TNT Thursday NBA 01/10/13

[Khmerkid]

YTD =156 -113- 9 POD =105 - 66 - 6

11/23/12Bankroll=($20,000)01/10/13($155,100)

Withdrawal 12/12/12 =($100,000)
Withdrawal 12/20/12 =($150,000)
Withdrawal 01/01/13 =($200,000)


01/05/13= 6 - 1 = ($52,500)
01/06/13= 5 - 6 - 1 = ($1,800)
01/07/13= 1 - 3 = ($37,000)
01/08/13= 4 - 1 = ($74,700)
01/09/13= 4 - 3 = ($19,800)

So overall a decent night for everyone even though the record doesn't show it. I went 4 - 3 for the night missing 1 of my PODS making a decent profit. With 2 profitable night we got back most of what we lost a few days ago. Sorry guys I broke my promise to all of you last night I wasn't supposed to play any ATS at all this week but guess what I played the Warriors last and they lost straight up. So I deserve that but it's all good I still made profit. Lets hope for another profitable night not too many games on board tonight.Once again I would like to thanks everyone who has been supporting me and have been giving their inputs and thoughts. So lets <nobr></nobr><nobr></nobr><nobr>start</nobr> with some leans for tonight. Nothing yet just leans any thoughts and suggestions would be appreciated.


Over Pacers =185
Under Kings =206
Over Blazers =196

Remember we are just doing Totals for this week no ATS.

[bmohl123]

KhmerKid - Thanks for posting your plays. I have followed the last 2 nights and will continue tonight. Are these your final plays or you still crunching some numbers?

[TxAaron]

Keep up the good work KK! Been following you for a bit... keep making that dough.

[Khmerkid]

KhmerKid - Thanks for posting your plays. I have followed the last 2 nights and will continue tonight. Are these your final plays or you still crunching some numbers?

These are just leans for now bro. I will post my final plays later once the numbers are done.

[Khmerkid]

Keep up the good work KK! Been following you for a bit... keep making that dough.

Thanks bro lets hope for another profitable night.

[bmohl123]

Awesome thanks again ....

[odu89]

Thanks for the bonus Toronto pick I parlayed it with the under. Should of waited longer for your GSW pick as I picked the over. Still very profitable night even with the brutal ending of the SA/LA game.

[Khmerkid]

Thanks for the bonus Toronto pick I parlayed it with the under. Should of waited longer for your GSW pick as I picked the over. Still very profitable night even with the brutal ending of the SA/LA game.

Yeah bro i should have played the Raptors myself instead of the farking Warriors. But oh well we can't win them all still a profitable night.

[sportfinny15]

Good luck tonight kid, let's keep the money train rolling!!!!!!

[JM92]

Im on the under with the Pacers game. Pacers play complete defense, including pick 'n roll and 3 point shooting. Last game both teams were really weak offensively with OEFF below 100 for both teams and I expect the same this time, maybe at a even slower pace. The 185.5 number that was up there for awhile was an exageration in my opinion. I see the Knicks strugling and I don't see the Pacers trying to score a whole bunch of points to (that's way I think - 5 is too big a number), so the under seems perfect.

good luck with whatever you play!

[mikeewyn]

Which ATS would you recommend? Thanks bro

[bassfish]

Pacers game Hill will play

according to @MikeWellsNBA Pacers beat writer at Indianapolis Star.

[3mikee_]

Keep it up bro! Appreciate all the hard work!

[Khmerkid]

Original leans

Over Pacers =185
Under Kings =206
Over Blazers =196

These are the leans after running some numbers so far we are looking great looking for a big night. I am still running the final number before I will post the final plays.

Over Pacers =185 Under Kings =206 Over Blazers =196 Remember we are just doing Totals for this week no ATS.

For all you ATS heads here are some of the plays

Pacers -5
Kings -2
Blazers +4

[nicktran808]

I'm thinking Pacers will go under too. Pacers play serious defense yet struggle offensively. Knicks also struggle offensively and will put up a lot less points without Melo.

Mavs/Kings looking under to me

Heat/Trailblazers could be anything IMO. Under or Over, or Push

[figue]

[chargers4222]

why would you only do totals...

[nicktran808]

why would you only do totals...

Not to jack Kid's thread but I find totals to be more reasonable and "easier" to bet on.

