nba chase 12/13

[TB12]

Riceboi - I have a spreadsheet that does that - I'm using it to backtest Stiflers systems to see if I can make it a 3 game chase rather than a 4 game chase.

I can post it tomorrow - I would PM it but I don't have enough posts yet

Please post the spreadsheet when available I'm also interested :-)

[Stifler]

07.12.2012

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando - waiting on line movement

S3

(B Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u

S4

(new A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u

[Grinder12000]

Don't forget that some of you won that first S$ bet the other night.

Off Topic - Excel - lots of people showing interest in Excel. I'm taking an ACCESS course from

http://www.learnitanytime.com/ and for people that learn better from being shown (as opposed to books) it's REALLY good for $25 a month. They answer questions really fast, on your own time and so forth. I think I'll look into Excel macros at some point.

I highly recommend this place for cheap in-depth learning. They go from basic to advanced.

Carry on.

[TB12]

Stifler, does it make sense to enter our picks with our bookie earlier in the day when you post them or before game time?

[okbyme123]

Stifler, does it make sense to enter our picks with our bookie earlier in the day when you post them or before game time?

Reading past post will explain.

[Stifler]

Stifler, does it make sense to enter our picks with our bookie earlier in the day when you post them or before game time?

lines move up and down and im trying to get the best line possible. I think NO line will go down to +7, brooklyn line wont get better than -6 and i hope i can get Orlando +3 later today.

[TB12]

Thanks Stifler luckily I got the Brooklyn line before it moved just like you said!

and Orlando is at +3 at 5dimes, just put my wager in.

[licker9]

for S4 you have fade mem 2x. does that mean a 2 unit play?
I don't think so, but would like to confirm.

[tr4sh]

@licker, if you look back, mem fade was already a series play but it pushed (A Bet against the Suns), so we continue on with the series and still consider ourselves on the A Bet of that series. On top of that, mem fade qualifies again (OT against Suns)

[tjohnstone3]

Dang, I won that Memphis bet (local had Phoenix at +10.5)...now to decide if I want to play this series as a double or just leave it as a singe...decisions, decisions...

BTW, short time lurker, first time poster. Thanks for sharing this system and for being so patient with everyone trying to understand it.

[Grinder12000]

tjohnstone3 - not that it's any help but I'm playing it as a double for giggles. After all the theory has not changed, we just got some extra cash a few days ago.

Also playing my own S1A Grinder Orlando so there are hanging chads everywhere LOL

[Riceboi]

Riceboi - I have a spreadsheet that does that - I'm using it to backtest Stiflers systems to see if I can make it a 3 game chase rather than a 4 game chase.

I can post it tomorrow - I would PM it but I don't have enough posts yet

I'm on covers too, just sent you a friend request, PM me there.

[Stifler]

- Orlando line updated.

07.12.2012

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando +3 2,31u

S3

(B Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u

S4

(new A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u

[degengamble]

- Orlando line updated.

07.12.2012

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando +3 2,31u

S3

(B Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u

S4

(new A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u

I could be wrong here - but I don't think so because I read the post where if you have multiple W's or L's in a row another A bet starts.

So Chase ORL - should be a play under System 2 (Road Split)

11/19 @ ATL - W ATS
12/2 @ LAL - W ATS
12/3 @ GSW - W ATS

A BET start at UTAH
12/5 @ UTA - W ATS (clears A bet)

12/7 @ SAC - Start another series (A Bet)

So shouldn;t we start another Chase ORL series? - or am I missing something.

[Stifler]

The utah win was the first game of the new starting streak. If they W the next 2 games on the road ATS they will qualify for the next series play.

W
W
W - 3 game winning streak
W - start series with A Bet (new potential winning streak starts aswell)
W
W - 3 game winning streak, next series would start on their next game

[Wallco99]

Dang, I won that Memphis bet (local had Phoenix at +10.5)...now to decide if I want to play this series as a double or just leave it as a singe...decisions, decisions...

