Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

**SaffaCappa** · 01-01-13, 06:58 AM

I would price Hawks as -3.5 favs @ Hornets. Where you leaning Sando

**pipita17** · 01-01-13, 07:04 AM

in my opinion kings are value tonight..any info on this match?

**sando** · 01-01-13, 07:57 AM

Originally posted by pipita17

in my opinion kings are value tonight..any info on this match?

Love the way the Kings are playing since the loss at Phoenix. Since then they have gone 4-2 with the wins coming over NY, Boston, GS and Portland (all solid teams) and they have played some really good team ball, at home. Unfortunately that form has not carried over on the road where they are a dismal 1-12. Isaiah Thomas has been the spark behind the current run but there are still plenty of problems in Sac town at the moment and heading into Detroit where the Pistons are really tough and just beat the crap out of teams, especially average teams. Lean towards the Pistons for me.

**freshguy222** · 01-01-13, 08:04 AM

Originally posted by sando

Love the way the Kings are playing since the loss at Phoenix. Since then they have gone 4-2 with the wins coming over NY, Boston, GS and Portland (all solid teams) and they have played some really good team ball, at home. Unfortunately that form has not carried over on the road where they are a dismal 1-12. Isaiah Thomas has been the spark behind the current run but there are still plenty of problems in Sac town at the moment and heading into Detroit where the Pistons are really tough and just beat the crap out of teams, especially average teams. Lean towards the Pistons for me.

I agree, the Pistons are gonna blowout the Kings, however I am afraid of the typical Pistons meltdown in the 2H.

**thorny** · 01-01-13, 08:28 AM

Hey Makin, what happened to your thread?

**Kim3310** · 01-01-13, 09:55 AM

yeah i was looking for it didnt seem to see it

**pipita17** · 01-01-13, 10:39 AM

thx for reply mate,always love to hear your opinion.....for now i took kings on +4.5 at 2.20..will see how line will move..

**JayDeezy** · 01-01-13, 12:35 PM

Definitely feeling the Pistons on the spread tonight. Have caught a few of their games this season, and from what I've noticed, they seem to play with heightened ferocity at home.

**tblues2005** · 01-01-13, 12:45 PM

I haven't seen any official plays in the NBA for New Years day yet. I do like the Pistions though.

**wguan2** · 01-01-13, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by sando

Love the way the Kings are playing since the loss at Phoenix. Since then they have gone 4-2 with the wins coming over NY, Boston, GS and Portland (all solid teams) and they have played some really good team ball, at home. Unfortunately that form has not carried over on the road where they are a dismal 1-12. Isaiah Thomas has been the spark behind the current run but there are still plenty of problems in Sac town at the moment and heading into Detroit where the Pistons are really tough and just beat the crap out of teams, especially average teams. Lean towards the Pistons for me.

I disagree with you here Sando. I think there is a lot of value at 6.5 with the Kings. If this number moved to 7 covering that many key numbers, this is easily a multi-unit play imo. I know that Detroit is playing their best ball of the season right now and especially at home but even then, they should not be giving this type of number to any team sans Charlotte or Washington. This is a large number to cover for a young team. Not to mention, I know the Kings aren't great on the road but they still have the talent to keep this game close. Can we really see Detroit blowing a team out more than 50% of the time at home? I mean, I just can't even imagine it.

Also, the Nuggets line is fishy in that it screams Nuggets but LAC has covered the fishy lines during their streak already. IMO Utah at home is better than Denver at home right now. I'm not a believer in Denver this year. They have no perimeter shooting at all.

**sando** · 01-01-13, 03:26 PM

NBA Tuesday

Atlanta @ NO
Hornets +2 (-108, $1.92 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x
*Was expecting the line to open at -3 (which it did) and then for the public money on Atlanta to push the line to -3.5/-4. Unfortunately the line has moved the other way so a bit of value is gone from the play but I am expecting the Hornets/Pelicans to win this game straight up so still playable for 1.5x Nola finally have their "closer" in Eric Gordon and to most people's surprise he looked great in his very first game back from a long injury hiatus. Throw in Vasquez (who is playing great ATM) Anderson and Davis and Nola is starting to assemble some nice pieces. Atlanta coming off the back to back against a team who has had three days at home to practice and figure out how best to assimilate their star back into the line up. I'll take the points just to be safe.