The point of spreads is for Vegas to get equal betting on both sides, and with how corrupt and unpredictable the NBA is, spreads might as well be coinflips.

With totals (for me anyways--I only do 1H totals) you can do some number crunching to get an average and it'll usually give you a good idea of how the game will end up. Factor in injuries, b2b, etc and you have a better idea of total being over/under as opposed to X team winning/losing by Y points. Since Monday I'm 17-7 in my predictions, 8-2 on betting on my predictions (I only bet on ones I feel good about).

I think Kid said he had a bad few nights doing ATS so he's doing Totals this week.

[joco]

good luck!

[TxAaron]

Gonna lock and load soon as I get the word Good luck tonight!

[Italy]

tailing portland over...thanks,good luck!

[Maximo]

Kings under looks awesome.
locked.

[SMJ]

lets killem!

[TCamp15]

Not to jack Kid's thread but I find totals to be more reasonable and "easier" to bet on.





The point of spreads is for Vegas to get equal betting on both sides, and with how corrupt and unpredictable the NBA is, spreads might as well be coinflips.

With totals (for me anyways--I only do 1H totals) you can do some number crunching to get an average and it'll usually give you a good idea of how the game will end up. Factor in injuries, b2b, etc and you have a better idea of total being over/under as opposed to X team winning/losing by Y points. Since Monday I'm 17-7 in my predictions, 8-2 on betting on my predictions (I only bet on ones I feel good about).

I think Kid said he had a bad few nights doing ATS so he's doing Totals this week.

what are your picks tonight I just wanna know because your'e pretty annoying just sayin...make your own thread...any way good luck kkid liking under in kings and over in pacers as well

[Khmerkid]

All right boys this is what I have for tonight. Locked And Loaded Play It If You Like It Fade It If You Don't. POD = Over Pacers =184 $11,000 to win $10,000 POD = Under Kings =206 $11,000 to win $10,000 Over Blazers =195 $3,300 to win $3,000 2 Team Parlay Action Revers $4,000 to win $16,000 Over Pacers =184 Under Kings =206 3 Team Parlay $3,000 to win $18,000 Over Pacers =184 Under Kings =206 Over Blazers =195 ATS Pacers -5 Kings -2 As always good luck on whatever you all decide to do.

[bmohl123]

Over on the Pacers/Knicks huh....What is reasoning behind that? Any info you can share . Was thinking under with the defense of the Pacers and no Melo

[bmohl123]

thanks Khmerkid i will be following as usual

[hubbard689]

Been following your threads for weeks Kid and thoroughly impressed but just finally starting to tail your PODs tonight and plan to do it regularly, BOL to us both!

[dnwjdl]

Thanks, Khmerkid! BOL!

[Khmerkid]

Over on the Pacers/Knicks huh....What is reasoning behind that? Any info you can share . Was thinking under with the defense of the Pacers and no Melo

This should be more fast paced without Melo in the line and more opportunity for Jr, Kidd and Noviak to contribute the 3 balls. The Knicks are know for 3 balls they live and die by the 3 ball. Without Melo they have more opportunity cause Melo likes to hog the ball and kill the shot clock. Either way best of luck bro

[Khmerkid]

Been following your threads for weeks Kid and thoroughly impressed but just finally starting to tail your PODs tonight and plan to do it regularly, BOL to us both!

Thanks bro lets have a profitable night then.

[bmohl123]

Awesome....Lets go!!!!!!

[thefonzo]

I hope I'm not asking a stupid/repetitive question, but I feel it's important as money management is what kills most gamblers in the long run, especially those who depend on tailing others.

How many "units" is a $10,000 or $3000 play, or what % of your bankroll is it? Are these based on a $155,000 roll?

Thanks in advance guys.

[GreekMagic]

Many thanks to you kid as you've been rolling hard! We're all backing you!

[Khmerkid]

I hope I'm not asking a stupid/repetitive question, but I feel it's important as money management is what kills most gamblers in the long run, especially those who depend on tailing others.

How many "units" is a $10,000 or $3000 play, or what % of your bankroll is it? Are these based on a $155,000 roll?

Thanks in advance guys.

You are right money management is key but I think I have enough of a roll to back it up. But for the people that doesn't have a huge roll please be discipline and use your judgement wisely money doesn't grow on tree.