congrats
i woke up too late today, anyway glad to see good results
Best regards
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#212
Dragons win next week
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#213
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Sunday 14 August
CANBERRA RAIDERS vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS SOUTHS -4.0 @1.92
ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS ST GEORGE -18.5 @1.90 GAME TOTAL OVER 36.5 @1.85
Souths easy winners but Dragons were just terrible & their hopes of another Premiership are over. A crap day, but one more game in the round so let's close it out with a win.
1-2
Round 23: 7-5
Record so far: 50-32 60.97%
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#214
Monday 15 August
CRONULLA SHARKS vs BULLDOGS BULLDOGS -2.0 @1.92 GAME TOTAL OVER 38.0 @1.90
Bulldogs have been impressive lately & should get another win against a Cronulla team that can't wait for the season to end.
Comment
s2230011
SBR Sharp
06-14-10
368
#215
Unlucky on a couple of plays there this week, esp the warriors V Newcastle.
I went 5 - 2 this weekend, but it was all on Friday night, I was up 3 units, and that was it. Anyhow I like the Dogs tonight, to be honest I didnt watch them against the cowboys last week. Why do you like the over though? I was leaning over too, but the last 3 games for each of these 2 sides were under, I am a little releuctant to pull the trigger there ..
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#216
Great work going 5-2, hope you took the Bulldogs to finish off the round with another win.
I was dead wrong on that total, was expecting both teams to break out of their run of unders & Cronulla getting more tries (they should've won by 20 points in last week's debacle) to spark a higher scoring game.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#217
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Monday 15 August
CRONULLA SHARKS vs BULLDOGS BULLDOGS -2.0 @1.92 GAME TOTAL OVER 38.0 @1.90
I totally misfired on the total but got the Bulldogs for an easy win. Aside from Saturday's efforts it was an average round, with tough beats on Manly & Newcastle. But I'll get back to work & hopefully come up with a better result in Round 24.
1-1
Round 23: 8-6
Record so far: 51-33 60.71%
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#218
Just like last round i like Rabbits Cowboys over anything
Hope pinny puts up a total this week
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#219
Round 24, from Centrebet.
Early leans: Storm, Roosters & Broncos. Titans/Raiders over as well.
Agree with Souths/Cowboys total, it'll be at least 52.5 though. The books know everyone's waiting to jump on it.
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#220
Should the Raiders be dogs against the Titans?
Few dogs I like this weekend - NQL, Raiders, Dragons
Comment
binomial
SBR Wise Guy
08-02-10
507
#221
i'm square, first look i like storm, souths and easts.
maybe manly, they have been lacklustre but bulldogs looked terrible on monday night.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#222
Raider's forward Josh Miller and star fullback Josh Dugan are out for this week's game against the Titans.
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#223
Pinny is being useless with NRL totals
Which book do you use?
Edit: Must be raining in Sydney is it?
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#224
I use Centrebet & TAB. It's been raining all day so they've set the total low.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#225
Friday 19 August
SOUTH SYDNEY VS NORTH QLD COWBOYS COWBOYS +3.5 @1.87
GAME TOTAL OVER 38.5 @1.90
This is a tough game to pick but going with the Cowboys in a close one. Even though it's been raining in Sydney, the Bunnies will stick to their exciting style of play to push both teams to get the total over the line. JT should have a much better game than he did last week.
MELBOURNE STORM vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS STORM -3.5 @1.95
GAME TOTAL UNDER 34.5 @1.85
It's tempting to take the Dragons but I've looked at just about every angle & this game could well signal the end of their back-to-back premiership hopes. I expect the Storm's guts, discipline & talent to grind out another win for a club record 12th straight, even without the injured Cronk.
Good luck today.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#226
Love the Storm play, don't like at all the Cowboys/Souths over. It hasn't just been raining here in Sydney it's been crazy weather.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#227
Haha, what do I know, nice picks Mr ZYZ. I had the Storm ML big and it was never comfortable but they got there.
Really liking Manly for Sunday.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#228
Thanks benrama, congrats on cashing the Storm tonight.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#229
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Friday 19 August
SOUTH SYDNEY VS NORTH QLD COWBOYS COWBOYS +3.5 @1.87
GAME TOTAL OVER 38.5 @1.90
MELBOURNE STORM vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS STORM -3.5 @1.95
GAME TOTAL UNDER 34.5 @1.85
Fantastic start to Round 24. Aside from the Storm play, we cashed both totals & Cowboys got the cover for a winning night.
3-1
Record so far: 54-34 61.36%
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#230
Who you liking in the Penrith/Warriors game? Torn on this one, Jennings is back and will be keen for redemption, it's Petro's last game, last home game for the Panthers - they have just enough to play for to keep this interesting.
The other two games are unbettable for me as both teams have nothing to play for.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#231
Leaning warriors, but might stick to a total in this one. Panthers could easily get steamrolled in the second half.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#232
I'm definitely leaning to the over for the game too (assuming you were heading that way) - weather looks good here in Sydney, both teams love to score tries - don't have a line released at my book though yet - do you?
