Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

ender749 · 12-13-12, 04:14 PM

LET'S DO THISSSSSSSSSSSSS

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-13-12, 05:01 PM

One for the road Sando?

Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)

Carmelo Anthony (NY)
[*=right](+1.5) 1.77

[*=right]

Kobe Bryant (LA)
[*=right](-1.5) 2.00

No coincidences · 12-13-12, 05:01 PM

Solid thread. BOL tonight.

h3da · 12-13-12, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by Celtics08

Knicks will win by exact 7 points tonight

Knicks by 11+

Celtics08 · 12-13-12, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

One for the road Sando?

Most Points - Kobe Bryant (LA) vs Carmelo Anthony (NY)

Carmelo Anthony (NY)
[*=right](+1.5) 1.77

Kobe Bryant (LA)
[*=right](-1.5) 2.00

Kobe system

Celtics08 · 12-13-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Knicks by 11+

Say exact number!! can't say X+

MTM · 12-13-12, 05:29 PM

Kobe. Knicks have more scoring options. But don't really like that prop.

Glad you like Knicks Sando, I was waiting for a reason to pull the trigger. I keep changing my mind with spurs blazers but leaning bobcats vs hawks...

sando · 12-13-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Solid thread. BOL tonight.

Thanks mate, much appreciated.

TGM - Kobe for sure at even money. Kobe loves MSG, also he has to carry a larger % of the scoring for his team than Carmello does (Meeks is no JR Smith).

aussieH · 12-13-12, 05:47 PM

What was the second game?

Raskal · 12-13-12, 05:54 PM

Going with knicks as well thanks sando. Will see what your second pick is. Leaning towards spurs for now

kenz · 12-13-12, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by ender749

I think Aus win is still good value.
* SL have 0% chance to win (their bowling is the worst to reach the Australian shores imo).
* The SL batting is weak against fast bowling (they recently lost to NZ at home).
* Their record abroad is terrible - they are especially bad starters in seaming conditions - almost always losing the first test.
* SL have had only one three day warm up match here in Aus.
* The weather forecast is for showers / cloudy conditions - this is a double edged sword as it will make batting difficult but we will lose time obviously.
* Hobart pitch is extremely seam friendly - in the 3 Sheffield Shield games this season, the totals in the first innings for the team batting first have been 112, 95 and 67. It will be better than that for the test match but expect the ball to move around quite a bit. Also Hobart record in the last ten years has only produced two draws in 10 games.

I have put down the equivalent of 3 units on a Aus win - would put more but worried about weather. There is also a small chance that Sanga or Jayawardane hit a big one but unlikely given conditions.

PS I live in the UK but am originally from India and cricket is in my blood.

Dont want to hijack the thread, just curious whats up with the crazy increase in Australia' rates?

ender749 · 12-13-12, 05:58 PM

weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.

sando · 12-13-12, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by aussieH

What was the second game?

Sorry mate, I have been holding out for updated injury info on Matthews and Batum, not as a factor in whether to play the Spurs or not, but simply to judge the strength of the play, I.e the unit size. Anyway I'm happy with reports now that Matthewsis doubtful and Batum is 50/50, so even if he plays will not be at 100%

Look for the Spurs 2nd string to do serious damage against Portland's (actually Portland barely have a 2nd string).

My boy Patty Mills looked great against the Jazz yesterday. Look for him to get some more playing time today as the Portland starters are unlikely to log heavy minutes.

*Pick Added.

Celtics08 · 12-13-12, 06:09 PM

Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?

sando · 12-13-12, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by Celtics08

Sando, what do you think about Over 201 Portland-Spurs?

I have the O/U set at 201-202. Personally I think the books absolutely nailed this line and would recommend avoid.

kenz · 12-13-12, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by ender749

weather is looking a bit better so that is why the odds are moving.

So you have confidence on 3 units on Aus

fitguy67 · 12-13-12, 06:21 PM

bol sandman

MTM · 12-13-12, 06:31 PM

Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-13-12, 06:32 PM

Knicks into -5.5

mvanja · 12-13-12, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by MTM

Any reason the line moved to 5.5? Or just laker fans pounding it?