BTW, short time lurker, first time poster. Thanks for sharing this system and for being so patient with everyone trying to understand it.

I wouldn't push your luck, take your victory and move on.

[degengamble]

Please post the spreadsheet when available I'm also interested :-)

TB12 / Riceboi - and all others interested.

As requested here is an excel spreadsheet that will allow you to import NBA Game / ATS results from Covers. All you have to do is select the SEASON you want to import from the dropdown and click the "IMPORT" button. The game logs for all the teams will be downloaded to the Covers Data tab.

I already imported 2007-2008 to 2011-2012 seasons - but if you want you can clear the blue cells in the Covers Data tab and start over or add to it. Anytime you import a season it is pasted below the last row.

Well that's it - enjoy!

DegenGamble

[degengamble]

The utah win was the first game of the new starting streak. If they W the next 2 games on the road ATS they will qualify for the next series play.

W
W
W - 3 game winning streak
W - start series with A Bet (new potential winning streak starts aswell)
W
W - 3 game winning streak, next series would start on their next game

Thanks for the clarification Stifler. I will update the logic on my spreadsheet.

I thought you always just look back 3 games - in fact I thought it made a lot of sense to me since you would take advantage of long ATS streaks.

Example:

Instead of:

W
W
W - 3 game winning streak
W - start series with A Bet (new potential winning streak starts aswell) - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W
W - 3 game winning streak, next series would start on their next game
W - start series with A Bet - 1 UNIT WON HERE

By continuing the A bets you get:

W
W
W - 3 game winning streak
W - start series with A Bet (new potential winning streak starts aswell) - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE

Have you backtested it betting the streak like this?

DG

[TB12]

TB12 / Riceboi - and all others interested.

As requested here is an excel spreadsheet that will allow you to import NBA Game / ATS results from Covers. All you have to do is select the SEASON you want to import from the dropdown and click the "IMPORT" button. The game logs for all the teams will be downloaded to the Covers Data tab.

I already imported 2007-2008 to 2011-2012 seasons - but if you want you can clear the blue cells in the Covers Data tab and start over or add to it. Anytime you import a season it is pasted below the last row.

Well that's it - enjoy!

DegenGamble

Thanks DG you really are impressive with Excel, wish I had your knowledge (computer science major) and look forward to your updated spreadsheets!

[J.M. Disciple]

degengamble

As you continue to bet their winning streak, do you stop betting once the streak is broken, or stop betting once you have lost 4 straight in a row? I heard of one person doing this for MLB for the o/u where they have like 15-17 striaght overs or unders and that make a good amount, but idk if it was tested on NBA or not.

Careful what you post, a lot of people get butt hurt about posting theory that do not have a 10 year back test on it LOL

[degengamble]

Thanks DG you really are impressive with Excel, wish I had your knowledge (computer science major) and look forward to your updated spreadsheets!

Thanks TB12 - Like I mentioned I am usually on Covers. I automated B2W's RPI chase system for MLB last year - and will be doing it again this year with nay updates he may have.

Also there is a 3 game chase system after all star break that has a monster win rate - I think undefeated since 2000 or something like that.

And AllDayGambler (ADG) on Covers consolidated and tweaked all of Cisco's systems from Covers - So I will be automating those as well.

As for Hockey - I have a bunch I want to run - but no season yet - I think they may cancel the whole sha-bang-abang - it's not sounding like an agreement is gonna be reached any time soon. Which will suck - but what can you do.

If you hear of any good MLB systems let me know

DG

[degengamble]

degengamble

As you continue to bet their winning streak, do you stop betting once the streak is broken, or stop betting once you have lost 4 straight in a row? I heard of one person doing this for MLB for the o/u where they have like 15-17 striaght overs or unders and that make a good amount, but idk if it was tested on NBA or not.

