nba chase 12/13

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 10:45 AM

kobe - you could probably go back and tabulate it yourself from this thread. I'll do it later today if you don't get an answer before tonight (perfect watching football work).

BTW - on twitter just search for #StiflersChase make sure you search with the "#" Or facebook??? Maybe make a StiflersChase page ??? I'm better at Facebook.

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 11:38 AM

hi stifler good job on you system! just want to know the current bet status for this season for every system(S1S2S3S4) like this..

S1 overall: 620-13
A Bet: 339-294
B Bet: 163-131
C Bet: 86-45
D Bet: 32-13

I want to thank Stifler for posting in a repeatable format - dude it makes things so nice - TY

Results may very with that push earlier - and friends - we are in the thick of it now ain't we!!

There are bets pending so all might not add up

S1
A 4-8
B 5-2 (missing a win here??)
C 0-2

S2
A 4-1

S3
A 3-1
B 1-0

S4
A 7-3
B 2-1

Vandyb3ar · 11-25-12, 11:58 AM

Grinder, love the effort

. A facebook page would be awesome, although I'm inclined to bite the bullet and make a twitter just for the #stiflerchase haha. Tomorrow is a big one

. Nerves already kicking in haha. Luckily I'm up watching the city game and will probably sleep in through most of the nuggets game!

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 12:27 PM

Go for the twitter - I'm a newbie at twitter but love the concept I posted some stuff last night with #Stiflerschase in the sentence, then searched and found . . .me! But an actually account would be great.

Tomorrow??? Where are you located!!

Vandyb3ar · 11-25-12, 12:36 PM

Haha awesome

ill definitely get on twitter tomorrow. Definitely an awesome concept.

Well today technically sorry* haha. Australia, its 4:30 here

kosti · 11-25-12, 12:51 PM

Guys I don't know if I'm still hungover from last night or just an idiot. Calculating my wager amount for the D bet tonight...I've figured it out multiple times but it seems as though I'm wagering less than 10 units on this which doesn't make sense to me.

I did this:
Add A bet loss
Add B bet loss
Add C bet loss
Add D bet win 1 unit risk amount

I get 8.932 units for my D bet risk amount. Does this seem normal or am I off my rocker this morning

Vandyb3ar · 11-25-12, 12:56 PM

Hey Kosti. D bet should be 10.19u I believe.

kosti · 11-25-12, 01:04 PM

Yeah that's what I saw on Stifler's post but I'm almost 2 units off with my calc's. I am using Pinnacle so getting shorter juice but don't know if it should account for 2 units.

Asset · 11-25-12, 01:09 PM

Don't you just add risk + earn? Lets say...

Using 1.10u; betting to win $20.00

(A) risk 22.00 win 20.00
(B) risk 46.20 win 42.00
(C) risk 72.82 win 66.20
(D) risk 102.10 win 92.82

Total loss = $243.12

If you lose the D bet you'll lose $243.12 and that ends the series. Please correct me if i'm wrong. Thanks guys/gals

Riceboi · 11-25-12, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by Asset

Don't you just add risk + earn? Lets say...

Using 1.10u; betting to win $20.00

(A) risk 22.00 win 20.00
(B) risk 46.20 win 42.00
(C) risk 72.82 win 66.20
(D) risk 102.10 win 92.82

Total loss = $243.12

If you lose the D bet you'll lose $243.12 and that ends the series. Please correct me if i'm wrong. Thanks guys/gals

the C bet should be bet $98 to win $88.20
The D bet should be bet $206.88 to win $186.20

A series loss would be roughly $373.08, if you're using $20 units.

Vandyb3ar · 11-25-12, 01:21 PM

It could account for a unit or so depending on the odds you got, 10 cents is .1 unit I believe and as we roughly double each bet that could become more pronounced. Once again, depends on the odds pinnacle gave you. Either way stake the 8 something units if it will win you 1 unit on the series over all. Thats the aim after all and theres no point risking more than you have to.

Edit:
My apologies if I'm incorrect here, its a little late and I wouldn't put an error in my maths or logic past me at this point ;P. Im sure stifler or one of the other regulars in this thread will have some pertinent information to add!

Asset · 11-25-12, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by Riceboi

the C bet should be bet $98 to win $88.20
The D bet should be bet $206.88 to win $186.20

A series loss would be roughly $373.08, if you're using $20 units.

-Aint the C bet be $97.02 to win $88.20?
-And the D bet be $203.74 to win $185.22?

So a series loss would be $368.96?
This is with 1.10u...

