1. #36
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Thanks guys...

    Adding 1 more unit to the spurs over play at 189. Line movement is in our favor as pinny juicing over 189 big time. I also put .5 unit on 1q and 1h over. I like the fact that this is the only total that didn't close below its opener despite all the action on the under.

    Looking forward to this game. Let's cash this over play!

  2. #37
    ColdBeerHere
    Tailing Wilson
    ColdBeerHere's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 3,626
    Betpoints: 8151

    Wow, I don't watch basketball that often....But seems like they are missing a ton of shots right now.....Hope things change for the better here.....

    between the two teams they must have missed about 7 in a row now

  3. #38
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Not looking good, but very early. Adding one unit to portland under

  4. #39
    hoyas2007
    hoyas2007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 106

    Pace is just what we expected - on pace for 184 possessions. They're at 1.01 PPP so far - we need that to improve a little. The big thing that would help would be for teams to take it to the hole and draw some more fouls - very few free throws that quarter. That was a good drive by memphis to the basket to start the second quarter

  5. #40
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,524
    Betpoints: 6771

    Over may have been the play, but i bet on 1Q under 47 1/2... won it having that extra 1/2 point!!! Was thinking it was a loser with 4:30 left but then each team went cold for a couple minutes!



    hope the over for the game hits for u guys!

  6. #41
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by hoyas2007 View Post
    Pace is just what we expected - on pace for 184 possessions. They're at 1.01 PPP so far - we need that to improve a little. The big thing that would help would be for teams to take it to the hole and draw some more fouls - very few free throws that quarter. That was a good drive by memphis to the basket to start the second quarter
    Agreed...unfortunately, I don't think we're going to get much help from the zebras...two of the three refs favor the under. Can't complain about current pace or score, I just hope they keep it up 2h...

    Fingers crossed...

  7. #42
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Missed my first quarter .5 unit play by 1/2 a point. Cashed the 1h over though so we split on those plays.

    We have 98 points at the half (should have had at least 100). My concern is that these teams are shooting so well, they will come back down to earth. Spurs shooting 60% and Memphis 50%. Can that really continue?

    I could shoot for a middle with 2h under play. I can get 2h under at 94. Therefore, if they score 91, 92 or 93 2h, I could hit the middle. However, I'm not a fan of hedging so probably won't do it.

    Interested in your guys' thoughts on 2h.

    I'm also frustrated that Narveson just got shelled in the 3rd inning by the Reds and that under call is dead in the Reds/Brewers game (only one run cushion in the third inning). Although, at least Drabek is pitching well against the Rangers.

    I'm probably going to start capping tomorrow's NBA and MLB so might not watch the 2h. Keep me updated. Thanks!
    Last edited by Love The Action; 04-25-11 at 08:22 PM.

  8. #43
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Looking solid on the 2 unit Portland/Dallas under.

    Hey Hoyas, what does your math tell us about the 2h in the SA/Mem game?

  9. #44
    Antibet
    Antibet's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-09
    Posts: 1,688
    Betpoints: 1565

    I decided to protect my OVER 189 bet, and went with UNDER 94 for the 2nd half for 1/2 of my OVER 189 bet.

  10. #45
    NBA_Brosuf
    Fade me to Become A Pro LOL
    NBA_Brosuf's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-13-11
    Posts: 2,489
    Betpoints: 47

    They are going to push Parker out of the paint to slow the guy down. Just heard it on tv.

  11. #46
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    I played the Portland under. That is looking like its up bar overtime.

  12. #47
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Wow, Portland and Dallas just exploded for a bunch of points in the last 3 to 4 minutes of the 1h. Still pointing under, but not much of a cushion.

  13. #48
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    No hedge from me...I'm sticking on this over call for the full 5 units.

    The Blue Jays just exploded for six runs against the Rangers. Hopefully, Drabek can continue to shut the Rangers down.

  14. #49
    NBA_Brosuf
    Fade me to Become A Pro LOL
    NBA_Brosuf's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-13-11
    Posts: 2,489
    Betpoints: 47

    4 minutes in spurs game and only 10 points. Is that about right?