Careful what you post, a lot of people get butt hurt about posting theory that do not have a 10 year back test on it LOL

JM D - oh I was not suggesting to do that. I was asking Stifler if he backtested it - Did you read post #1138? After stifler clarified a nuance in his system - I posed a question about potentially continuing to ride the streak - rather than stopping after winning the A game and continuing the chase. I was wondering if he backtested that?

DG

[Stifler]

By continuing the A bets you get:

W
W
W - 3 game winning streak
W - start series with A Bet (new potential winning streak starts aswell) - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE
W - 1 UNIT WON HERE

Have you backtested it betting the streak like this?

DG

no!

so u gonna start a new 4 game chase as long as the last 3 games were streaks? Maybe im going to check this for next year.

[Wallco99]

degengamble

As you continue to bet their winning streak, do you stop betting once the streak is broken, or stop betting once you have lost 4 straight in a row? I heard of one person doing this for MLB for the o/u where they have like 15-17 striaght overs or unders and that make a good amount, but idk if it was tested on NBA or not.

Careful what you post, a lot of people get butt hurt about posting theory that do not have a 10 year back test on it LOL

No, but at least a one year test would be nice. Not LOL!

[degengamble]

no!

so u gonna start a new 4 game chase as long as the last 3 games were streaks? Maybe im going to check this for next year.

Yeah you got it Stifler. This way you can take advantage of a team that may streak 15 times in a row. I have the Covers ATS data from the last 6 years - I will see if I come up with anything using this method of betting and potentially seeing if a 3 game chase rather than a 4 game is even feasible.

[TB12]

Thanks TB12 - Like I mentioned I am usually on Covers. I automated B2W's RPI chase system for MLB last year - and will be doing it again this year with nay updates he may have.

Also there is a 3 game chase system after all star break that has a monster win rate - I think undefeated since 2000 or something like that.

And AllDayGambler (ADG) on Covers consolidated and tweaked all of Cisco's systems from Covers - So I will be automating those as well.

As for Hockey - I have a bunch I want to run - but no season yet - I think they may cancel the whole sha-bang-abang - it's not sounding like an agreement is gonna be reached any time soon. Which will suck - but what can you do.

If you hear of any good MLB systems let me know

DG

Awesome can't wait to try out your other automated spreadsheets. Keep us posted when they are available!

[Grinder12000]

Thank you two meaningless points. Now we see Golden State tomorrow night - hope they are tired.

[itsjhurley]

Something today was telling me to buy a half point to match stiflers bet..

[Asset]

Thank you two meaningless points. Now we see Golden State tomorrow night - hope they are tired.

I really hope your right , because I'm not ready to put on my underwear.

[Grinder12000]

because I'm not ready to put on my underwear.

I don't even want to go there LOL

[gamewinninglv]

2 C bets on Saturday ? Woo Hoo !!!!

[olmec]

2 C bets on Saturday ? Woo Hoo !!!!

really: woo hoo hope that not to see D bets

[Stifler]

07.12.2012

S1

(B Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando +3 2,31u

S3

(B Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u

S4

(new A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Mem fade: New orleans +7,5 1,10u

records:
S1: W 17 | L 1 (-1,45 units)
S2: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
S3: W 6 | L 0 (+6,00 units)
S4: W 14 | L 0 (+15,00 units)

pending:
- S1 Sac fade, C Bet on 08.12.2012
- S3 GS fade, C Bet on 08.12.2012

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786

[Stifler]

08.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando +3 2,31u | Portland - waiting on line movement

S2

(A Bet) Cle fade: Detroit - waiting on line movement

S3

(C Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u | Washington - waiting on line movement

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786

[Stifler]

- fully updated.

08.12.2012

S1

(C Bet) Sac fade: Toronto +2,5 1,10u | Orlando +3 2,31u | Portland -6 4,85u

S2

(A Bet) Cle fade: Detroit -1 1,10u

S3

(C Bet) GS fade: Detroit -1 1,10u | Brooklyn -6 2,31u | Washington +4,5 4,85u


________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________



all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #786