Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

**thorny** · 01-02-13, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by thorny

Sando, thoughts on Lacko to defeat Troicki?

Troicki has beaten Lacko previously but back in 2008, however, out of the two Lacko heads in with more wins lately.

Books have Troicki as favourite

Sweet...Lacko cashed in

**sheps88** · 01-02-13, 11:46 AM

Woot woot Monfils

**manu** · 01-02-13, 11:46 AM

nice

**ch1027** · 01-02-13, 11:52 AM

nice work Sando. Much appreciated

**Catchn_Picks** · 01-02-13, 12:03 PM

Man sando...you are making tennis fun! Didn't think that was possible until the US Open or Wimbledon. Thank you and go Goffin!

**radostin.dimi** · 01-02-13, 12:03 PM

Good job mate!

**sando** · 01-02-13, 01:05 PM

Davydenko - Cash it.
Monfils - Cash it.

Originally posted by sando

Tennis 39-27-5 (+24.37 Units) - 3 Pending

YTD - 6-1-1

Ebden v Goffin
Goffin -2 (-120, $1.83 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Arvidsson v Stephens
Stephens m/l (-125, $1.80 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x - Winner

Sela v Ram
Sela -2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Youhzny v Davydenko
Davydenko m/l (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Monfils v Kohlschreiber
Monfils +2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1x - WinnerGajdosova v Tsurenko
Gajdosova -2.5 (-115, $1.87 Sportingbet) 1.5x - Loser

Dolgopolov v Nieminen
Nieminen +3 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1x - Push

Melzer v Goffin
Goffin m/l (-145, $1.69 Pinnacle) 2x - Pending

Hopman Cup (Perth Australia)
Serbia to win outright ($2.05, +105 Sportingbet) 2x - Pending
USA to win outright ($5.00, +400 Bet 365) 0.5x - Pending

**pellumb341** · 01-02-13, 01:21 PM

sando , would you mind if you put the tournament name beside the tennis picks ? There are people like me who know shit about tennis and it's difficult to find them .

Thanks for your picks and BOL !!!

**pellumb341** · 01-02-13, 01:23 PM

And by the way Goffin ML is 1.70 at MarathonBet.I think you should consider opening an account there cuz odds are usually higher than everywhere.

**M3EVO3** · 01-02-13, 01:57 PM

Marathon is bookie for kids.When you withdraw 2-3 times 100$, they will put limit limit on your bets for example max. 15$. It's funny, no worth wasting time with opening account at them.

Btw Best of Luck Sando !!! You're very hot last week....:-)

**rhawbsays** · 01-02-13, 02:07 PM

Hmmm. my book doesn't have these tennis games. Any suggestions where else is good to bet tennis? thanks.

**sando** · 01-02-13, 02:11 PM

NBA - Plays added.

**ShotgunRua** · 01-02-13, 02:14 PM

Guys, Sando's back to full on ATM mode, I rode it out last time and it was epic. You're in for a treat.

**dmitean** · 01-02-13, 02:34 PM

Why Rockets Sando?
I actually feel that Hornets can really compete now. I took Hawks last night, because Hornets suck at home just like on the road and were too short dogs, but now they get very nice line and they can hang in with the Rockets (and even win), just like they hung in with the Hawks and almost won.
Lopez and Asik should cancel each other out.
Vasquez and Lin as well.
Harden and Gordon both streaky shooters and while Harden gets the upper hand, due to better form, Hornets have Anderson off the bench to do some damage and Davis as well.
Would appreciate your thoughts on this game.

**pipita17** · 01-02-13, 04:03 PM

jazz and raptors tonight for me

**sando** · 01-02-13, 05:03 PM

Play Added.

Originally posted by pellumb341

sando , would you mind if you put the tournament name beside the tennis picks ? There are people like me who know shit about tennis and it's difficult to find them .

Thanks for your picks and BOL !!!

I do post each tennis pick directly under the tournament it's at.

Originally posted by dmitean

Why Rockets Sando?
I actually feel that Hornets can really compete now. I took Hawks last night, because Hornets suck at home just like on the road and were too short dogs, but now they get very nice line and they can hang in with the Rockets (and even win), just like they hung in with the Hawks and almost won.
Lopez and Asik should cancel each other out.
Vasquez and Lin as well.
Harden and Gordon both streaky shooters and while Harden gets the upper hand, due to better form, Hornets have Anderson off the bench to do some damage and Davis as well.
Would appreciate your thoughts on this game.

Sorry mate I'm very short of time but here is the basic gist of the pick. Hornets are a steady and controlled half court offence team that are heading into Houston coming off the back to back where the Rockets will do what they always do in this situation, they will look to run the Hornets into the ground. I do rate this new Nola line up with Gordon included (I had them last night against the Hawks), I am not underestimating them, they may even be leading at half time, but that still won't stop the Rockets from covering ATS. Houston is the worst place in the NBA to be heading on the second night of a back to back. The Rockets are a fit team, they train for this style of play, Nola doesn't. I expect the Rockets still to cover the -9.5 even if the scores are level after 3 (which I highly doubt they will be), they will simply try and run the young hornets into the ground with their high powered fast paced offence. Hornets will probably be in the penalty very early in the 4th.

