Game:
Utah -550 ML Win
Denver -500 ML Win
Milwaukee -385 ML Win
Nets -185 ML Win
Denver / Indiana OVER 221 Win
Spurs / Miami UNDER 182 Win
Hedge for above:
2,3 Round Robin of Golden State, Toronto, and Indiana on the ML
Don't go crazy just do enough to hedge the ML plays.
Notes on the Quarter plays. I have had GREAT success with playing the quarter plays using a progression. If the 1Q play loses martingale it till it wins. If the 3Q play loses, double up in the 4th Quarter. You can do this or not, up to you, the 1Q and 3Q picks hit pretty good without the progression, but the progression raises the win% to over 90%.
1Q
San Antonio -130 ML Win
New Jersey -135 ML Win
Toronto +2 1/2 Win
Utah -220 ML Lost 1Q, Win double up on 2Q
3Q
Utah ML Loss 3Q Win double up on 4Q
Denver ML Win
Miami/San Antonio take the team that loses the 1 Half
New Jersey / Sacramento take the team that loses the 1 Half Win
Milwaukee / Toronto take the team that loses the 1 Half Win
Leans
Toronto +8 1/2 Take Milwaukee ML instead
Kings +4 Take Nets ML instead
Denver/Indiana UNDER 221
Spurs/Miami OVER 181
Utah/Warriors UNDER 220
Toronto has been impressive the last 2 games. But the Bucks are 8-3 ATS last 11 games while Toronto is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games.
Nets lost six of their last nine games. Kings are 1-7 since they changed coaches, but are 4-3-1 against the spread (4-1 as road dog). But, I'm thinking the Kings were getting a lot more than 4 points the last 5 games. Does anyone know what the Kings spread was last 5 games?
I know that Denver and Indiana both play spray and pray offenses. But, come on. 221 points?
Spurs/Miami - 2 teams that have been on fire lately. I think whichever team gets behind they will pour it on to get back in the game, then the other team will do the same.
Utah plays at a slow pace, only went over 220 twice this year and once was an OT game. Warriors play spray and pray bball, but won't Utah control the pace of the game in their own court?
Any insight you have on any of these leans is appreciated.
Utah -550 ML Win
Denver -500 ML Win
Milwaukee -385 ML Win
Nets -185 ML Win
Denver / Indiana OVER 221 Win
Spurs / Miami UNDER 182 Win
Hedge for above:
2,3 Round Robin of Golden State, Toronto, and Indiana on the ML
Don't go crazy just do enough to hedge the ML plays.
Notes on the Quarter plays. I have had GREAT success with playing the quarter plays using a progression. If the 1Q play loses martingale it till it wins. If the 3Q play loses, double up in the 4th Quarter. You can do this or not, up to you, the 1Q and 3Q picks hit pretty good without the progression, but the progression raises the win% to over 90%.
1Q
San Antonio -130 ML Win
New Jersey -135 ML Win
Toronto +2 1/2 Win
Utah -220 ML Lost 1Q, Win double up on 2Q
3Q
Utah ML Loss 3Q Win double up on 4Q
Denver ML Win
Miami/San Antonio take the team that loses the 1 Half
New Jersey / Sacramento take the team that loses the 1 Half Win
Milwaukee / Toronto take the team that loses the 1 Half Win
Leans
Utah/Warriors UNDER 220
Toronto has been impressive the last 2 games. But the Bucks are 8-3 ATS last 11 games while Toronto is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games.
Nets lost six of their last nine games. Kings are 1-7 since they changed coaches, but are 4-3-1 against the spread (4-1 as road dog). But, I'm thinking the Kings were getting a lot more than 4 points the last 5 games. Does anyone know what the Kings spread was last 5 games?
I know that Denver and Indiana both play spray and pray offenses. But, come on. 221 points?
Spurs/Miami - 2 teams that have been on fire lately. I think whichever team gets behind they will pour it on to get back in the game, then the other team will do the same.
Utah plays at a slow pace, only went over 220 twice this year and once was an OT game. Warriors play spray and pray bball, but won't Utah control the pace of the game in their own court?
Any insight you have on any of these leans is appreciated.