@Riceboi: So basically I just add the all the risk (A, B, C) or whatever I've lost to my earning $20.00? But I understand what you did...Thank-you

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 01:45 PM

This is what I've been using. Multiply it by the number of dollars wagering.

Bet	Tot Win	minus previous wagers
$1.00	$0.91
$2.10	$1.91	$0.91
$4.41	$4.01	$0.91
$9.26	$8.43	$0.92

Asset · 11-25-12, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

This is what I've been using. Multiply it by the number of dollars wagering.

Bet	Tot Win	minus previous wagers
$1.00	$0.91
$2.10	$1.91	$0.91
$4.41	$4.01	$0.91
$9.26	$8.43	$0.92

You just gave me a headache

I'm lost...

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 02:13 PM

At my books I place a $1 wager to win $0.91

Taking the last line as an example - I bet 9.26 I win ($9.26*0.91)= 8.43

Then I take that 8.43 MINUS the previous wagers ($1.00+$2.10+$4.41)= 0.92 which is what I win after the stress is all over.

I HOPE that is correct because my brain really cramped up trying to figure this relatively simple thing out - I don't know why I was brain farting so much.

Asset · 11-25-12, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

At my books I place a $1 wager to win $0.91

Taking the last line as an example - I bet 9.26 I win ($9.26*0.91)= 8.43

Then I take that 8.43 MINUS the previous wagers ($1.00+$2.10+$4.41)= 0.92 which is what I win after the stress is all over.

I HOPE that is correct because my brain really cramped up trying to figure this relatively simple thing out - I don't know why I was brain farting so much.

It makes total sense now, but I think for "me" its harder but that's just me

Riceboi had the correct idea I was looking for. Anyways...thank-you Grinder

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 02:32 PM

Thank YOU - I was actually off a little and buy explaining it I found an error. Can't wait until baseball season - I'm writing an Access program to help out . . maybe!

Wallco99 · 11-25-12, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by kosti

Guys I don't know if I'm still hungover from last night or just an idiot. Calculating my wager amount for the D bet tonight...I've figured it out multiple times but it seems as though I'm wagering less than 10 units on this which doesn't make sense to me.

I did this:
Add A bet loss
Add B bet loss
Add C bet loss
Add D bet win 1 unit risk amount

I get 8.932 units for my D bet risk amount. Does this seem normal or am I off my rocker this morning

You should be risking 10.19 units to win 9.26 units, if all bets were played @ -110. and if your looking to "make" one unit and not "risk" one unit. Currently you should be down 8.26 units on the three losses this way.

racer43 · 11-25-12, 03:17 PM

<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:PunctuationKerning/> <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas/> <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false</w:SaveIfXMLInvalid> <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false</w:IgnoreMixedContent> <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false</w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables/> <w:SnapToGridInCell/> <w:WrapTextWithPunct/> <w:UseAsianBreakRules/> <w

ontGrowAutofit/> </w:Compatibility> <w:BrowserLevel>MicrosoftInternetExplore r4</w:BrowserLevel> </w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--> I use a labby system, but wouldn't this be the right way to calculate your bet? Not exactly sure my math is right? have had a few bevy's!!

(A) risk 22.00 win 20.00

+ 20.00
(B) risk 48.40 win 42.00

22 + 48.40 = 70.40 + 20 = 90.40
(C) risk 99.44 win 90.40 (losses +1 unit)
22 + 48.40 + 99.44 = 169.84 + 20 = 189.84
(D) risk 208.82 win 189.84 (losses +1 unit)

Total loss if no D bet win
22 + 48.40 + 99.44 + 208.82 = 355.57

Asset · 11-25-12, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by racer43

<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:PunctuationKerning/> <w:ValidateAgainstSchemas/> <w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false</w:SaveIfXMLInvalid> <w:IgnoreMixedContent>false</w:IgnoreMixedContent> <w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false</w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables/> <w:SnapToGridInCell/> <w:WrapTextWithPunct/> <w:UseAsianBreakRules/> <w

ontGrowAutofit/> </w:Compatibility> <w:BrowserLevel>MicrosoftInternetExplore r4</w:BrowserLevel> </w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--> I use a labby system, but wouldn't this be the right way to calculate your bet? Not exactly sure my math is right? have had a few bevy's!!

