz
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 1589

                              #189
                              Todays NBA PR's

                              Here are todays NBA PR's
                              Early Lines IND + 7.5, MIN + 9.5
                              Attached Files
                              Comment
                              • jtnguyen79
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-26-07
                                • 730

                                #190
                                seems like every day its been 50/50.....or at least after you started this thread it has been but still early so let's see
                                Comment
                                • NBA Hero
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-05-08
                                  • 1886

                                  #191
                                  the plays? dont know the computation
                                  Comment
                                  • MexicanStallion
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-08
                                    • 20429

                                    #192
                                    You should post up a side record since it has been posted, because it has been 50% at best
                                    Comment
                                    • eanelson
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 12-23-08
                                      • 86

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                      Correction rule 3 plays are 50%
                                      LOL, yeah. Typo there, sorry.
                                      Comment
                                      • eanelson
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 12-23-08
                                        • 86

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                        You should post up a side record since it has been posted, because it has been 50% at best
                                        13-10 I believe. 56.52%
                                        Comment
                                        • Formulawiz
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-12-09
                                          • 1589

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                          You should post up a side record since it has been posted, because it has been 50% at best
                                          I am not sure why your so down on this system. Just give it a chance. I have used it for years and it has made me a considerable amount of money and I never had a losing season. I have seen and used just about every handicapping system thats out there and I am telling you this is by far the most successful system I have ever seen. Look at the PR's it creates their pretty close to the bookies lines and it definitely finds value. I am not here to sell picks or systems. I am here to share my ideas and the system I am using with everyone so we all can make money. Hey for all we know the system may go negative for a while, I have seen this happen. But I have also seen days where the system went 15-0. If you or anyone else has any good ideas, lets hear them. So I say lets keep it cool and see what happens in the long run. As someone here mentioned the other day this system should be one of many tools you use.
                                          The other NBA PR's I have seen that are very accurate are the sportrends PR's. As I mentioned yesterday I use their PR's as a confirmation. That system also does not make alot of plays. Yesterday the only play was DET and it won.
                                          There you ahve it.
                                          Comment
                                          • eanelson
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 12-23-08
                                            • 86

                                            #196
                                            Based on early lines, it looks like CHI will be a Rule 3 play and IND will be a system play. Keep monitoring for changes though.
                                            Comment
                                            • MexicanStallion
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-08
                                              • 20429

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                              I am not sure why your so down on this system. Just give it a chance. I have used it for years and it has made me a considerable amount of money and I never had a losing season. I have seen and used just about every handicapping system thats out there and I am telling you this is by far the most successful system I have ever seen. Look at the PR's it creates their pretty close to the bookies lines and it definitely finds value. I am not here to sell picks or systems. I am here to share my ideas and the system I am using with everyone so we all can make money. Hey for all we know the system may go negative for a while, I have seen this happen. But I have also seen days where the system went 15-0. If you or anyone else has any good ideas, lets hear them. So I say lets keep it cool and see what happens in the long run. As someone here mentioned the other day this system should be one of many tools you use.
                                              The other NBA PR's I have seen that are very accurate are the sportrends PR's. As I mentioned yesterday I use their PR's as a confirmation. That system also does not make alot of plays. Yesterday the only play was DET and it won.
                                              There you ahve it.
                                              I am not down on it at all. I am all for systems and anything that will work. I am def pulling for this system. I just wanted to make a suggestion of putting up the side record from this thread since nobody was betting those days you had prior.

                                              Do you play the rule #3 bets or are those just a record to see how those work?
                                              Comment
                                              • Formulawiz
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-12-09
                                                • 1589

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by MexicanStallion
                                                I am not down on it at all. I am all for systems and anything that will work. I am def pulling for this system. I just wanted to make a suggestion of putting up the side record from this thread since nobody was betting those days you had prior.

                                                Do you play the rule #3 bets or are those just a record to see how those work?
                                                Right now lets keep an eye on them.
                                                Comment
                                                • gameday10
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-16-09
                                                  • 601

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by eanelson
                                                  Doesn't really matter which you add. If you use the spread for the fav (-) and it is lower than -2, you will get a play for the dog. If you add the spread for the dog (+) and it is greater than 2, you will get a play for the dog. Either way, it should have the same outcome.
                                                  So say:
                                                  Team 1 = 95
                                                  Team 2 =95
                                                  Spread is Team 2 -3.
                                                  95-95=0
                                                  So, If I use -3 that = -3, play on Team 1? And if I use +3 = 3, play on Team 2?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eanelson
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 12-23-08
                                                    • 86

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by gameday10
                                                    So say:
                                                    Team 1 = 95
                                                    Team 2 =95
                                                    Spread is Team 2 -3.
                                                    95-95=0
                                                    So, If I use -3 that = -3, play on Team 1? And if I use +3 = 3, play on Team 2?
                                                    With your formula format of:

                                                    Selected - other = net + selected spread (either positive or negative) = total

                                                    It should be more like this:

                                                    95 (T1) - 95 (T2) = 0 + 3 = 3 (Play on team 1 since it is greater than 2)
                                                    95 (T2) - 95 (T1) = 0 - 3 = -3 (Play on team 1 since it is less than -2)

                                                    Either way, you should come out with the same result if you make sure you are either adding or subtracting the spread for the "selected" team.

                                                    An easy way to remember a circumstance like this is that if two teams are evenly matched, you will always be playing the team getting the points (which is pretty logical). Make sense, or did I confuse both of us more?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gameday10
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-16-09
                                                      • 601

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by eanelson
                                                      With your formula format of:

                                                      Selected - other = net + selected spread (either positive or negative) = total

                                                      It should be more like this:

                                                      95 (T1) - 95 (T2) = 0 + 3 = 3 (Play on team 1 since it is greater than 2)
                                                      95 (T2) - 95 (T1) = 0 - 3 = -3 (Play on team 1 since it is less than -2)

                                                      Either way, you should come out with the same result if you make sure you are either adding or subtracting the spread for the "selected" team.