LA Clippers @ Denver
Nuggets -1 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1x

NBA Totals

Portland @ NY
Over 195 (-106, $1.94 Pinnacle) 1x

Dallas @ Washington
Under 192 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1x

NBA Teaser (Unofficial)
Pistons -1.5 (v. Kings)
Lakers -3.5 (v. 76ers)
(-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 2x
*Aussies who don't have teasers at their books, consider a m/l parlay at around $1.69 for 2-3 units

**face** · 01-01-13, 03:33 PM

sando you think maybe knicks trail blazer game goes over?

like that teaser you have

**sando** · 01-01-13, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by wguan2

Also, the Nuggets line is fishy in that it screams Nuggets but LAC has covered the fishy lines during their streak already. IMO Utah at home is better than Denver at home right now. I'm not a believer in Denver this year. They have no perimeter shooting at all.

Danilo Gallinari? Andre Iguodala?

Originally posted by face

sando you think maybe knicks trail blazer game goes over?

like that teaser you have

Actually yes I do mate. The under has been pounded without mercy from 198 into 195.5, I like that.

**davopnz** · 01-01-13, 03:54 PM

the reverse line movement on the hawks game should make that a huge play. i dont have the guts to play a bum team like the hornets, so many times i've had a team like them or the cavs blow a nice lead on me

**sando** · 01-01-13, 04:08 PM

Dudi Sela Cashes. Great start to the year in tennis!

Parlay (ATP Brisbane)
Nishikori m/l (v. Matosevic)
Dimitrov m/l (v. Baker)
(-109, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Nieminen v Benneteau
Nieminen m/l (-120, $1.81 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Donskoy v Soeda
Donskoy m/l (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1x - Loser

Ebden v Goffin
Goffin -2 (-120, $1.83 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Arvidsson v Stephens
Stephens m/l (-125, $1.80 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x - Pending

Sela v Ram
Sela -2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Hopman Cup (Perth Australia)
Serbia to win outright ($2.05, +105 Sportingbet) 2x - Pending
USA to win outright ($5.00, +400 Bet 365) 0.5x - Pending

Tennis 36-26-4 (+22.34 Units) - 3 Pending

**ShotgunRua** · 01-01-13, 04:15 PM

You're on fire right now Sando! Tailing everything.

**GrubyBob** · 01-01-13, 04:21 PM

Thanks for everything, Sando. btw. what do you think about Wizards vs Dallas game?

**JM92** · 01-01-13, 04:31 PM

Against you tonight on the Nuggets/Clippers. I think the Clipps match-up really well and as a dog had to take 'em straight up.

Agree with you on NOLA, Eric Gordon seemed to mean business so they will be a far better team now, even if they still suck defensively. thinking about over also.

**tblues2005** · 01-01-13, 04:31 PM

Thanks Sando for the picks and keep it up.

**sando** · 01-01-13, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by GrubyBob

Thanks for everything, Sando. btw. what do you think about Wizards vs Dallas game?

Personally I think Dallas is over rated (even with Nowitzki). Like the fight the Wizards show at home. Beal is a huge talent, can easily match Mayo in points. Tough one for me, slight lean towards the Wizards covering ATS in a very tight game, but otherwise a no play for me.

**GrubyBob** · 01-01-13, 04:47 PM

Ok thanks! Good luck mate!

**thorny** · 01-01-13, 08:38 PM

Sando, any tennis tips apart from Stephens? Shame about makinithappen...

**sando** · 01-01-13, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by thorny

Sando, any tennis tips apart from Stephens? Shame about makinithappen...

I'm in contact with him, trying to find out what happened. SBR is stupid if they don't want him here, the guy is a beast in tennis, would bring so much traffic to the site, i.e - revenue.

Going to start working on the tennis soon, will definitely have some plays today, some of my favorite back and fade players are in action today, just trading a little on the knicks game, but will be starting on the tennis soon.

**sando** · 01-01-13, 09:16 PM

Tennis

WTA Brisbane

Gajdosova v Tsurenko
Gajdosova -2.5 (-115, $1.87 Sportingbet) 1.5x
*Match start in just over an hour.

ATP Doha (Qatar)

Monfils v Kohlschreiber
Monfils +2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1x
*Money pouring in on Kolly, backed from +134 into -136, crazy stuff. Mofils has had both form and injury problems, however he does lead the H2H 7-1 including crushing Kolly in straights last year in their only meeting on hard courts (6-2 6-2). He looked good in the 1st round (albeit against a no name local qualifier) and if his game is on, he can easily take a set 6-2 or 6-3 (as he is a big time momentum player), which should then be enough to cover the +2 even if he loses the match in 3.

