Updated Record:
94-89, +9.99 units
94-89, +9.99 units
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Comment -
Sixers/Spurs u197.5 (-103) - 1x
I'm going to roll with another under in a game involving the Sixers here tonight. They have really struggled offensively on this road trip - they have only eclipsed 92 points once and that was against the Lakers' defense. I don't see why they would have a breakout game here against SAS - they already had their big win on the trip and are playing their 4th game in 5 nights against a San Antonio team coming off a loss. They have regressed to the mean after being an over team in the first quarter of the season. I see them struggling to score and possibly getting blown out... something like 104-89.Comment -
*waiting for 5Dimes to follow Pinny's lead and move the Denver game to -9.Comment -
Nuggets -9 (-108) - 1.5x
Nice matchup and spot for Denver tonight. They are the best team by a wide margin in Points in the Paint and Utah is ranked 29th in Points in the Paint allowed, per teamrankings.com. Utah also relies heavily on scoring close to basket (especially w/ Mo Williams out) but the Nuggets do a fairly good job in defending their own paint (ranked 8th in the league). The Jazz are on the road and in a b2b situation - a combo in which they are 2-4 on the season with wins over WAS and ORL. Denver is also coming off a poor performance where they admitted they did not bring their A-game, so I expect them to come with a better effort tonight off rest and on their home court.Comment -
1/7
Knicks/Celtics 1H o98 (-110) - 1x
Don't like tonight's card much. I think these teams get out a run a bit before the pace slows in the 2nd half. bolComment -
1/8
Bucks TT o102.5 (-110) - 1x
Scott Skiles has been fired so you would expect the Bucks to play with a more free spirited style going forward. I think we see a slight increase in the Bucks' PACE but we see more of an increase in their offensive efficiency. No more of the Bucks' having to get into one of Skiles' over-complicated offensive sets and shooting a contested jumper at the end of the clock. This team is build to play up-tempo and they will be more effective playing with that style. The Bucks are also getting healthier. A problem with this team at times is that they need someone to settle things down and give them balance when Jennings and Ellis inevitably go cold. Udrih is back and has filled that role nicely for them. Also Illyasova is back from injury tonight and had a much improved Decemeber after getting off to a brutal start following his contract extention this summer. On the other side of things, the Suns tend to allow more points on the road than at home and aren't a very good defensive team to begin with. I expect this to be a higher paced game where the Bucks get out in transition and cash in on some 2nd chance opportunities against a poor defensive rebounding team... bol everyoneComment -
Hawks/T'Wolves u188.5 (-105) - 1x
Line moved 1.5 points in the minute before I booked this but still a play at 188.5. The Hawks have slowed down a bit with Smith back to playing his usual minutes. The T'Wolves were a big under team early on with K-Love out, and I think they will be forced to get back to that defensive style of ball going forward. bolComment -
1/9
Bulls -5.5 (-107) - 1.5x
The Bulls have a huge strength advantage inside the paint against Milwaukee. The combo of Noah, Boozer, and Gibson should be able to body what the Bucks are bringing with Sanders, Henson, and Udoh. Last night the Bucks benfitted from 18 offensive rebounds against a Suns' team that struggles to clean up the defensive glass. They will find things much more difficult tonight. The Bulls are also the more rested team and are in somewhat of a revenge spot where they blew a 27 point lead late in the game to lose at home last time these two teams met. Off the b2b, I expect the Bucks' guards to fade late in the game after having some early success... bol everyoneComment -
Hawks -4 (-107) - 1xComment -
leaning Knicks 1H +2.5 and Kings -2 so farComment -
1/10
Knicks/Pacers u184 (-103) - 1x
Knicks 1H +3 (-113) - 1xComment -
LIVE: Pacers ml (-120) - 1xComment -
Updated Record:
102-93, +14.13 unitsComment -
1/11/13
Thunder/Lakers u217.5 (-107) - 0.5x
No time to look at the card today - just an action bet. At first glance this seemed a little high given the Lakers injury situation, their scrubs will play harder on D and struggle to score...Comment -
Spurs/Grizz 2H u93 (-110) - 0.5xComment -
1/12/13
Magic 1H +7 (-105) - 1x
Pistons -2 (-109) - 1.5x
Pistons 1H -1 (-110) - 1xLast edited by celtics3388; 01-12-13, 02:19 PM.Comment -
This Vucevic guy is a player - both offense and defenseComment -
Heat/Kings 1H o101.5 (-110) - 1x
The older and smaller Heat will struggle defensively against the Kings athleticism and the undisciplined Kings will struggle defensively against Miami's precision... just need them to knock down a few shotsLast edited by celtics3388; 01-12-13, 05:07 PM.Comment -
Andre Drummond is gonna be a solid pro for a long timeComment -
1/13/13
Nets -4.5 (-107) - 1x
T'Wolves +12.5 (-107) - 1xLast edited by celtics3388; 01-13-13, 05:05 PM.Comment -
1/14
Heat/Jazz o197 (-105) - 1xComment -
1/15
Nuggets -9 (-103) - 1.5x
Denver's depth and length will be too much for Portland on the road tonight. Denver can go about 9 deep whereas Portland is really only comfortable with their 5 starters. Denver has athletic wing players with size that will make things difficult for Batum and Matthews. Portland has played 3 straight games down to the wire of late where their starters have often gone 40+ minutes and so I don't expect them to be able to hang for the entire 48 minutes.Comment -
Nuggets 2H -7.5 (-110) - 1xComment -
1/16
Pacers -1.5 (-108) - 1.5xComment -
Two teams going in different directions. The Pacers have found their identity as a defensive team whereas the Magic are still very unsure of themselves. After playing pretty solid defense in the first quarter of the season, the Magic have now allowed 100+ points in 7 of 8 games. This line is so short because the Pacers are playing their 4th game in 5 days. People taking the Magic for this reason don't realize the fatigue factor is already built into the line - it is no longer a foolproof angle, the books have been adjusting for these spots all year. One factor that the books don't adjust for is the first home game after an extended road trip. The home team generally performs poorly in this spot. In addition, although the Pacerd had to play a game and travel, they did not expend too much energy since the game was over mid-way through the 3rd Q and no starter played more than 31 mins. I'd like to think we are getting a couple points of value here because of the Hawks historically bad performance the other night. The Hawks are a talented offensive team, and I expect them to bounce back offensively here.
Brooklyn has been an over team since Carlisimo took over after being a strong under team early in the year. He lets the guys play and allows them to get into rhythm. I also like the fact that Josh Smith is out. He tends to bog down the offense and takes bad shots. On the defensive end he is a solid rim protector.Comment -
Updated Record:
108-100, +12.06 unitsComment -
1/17
Knicks/Pistons u197.5 (-107) - 1.5xComment -
Suns +1 (-106) - 1xComment -
LIVE: Clips/T'Wolves o192 (-110) - 1xComment -
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Heat/Lakers 2H o102.5 (-110) - 1xComment -
1/18
Magic 1H -3.5 (-115) - 1.5x
Mavs +6 (-107) - 1xComment