**davopnz** · 01-02-13, 05:21 PM

Do you still get paid for Monfils +2 cos he won even though the line wasa push?

**sando** · 01-02-13, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by davopnz

Do you still get paid for Monfils +2 cos he won even though the line wasa push?

Yes you get paid. The line was not a push. (6-4 2-6 6-4) Monfils +2 wins by 2.

**kilrathi** · 01-02-13, 05:26 PM

are there any new tennis picks ready soon?

**sando** · 01-02-13, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by kilrathi

are there any new tennis picks ready soon?

NBA now. Tennis later, maybe 2-3 hours.

**kilrathi** · 01-02-13, 05:48 PM

ok thx. maybe ill grab em early in the morning

**sando** · 01-02-13, 06:09 PM

Think I'm pretty much done, just disecting a couple of totals but unlikely I will play anything else today in the NBA so card is probably complete.

**Tim Gerry Mander** · 01-02-13, 06:11 PM

What happened to the 3 unit play?

**tblues2005** · 01-02-13, 06:27 PM

Thanks Sando. You had an excellent week last week in the NBA. Keep up the good work on the picks here.

**mvanja** · 01-02-13, 06:38 PM

New Orleans

Eric Gordon

knee

OUT

2

17.5

1.0

5.0

1.5

0.0

**Byrone09** · 01-02-13, 06:43 PM

Looks like I missed some major action the past few days. Sorry to hear you had a rough MMA card, but glad to see you are killing it in ATM mode in NBA & tennis. Lets break that 50 unit barrier!

I had a question I always wondered. When people say they are making a 1x play, is that to risk 1x or to win 1x? So if x is $100 and you place a -110 wager, does 1x mean you are wagering $100 to win $90.91 or wagering $110 to win $100.

**thorny** · 01-02-13, 07:04 PM

Byrone, 1x or 1 unit is a wager amount. Depending on your bank and money management you can have it as 1x = $100.

**qwe123** · 01-02-13, 07:05 PM

May be a bit late to ask, but would you take the Hornets-Rockets total at 203.5 for any money?

**Vastey** · 01-02-13, 07:08 PM

Byrone, when your line is less than zero then you bet something to win 1x. For Ex: -110 you bet 1.1x to win 1x. If your line is above zero then you bet 1x to win something. For ex: line is +110 you bet 1x to win 1.1x

**sando** · 01-02-13, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

What happened to the 3 unit play?

I got f**ked by the books mate. Was going to be Raptors -2 (opening line) but they took it down quickly and threw it back up at -4.5, so I waited for the action to come in on the Blazers and grabbed it for a small play at -4.

Originally posted by qwe123

May be a bit late to ask, but would you take the Hornets-Rockets total at 203.5 for any money?

Still good for a unit, yeah. I'm expecting a total of around 210.

Originally posted by Byrone09

Looks like I missed some major action the past few days. Sorry to hear you had a rough MMA card, but glad to see you are killing it in ATM mode in NBA & tennis. Lets break that 50 unit barrier!

I had a question I always wondered. When people say they are making a 1x play, is that to risk 1x or to win 1x? So if x is $100 and you place a -110 wager, does 1x mean you are wagering $100 to win $90.91 or wagering $110 to win $100.

Most people do it exactly as Vastey explained above, but I have been keeping my record as the way i highlighted in bold above. I should probably have been doing it the traditional way i.e -110 = risk 1.1 units to win 1 unit. If I had of been wagering this way then the YTD profit would be nearly 50 units by now. What your unit price is is totally up to you. Usually it should be 1-2% of your bankroll. So if your roll is 2K then your unit price should be $20-$40. For me personally 1 unit is 2.5% of my roll as I have a very high risk tolerance. My actual unit price is irrelevant, although I will say it is significantly smaller than it was 2 years ago when my unit price was $500. Since then I have lost a lot of money on the ASX and you could say I am in rebuilding mode.

**Byrone09** · 01-02-13, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by Vastey

Byrone, when your line is less than zero then you bet something to win 1x. For Ex: -110 you bet 1.1x to win 1x. If your line is above zero then you bet 1x to win something. For ex: line is +110 you bet 1x to win 1.1x

Perfect! Thanks!

**thorny** · 01-02-13, 07:18 PM

I still think its 1x regardless of odds...

**thewhiteguy** · 01-02-13, 07:38 PM

**slikec** · 01-02-13, 07:40 PM

Originally posted by sando

What your unit price is is totally up to you. Usually it should be 1-2% of your bankroll. So if your roll is 2K then your unit price should be $20-$40. For me personally 1 unit is 2.5% of my roll as I have a very high risk tolerance.

Wau really you bet 1unit 2,5% of your bankroll and now that is tennis back you bet almost half of your bankroll daily? Wau that is extreme.

**sando** · 01-02-13, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by slikec

Wau really you bet 1unit 2,5% of your bankroll and now that is tennis back you bet almost half of your bankroll daily? Wau that is extreme.

I have 2 jobs and and a pension from the army. My weekly income is very nice, irrelevant of sports betting, so i can afford to have a high risk tolerance as I have plenty of constant stable income.