Youhzny v Davydenko
Davydenko m/l (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Dolgopolov v Nieminen
Nieminen +3 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1x

**wguan2** · 01-01-13, 09:19 PM

Originally posted by sando

Danilo Gallinari? Andre Iguodala?

Out of all of their perimeter players, I think Corey Brewer is actually playing the best which is sad considering how well Danilo played in the past few years. Iggy has always been a very very streaky shooter. He's much more of a defender than an offensive player though he definitely can hold his own. I think this is the reason Ty Lawson's play has regressed this season when everyone was predicting a huge year for him. It's because he relies on his speed for the penetration layups and dish to the bigs who sit on the baseline. But they can't do that as much because they lost a lot of shooting (Al Harrington, Afflalo). I think the lost of Afflalo is huge for them. One of the best corner three shooters in the game by far.

Don't mean to clutter your thread but I follow Denver a lot because of their supreme home court advantage and they're almost always underrated. They've been one of the best favorite killers in the past few years. Anyway, good luck on all of your plays Sando! Happy New Year

**davopnz** · 01-01-13, 09:38 PM

classic case of hornets bumming out after leading at the break...always gotta bet first half with bum teams like hornets, cavs, wizards

**Tim Gerry Mander** · 01-01-13, 10:10 PM

Hornets
Bobcats
Craptors

Bet or fade, they phuck you either way

**davopnz** · 01-01-13, 10:37 PM

how confident are you in Gajdosova? i need a win

**thorny** · 01-01-13, 10:50 PM

Davo,

I'm confident. Last year her ranking took a nose dive due to personal issues (passing of mother and marriage breakup). She's a top 30 player but is ranked 180 something at the moment.
Her opponent is ranked in the 100's. Last time they played Gajdosova won 6-1 6-3.

She also looked good in her last match against Vinci who is a top 20 player.

The odds are very good considering the gap in player ability. Just the rankings dont truly reflect the Aussie.

**sando** · 01-01-13, 10:53 PM

Sloane Stephens m/l - cash it. 4-0 to start the new year in Tennis.

Parlay (ATP Brisbane)
Nishikori m/l (v. Matosevic)
Dimitrov m/l (v. Baker)
(-109, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Nieminen v Benneteau
Nieminen m/l (-120, $1.81 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Donskoy v Soeda
Donskoy m/l (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1x - Loser

Ebden v Goffin
Goffin -2 (-120, $1.83 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Arvidsson v Stephens
Stephens m/l (-125, $1.80 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x - Winner

Sela v Ram
Sela -2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Winner

Youhzny v Davydenko
Davydenko m/l (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1.5x - Pending

Monfils v Kohlschreiber
Monfils +2 (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1x - Pending

Gajdosova v Tsurenko
Gajdosova -2.5 (-115, $1.87 Sportingbet) 1.5x - Pendind

Hopman Cup (Perth Australia)
Serbia to win outright ($2.05, +105 Sportingbet) 2x - Pending
USA to win outright ($5.00, +400 Bet 365) 0.5x - Pending

Tennis 37-26-4 (+23.54 Units) - 5 Pending

YTD - 4-0

**davopnz** · 01-01-13, 10:54 PM

did the match get cancelled?

i see this now

Gajdosova J. (Aus)	-
	Sharapova M. (Rus)

**AndrewMcCutchen** · 01-01-13, 10:57 PM

GREAT PICK SANDO! Line moved to -155 by the start of the match. She's a beast!

USA USA USA!!!

**thorny** · 01-01-13, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by davopnz

did the match get cancelled?

i see this now

Gajdosova J. (Aus)	-
	Sharapova M. (Rus)

Sharapova pulled out due to injury...finger's crossed she's fine in a fortnight for Aus Open. Otherwise that's 2 big names out...

**sando** · 01-01-13, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen

GREAT PICK SANDO! Line moved to -155 by the start of the match. She's a beast!

USA USA USA!!!

Cheers mate. I wouldn't go as far as to say she is pretty, but google image her and tell me she doesn't have the best smile in all of tennis...

Originally posted by thorny

Sharapova pulled out due to injury...finger's crossed she's fine in a fortnight for Aus Open. Otherwise that's 2 big names out...

Maria pulled out of the tourney with "injury", so now Jarmila is playing the luck loser in Tsurenko. You have 15-20 minutes for this one.

**Honda** · 01-01-13, 11:01 PM