                                                      An easy way to remember a circumstance like this is that if two teams are evenly matched, you will always be playing the team getting the points (which is pretty logical). Make sense, or did I confuse both of us more?
                                                      Ok. That makes since now.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Formulawiz
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                        • 1589

                                                        #202
                                                        college hoops

                                                        anybody wager collge hoops
                                                        5-0 ILL, Creighton, TOL, SFLA and COLST
                                                        Comment
                                                        • eanelson
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 12-23-08
                                                          • 86

                                                          #203
                                                          System plays were 0-1 today. Loss was IND.

                                                          Rule 3 plays were 0-1 today. Loss was CHI.

                                                          System Record:

                                                          Win 26
                                                          Loss 13
                                                          66.67%

                                                          Rule 3 Plays:
                                                          Win 4
                                                          Loss 5
                                                          44.44%
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gameday10
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-16-09
                                                            • 601

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                            anybody wager collge hoops
                                                            5-0 ILL, Creighton, TOL, SFLA and COLST
                                                            Yes I try to use the spread sheet for college hoops. I got a no play for Ill/Ohio st. I also had depaul using HC system, for the col. st/air force game-air force had 2 away games so I was told to leave games when teams have less than 3 games alone. All using overall system play. I don't see how you got ILL and S. Flor as plays.
                                                            For Ill/Ohio St. using HC system:
                                                            Ohio St. = 105.5
                                                            Ill = 106.5+3 = 109.5
                                                            109.5-105.5 = 4
                                                            4 + (-7.5) = -3.5, so play is on Ohio State

                                                            and

                                                            DePaul = 98.5
                                                            S. Flor = 96.5+3=99.5
                                                            99.5-98.5 = 1
                                                            1+(-5.5) = -4.5, so play is on depaul

                                                            Am I wrong?

                                                            And I also got N.C. State(winner), Maryland(lose)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by gameday10
                                                              Yes I try to use the spread sheet for college hoops. I got a no play for Ill/Ohio st. I also had depaul using HC system, for the col. st/air force game-air force had 2 away games so I was told to leave games when teams have less than 3 games alone. All using overall system play. I don't see how you got ILL and S. Flor as plays.
                                                              For Ill/Ohio St. using HC system:
                                                              Ohio St. = 105.5
                                                              Ill = 106.5+3 = 109.5
                                                              109.5-105.5 = 4
                                                              4 + (-7.5) = -3.5, so play is on Ohio State

                                                              and

                                                              DePaul = 98.5
                                                              S. Flor = 96.5+3=99.5
                                                              99.5-98.5 = 1
                                                              1+(-5.5) = -4.5, so play is on depaul

                                                              Am I wrong?

                                                              And I also got N.C. State(winner), Maryland(lose)
                                                              Ill show you this for the last time. I cant keep explaining this over and over. You need to read the previous instructions. Using overall system and not the H/A.
                                                              OHIO St 100.5 & ILL 109.5 + 3 HCA = 112.5 -8 line = 104.5
                                                              therefore OH St 100.5 - ILL 104.5 = ILL 4. outside 2 pt margin ILL is a play.
                                                              Now go and calculate Creighton, Toledo, S. FLA and Col St
                                                              All wins.

                                                              By the way for those of you who are interested here is the col-pr link
                                                              Comment
                                                              • IrwinFletcher
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 11-10-08
                                                                • 96

                                                                #206
                                                                Humor me here Formula to make sure I'm doing this correctly.. It Looks like there were a few more plays yesterday for College hoops..

                                                                Colorado (92)/TxTech (91.5+3=94.5) spread -10; 102 (92+10pt spread)-94.5= 7.5pt diff.. play Col
                                                                Boston College (98.5)/GaTech (94+3=97) spread -2.5; 101 (98.5+2.5pt Spread)-97= 4pt diff.. play BC

                                                                Or do these fall under rule 3?

                                                                Thanks in advance.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Formulawiz
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by IrwinFletcher
                                                                  Humor me here Formula to make sure I'm doing this correctly.. It Looks like there were a few more plays yesterday for College hoops..

                                                                  Colorado (92)/TxTech (91.5+3=94.5) spread -10; 102 (92+10pt spread)-94.5= 7.5pt diff.. play Col
                                                                  Boston College (98.5)/GaTech (94+3=97) spread -2.5; 101 (98.5+2.5pt Spread)-97= 4pt diff.. play BC

                                                                  Or do these fall under rule 3?

                                                                  Thanks in advance.
                                                                  Rule # 3. Any team whether home or away with a PR less then the other team and laying pts falls under rule #3. Look at FLA AT 104.5 laying pts to SC HT 105.5 is a good ex: of rule #3 the other way.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • IrwinFletcher
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 11-10-08
                                                                    • 96

                                                                    #208
                                                                    right.. thanks again.. If someone is keeping record of college hoops and rule #3 records you may want to chalk up 2 in the win column..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PBVETTE
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 12-03-08
                                                                      • 18

                                                                      #209
                                                                      missouri+1 over okl st. looks like a play. is tit a play or not?.please advise thanks.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • IrwinFletcher
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 11-10-08
                                                                        • 96

                                                                        #210
                                                                        So... NBA plays tonight based on yesterday's power rankings

                                                                        NO -4.5 (lots of injuries)
                                                                        BOS -5.5
                                                                        TOR +5.5
                                                                        UT +2.5?
                                                                        OKC +6.5

                                                                        Rule #3 Was +2.5, Cle +1
                                                                        Comment
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