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#233
Still waiting, they take their time with totals. Gotta go with the over in this one as well as Raiders/Titans.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#234
Saturday 20 August
GOLD COAST TITANS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS TITANS -2.0 @1.92
GAME TOTAL OVER 42.5 @1.85
PENRITH PANTHERS vs NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS GAME TOTAL OVER 42.5 @1.85
WARRIORS -7.5 @1.92
SYDNEY ROOSTERS VS CRONULLA SHARKS SHARKS +7.0 @1.92
Good luck today.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#235
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Saturday 20 August
GOLD COAST TITANS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS TITANS -2.0 @1.92
GAME TOTAL OVER 42.5 @1.85
PENRITH PANTHERS vs NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS GAME TOTAL OVER 42.5 @1.85
WARRIORS -7.5 @1.92
SYDNEY ROOSTERS VS CRONULLA SHARKS SHARKS +7.0 @1.92
Mixed luck today. Titans easy winners & the over was gone until a last minute penalty goal by Preston cashed the play for a perfect start. Warriors too good for the Panthers as expected & then Roosters sank Cronulla with an unbelievable comeback. That was just bad beat, 3 tries in 10 minutes lol.
Today: 3-2
Round 24: 6-3
Record so far: 57-36 61.29%
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#236
Sunday 21 August
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BULLDOGS SEA EAGLES -10.5 @1.92
GAME TOTAL UNDER 40.5 @1.85
WESTS TIGERS vs PARRAMATTA EELS EELS +9.5 @1.92
GAME TOTAL OVER 40.5 @1.85
It's a lot of points but Manly at Brookvale have the class to easily dispose of a desperate Bulldogs team. They don't deserve that 8th spot & today will prove it. Tigers are on fire right now & should notch up their sixth straight win, but Parra have real shot at covering in what should be a high scoring game.
Comment
goty0405
SBR High Roller
06-29-11
123
#237
Interesting move to get on Manly -10.5 and the under at the same time. That means the bulldogs can only score a max of 14 points for both plays to be possible.
I'm not saying it wont happen (in fact a final score of something like 24-6, 24-10, or 30-6 is likely) but just interesting to see you going for the big spread to be beaten but still be under.
Good luck.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#238
I'm taking a risk playing these two like this but expecting a strong defensive effort from Manly & a score similar to the Warriors/Panthers game.
Thanks & let's cash some winners today.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#239
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Sunday 21 August
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BULLDOGS SEA EAGLES -10.5 @1.92
GAME TOTAL UNDER 40.5 @1.85
WESTS TIGERS vs PARRAMATTA EELS EELS +9.5 @1.92
GAME TOTAL OVER 40.5 @1.85
Once again a last minute penalty was the difference with Manly's 11 point win securing the cover. But a determined Bulldogs attack killed the total & I was dead wrong to take the under in this situation. Then the Tigers crushed the Eels but at least scored enough points to cash the over & salvage today's picks.
Today: 2-2
Round 24: 8-5
Record so far: 59-38 60.82%
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#240
Had over 42.5 in the Tigers game
Benji with two sideline conversions he misses far more than he hits
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#241
Monday 22 August
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS BRONCOS -3.5 @1.92
GAME TOTAL OVER 40.5 @1.90
Going with the Broncos & total to go over today.
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#242
In researching this game, the following was a telling statistic
"... of all the Newcastle wins they have come against teams in the following ladder positions: 11th, 5th, 13th, 14th, 16th, 11th, 12th, 7th, 13th, 15th and 14th." (http://www.aussportsbetting.com/2011...sbane-broncos/)
The only team Brisbane have lost to below Newcastle on the ladder was Penrith in Round 10, though arguably a lack of focus due to SOO 1 was partly to blame.
Newcastle obviously have a strong motivation tonight but so do Brisbane as there's a real chance Manly can lose to the Storm this Friday night and then they can play for 2nd place against Manly in the final round.
Brisbane are basically full strength, so are Newcastle.
Newcastle rarely get blown out in games.
All this leads me to think Brisbane 1-12 is the best bet of the night @ $3.00.
Usually when I get fancy it backfires but tonight I'm going to bet on Brisbane -1.5 at $1.75 for 1 UNIT and 1-12 at $3.00 for 1/3 UNIT. I'll either be up 0.4 units (boring!), up 1.4 units (nice!), or down 1.33 units (boo!) - I used this strategy well in the past let's see how it goes tonight.
Good luck on the over, I think it's the right play but last time they met there was only 23 points, and given the importance of the game I expect both teams to be switched on defensively.
Should be a cracker of a game - looking forward to it!
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#243
p.s. is it just me or should the league seriously look at scheduling more marquee games on Monday night, it's a night when you are the sole game in town when it comes to sport on TV and people who love their league and their punting can get pumped up for it. The NRL has so far done a half-assed job at supporting MNF, they need to look at what has made it so popular in the NFL
Comment
s2230011
SBR Sharp
06-14-10
368
#244
I am liking brisbane, they have been incredible of late but still thinking about it. I cannot go Newcastle, they simple cant match the broncos !! NZ played pretty badly last week and still beat Newcastle by a few points in the end.
I always like the over for Knights games, they are always open games, but sometimes execution fails. I like the Broncos bet more than the over. Good luck mate