My Motorsport 2013
I'm going to keep a thread for my motorsport bets this year. With a tally of how well/poor I really do *eek*
Probably do a bit of a run down on trucks and nationwide as we don't really go into those very deeply in Mike's thread each week. And F1. Maybe some Indycar and MotoGP too.
As discussed in the offseason thread I'll be looking to place a small future bet on each series each week too.
Trucks
The last 6 Daytona Truck races have been won in a Toyota. The 7 before that where split 4-3 between Ford and Dodge. A Chevy team has never won at Daytona.
Bodine is the only driver to win this one twice.
The last 2 races have had 'surprise winners' in King and Michael Waltrip, but over the 13 race history here the faves generally prevail.
Some value in the win odds with Kyle opening under the odds. Not betting him at that price at Daytona. Lots n lots of team and driver changes in the off season making it tougher to cap though I think.
Gaughan has a shocking record here. Which is why he is 20/1, but I still think he has as much chance as ANY of the guys under 10/1 this year. RCR should be at least the 2nd best team this year, and I saw an interview a month or so ago where he was talking about being re-united with his favorite and most successful crew chief. I don't think he is a lock by any means, but I like the value and am pretty sure I'll be betting him before practice starts at those odds. It's the first time he has had a serious effort behind a full time campaign at any series in a while. Expect him to be in it all year.
Field may not be a bad bet with so many young drivers coming in and all the team changes. Quiroga has bought himself a shot, Wallace Jr in Kyle's truck, Jeb Burton has a brand new truck put together by Turner/Scott. Last year's winner John King.
Buescher and Peters 'should' be the main competition for anyone, and I love the +750 on either. Thinking I'll lean toward Buescher with the Hendrick horsepower. Not that horsepower is a biggie here, but had to find a reason to pick one of them.
Although maybe I'll take Peters for enough to cover other bets. maybe.
Head to heads mainly rely on what prices are, but these are my leans for now
I like the futures market.
Well the 20/1 on Blaney and Wallace at least.
Think Buescher should be fave.
Truck Driver Stats at Daytona sorted by Average Finish
Probably do a bit of a run down on trucks and nationwide as we don't really go into those very deeply in Mike's thread each week. And F1. Maybe some Indycar and MotoGP too.
As discussed in the offseason thread I'll be looking to place a small future bet on each series each week too.
Trucks
The last 6 Daytona Truck races have been won in a Toyota. The 7 before that where split 4-3 between Ford and Dodge. A Chevy team has never won at Daytona.
Bodine is the only driver to win this one twice.
The last 2 races have had 'surprise winners' in King and Michael Waltrip, but over the 13 race history here the faves generally prevail.
Some value in the win odds with Kyle opening under the odds. Not betting him at that price at Daytona. Lots n lots of team and driver changes in the off season making it tougher to cap though I think.
Gaughan has a shocking record here. Which is why he is 20/1, but I still think he has as much chance as ANY of the guys under 10/1 this year. RCR should be at least the 2nd best team this year, and I saw an interview a month or so ago where he was talking about being re-united with his favorite and most successful crew chief. I don't think he is a lock by any means, but I like the value and am pretty sure I'll be betting him before practice starts at those odds. It's the first time he has had a serious effort behind a full time campaign at any series in a while. Expect him to be in it all year.
Field may not be a bad bet with so many young drivers coming in and all the team changes. Quiroga has bought himself a shot, Wallace Jr in Kyle's truck, Jeb Burton has a brand new truck put together by Turner/Scott. Last year's winner John King.
Buescher and Peters 'should' be the main competition for anyone, and I love the +750 on either. Thinking I'll lean toward Buescher with the Hendrick horsepower. Not that horsepower is a biggie here, but had to find a reason to pick one of them.
Although maybe I'll take Peters for enough to cover other bets. maybe.| Kyle Busch | +265 |
| Field (any other driver) | +450 |
| Ty Dillon | +650 |
| Timothy Peters | +750 |
| James Buescher | +750 |
| Todd Bodine | +850 |
| Matt Crafton | +1100 |
| Ron Hornaday | +1100 |
| Johnny Sauter | +1600 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1600 |
| Ryan Truex | +1600 |
| Joey Coulter | +1600 |
| Brendan Gaughan | +2400 |
| Miguel Paludo | +2700 |
| Justin Lofton | +2700 |
Head to heads mainly rely on what prices are, but these are my leans for now
- 2/21/2013 12:00 PM Trucks Motor Racing 7610 Brendan Gaughan* -115 vs Ron Hornaday
- 2/21/2013 12:00 PM Trucks Motor Racing 7612 Miquel Paludo* +110 vs Joey Coulter
- 2/21/2013 12:00 PM Trucks Motor Racing 7613 James Buescher* +110 vs Timothy Peters
I like the futures market.
Well the 20/1 on Blaney and Wallace at least.
Think Buescher should be fave.
| Ty Dillon | +350 |
| James Buescher | +425 |
| Brendan Gaughan | +500 |
| Timothy Peters | +525 |
| Joey Coulter | +700 |
| Johnny Sauter | +800 |
| Matt Crafton | +1000 |
| Todd Bodine | +1500 |
| Ryan Blaney | +2000 |
| Darrell Wallace Jr | +2000 |
| Ron Hornaday | +2500 |
| Jeb Burton | +3000 |
| Miguel Paludo | +3000 |
| John Wes Townley | +5000 |
| Bryan Silas | +5000 |
| Brennan Newberry | +7500 |
| Max Gresham | +7800 |
Truck Driver Stats at Daytona sorted by Average Finish
Hope I didn't mislead anyone there.
