The new Formula 1 season kicks of this Sunday in Melbourne (1am US ET Sunday)
One bet I think will be great value is for the Pole Sitter NOT To Lead Lap 1.
A major rule change on how the clutch works was specifically designed to make the starts more unpredictable. I think anything better than about +150 makes it worth taking blind. Might be double those odds if the books/public haven't caught the change.
The bet isn't available until after qualifying is over, btw.
Win Market
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) +130
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) +350
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes) +550
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari) +800
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull) +1000
Max Verstappen (Red Bull) +1000
Felipe Massa (Williams) +10000
Lance Stroll (Williams) +25000
Fernando Alonso (McLaren) +25000
Sergio Perez (Force India) +25000
Nico Hulkenberg (Renault) +35000
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren) +50000
Kevin Magnussen (Haas) +50000
Daniil Kvyat (Toro Rosso) +50000
Carlos Sainz Jr (Toro Rosso) +50000
Esteban Ocon (Force India) +100000
Romain Grosjean (Haas) +100000
Jolyon Palmer (Renault) +100000
Marcus Ericsson (Sauber) +200000
Pascal Wehrlein (Sauber) +200000
During pre-season testing Mecedes and Ferrari looked like they are going to come out ahead of everyone else.
Red Bull were only best of the rest but their engine supplier, Renault, announced that they have made changes that were holding them back on power and reliability during testing, so they could be over-priced a little at 10/1 each.
Either Hamilton/Vettel to win -191 is probably the best bet out of the win market if you like chalk. I'd guess that could be closer to -500 by race day if practice/quali goes as expected right now.
But I'm waiting until we see Friday practice, at least, before making a bet myself.
Top 10 Finish
Lewis Hamilton -1000
Sebastian Vettel -1000
Valtteri Bottas -700
Kimi Raikkonen -700
Daniel Ricciardo -600
Max Verstappen -600
Felipe Massa -300
Sergio Perez -175
Lance Stroll -150
Nico Hulkenberg -110
Fernando Alonso +100
Carlos Sainz +100
Daniil Kvyat +165
Jolyon Palmer +165
Esteban Ocon +175
Kevin Magnussen +225
Romain Grosjean +250
Stoffel Vandoorne +300
Marcus Ericsson +1100
Pascal Wehrlein +1200
Esteban Ocon +175 is good value and the odds should drop to evens or worse if he practices well. I think the Williams will not be as fast as Force India giving Ocon a serious chance at a top 8 finish, let alone top 10.
Fastest Lap
Lewis Hamilton +165
Sebastian Vettel +300
Valtteri Bottas +400
Kimi Raikkonen +700
Max Verstappen +1000
Daniel Ricciardo +1000
Sergio Perez +10000
Felipe Massa +12500
Fernando Alonso +12500
Lance Stroll +12500
Nico Hulkenberg +15000
Carlos Sainz +15000
Stoffel Vandoorne +25000
Daniil Kvyat +25000
Kevin Magnussen +25000
Jolyon Palmer +50000
Esteban Ocon +50000
Romain Grosjean +50000
Pascal Wehrlein +100000
Marcus Ericsson +100000
If you spread one unit across those 12 (dutched) it pays +1644
With new different compound tyres and uncertainty about speed/reliability of every team first race out I think that is enormous value basically betting that one of the top 3 teams wont make the fastest lap. It only takes someone getting a flat late in the race, or using a weird alternate strategy, to see a rank underdog take it.
Will look at H2Hs and other exotics on race day.
One bet I think will be great value is for the Pole Sitter NOT To Lead Lap 1.
A major rule change on how the clutch works was specifically designed to make the starts more unpredictable. I think anything better than about +150 makes it worth taking blind. Might be double those odds if the books/public haven't caught the change.
The bet isn't available until after qualifying is over, btw.
Win Market
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) +130
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari) +350
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes) +550
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari) +800
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull) +1000
Max Verstappen (Red Bull) +1000
Felipe Massa (Williams) +10000
Lance Stroll (Williams) +25000
Fernando Alonso (McLaren) +25000
Sergio Perez (Force India) +25000
Nico Hulkenberg (Renault) +35000
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren) +50000
Kevin Magnussen (Haas) +50000
Daniil Kvyat (Toro Rosso) +50000
Carlos Sainz Jr (Toro Rosso) +50000
Esteban Ocon (Force India) +100000
Romain Grosjean (Haas) +100000
Jolyon Palmer (Renault) +100000
Marcus Ericsson (Sauber) +200000
Pascal Wehrlein (Sauber) +200000
During pre-season testing Mecedes and Ferrari looked like they are going to come out ahead of everyone else.
Red Bull were only best of the rest but their engine supplier, Renault, announced that they have made changes that were holding them back on power and reliability during testing, so they could be over-priced a little at 10/1 each.
Either Hamilton/Vettel to win -191 is probably the best bet out of the win market if you like chalk. I'd guess that could be closer to -500 by race day if practice/quali goes as expected right now.
But I'm waiting until we see Friday practice, at least, before making a bet myself.
Top 10 Finish
Lewis Hamilton -1000
Sebastian Vettel -1000
Valtteri Bottas -700
Kimi Raikkonen -700
Daniel Ricciardo -600
Max Verstappen -600
Felipe Massa -300
Sergio Perez -175
Lance Stroll -150
Nico Hulkenberg -110
Fernando Alonso +100
Carlos Sainz +100
Daniil Kvyat +165
Jolyon Palmer +165
Esteban Ocon +175
Kevin Magnussen +225
Romain Grosjean +250
Stoffel Vandoorne +300
Marcus Ericsson +1100
Pascal Wehrlein +1200
Esteban Ocon +175 is good value and the odds should drop to evens or worse if he practices well. I think the Williams will not be as fast as Force India giving Ocon a serious chance at a top 8 finish, let alone top 10.
Fastest Lap
Lewis Hamilton +165
Sebastian Vettel +300
Valtteri Bottas +400
Kimi Raikkonen +700
Max Verstappen +1000
Daniel Ricciardo +1000
Sergio Perez +10000
Felipe Massa +12500
Fernando Alonso +12500
Lance Stroll +12500
Nico Hulkenberg +15000
Carlos Sainz +15000
Stoffel Vandoorne +25000
Daniil Kvyat +25000
Kevin Magnussen +25000
Jolyon Palmer +50000
Esteban Ocon +50000
Romain Grosjean +50000
Pascal Wehrlein +100000
Marcus Ericsson +100000
If you spread one unit across those 12 (dutched) it pays +1644
With new different compound tyres and uncertainty about speed/reliability of every team first race out I think that is enormous value basically betting that one of the top 3 teams wont make the fastest lap. It only takes someone getting a flat late in the race, or using a weird alternate strategy, to see a rank underdog take it.
Will look at H2Hs and other exotics on race day.