12:22 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York
12:25 PM: The smart money is coming on Los Angeles Lakers
06:10 PM: Sharp line move detected against New York

Byrone09 · 12-13-12, 06:41 PM

5D has A. Horford Points+Rebounds Over 28 -105. I'm on it!

Damn I should have waited on the Knicks line. People still pounding the Lakers despite how awful they have been...

Throwing a parlay on the 3 favs tonight too.

sando · 12-13-12, 06:48 PM

Yesterday's recap.

Ok have to take my hat off to Mr. Seaweed

. We went 1-2 against Seaweed nation yesterday, but hopefully we'll get them back next round.

4-1 ATS
0-3 O/U

4-4 Today in the NBA -0.02 Units

NBA YTD 104-73-8 (+37.7 Units) 58.8%

(NBA ATS/ML 79-52-5 YTD) 60.3%

(NBA totals 26-23-3 YTD) 53.1%

Unofficial NBA prop bets YTD 2-2

All time SBR Picks

Tennis 31-25-4 (+17.16 Units)
Rugby Union 7-7(+2.97 Units)
Rugby Sevens 28-24-1 (+2.27 Units)
MMA 3-0 (+20.23 Units)
MLB 4-1 (+9.49 Units) *See spreadsheet

**Above record based on picks posted at SBR forum.

yankeefan1024 · 12-13-12, 06:55 PM

sando, i locked in on NYK at -5.5! SO PUMPED!

sando · 12-13-12, 07:04 PM

From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?

Crowing Capers · 12-13-12, 07:16 PM

BOL today Sando
Loving both plays
Feeling you crack 40 units profit NBA today

mvanja · 12-13-12, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by sando

From what I can gather there has been a consistent flow of money on the Lakers since the lines opened (54-60%) which would account for some of the line movement. As far as these sharp lines movements, well if the big boys are so "sharp" then why are they pounding the Lakers now at +6 when they could have gotten +7 earlier and surely would have forseen that the majority of the money flowing in on the Lakers?

Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?

MrXYZ · 12-13-12, 07:27 PM

It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-13-12, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

It makes sense to see the line move by 2 points when you consider it's the only game everyone bets on today & there's the idea that Kobe will carry the Lakers to a win. I tend to think it'll fizzle out early and looking at the under instead.

Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

Only time people have a punt on the ponies!

sando · 12-13-12, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by mvanja

Is it possible that they are pounding on ML?

Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?

ender749 · 12-13-12, 07:53 PM

great analysis on both picks today sando. now fingers crossed for the

today. glgl.

mvanja · 12-13-12, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by sando

Not from what I can see. M/L is 27% Lakers 73% Knicks at Sportsbook Spy, which is about right although I would have expected a bit more money on the Lakers m/l as I expect them to either win outright or lose by 8+ (obviously I'm expecting the latter result). Lakers record in close games is atrocious. Games decided by 3 points or less Lakers are 0-3. Games decided by up to 10 points Lakers are 1-12. Hard to believe right?

It is... Anyway I'm hopping U're right, played Knicks-6, Spurs -7, and parlay Knicks/Spurs ml.

mvanja · 12-13-12, 08:22 PM

Antony on fire

h3da · 12-13-12, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

Just like the Melbourne Cup eh?

Only time people have a punt on the ponies!

Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-13-12, 08:40 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Lol I bet on the horses.. It's actually easier than you think if you do place betting only.. Maybe working for Tabcorp and another Aussie bookie helps you in those departments

Be interesting to hear your thoughts....

Isn't it a conflict of interest for you though?

Byrone09 · 12-13-12, 08:41 PM

Wow. They are gonna put up 40 in the 1st! Gonna be major talk about crappy defense on the LA radio shows tomorrow. Coming from a Laker homer, I'm embarrassed for the Lakers.

Is D12 even playing? I can't even tell... geez... This system is wrong for this team...