(A) risk 22.00 win 20.00

+ 20.00
(B) risk 48.40 win 42.00

22 + 48.40 = 70.40 + 20 = 90.40
(C) risk 99.44 win 90.40 (losses +1 unit)
22 + 48.40 + 99.44 = 169.84 + 20 = 189.84
(D) risk 208.82 win 189.84 (losses +1 unit)

Total loss if no D bet win
22 + 48.40 + 99.44 + 208.82 = 355.57

Is this a 1.10u? I don't think so, but I could be wrong

Bdolan33 · 11-25-12, 03:56 PM

what are todays plays

kosti · 11-25-12, 04:00 PM

Anyone parlaying this D bet with something else (e.g. low moneyline soccer etc.) to lower the potential loss?

DollarBill10 · 11-25-12, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

what are todays plays

Come on...you have to scroll through the thread just like the rest of us!!!

Asset · 11-25-12, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by kosti

Anyone parlaying this D bet with something else (e.g. low moneyline soccer etc.) to lower the potential loss?

@kosti: I don't know $hit about soccer or NBA, so I trust "Stifler" and just tail. I know some NFL thou

I just came back from Walmart. I bought myself some extra underwear just in case I shit in my pant for today's game. Preparation is the key!!

@Bdolan33: Pick New Orleans +10 (D Bet)
Pick Denver -10 (A Bet)

P.S. Dam I'm talking alot today...maybe I better put on my extra undies...

Riceboi · 11-25-12, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by Asset

@kosti: I don't know $hit about soccer or NBA, so I trust "Stifler" and just tail. I know some NFL thou

I just came back from Walmart. I bought myself some extra underwear just in case I shit in my pant for today's game. Preparation is the key!!

@Bdolan33: Pick New Orleans +10 (D Bet)
Pick Denver -10 (A Bet)

P.S. Dam I'm talking alot today...maybe I better put on my extra undies...

bilalcakar · 11-25-12, 05:46 PM

I don't understand. Last match of Noh was OT. Because of that now we have to take denver(-10)?

Stifler · 11-25-12, 05:48 PM

updated.

25.11.2012

S1

(D Bet) Den fade: Mem -7,5 1,10u | Minn +3,5 2,31u | GS +6,5 4,85u | New Orleans +10,5 10,19u
(A Bet) Den: Denver -10 1,10u

Asset · 11-25-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by bilalcakar

I don't understand. Last match of Noh was OT. Because of that now we have to take denver(-10)?

Okay since I'm so chatty today. It has nothing to do with the OT. Bro you have to go back and read. I think all of us that has been following is tired of explaining especially Stifler. Maybe "Grinder" might want to explain it to you. His pretty chatty, but today he seem kinda quite lol. If that's too much then just follow like a robot

Btw New Orl. is not on the list...

@Grinder: no harm? love ya

Riceboi · 11-25-12, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by bilalcakar

I don't understand. Last match of Noh was OT. Because of that now we have to take denver(-10)?

Denver -10 is a S1 system play because they have won 3 in a row ATS.

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 06:26 PM

Ever write a long post and then delete it AAAAGH!!!!!!

bilalcakar - New Orleans is not on the S4 list of teams to fade.

As for tonight's debacle and this actually happens a good amount of times so you better figure out how you want to handle it.

Denver on 12,15,& 17 lost 3 in a row, So we fade them

HOWEVER - since they have now WON 3 in a row we PLAY them.

Once your mind solidifies from a puddle of goo you have to FADE Denver for a "D" bet and a PLAY Denver for an "A" bet. Or just Fade Denver minus the one unit you would PLAY on Denver and skip betting ON Denver.

BTW - good situation with San Antonio coming on as a NON SYSTEM S4 play. They are in a rough road stretch and played OT today. One problem is if you fade them tomorrow and they win they are a System S1 play. They are 1-0 in unofficial S4 plays this year.

Stifler · 11-25-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

BTW - good situation with San Antonio coming on as a NON SYSTEM S4 play. They are in a rough road stretch and played OT today. One problem is if you fade them tomorrow and they win they are a System S1 play. They are 1-0 in unofficial S4 plays this year.

second problem is Washington is a S4 fade play aswell tomorrow :]

So maybe a good spot overall, but it doesnt link to the system.

Grinder12000 · 11-25-12, 07:17 PM

AHHH - well played - and Washington is 2-0 in S4 A games AND on the list! I like that MUCH better!!

Teamprofit101 · 11-25-12, 08:47 PM

I don't have the denver game locally, anybody have a good link to watch game live?....maybe New Orleans can hear me screaming through the screen and might step up there game today

Nino7 · 11-25-12, 09:06 PM

http://www.thefirstrow.eu/watch/155490/7/watch-denver-nuggets-vs-new-orleans-hornets.html

Teamprofit101 · 11-25-12, 09:39 PM

Thanks for the link....i'm not even going to watch anymore of this game

I'll just take the loss