  15. #50
    hoyas2007
    hoyas2007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 106

    47 possessions in the first quarter, then 43 in the second quarter, so 90 total. That puts it on pace for 180, which is exactly what we predicted. PPP was 1.09 in the first half which is good. We're going to need more free throws though for that to continue - I doubt both teams will shoot as well from the field in the second half. Spurs need to start scoring soon. That's already 5 free throws on SAS this quarter, so Memphis could get a bunch of free throws here which would help. My guess is that it is going to be really close to 189 - will probably come down to a few points at the end

  16. #51
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    SA has no points through first 4 minutes of second half

  17. #52
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by hoyas2007 View Post
    47 possessions in the first quarter, then 43 in the second quarter, so 90 total. That puts it on pace for 180, which is exactly what we predicted. PPP was 1.09 in the first half which is good. We're going to need more free throws though for that to continue - I doubt both teams will shoot as well from the field in the second half. Spurs need to start scoring soon. That's already 5 free throws on SAS this quarter, so Memphis could get a bunch of free throws here which would help. My guess is that it is going to be really close to 189 - will probably come down to a few points at the end

    Yep...that's exactly what I was thinking. This scoring drought of SA is killing us. They need to start raining treys.

    This one is going to be really close. We're definitely going to have to sweat it out...

  18. #53
    garbin
    garbin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-16-11
    Posts: 146
    Betpoints: 84

    If they keep the pace OVER scores, if there is a 5-6 minutes melt down then UNDER could do. GL everyone!

  19. #54
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Adding .5 unit in the MLB on Braves/Padres over (7) and Oakland/LAA over (6.5).

  20. #55
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    We need 46 points per quarter in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Going to be interesting...

  21. #56
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    We need 47 points for the 4th quarter. My worry is that Memphis slows it down a bit. Hopefully, both teams shoot well and we get a lot of foul calls down the stretch.

  22. #57
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final

  23. #58
    ColdBeerHere
    Tailing Wilson
    ColdBeerHere's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 3,626
    Betpoints: 8151

    Quote Originally Posted by Love The Action View Post
    Adding .5 unit in the MLB on Braves/Padres over (7) and Oakland/LAA over (6.5).
    tailin' ya on each at 2/3 unit each play

  24. #59
    Jm5900
    Jm5900's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-08
    Posts: 67
    Betpoints: 210

    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final
    ...

  25. #60
    Jm5900
    Jm5900's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-08
    Posts: 67
    Betpoints: 210

    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Both teams shooting at 50% so you guys will be ok. I think it will be 98-99 final

    your on some good shit... pray memphis keeps scoring. bol

  26. #61
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere View Post
    tailin' ya on each at 2/3 unit each play




    Good luck to us!

    These two plays are in part based on line movement/following the smart money and the other part based in trends. Over 62% of the public was on the under in both games, yet the smart books were juicing the over big. Plus, sometimes when great pitchers face off, you see 4-3 or 5-4 type game because the bullpens will give up late runs.

  27. #62
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by Jm5900 View Post
    your on some good shit... pray memphis keeps scoring. bol



    Agreed...

    SA is freekin killing us! Memphis is just going to run out the clock. WTF

  28. #63
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    We need a little under 4.3 points per minute for the remainder of the game. It's going to up to SA. Memphis should hit 100...the question is if SA will hit 90?

  29. #64
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    San Antonio are in trouble guys. Down 20 with 6min and change to go. Could be an upset here

  30. #65
    Cuseyboyy
    Cuseyboyy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-07-11
    Posts: 145

    LTA your pretty good at totals man. how you feel about this nuggs game i think it should go over

  31. #66
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    SA farging sucks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  32. #67
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,270
    Betpoints: 79

    Garbage time, this overs done

  33. #68
    ColdBeerHere
    Tailing Wilson
    ColdBeerHere's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 3,626
    Betpoints: 8151

    OMG i am on tilt now...making dumb live bets i picked a winner but i misclicked team...just micslicked on 3 bets....over 10% of my BR

    probably closer to 15%

  34. #69
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    I can't believe SA let us down like this. I thought for sure they would hit at least 90-95 points per game. Sorry guys.

  35. #70
    Love The Action
    Love The Action's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 10,952
    Betpoints: 3454

    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Garbage time, this overs done
    Absolutely...the scrubs are going to come in now. We're f'd. I seriously am going to hold a grudge against the
    Spurs for this one

First 1234 Last
Top